Unplanned Out-of-Hospital Birth—Short and Long-Term Consequences for the Offspring

The unpredictable nature of childbirth infrequently results in unplanned out-of-hospital birth, in a pre-hospital setting. We evaluated the perinatal and long-term outcome of children accidentally born out-of-hospital. This was a population-based analysis of singleton deliveries occurring at a single tertiary hospital. The maternal characteristics and pregnancy outcome of unplanned out-of-hospital births were compared with in-hospital attended deliveries. Long-term cumulative incidence of hospitalizations (up to 18 years) involving respiratory, neurological, endocrine or infectious morbidity were evaluated using Kaplan–Meier survival curves and Cox regression models were used to control for confounders. In total, 243,682 deliveries were included, and 1.5% (n = 3580) were unplanned out-of-hospital births. Most occurred in multiparous women, and about a quarter of these women had inadequate prenatal care. Perinatal mortality rate was significantly higher for out-of-hospital births as compared with in-hospital births (OR = 2.9; 95% CI 2.2–3.8, p < 0.001). Kaplan–Meier survival curves demonstrated a significantly lower cumulative incidence of hospitalizations of children born out-of-hospital and the Cox models showed that hospitalization rates involving any of the above morbidities were significantly lower in children born out-of-hospital. While perinatal mortality was higher in unplanned out-of-hospital births, offspring born out-of-hospital showed a lower incidence of hospitalizations involving a variety of morbidities, possibly owing to under-utilization of healthcare services in this population.

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Prognostic factors in the persistence of posttraumatic epilepsy after penetrating head injuries sustained in war

Journal of Neurosurgery ◽

10.3171/2008.4.17519 ◽

2009 ◽

Vol 110 (2) ◽

pp. 319-326 ◽

Cited By ~ 24

Author(s):

Behzad Eftekhar ◽

Mohammad Ali Sahraian ◽

Banafsheh Nouralishahi ◽

Ali Khaji ◽

Zahra Vahabi ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Prognostic Factors ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Head Injuries ◽

Clinical Findings ◽

Term Outcome ◽

Long Term Outcome ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Posttraumatic Epilepsy ◽

Kaplan Meier

Object The goal of this paper was to investigate the long-term outcome and the possible prognostic factors that might have influenced the persistence of posttraumatic epilepsy after penetrating head injuries sustained during the Iraq–Iran war (1980–1988). Methods In this retrospective study, the authors evaluated 189 patients who sustained penetrating head injury and suffered posttraumatic epilepsy during the Iraq–Iran war (mean 18.6 ± 4.7 years after injury). The probabilities of persistent seizures (seizure occurrence in the past 2 years) in different periods after injury were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. The possible prognostic factors (patients and injury characteristics, clinical findings, and seizure characteristics) were studied using log-rank and Cox regression analysis. Results The probability of persistent seizures was 86.4% after 16 years and 74.7% after 21 years. In patients with < 3 pieces of shrapnel or no sphincter disturbances during seizure attacks, the probability of being seizure free after these 16 and 21 years was significantly higher. Conclusions Early seizures, prophylactic antiepileptics drugs, and surgical intervention did not significantly affect long-term outcome in regard to persistence of seizures.

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Overestimation of the risk of revision with Kaplan-Meier presenting the long-term outcome of total hip replacement in older patients

Hip International ◽

10.5301/hipint.5000575 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 28 (3) ◽

pp. 246-253 ◽

Cited By ~ 2

Author(s):

Kalliopi Lampropoulou-Adamidou ◽

Theofilos S Karachalios ◽

George Hartofilakidis

Keyword(s):

Cumulative Incidence ◽

Older Patients ◽

Relative Difference ◽

Long Term Results ◽

Term Outcome ◽

Long Term Outcome ◽

Total Hip ◽

Kaplan Meier

Introduction: The purpose of the present study was (i) to review the long-term outcome of cemented Charnley total hip replacements (THRs) performed by 1 surgeon (GH), 20 to 42 years ago, in patients ≥60 years, using both the Kaplan-Meier (KM) and the cumulative incidence (CI) methods, and (ii) to compare the estimations of the 2 statistical methods. Methods: We evaluated the outcome of 306 consecutive primary cemented THRs that were performed in 265 patients. The final clinical, radiographic assessment and satisfaction of living patients were also included. The survivorship was estimated with the use of KM and CI methods and the relative difference between their estimations was calculated. Results: Living patients’ final clinical results were significantly improved in comparison with respective preoperative ones, and all the acetabular and 91% of femoral components considered as well fixed. 95% of these patients reported satisfaction. The risk of revision at 25 years, with revision for aseptic loosening for 1 or both components as the endpoint, with 21 hips at risk, assessed with KM analysis was 6.9% and with CI approach was 3.9%. The relative difference between KM and CI estimations was increasing during follow-up, reaching up to 76.8% at 25 years. Conclusions: We concluded that fixation of implants with cement in older patients had satisfactory long-term results and can serve as a benchmark with which to compare newer fixation methods (hybrid and uncemented) and materials. However, KM method, in studies that include older population with long-term follow-up, may significantly overestimate the risk of revision and clinicians could consider using besides the cumulative incidence of competing risk method.

