scholarly journals IS U.S. TECHNOLOGY SECTOR IN A BUBBLE?

2017 ◽  
pp. 379-394
Author(s):  
Sebastjan Strasek ◽  
Tadej Kelc
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Quantitative Easing ◽  
Tax Rates ◽  
Technology Sector ◽  
The Great Depression ◽  
Current State ◽  
Low Interest Rates ◽  
The U.S

The paper is examines the issue if the U.S. technology sector is in the bubble. Our analysis is based on the study of relative indicators, especially on price-to-earnings ratio. We studied the last two historic bubbles and analyzed the current state on the U.S. stock market. We find that U.S. stock market is heavily overvalued, which can be argued with high values of the relative indicators compared to the historical average. Some of them indicate that market was valued higher only during the Great Depression in 1929 and during the technological bubble in 2000. Remarkably high values are the result of low interest rates and quantitative easing. The current expansive monetary policy is encouraging risky businesses and increasing margin debt. With potential abatement of tax rates and other measures of expansive fiscal politics, stock markets could reach even higher values.

scholarly journals Causes of The Outbreak of the Eurozone Crises: The Role of the Usa and the European Central Bank Monetary Policy

e-Finanse ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 47-63
Author(s):  
Natalia Białek
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
European Central Bank ◽  
Institutional Design ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
European Central ◽  
Low Interest Rates ◽  
The Usa ◽  
The U.S

Abstract This paper argues that the loose monetary policy of two of the world’s most important financial institutions-the U.S. Federal Reserve Board and the European Central Bank-were ultimately responsible for the outburst of global financial crisis of 2008-09. Unusually low interest rates in 2001- 05 compelled investors to engage in high risk endeavors. It also encouraged some governments to finance excessive domestic consumption with foreign loans. Emerging financial bubbles burst first in mortgage markets in the U.S. and subsequently spread to other countries. The paper also reviews other causes of the crisis as discussed in literature. Some of them relate directly to weaknesses inherent in the institutional design of the European Monetary Union (EMU) while others are unique to members of the EMU. It is rather striking that recommended remedies tend not to take into account the policies of the European Central Bank.

scholarly journals The Normalization of the European Central Bank’s Monetary Policy from an Austrian Perspective

2018 ◽  
pp. 359-371
Author(s):  
Leef H. Dierks
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
Quantitative Easing ◽  
Fixed Income ◽  
Fixed Income Securities ◽  
Market Prices ◽  
European Central ◽  
The Us ◽  
Low Interest Rates

After several years of historically low interest rates and quantitative easing, the European Central Bank (ECB) has finally started wind-ing down its ultra-accommodative monetary policy in late 2018. Among the first steps tapering its asset purchase programme (APP), which foresees monthly purchases of up to €30bn per month until September 2018 — «or beyond, if necessary, and in any case until the Governing Council sees a sustained adjustment in the path of infla-tion consistent with its inflation aim» (ECB, 2018a). By then, pur-chases of euro area fixed income securities on behalf of the ECB will have mounted to as much as €2,550bn or almost 90% of euro area GDP (€2,834bn in market prices in Q4 2017, the latest date for which data were available (ECB, 2018b)). Further, according to market esti-mates, the first hike of the main refinancing rate, which was slashed to 0% in March 2016, could emerge in Q1 2019, thereby following a tightening of the monetary policy the US Federal Reserve (FED) had already started in December 2015 (FED, 2015).

scholarly journals Quantitative Easing and the U.S. Stock Market: A Decision Tree Analysis

2016 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 135-156
Author(s):  
Ramaprasad Bhar ◽  
A.G. Malliaris ◽  
Mary Malliaris
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Federal Reserve ◽  
Quantitative Easing ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Federal Funds ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
The U.S

