Event Location with Sparse Data: When Probabilistic Global Search is Important

Author(s):  
Stephen Arrowsmith ◽  
Junghyun Park ◽  
Il-Young Che ◽  
Brian Stump ◽  
Gil Averbuch

Abstract Locating events with sparse observations is a challenge for which conventional seismic location techniques are not well suited. In particular, Geiger’s method and its variants do not properly capture the full uncertainty in model parameter estimates, which is characterized by the probability density function (PDF). For sparse observations, we show that this PDF can deviate significantly from the ellipsoidal form assumed in conventional methods. Furthermore, we show how combining arrival time and direction-of-arrival constraints—as can be measured by three-component polarization or array methods—can significantly improve the precision, and in some cases reduce bias, in location solutions. This article explores these issues using various types of synthetic and real data (including single-component seismic, three-component seismic, and infrasound).

Author(s):  
Christophe Chesneau ◽  
Lishamol Tomy ◽  
Jiju Gillariose

AbstractThis note focuses on a new one-parameter unit probability distribution centered around the inverse cosine and power functions. A special case of this distribution has the exact inverse cosine function as a probability density function. To our knowledge, despite obvious mathematical interest, such a probability density function has never been considered in Probability and Statistics. Here, we fill this gap by pointing out the main properties of the proposed distribution, from both the theoretical and practical aspects. Specifically, we provide the analytical form expressions for its cumulative distribution function, survival function, hazard rate function, raw moments and incomplete moments. The asymptotes and shape properties of the probability density and hazard rate functions are described, as well as the skewness and kurtosis properties, revealing the flexible nature of the new distribution. In particular, it appears to be “round mesokurtic” and “left skewed”. With these features in mind, special attention is given to find empirical applications of the new distribution to real data sets. Accordingly, the proposed distribution is compared with the well-known power distribution by means of two real data sets.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peng Gao ◽  
Liyang Xie

It is necessary to develop dynamic reliability models when considering strength degradation of mechanical components. Instant probability density function (IPDF) of stress and process probability density function (PPDF) of stress, which are obtained via different statistical methods, are defined, respectively. In practical engineering, the probability density function (PDF) for the usage of mechanical components is mostly PPDF, such as the PDF acquired via the rain flow counting method. For the convenience of application, IPDF is always approximated by PPDF when using the existing dynamic reliability models. However, it may cause errors in the reliability calculation due to the approximation of IPDF by PPDF. Therefore, dynamic reliability models directly based on PPDF of stress are developed in this paper. Furthermore, the proposed models can be used for reliability assessment in the case of small amount of stress process samples by employing the fuzzy set theory. In addition, the mechanical components in solar array of satellites are chosen as representative examples to illustrate the proposed models. The results show that errors are caused because of the approximation of IPDF by PPDF and the proposed models are accurate in the reliability computation.


Author(s):  
Chi-Hua Chen ◽  
Fangying Song ◽  
Feng-Jang Hwang ◽  
Ling Wu

To generate a probability density function (PDF) for fitting probability distributions of real data, this study proposes a deep learning method which consists of two stages: (1) a training stage for estimating the cumulative distribution function (CDF) and (2) a performing stage for predicting the corresponding PDF. The CDFs of common probability distributions can be adopted as activation functions in the hidden layers of the proposed deep learning model for learning actual cumulative probabilities, and the differential equation of trained deep learning model can be used to estimate the PDF. To evaluate the proposed method, numerical experiments with single and mixed distributions are performed. The experimental results show that the values of both CDF and PDF can be precisely estimated by the proposed method.


2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brian M. Griffin ◽  
Vincent E. Larson

Abstract. The subgrid-scale representation of hydrometeor fields is important for calculating microphysical process rates. In order to represent subgrid-scale variability, the Cloud Layers Unified By Binormals (CLUBB) parameterization uses a multivariate Probability Density Function (PDF). In addition to vertical velocity, temperature, and moisture fields, the PDF includes hydrometeor fields. Previously, each hydrometeor field was assumed to follow a multivariate single lognormal distribution. Now, in order to better represent the distribution of hydrometeors, two new multivariate PDFs are formulated and introduced. The new PDFs represent hydrometeors using either a delta-lognormal or a delta-double-lognormal shape. The two new PDF distributions, plus the previous single lognormal shape, are compared to histograms of data taken from Large-Eddy Simulations (LES) of a precipitating cumulus case, a drizzling stratocumulus case, and a deep convective case. Finally, the warm microphysical process rates produced by the different hydrometeor PDFs are compared to the same process rates produced by the LES.


2011 ◽  
Vol 25 (17) ◽  
pp. 2289-2297 ◽  
Author(s):  
YI-FAN XING ◽  
JUN WU

This paper proposes a new method of controlling quantum systems via probability density function (PDF) control. Based on the quantum model from the PDF perspective, two specific control algorithms are proposed for the general case and limited input energy, respectively. Unlike traditional quantum control methods, this method directly controls the probability distribution of the quantum state. It provides an alternative method for quantum control engineering.


2015 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 179-184 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kang Liang ◽  
Ying Sun ◽  
Fuying Tian ◽  
Shenghua Ye

The paper introduced a new method based on probability density function (PDF) and phase space diagram method for photoplethysmography (PPG) signal extracting. In the paper, PPG information was generated from human fingertips by smartphones. The pulse wave period was then separated and reconstructed into probability density function (PDF) by the phase space diagram algorithm. The difference between normal sinus rhythm (NSR) and atrial fibrillation (AF) was finally found by skewness of the PDF. The results of the present study demonstrates that the new method is vividly viable for detecting AF on the smartphone.


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