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Arkansas Autotransplant (AT) Experience with > 2500 Myeloma (MM) Patients: Follow-Up Extending to >15 Years.

Blood ◽

10.1182/blood.v106.11.1149.1149 ◽

2005 ◽

Vol 106 (11) ◽

pp. 1149-1149

Author(s):

Frits van Rhee ◽

Guido Tricot ◽

Elias Anaissie ◽

Maureen Reiner ◽

Maurizio Zangari ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Cox Regression ◽

Standard Of Care ◽

Term Outcome ◽

Long Term Outcome ◽

Kaplan Meier ◽

Long Term Follow Up ◽

Previously Treated Patients ◽

The University

Abstract Background: AT’s have become the standard of care for MM. Long-term follow-up studies from large centers are critical to understand who benefits most and who should be considered for alternative treatment approaches. Patients and Methods: 2,605 MM patients receiving at least one AT at the University of Arkansas were considered for this study. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to estimate median event-free (EFS) and overall survival (OS). Cox regression was used to evaluate independent prognostic factors of EFS and OS from AT. Results: Of the 2,605 patients, 891 were enrolled into front line Total Therapy (TT) protocols TT1/2/3 (TT); 1,012 were treated on protocols for previously treated patients (non-TT); and 702 were treated off protocol due to significant co-morbidities or patient/MD preference (non-P). Median EFS and OS for all patients are 29 mo and 51 mo; 10-yr EFS and OS are 18% and 23%; 12% survived >15yr. Features independently predicting superior survival included TT (HR 0.51, p<.001), absence of cytogenetic abnormalities (no CA) (HR 0.47, p<.001), timely application of 2nd transplant (< 6 months of 1st transplant) (HR 0.71, p<.001) as well as B2M < 3mg/L, CRP < 6mg/dL, albumin >=3g/dL, platelet count >=100.000/microL (all p<.001) and age <65yr (p=.008). The figure depicts survival (landmarked at 6 months after 1st transplant) according to the number of favorable features present of the 5 strongest predictors (TT, 2 transplants within 6 months, no CA, low B2M, low CRP). Conclusion: This large single institution experience demonstrates that > 10yr survival can be accomplished in over one-half of the patients presenting without CA (14%), with low levels of B2M and CRP and receiving TT and timely 2nd autotransplant. The worst constellation affected 5% of all patients presenting with at most 1 good-risk feature whose 5-yr survival was only 8%. Collectively, these data should serve as a standard for MM investigators and patients alike, against which long-term outcome of newer treatments should be measured. Figure Figure

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The role of fatal family history and mode of inheritance in prostate cancer for long-term outcomes following radical prostatectomy

World Journal of Urology ◽

10.1007/s00345-020-03147-6 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 38 (12) ◽

pp. 3091-3099 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Valentin H. Meissner ◽

Jamila G. H. Strüh ◽

Martina Kron ◽

Lea A. Liesenfeld ◽

Stephanie Kranz ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Prostate Cancer ◽

Prognostic Factors ◽

Family History ◽

Radical Prostatectomy ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Long Term Outcomes ◽

Long Term Outcome ◽

Kaplan Meier ◽

Mode Of Inheritance

Abstract Purpose To determine whether fatal family history (FFH) or mode of inheritance in prostate cancer (PCa) has an impact on long-term outcomes following radical prostatectomy (RP). Methods 1076 PCa patients after RP with at least one deceased first-degree relative with PCa were included and stratified by FFH (four subgroups: fraternal, paternal, multiple, and none) and by mode of inheritance (two subgroups: male to male, non-male to male). We compared clinicopathological characteristics between subgroups with Fisher’s exact or Chi-square tests. Biochemical recurrence-free survival (BRFS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were analyzed using the method of Kaplan and Meier. Simple and multiple Cox regression with backward elimination were performed to select prognostic factors for BRFS and CSS. Results Median age at surgery was 63.3 (range 35.9–79.4) years. The overall Kaplan–Meier estimated BRFS rate at 10 and 15 years was 65.6% and 57.0%, respectively. The overall Kaplan–Meier estimated CSS rate at 10 and 15 years was 98.1% and 95.7%, respectively. Neither FFH nor mode of inheritance were factors associated with worse BRFS. However, in multiple Cox regression, paternal FFH was an important prognostic factor for a better CSS (HR 0.19, CI 0.05–0.71, p = 0.014) compared to non-FFH. Conclusion FFH and mode of inheritance do not seem to be prognostic factors of worse long-term outcomes following RP. Rather, a paternal FFH was associated with a better CSS; however, the reasons remain unclear. Nevertheless, patients after RP and FFH could be reassured that their own PCa diagnosis is not associated with a worse long-term outcome.

