scholarly journals GDP and Outward Foreign Direct Investment from India: Co-Integration and Causality Test

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 2436-2439
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Dynamic Change ◽  
Outward Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Causal Association ◽  
Outward Fdi ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

India’s outward foreign direct investment has experienced a Dynamic change over last decade after the liberalisation and globalisation of Indian economy that further achieves economic expansion and development in recent years. Approximately seven percent growth rate is witness by India from 1993-2011.This period also witnessed upward trend of outbound investment from India. UNCTAD (2015) has also nailed India as one of the leading outward investing economies. But a very few works have been done for exploring the long run relationship between outward FDI and GDP in context of the emerging economies like India. With this backdrop, the present study empirically investigates the long run and short run co – integrating relationship between India’s GDP and OFDI. For empirical analysis various econometric tools like test of stationarity, Engle granger co-integration ( as we have consider only two macro variables) and ECM model is used to test the causal association between the selected variables. It is found that there is long run causal relationship among OFDI and India’s Growth rate. The results found that no short term causal association among India’s OFDI and GDP by reflecting the fact that there are other factors which have influence on OFDI flows.

An Empirical Investigation of India’s Outward Foreign Direct Investment: A Macro Perspective

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 79-88
Author(s):  
Dikshita Kakoti
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Outward Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Increasing Trend ◽  
Effective Exchange ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Effective Exchange Rate

Since 1990, globalization of Indian economy led to a speedy growth of foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows and simultaneously outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) also shows an increasing trend. However, India’s OFDI has attracted a little attention from the researchers and they have considered the OFDI in terms of commitments or approved equities. The motivation of this article is to investigate the India’s macro factors influencing actual OFDI flows from India by empirically recognizing four factors, namely gross domestic product, inward FDI, real effective exchange rate, and real interest rate over the period 1980–2016. The study has used Augmented Dicky-Fuller (ADF) and Phillips–Perron (PP) Unit root tests for checking the stationarity of the variable of the model. Later on, autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) model and error correction mechanism is used for testing the long-run as well as short-run dynamics of the model. The result shows that all the selected variables have positive and significant influence on India’s outward investment flows.

scholarly journals Foreign Direct Investment, External Debt, and Balance of Payment: A Causality Analysis for Bangladesh

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Mahmud Mostafa
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Causality Analysis ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Significant Negative Impact ◽  
Short Run

The purpose of this study is to analyze the causal relationship of external debt and balance of payment with foreign direct investment (FDI) in Bangladesh for the period of 1980 to 2017 through the application of Johansen Cointegration technique, Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), and Granger Causality approach. Results of cointegration and VECM indicate a significant long-run relationship between dependent (FDI) and independent variables (external debt and balance of payment). External debt is found to have a significant negative impact on FDI in the long-run, but it is found insignificant in the short-run. In contrast, the balance of payment has a significant positive effect on FDI both in the long-run and short-run. Results of the Granger causality test reveal that there exists bidirectional short-run causality between the balance of payment and FDI; that is, both the balance of payment and FDI affect each other. But no unidirectional or bidirectional short-run causality is found between external debt and FDI. Keywords: FDI, external debt, balance of payment, cointegration, VECM, causality

scholarly journals OUTWARD FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN CHINA: EVIDENCE FROM ASYMMETRIC ARDL APPROACH

2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (5) ◽  
pp. 706-721 ◽  
Author(s):  
Usman Ali ◽  
Wei Shan ◽  
Jian-Jun Wang ◽  
Azka Amin
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Symmetric Model ◽  
Outward Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Equilibrium Relationship ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Overseas Investment

The current study explored the dynamics between economic growth and overseas investment, using time series annual data from China. For empirical analysis, we utilized asymmetric ARDL technique, which documents the potential asymmetric effects of outward foreign direct investment on economic growth in both the long run and short run. The empirical results suggest that ignoring the intrinsic asymmetries may conceal the true information about the equilibrium relationship among the variables and thus lead to misleading results. Particularly, the findings revealed that economic growth in China responds positively but differently to an increase and decrease in its overseas investment. The empirical evidence obtained through asymmetric model seemed to be superior to that of symmetric model and thus leads to more efficient policymaking to achieve sustainable economic development. Our study contributes to the existing literature by providing new insights on the outward foreign direct investment-led growth hypothesis. The findings suggest that firms investing abroad can bring source country benefits by securing access to key input factors and accessing advanced foreign technology.

