scholarly journals Risk Level Evaluation on Construction Project Lifecycle Using Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation and TOPSIS

Symmetry ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tsegay Gebrehiwet ◽  
Hanbin Luo

A risk is a predominant problem in the developing countries construction projects. Although numerous studies have been concerned on risk, there is a limited study on a mechanism to identify the typical risks and effects level. This paper presents an approach for evaluating the risks in case of schedule delays at the various lifecycles of construction projects. The methodology applied is an integrated model of the technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation (FCE). In this study, common criteria, sub-criteria, and attributes are constructed to make a decision concerning the influence level of risk of delay at the construction project lifecycle. The results showed that the construction stage (44%) is highly influenced, the second highly influenced stage is post construction (37%), and the least risked stage is pre-construction (35%). The construction projects in Ethiopia have faced an average delay risk of 38% at a high and very high-risk level. This work is expected to serve as a tool to assist managers in the management and control of schedule delays to mitigate their risks.

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 71
Author(s):  
Yonghua Wang ◽  
Guosheng Hu ◽  
Jia-xin Zhang

With the rapid development and growth of the installed capacity of wind power generation in China, more and more attention has been paid to the risk of wind farm construction projects. Based on the extension element method and the multi-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, this paper makes an empirical analysis on the bidding risk of the wind farm construction project of Xintiandi energy company in Hebei province. The research shows that the extensible matter element method can provide effective support for decision makers because there are no different evaluation principles and more accurate risk evaluation.


Author(s):  
Liang Zhao ◽  
Wei Zhang ◽  
Wenshun Wang

With the purpose of clarifying the energy-saving influencing factors of the participants in the construction project, qualitative analysis and scientific measurement analysis were combined in this paper to define and identify the energy-saving influencing factors of the construction project lifecycle. First, a qualitative analysis of the research literature of the natural science index (SCI) and social science citation index (SSCI) databases was conducted through a combination of literature analysis and expert interviews, constructing a list of the energy-saving influencing factors in the lifecycle of construction projects. Second, the knowledge map of the energy-saving research literature of construction projects in the past 20 years from the Web of Science (WOS) database was drawn through Citespace. Then the hotspots of energy-saving research in international construction projects were identified through keyword co-occurrence map as energy saving, energy efficiency, and energy consumption. The main research subjects were divided into four categories: energy-saving management and incentive policies, project users’ energy-saving behaviors and awareness, various energy-saving new materials and technologies, and energy-saving management and control at the operation and maintenance stage. Next, nine main clusters on energy-saving research were identified through cluster analysis, mainly distributed in various energy-saving technology research, energy-saving behavior and power research of owners and residents, policy and regulation research, and energy-saving management and control research in the operation and maintenance stage. Finally, the knowledge mapping analysis results were classified and defined according to the action scope of each stage of the construction project, and the identification of the energy-saving influencing factors in the construction project lifecycle was completed.


2012 ◽  
Vol 170-173 ◽  
pp. 2292-2297
Author(s):  
Jiao Zhang

The application of analytical hierarchy process (AHP) to the risk analysis of port construction project was investigated. Firstly, the happening probabilities of various risk factors during port construction were calculated. Secondly, the aftereffects of the risks were concluded by consulting the experts. Thirdly, the weight of each risk factor was obtained by AHP. Finally, the total risk of port construction project could be evaluated by fuzzy comprehensive evaluation. This risk analysis method was applied to evaluate the total risk of a real port construction project, and the exemplification verified its feasibility.


2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 35-45
Author(s):  
Cut Zukhrina Oktaviani

This paper aims to reviewed construction projects complexity in construction complex procurement. Construction complexity is influenced with many internal and external factors. Complexity covers entire construction project cycles. At construction work procurement stage, organization and processes complexity is a major concern, especially in government procurement. Complexity requires regulation and control are such that it does not happen obstacles at every project construction cycle stage. 


2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roberto Barbosa dos Santos ◽  
Antônio Edésio Jungles

Construction projects are risky in both physical implementation and management. The characteristics of the risk reinforce the necessity of efficient management to increase the chances of success without commitment to its goals. This study explores the correlation of delay and the schedule performance index (SPI) to evaluate the risk of a construction project completed with time overruns. The hypothesis that the SPI of projects with a delay is distinct from those projects without a delay is assumed. A database with 19 elements was used to test this hypothesis and to calculate limit values to the SPI. Therefore, the risk of delay will be small when the observed SPI is greater than the superior limit and large when the SPI is below the inferior limit. The simplicity involved in the calculation of these values showed an advantage in comparison with other methods of risk evaluation. Another strong point observed is that any company can determine the value of risk by considering its own history and support decisions like doing corrective actions.


2013 ◽  
Vol 639-640 ◽  
pp. 1269-1274
Author(s):  
Zhi Hua Hu ◽  
Lei Zhang

Using Analytic Network Process (ANP) to determine the index weight of sustainable comprehensive evaluation of highway construction project and Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation (FCE) to evaluate synthetically,the ANP-FCE model is discussed. The method of sustainable comprehensive evaluation of highway construction project based on the ANP-FCE model is proposed, and the applicability in sustainable comprehensive evaluation of highway construction project is verified.


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