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P4724Elevated mitral valve pressure gradient is predictive for long-term outcome after percutaneous edge-to-edge mitral valve repair (PMVR) in patients with degenerative MR, but not in functional MR

European Heart Journal ◽

10.1093/eurheartj/ehz745.1101 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽

Author(s):

J Patzelt ◽

W Zhang ◽

R Sauter ◽

M Mezger ◽

H Nording ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Mitral Valve ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Regression Analyses ◽

Valve Repair ◽

Term Outcome ◽

Long Term Outcome ◽

Patient Cohort ◽

Kaplan Meier ◽

Valve Pressure

Abstract Background To analyze the effects of residual mitral regurgitation (MR) and mean mitral valve pressure gradient (MVPG) after percutaneous edge-to-edge mitral valve repair (PMVR) using the MitraClip-system on long term outcome. Methods and results Two hundred fifty-five patients who underwent PMVR were analyzed. Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses were performed to evaluate the impact of residual MR and MVPG on clinical outcome. A combined clinical endpoint (all-cause mortality, MV surgery, redo procedure, implantation of a left ventricular assist device) was used. After PMVR, mean MVPG increased from 1.6±1.0 mmHg to 3.1±1.5 mmHg (p<0.001). Reduction of MR severity to ≤2+ postintervention was achieved in 98.4% of all patients. In the overall patient cohort, residual MR was predictive for the combined endpoint while elevated MVPG >4.4 mmHg was not according to Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses. We then analyzed the cohort with degenerative and that with functional MR separately to account for these different entities.In the cohort with degenerative MR, elevated MVPG was associated with increased occurrence of the primary endpoint, whereas this was not observed in the cohort with functional MR. Conclusions MVPG >4.4 mmHg after MitraClip-implantation was predictive for clinical outcome in the patient cohort with degenerative MR. In the patient cohort with functional MR, MVPG >4.4 mmHg was not associated with increased clinical events. Acknowledgement/Funding This study was supported by grants from the German Research Foundation (KFO 274), the Volkswagen Foundation (Lichtenberg Program) and the German Heart

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Long-term outcomes and determinants of restenosis after renal artery angioplasty in hypertensive patients with renovascular disease

European Heart Journal ◽

10.1093/ehjci/ehaa946.3324 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽

Author(s):

A Roslawiecka ◽

A Kablak-Ziembicka ◽

R Badacz ◽

P Pieniazek ◽

D Rzeznik ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Renal Function ◽

Renal Artery ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Survival Curves ◽

Free Survival ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Kaplan Meier ◽

Stent Diameter

Abstract Introduction Restenosis (RS) following percutaneous angioplasty (PTA) of renal artery stenosis (RAS) might have an unfavorable impact on renal function and blood pressure (BP) outcomes. Aim To evaluate prevalence and predictors of RS in patients treated with PTA for RAS, and relationship between BP and renal function (RF) changes with RS. Material and methods We analyzed freedom from RS in 210 patients (64.6±12.8; range:20–85y.o.), who underwent 248 successful stent-assisted PTAs in RAS. The change in levels of serum creatinine (SCC), eGFR, systolic/diastolic BPs (SBP/DBP) were analyzed prior to PTA, at 6-, 12-months and final follow-up visits, and whenever RS was diagnosed. Results RS was identified in 30 (14.3%) patients and 36 (14.5%) lesions. The Kaplan-Meier RS-free survival curves in fibromuscular dysplasia, atherosclerosis and vasculitis were: 100% and 100%; 95.6 and 83.9%, while 71.4 and 39.7% at 1 and 7-years, respectively. Patients with RS, as compared to RS-free patients, presented with lesser response in changes of: SBP (1.4±17.6 vs −15.8±25.8mmHg; p=0.01), DBP (2.64±10.1 vs. −6.5±14.1mmHg; p=0.002), SCC (22.4±55.2 vs −3.6±43.9μmol/L; p=0.002) and eGFR (−1.85±18 vs. −5.34±19.5mmHg; p=0.045). In multivariate Cox regression analysis, independent predictors of RS occurred: lack of BP decrease (HR: 4.19, 95% CI: 1.67–10.3; p=0.002), lack of eGFR increase of less than ≤0.17 ml/min/1.73m2 (HR: 2.93, 95% CI: 1.08–7.91; p=0.033), stent diameter ≤5mm (HR: 2.76, 95% CI: 1.09–6.97; p=0.031) and vasculitis (HR: 5.61, 95% CI: 1.83–17.2; p=0.003). RS was treated in 24 patients with RS recurrence in 20%. Conclusions RS rate differs depending on RAS etiology. Lack of SBP/DBP and eGFR improvement, vasculitis, and stent diameter are associated with RS risk. Repeated PTA is effective, but recurrent RS occurs in 20% of cases. Kaplan-Meier RS-free survival curves Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None