scholarly journals GROWTH EFFECTS OF FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT AND FINANCIAL DEEPENING IN NIGERIA (1981-2018)

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 49-67
Author(s):  
Gbenga F. BABARINDE ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Financial Deepening ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Growth Effects ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Money Velocity

This study investigates growth effects of foreign direct investment and financial deepening in Nigeria for the period 1981-2018. Data employed for this study were obtained from Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin and World Development Indicators. Pairwise granger causality test and autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model were employed in the data analysis. Empirical results show that foreign direct investment (FDI) has positive significant effect on economic growth (GDP) in Nigeria both in the long and short runs. Financial deepening measured as broad money supply as a ratio of GDP (broad money velocity) has positive significant effect on GDP in Nigeria in the long run but the position is reversed to negative non-significant in the short run. In the long run, financial deepening indicator-credit to private sector as a ratio of GDP-, has negative non-significant effect on GDP in Nigeria while its influence is absent in the short run model. Findings also reveal a unidirectional causality from FDI to GDP. Likewise, unidirectional causality flows from GDP to each of the two financial deepening indicators, thus lending credence to the demand-following hypothesis. This study concludes that foreign direct investment and financial deepening have positive growth effects in Nigeria with causality flowing from foreign direct investment to economic growth and the latter granger-causing financial deepening in Nigeria. To boost economic growth, there is a need for Nigeria’s government to further develop the financial system and implement policies to stimulate FDI inflows to the country.

scholarly journals RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT AND STOCK MARKET DEVELOPMENT IN A SMALL SOUTHERN AFRICA ECONOMY

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Duduzile Ngobe ◽  
◽  
Emenike Kalu ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Money Market Funds ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

This paper investigates the relationship between foreign direct investment and stock market development in a small southern African economy. Specifically, the paper analyses long-run, short-run and causal relationships between foreign direct investment and stock market development in Eswatini for the 1990 to 2018 periods. Results of preliminary analyses of the variable show existence of positive skewness, fat-tailed, non-normal distribution, and I(1) order of integration for the foreign direct investment and stock market return series. Estimates from the ARDL model indicate evidence of a positive and statistically insignificant long-run relationship between foreign direct investment and stock market development in the kingdom of Eswatini. But in the short-run, there exist no relationship between foreign direct investment and stock market development in Eswatini. Estimates from Granger causality test do not show any evidence of causal relationship between foreign direct investment and stock market development in Eswatini. We recommend amongst others that capital market authorities should establish measures to increase the number of listings in the market so as boost investment options. In addition, there should be massive domestic investor-education on benefits of financing projects with a combination capital market funds, which has long-term tenor, and money market funds, which are of short-term nature.

scholarly journals The Dynamic Link Between Financial Development, Trade Openness and Foreign Direct Investment: Empirical Evidence from Ethiopia

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 179-206
Author(s):  
Mekuanent Tesega ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Significant Influence ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

Foreign direct investment (FDI) is an important source of external financing and an important factor for the economic development of a country. FDI is highly important especially for developing countries as it brings modern technologies and management skills in addition to narrowing the financial gaps. In this sense the knowledge of what determines FDI will have a tremendous significance. With the objective of empirically determining the long-run and short-run relationships between financial development, trade openness and FDI inflows in Ethiopia this study employed the ARDL model. The findings indicated that private sector credit, M2 and trade openness have a positive and significant influence on FDI inflows in the long-run while M2, and trade openness has a positive and significant influence on FDI in the short-run too. Current period private sector credit had no impact on FDI while the one period lag of it has a positive significant effect on FDI. Likewise, the causality test results disclose the presence of bi-directional causal relationships between private sector credit and FDI, and between M2 and trade openness. Furthermore, the findings indicate a one direction Granger cause from M2 to FDI. Policy makers are advised to consider trade openness and financial development measures in their quest for more FDI inflow. Keywords: FDI, trade openness, financial development, ARDL, Ethiopia

scholarly journals Causal Links between Trade Openness and Foreign Direct Investment in Romania