The Financial Crisis of 2007-09 caused the U.S. economy to experience a relatively long recession from December 2007 to June 2009. Both the U.S. government and the Federal Reserve undertook expansive fiscal and monetary policies to minimize both the severity and length of the recession.  Most notably, the Federal Reserve initiated three rounds of unconventional monetary policies known as Quantitative Easing.  These policies were intended to reduce long-term interest rates when the short term federal funds rates had reached the zero lower bound and could not become negative. It was argued that the lowering of longer-term interest rates would help the stock market and thus the wealth of consumers.  This paper investigates this hypothesis and concludes that quantitative easing has contributed to the observed increases in the stock market’s significant recovery since its crash due to the financial crisis

scholarly journals Economic Déjà vu

2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 14-19
Author(s):  
Andrew Johnson
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Federal Reserve ◽  
Current System ◽  
The United States ◽  
Low Interest Rates ◽  
Near Future ◽  
American Economy ◽  
The U.S

The recent recession that swept through this and many countries worldwide had many causes, one of which was low interest rates in the United States. Loose monetary policy pursued by former Chairman of the Federal Reserve Alan Greenspan was a major component of the housing crash and following recession. Furthermore, the Fed’s current monetary policy is extremely similar to policy pursued before the 2008 recession. The current system of monetary policy implemented in the U.S., necessitating that credit and debt expand forever, is a dangerous and potentially disastrous policy to be pursuing. Unless a change takes place, the American economy could experience another — and possibly worse — recession in the near future. 

Conclusions

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yilmaz Akyüz
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Quantitative Easing ◽  
Unconventional Monetary Policy ◽  
Advanced Economies ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Zero Bound

The preceding chapters have examined the deepened integration of emerging and developing economies (EDEs) into the international financial system in the new millennium and their changing vulnerabilities to external financial shocks. They have discussed the role that policies in advanced economies played in this process, including those that culminated in the global financial crisis and the unconventional monetary policy of zero-bound interest rates and quantitative easing adopted in response to the crisis, as well as policies in EDEs themselves....

scholarly journals Shifts in US Federal Reserve Goals and Tactics for Monetary Policy: A Role for Penitence?

2013 ◽  
Vol 27 (4) ◽  
pp. 65-86 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julio J Rotemberg
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Great Depression ◽  
Federal Reserve ◽  
Bank Loans ◽  
The Great Depression

This paper considers some of the large changes in the Federal Reserve's approach to monetary policy. It shows that, in some important cases, critics who were successful in arguing that past Fed approaches were responsible for mistakes that caused harm succeeded in making the Fed averse to these approaches. This can explain why the Fed stopped basing monetary policy on the quality of new bank loans, why it stopped being willing to cause recessions to deal with inflation, and why it was temporarily unwilling to maintain stable interest rates in the period 1979–1982. It can also contribute to explaining why monetary policy was tight during the Great Depression. The paper shows that the evolution of policy was much more gradual and flexible after the Volcker disinflation, when the Fed was not generally deemed to have made an error.

scholarly journals Loose Monetary Policy and Corporate Investment of Manufacturing Firms in the Czech Republic

2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 371-385
Author(s):  
Veronika Kajurová ◽  
Dagmar Linnertová
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Czech Republic ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Corporate Investment ◽  
Manufacturing Firms ◽  
Investment Activity ◽  
The Czech Republic ◽  
Low Interest Rates ◽  
Negative Effect

Abstract The aim of the paper is to evaluate the effects of loose monetary policy on corporate investment of manufacturing firms in the Czech Republic during the period between 2006 and 2015. The main focus of the paper is on the effect of low interest rates on investment activity of Czech firms; additionally, the effects of interactions between interest rate and other firm-specific variables are investigated. The results indicate that corporate investment is positively associated with firm size, investment opportunities, and long term debt. Also, a negative effect of the cash position is found. Further, the findings show that monetary policy is a significant determinant of firm investment activity: when the monetary policy is loose, investment is positively affected. Furthermore, differences in the determinants of investment between highly and low leveraged firms were revealed.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document