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Coronary artery aneurysms: outcomes following medical, percutaneous interventional and surgical management

Open Heart ◽

10.1136/openhrt-2020-001440 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 8 (1) ◽

pp. e001440

Author(s):

Shameer Khubber ◽

Rajdeep Chana ◽

Chandramohan Meenakshisundaram ◽

Kamal Dhaliwal ◽

Mohomed Gad ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Coronary Artery ◽

Surgical Management ◽

Medical Management ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Artery Bypass ◽

Management Strategies ◽

Coronary Artery Aneurysms ◽

Kaplan Meier

BackgroundCoronary artery aneurysms (CAAs) are increasingly diagnosed on coronary angiography; however, controversies persist regarding their optimal management. In the present study, we analysed the long-term outcomes of patients with CAAs following three different management strategies.MethodsWe performed a retrospective review of patient records with documented CAA diagnosis between 2000 and 2005. Patients were divided into three groups: medical management versus percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) versus coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). We analysed the rate of major cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs) over a period of 10 years.ResultsWe identified 458 patients with CAAs (mean age 78±10.5 years, 74.5% men) who received medical therapy (N=230) or underwent PCI (N=52) or CABG (N=176). The incidence of CAAs was 0.7% of the total catheterisation reports. The left anterior descending was the most common coronary artery involved (38%). The median follow-up time was 62 months. The total number of MACCE during follow-up was 155 (33.8%); 91 (39.6%) in the medical management group vs 46 (26.1%) in the CABG group vs 18 (34.6%) in the PCI group (p=0.02). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that CABG was associated with better MACCE-free survival (p log-rank=0.03) than medical management. These results were confirmed on univariate Cox regression, but not multivariate regression (OR 0.773 (0.526 to 1.136); p=0.19). Both Kaplan-Meier survival and regression analyses showed that dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) and anticoagulation were not associated with significant improvement in MACCE rates.ConclusionOur analysis showed similar long-term MACCE risks in patients with CAA undergoing medical, percutaneous and surgical management. Further, DAPT and anticoagulation were not associated with significant benefits in terms of MACCE rates. These results should be interpreted with caution considering the small size and potential for selection bias and should be confirmed in large, randomised trials.

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Long-term success of flexible endoscopic septal division with the stag beetle knife for Zenker’s diverticulum: a tertiary center study

Diseases of the Esophagus ◽

10.1093/dote/doaa019 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 33 (11) ◽

Author(s):

Sauid Ishaq ◽

Keith Siau ◽

Minhong Lee ◽

Haleema Sultan ◽

Shalmani H Mohaghegh ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Cox Regression ◽

