scholarly journals Qualitative Properties of Randomized Maximum Entropy Estimates of Probability Density Functions

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 548
Author(s):  
Yuri S. Popkov
Keyword(s):  
Probability Density Function ◽  
Probability Density ◽  
Maximum Entropy ◽  
Density Function ◽  
Lagrange Multipliers ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Lake Area ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Maximum Entropy Estimation

The problem of randomized maximum entropy estimation for the probability density function of random model parameters with real data and measurement noises was formulated. This estimation procedure maximizes an information entropy functional on a set of integral equalities depending on the real data set. The technique of the Gâteaux derivatives is developed to solve this problem in analytical form. The probability density function estimates depend on Lagrange multipliers, which are obtained by balancing the model’s output with real data. A global theorem for the implicit dependence of these Lagrange multipliers on the data sample’s length is established using the rotation of homotopic vector fields. A theorem for the asymptotic efficiency of randomized maximum entropy estimate in terms of stationary Lagrange multipliers is formulated and proved. The proposed method is illustrated on the problem of forecasting of the evolution of the thermokarst lake area in Western Siberia.

Properties and methods of estimation for a bivariate exponentiated Fréchet distribution

2020 ◽  
Vol 70 (5) ◽  
pp. 1211-1230
Author(s):  
Abdus Saboor ◽  
Hassan S. Bakouch ◽  
Fernando A. Moala ◽  
Sheraz Hussain
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Probability Density Function ◽  
Probability Density ◽  
Density Function ◽  
Superior Performance ◽  
Estimation Methods ◽  
Conditional Probability Density ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Fréchet Distribution ◽  
Frechet Distribution

AbstractIn this paper, a bivariate extension of exponentiated Fréchet distribution is introduced, namely a bivariate exponentiated Fréchet (BvEF) distribution whose marginals are univariate exponentiated Fréchet distribution. Several properties of the proposed distribution are discussed, such as the joint survival function, joint probability density function, marginal probability density function, conditional probability density function, moments, marginal and bivariate moment generating functions. Moreover, the proposed distribution is obtained by the Marshall-Olkin survival copula. Estimation of the parameters is investigated by the maximum likelihood with the observed information matrix. In addition to the maximum likelihood estimation method, we consider the Bayesian inference and least square estimation and compare these three methodologies for the BvEF. A simulation study is carried out to compare the performance of the estimators by the presented estimation methods. The proposed bivariate distribution with other related bivariate distributions are fitted to a real-life paired data set. It is shown that, the BvEF distribution has a superior performance among the compared distributions using several tests of goodness–of–fit.

scholarly journals On a new distribution based on the arccosine function

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christophe Chesneau ◽  
Lishamol Tomy ◽  
Jiju Gillariose
Keyword(s):  
Probability Density Function ◽  
Probability Density ◽  
Density Function ◽  
Hazard Rate ◽  
Survival Function ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Cumulative Distribution ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Power Functions ◽  
New Distribution

AbstractThis note focuses on a new one-parameter unit probability distribution centered around the inverse cosine and power functions. A special case of this distribution has the exact inverse cosine function as a probability density function. To our knowledge, despite obvious mathematical interest, such a probability density function has never been considered in Probability and Statistics. Here, we fill this gap by pointing out the main properties of the proposed distribution, from both the theoretical and practical aspects. Specifically, we provide the analytical form expressions for its cumulative distribution function, survival function, hazard rate function, raw moments and incomplete moments. The asymptotes and shape properties of the probability density and hazard rate functions are described, as well as the skewness and kurtosis properties, revealing the flexible nature of the new distribution. In particular, it appears to be “round mesokurtic” and “left skewed”. With these features in mind, special attention is given to find empirical applications of the new distribution to real data sets. Accordingly, the proposed distribution is compared with the well-known power distribution by means of two real data sets.

scholarly journals A Probability Density Function Generator Based on Deep Learning

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chi-Hua Chen ◽  
Fangying Song ◽  
Feng-Jang Hwang ◽  
Ling Wu
Keyword(s):  
Deep Learning ◽  
Probability Density Function ◽  
Probability Density ◽  
Density Function ◽  
Probability Distributions ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Learning Model ◽  
Cumulative Distribution ◽  
Function Generator ◽  
Deep Learning Model

To generate a probability density function (PDF) for fitting probability distributions of real data, this study proposes a deep learning method which consists of two stages: (1) a training stage for estimating the cumulative distribution function (CDF) and (2) a performing stage for predicting the corresponding PDF. The CDFs of common probability distributions can be adopted as activation functions in the hidden layers of the proposed deep learning model for learning actual cumulative probabilities, and the differential equation of trained deep learning model can be used to estimate the PDF. To evaluate the proposed method, numerical experiments with single and mixed distributions are performed. The experimental results show that the values of both CDF and PDF can be precisely estimated by the proposed method.

Maximum-likelihood maximum-entropy constrained probability density function estimation for prediction of rare events

AIChE Journal ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 60 (3) ◽  
pp. 1013-1026 ◽  
Author(s):  
Taha Mohseni Ahooyi ◽  
Masoud Soroush ◽  
Jeffrey E. Arbogast ◽  
Warren D. Seider ◽  
Ulku G. Oktem
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Probability Density Function ◽  
Probability Density ◽  
Maximum Entropy ◽  
Density Function ◽  
Rare Events ◽  
Function Estimation ◽  
Density Function Estimation

Event Location with Sparse Data: When Probabilistic Global Search is Important

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephen Arrowsmith ◽  
Junghyun Park ◽  
Il-Young Che ◽  
Brian Stump ◽  
Gil Averbuch
Keyword(s):  
Probability Density Function ◽  
Probability Density ◽  
Density Function ◽  
Arrival Time ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Parameter Estimates ◽  
Model Parameter ◽  
Event Location ◽  
Seismic Location ◽  
Probability Density Function Pdf

Abstract Locating events with sparse observations is a challenge for which conventional seismic location techniques are not well suited. In particular, Geiger’s method and its variants do not properly capture the full uncertainty in model parameter estimates, which is characterized by the probability density function (PDF). For sparse observations, we show that this PDF can deviate significantly from the ellipsoidal form assumed in conventional methods. Furthermore, we show how combining arrival time and direction-of-arrival constraints—as can be measured by three-component polarization or array methods—can significantly improve the precision, and in some cases reduce bias, in location solutions. This article explores these issues using various types of synthetic and real data (including single-component seismic, three-component seismic, and infrasound).

scholarly journals Bivariate Burr Type III Distribution: Estimation and Prediction

2021 ◽  
pp. 16-36
Author(s):  
A. A. M. Mahmoud ◽  
R. M. Refaey ◽  
G. R. AL-Dayian ◽  
A. A. EL-Helbawy
Keyword(s):  
Probability Density Function ◽  
Probability Density ◽  
Density Function ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Bivariate Distribution ◽  
Cumulative Distribution ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Squared Error Loss Function ◽  
Type Iii ◽  
Estimation And Prediction

In this paper, a bivariate Burr Type III distribution is constructed and some of its statistical properties such as bivariate probability density function and its marginal, joint cumulative distribution and its marginal, reliability and hazard rate functions are studied. The joint probability density function and the joint cumulative distribution are given in closed forms. The joint expectation of this distribution is proposed. The maximum likelihood estimation and prediction for a future observation are derived. Also, Bayesian estimation and prediction are considered under squared error loss function. The performance of the proposed bivariate distribution is examined using a simulation study. Finally, a data set is analyzed under the proposed distribution to illustrate its flexibility for real-life application.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document