scholarly journals Possibilities of Using Neuro-Fuzzy Models for Post-Processing of Hydrological Forecasts

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (14) ◽  
pp. 1894
Author(s):  
Tomas Kozel ◽  
Tomas Vlasak ◽  
Petr Janal

When issuing hydrological forecasts and warnings for individual profiles, the aim is to achieve the best possible results. Hydrological forecasts themselves are burdened by an error (uncertainty) at the inputs (precipitation forecast) as well as on the side of the hydrological model used. The aim of the method described in this article is to reduce the error of the hydrological model using post-processing the model results. Models based on neuro-fuzzy models were selected for the post-processing itself. The whole method was tested on 12 profiles in the Czech Republic. The catchment size of the individual profiles ranged from 90 to 4500 km2 and the profiles varied in their character, both in terms of elevation as well as land cover. After finding the suitable model architecture and introducing supporting algorithms, there was an improvement in the results for the individual profiles for selected criteria by on average 5–60% (relative culmination error, mean square error) compared to the results of re-simulation of the hydrological model. The results of the application show that the method was able to improve the accuracy of hydrological forecasts and thus could contribute to better management of flood situations.

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcelo França Corrêa ◽  
Marley Vellasco ◽  
Karla Figueiredo

Animals ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 537
Author(s):  
Michal Kaluza ◽  
Vladimir Vecerek ◽  
Eva Voslarova ◽  
Zbynek Semerad ◽  
Annamaria Passantino

Pathological findings in individual classes of cattle were assessed from the viewpoint of their localization and category. The objective of the study was to evaluate whether there are differences in the range and number of findings made between the individual classes of cattle. The results of veterinary inspections on 2,514,666 head of cattle slaughtered in the Czech Republic in the period 2010–2019 were used for the assessment. In terms of localization, the most frequent findings in cows were in the liver and pancreas (46.13%), the urinary tract (40.76%) and the lungs (36.23%). These findings also predominated in heifers and bulls, though they were recorded at lower frequencies (p < 0.01) than in cows. The most frequent pathological changes in heifers and bulls were chronic findings in the lungs (16.09% and 12.27%, respectively). The range of findings in calves differed significantly from other classes of cattle, primarily as the result of respiratory and diarrheal syndrome being the most frequent diseases in calves. Calves were the class of cattle most frequently diagnosed with findings in the lungs (44.89%), as well as other unclassified changes (24.43%) and overall changes (21.55%), which point to a systemic disorder of the organism. The results of this study confirmed the differing states of health in the individual classes of cattle and the differing health issues to which treatment and the prevention of the most frequently occurring infectious and non-infectious diseases must be adapted. Cattle welfare is affected not only by the level of health but also by the herd management and economics. This is confirmed by the range of findings, and the deterioration of living conditions especially in cows, likely because of great intensity of farming, but also in calves which suffered from emaciation or stunted growth.


Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 872
Author(s):  
Vesna Đukić ◽  
Ranka Erić

Due to the improvement of computation power, in recent decades considerable progress has been made in the development of complex hydrological models. On the other hand, simple conceptual models have also been advanced. Previous studies on rainfall–runoff models have shown that model performance depends very much on the model structure. The purpose of this study is to determine whether the use of a complex hydrological model leads to more accurate results or not and to analyze whether some model structures are more efficient than others. Different configurations of the two models of different complexity, the Système Hydrologique Européen TRANsport (SHETRAN) and Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS), were compared and evaluated in simulating flash flood runoff for the small (75.9 km2) Jičinka River catchment in the Czech Republic. The two models were compared with respect to runoff simulations at the catchment outlet and soil moisture simulations within the catchment. The results indicate that the more complex SHETRAN model outperforms the simpler HEC HMS model in case of runoff, but not for soil moisture. It can be concluded that the models with higher complexity do not necessarily provide better model performance, and that the reliability of hydrological model simulations can vary depending on the hydrological variable under consideration.


2008 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 1463-1485 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmad Banakar ◽  
Mohammad Fazle Azeem

1999 ◽  
Vol 08 (02) ◽  
pp. 119-135
Author(s):  
YAU-HWANG KUO ◽  
JANG-PONG HSU ◽  
MONG-FONG HORNG

A personalized search robot is developed as one major mechanism of a personalized software component retrieval system. This search robot automatically finds out the Web servers providing reusable software components, extracts needed software components from servers, classifies the extracted components, and finally establishes their indexing information for local component retrieval in the future. For adaptively tuning the performance of software component extraction and classification, an adaptive thesaurus and an adaptive classifier, realized by neuro-fuzzy models, are embedded in this search robot, and their learning algorithms are also developed. A prototype of the personalized software component retrieval system including the search robot has been implemented to confirm its validity and evaluate the performance. Furthermore, the framework of proposed personalized search robot could be extended to the search and classification of other kinds of Internet documents.


Hydrology ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 14
Author(s):  
Štěpán Kavan ◽  
Šárka Kročová ◽  
Jiří Pokorný

This assessment of societal readiness and resilience to water-related situations in the Czech Republic focuses on an interdisciplinary approach in the Czech Republic for solving this problem. The goal of the article is to evaluate and characterize the preparedness for handling water-related crises. The analysis is carried out via a SWOT analysis, which is a universal analytical method used to understand and interpret strengths and weaknesses and to identify opportunities and threats. For the calculation of the weight factor of the SWOT analysis, an assessment was determined based on the multicriteria analysis. The pair comparison method was used to determine the relative importance of the parameters of the strengths and weaknesses, opportunities and threats. The Fuller Triangle method was chosen for the system used to make the comparisons of the individual criteria. The uniqueness of the study consists of the issue of water management, which is thus reflected from a non-traditional perspective, being a contemporary model—the paradigm of the view on the preparedness of the planning documentation as one of the characteristics of societal resilience for water-related crises. The result of the research is the fact that a positive approach prevails in the researched area from the perspective of preparedness for water-related crises. For the creation of the conditions, the factors arising from the internal environment currently prevail slightly over those arising from the external environment.


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