Multivariable Analysis ◽

Zenker’S Diverticulum ◽

Long Term Outcome ◽

Zenker's Diverticulum ◽

Tertiary Center ◽

Symptom Remission ◽

Treatment Naïve ◽

Symptom Recurrence

Summary Objectives Flexible endoscopic septum division is an established treatment for Zenker’s diverticulum (ZD); however, long-term outcome data are lacking. We aimed to evaluate the long-term efficacy of flexible endoscopic septal division (FESD) using the stag beetle knife for ZD and identify predictors of symptom recurrence. Methods Patients undergoing the procedure between 2013 and 2018 were prospectively enrolled. Procedures were performed by a single operator. Symptom severity pre- and postprocedure was recorded using the dysphagia, regurgitation, and complications scale. Symptom recurrence was defined as a total score > 1 after the index procedure. Time-to-event analyses were performed using Kaplan–Meier plots, with multivariable analyses performed using Cox regression models. Results Altogether, 65 patients (mean age 74.0 years, 60% male) were included. Previous stapling had been performed in 44.6% of patients. Over the mean posttreatment follow-up period of 19 months, 5.6% of the treatment naïve group and 34.5% of the recurrent group underwent repeated FESD (P = 0.003), with rates of symptom remission and improvement of 75.4% and 92.7%, respectively. Recurrence at 48 months was higher in patients with recurrent ZD (84.7%) than in treatment-naïve patients (10.7%). On multivariable analysis, recurrent disease (hazard ratio [HR] 20.8, P = 0.005) and younger age (HR 0.96/year, P = 0.047) were associated with symptom recurrence. Conclusions In patients with treatment-naïve ZD, flexible endoscopic septal division is safe and provides durable symptom remission. However, in patients with poststapling recurrence, the risk of recurrence is high and time-dependent.

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Long-term risk of major cardiovascular events after cavotricuspid isthmus ablation: when and in whom to discontinue oral anticoagulation?

EP Europace ◽

10.1093/europace/euab116.305 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 23 (Supplement_3) ◽

Author(s):

TE Graca Rodrigues ◽

J Brito ◽

P Silverio-Antonio ◽

P Couto Pereira ◽

B Valente Silva ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Cox Regression ◽

Cavotricuspid Isthmus ◽

Funding Sources ◽

Major Cardiovascular Events ◽

Kaplan Meier ◽

Group I ◽

Typical Atrial Flutter ◽

Clinical Records ◽

Patient At Risk

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Introduction Cavotricuspid isthmus ablation (CTA) is the 1st line therapy to accomplish rhythm control in typical atrial flutter (AFL). Several studies have shown that AFL is frequently associated with AF, which may be silent, posing the patient at risk of systemic embolism. Nowadays, there are no formal recommendations for OAC after CTA in patients with isolated AFL. Aim To determine the risk of MACE after CTA and compare: 1) the presence of concomitant AF, 2) concomitantly performing PVI and 3) persistence on OAC. Methods Single-center retrospective study of pts submitted to CTA between 2015 and 2019, comprising 3 groups: I – pts with lone AFL; II – patients with AFL and prior AF submitted to CTA only; and III – patients with AFL and prior AF submitted to PVI and CTA. Clinical records were analyzed to determine the occurrence of MACE - death (of CV or unknown cause), stroke, clinically relevant bleed or hospitalization due to HF or arrhythmic events. Long-term OAC was defined as its persistence over 18 months after CTA. Kaplan Meier survival curves were used to estimate the risk of events and the groups were compared using uni- and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Results A total of 476 pts (66 ± 12 years, 80% males) underwent CTA: group I – 284 pts (60%), II – 109 pts (23%) and III – 83 pts (17%). Baseline characteristics were similar between groups, except for age with group I pts being older (68 ± 12, 67 ± 11, 61 ± 11, p < 0.03). The mean baseline CHA2DS2VASc was 2.3 ± 1.5 and the median post-CTA follow-up was 2.8 year. The 1-, 3- and 5-years MACE risk was 7%, 21% and 32%, respectively and did not differ significantly between groups. OAC was suspended on the long-term in 105 pts (23%), at a mean of 241 days post-CTA. Suspension of OAC was significantly associated with lower MACE risk (HR: 0.26, 95%CI 0.12-0.56, p = 0.001). This effect was independent of the age and CHA2DS2VASc. The prognostic benefit of OAC suspension was driven by the group I and was not verified in patients with concomitant AF. In group I, withdraw of OAC (56 pts - 27%) was associated with a 70% relative risk reduction in the 5-year MACE risk (16% vs 43%, HR: 0.30, 95%CI 0.13-0.69, p = 0.005). In group I, OAC was suspended in patient who were younger (65 ± 11 vs. 69 ± 12, p = 0.002), had lower CHA2DS2VASc (1.9 ± 1.6 vs. 2.7 ± 1.4, p < 0.001) and less often had cerebral vascular disease (1% vs. 8%, p = 0.036), HF (14% vs. 38%, p = 0.001), ischemic cardiomyopathy (9% vs. 19%, p = 0.04) and HTN(61% vs. 75%, p = 0.019). Conclusions In pts with AFL submitted to CTA, the long-term risk of MACE is frighteningly high, even in the ones without prior documentation of concomitant AF. Pts with prior AF presenting at the electrophysiological procedure in typical AFL and submitted just to CTA were not significantly harmed, from a prognostic perspective. In pts with lone AFL submitted to successful CTA, it may be reasonable to suspend OAC within 18 months provided that the concomitant AF is carefully excluded. Abstract Figure.

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