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 90
Author(s):  
Malsha Mayoshi Rathnayaka Mudiyanselage ◽  
Gheorghe Epuran ◽  
Bianca Tescașiu
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Test Procedure ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Direct Investments ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run

In this increasingly globalized era, foreign direct investments are considered to be one of the most important sources of external financing for all countries. This paper investigates the causal relationship between trade openness and foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows in Romania during the period 1997–2019. Throughout this study, Trade Openness is the main independent variable, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Real Effective Exchange Rate (EXR), Inflation (INF), and Education (EDU) act as control variables for investigating the relationships between trade openness (TOP) and FDI inflow in Romania. The Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Bounds test procedure was adopted to achieve the above-mentioned objective. Trade openness has negative and statistically significant long-run and short-run relationships with FDI inflows in Romania throughout the period. Trade openness negatively affects the FDI inflow, which suggest that the higher the level of openness is, the less likely it is that FDI will be attracted in the long run. The result of the Granger causality test indicated that Romania has a unidirectional relationship between trade openness and FDI. It also showed that the direction of causality ran from FDI to trade openness.

scholarly journals Foreign Direct Investment, Financial Development and Economic Growth Evidence from Saudi Arabia

2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 228 ◽  
Author(s):  
Najeeb Muhammad Nasir ◽  
Mohammed Ziaur Rehman ◽  
Nasir Ali
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Saudi Arabian ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Oil Resources ◽  
Integration Test

This study is an effort to explain and establish a relationship among foreign direct investment, financial development and economic growth in Saudi Arabian context for the period of 1970 to 2015 by employing Vector Auto Regression (VAR) and modified Granger Casualty Models. The result of Johansen co-integration test illustrates that no long run co-integration can be established among the variables. VAR has established a link between economic growth, financial development and foreign direct investment. The Granger causality test also confirms that economic growth causes foreign direct investment and financial development which is a unidirectional causality running from economic growth towards foreign direct investment and financial development. No significant causality can be observed empirically between foreign direct investment and financial development. This feature can be attributed to the fact that Saudi Arabian economy is still heavily dependent on its oil resources which is the driving force behind growth. Impulse Response Function has been utilized in order to observe the response to the shocks among the variables.

scholarly journals Dynamic Causal Relationships among GDP, Exports, and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in the Developing Countries

2013 ◽  
Vol 14 ◽  
pp. 1-19 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohsen Mehrara ◽  
Amin Haghnejad ◽  
Jalal Dehnavi ◽  
Fereshteh Jandaghi Meybodi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Developing Countries ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Strong Evidence ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
The Other ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Growth Hypothesis

Using panel techniques, this paper estimates the causality among economic growth, exports, and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows for developing countries over the period of 1980 to 2008. The study indicates that; firstly, there is strong evidence of bidirectional causality between economic growth and FDI inflows. Secondly, the exports-led growth hypothesis is supported by the finding of unidirectional causality running from exports to economic growth in both the short-run and the long-run. Thirdly, export is not Granger caused by economic growth and FDI inflow in either the short run or the long run. On the basis of the obtained results, it is recommended that outward-oriented strategies and policies of attracting FDI be pursued by developing countries to achieve higher rates of economic growth. On the other hand, the countries can increase FDI inflows by stimulating their economic growth.

scholarly journals ANALISIS PENGARUH REMITANSI, INVESTASI ASING LANGSUNG, IMPOR DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Regina Septriani Putri ◽  
Ariusni Ariusni
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Government ◽  
Positive Effect

Abstract : This study examined and analysis the effect of remittances, foreigndirect investment, imports, and economic growth in Indonesia in the long run andshort run. This study using Error Correction Model (ECM) method and using theannual time series data from 1989 to 2018. This study found that: (1) remittancehave an insignificant positive effect on economic growth in the long run and shortrun,(2)foreign direct investment have a significant positive impact on economicgrowth in the long run and short run, (3) import have an insignificant positiveimpact on economic growth both in the long run and short run. To increase theeconomic growth in the future, this study suggests the government to decresingimports of consume goods and increasing the inflow of capital goods, rawmaterial goods, remittances and foreign direct investment.Keyword : Remittance, Foreign Direct Investment, Import, Economic Growth andECM

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