scholarly journals Impact of COVID-19 on Real Estate Industry with Reference to India

The recent pandemic has affect economies of various countries and India is no exception. The IMF projected Indian growth rate at 1.9 percent for the financial year 2021which was previous estimated at 5.8 percent. This possess a great threat for Indian economy. This effect of COVID-19 will be felt across sectors. Indian real estate which was already recovering from the aftermath of demonetization and various reforms was jolted by this pandemic with lockdown construction activity has stopped, real estate sales are not happening. The Indian real estate should prepare itself to brace for a post COVID-19 world and should prepare itself to utilise various new and tech driven steps to come back on track. This article deals with understanding the pre pandemic real estate industry and analysing the impact of COVID-19 on Indian real estate industry. It also presents the threats and opportunities available to different real estate market participant.

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Qing Liu

At this stage, broadening the consumer market, upgrading the consumption system and gradually establishing a consumption-led development concept are key factors in promoting high-quality economic development. At the same time, China's macro economy is also experiencing another test. The rapid development of China's real estate market in recent years has attracted a large number of investors, and real estate prices have produced irrational and substantial increases. Behind the boom of the real estate market is a social system crisis driven by profiteering and the growing seriousness of real estate financial bubble. So exploring the mechanism of the influence of real estate prices on the upgrading of residents' consumption is important for the current stage of China. Therefore, it is important to investigate the mechanism of real estate price impact on consumer upgrading for the coordinated development of real estate industry and national economy. In this paper, we analyze and examine the theory on the consumption improvement by the literature survey method. We also summarize the present research on the correlation and the influence mechanism of the real estate price and the consumption improvement and choose the index which reflects the present state of the real estate industry and the consumption of the inhabitant. Besides the input indicators that qualitatively manage the impact of housing prices on the improvement of residents' consumption, we first use the descriptive statistics method to understand the level of the Chinese real estate market and improve consumer spending. Based on this, the descriptive statistical method is applied to define the current state of China's real estate market and the level of improvement in consumption, and to define the standard for improving consumption in China. On the other hand, based on the spatial and spatial spillover points of view, we use spatial analysis framework combined with exploratory spatial data analysis and GIS to investigate spatial correlation between consumption structure and housing price, and accurately reflect the spatial clustering status of the index by drawing. Moran dispersion plot and Lisa cluster plot, then the spatial Darwinian model, are used to investigate the impact of real estate prices on the increase in occupant consumption from a macro perspective.


2021 ◽  
Vol 26 (1(86)) ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrei Zara

The article discusses the characteristic aspects of the trends in the impact of the COVID-19 coronavirus pneumonia pandemic, which has become a unique phenomenon of economic and social development in the global dimension, on the dynamics of the development of the commercial real estate industry in the Western and Ukrainian markets, the differences in the dynamics directions of the commercial real estate market individual segments the after the global financial crisis of 2008-2009, which forced the market to recover at a slow pace and with a simultaneous price and transaction fall, and the pandemic shock of 2020, followed by a general economic recession and an immediate reaction in the form of the prices short-term impact on the commercial real estate assets, but at the same time there was a minimal impact on transaction activity in terms of the market volume of transactions; compares geographically the pandemic impact on the development of the commercial real estate markets main segments, such as the office sector, the hotel sector, the industrial real estate sector, warehouses, data and server centers, through the analysis of real estate investment fund indices, taking into account the research of the survey of the National Association of Realtors USA, analytical and investment real estate agency Real Capital Analytics, reports of the analytical agency FTSE Russell, consulting and auditing companies PricewaterhouseCoopers and Deloitte, consulting and analytical companies in the field of commercial real estate Cushman & Wakefield and Colliers International; demonstrates the change key tendencies in supply and demand factors due to extraordinary steps in the form of a quarantine regime, which in turn stopped the production and sale of most goods/services, and social and corporate activity was transferred to a remote mode in order to keep the population in self-isolation; outlines possible prospects for the development of the commercial real estate industry as an example of one of the most vulnerable world economy sectors in the face of direct opposition to the deterioration of the epidemiological situation, further exit from quarantine and, as a result, the emergence of a corresponding new norm of interpersonal interaction in the B2B and B2C world economy sectors.


Author(s):  
Rashmi Jaymin Sanchaniya

Abstract The world economy seems to be experiencing one of the most severe downturns in recent memory. The latest pandemic has had a detrimental effect on the economies of several nations, including India. The International Monetary Fund forecast India’s growth rate at 1.9 % for fiscal year 2021, down from 5.8 % previously. This poses a significant challenge to the Indian economy. The resumption of work was complicated by the workers’ surprising return to the employers from underground. Developers struggled to locate enough job-creating jobs due to the labour market severe constraints. The populace is burdened by the great pestilence that threatens the nation. Indian real estate, which was still emerging from the implications of demonetization (November 2016) and other changes, was jolted by this pandemic, with building development halted and real estate transactions paused. Indian real estate should plan itself for a post-COVID-19 environment and be prepared to take several new and technology-driven moves to get back on track. The secondary data research methodology is used in this paper and the aim of the research is to discuss the pre-pandemic real estate market and the effect of COVID-19 on the Indian real estate market. Additionally, it discusses the risks and prospects confronting various real estate industry participants.


2021 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 99-113
Author(s):  
Sławomir Palicki ◽  
Stoyan Stoyanov ◽  
Ivo Kostov ◽  
Tsvetelina Atanasova ◽  
Patrycjusz Ostrowski

The article explores the issue of the function of shopping centres, in particular the analysis of the impact of their presence on society and the local development of cities and regions. Regarding the empirical aspect, the examples of Poznań (Poland) and Varna (Bulgaria) will be presented. As a result of similar socio‑economic conditions and joining the European Union at almost the same moment, all comparative studies reflecting preferences and market reactions seem both viable and interesting. In addition, the two cities chosen for the studies occupy a similar place in the hierarchy of the settlement network in their countries. They are large, well‑developed centres that attract the attention of investors from various segments of the real estate market. The research is part of the modelling of preferences of shopping centre customers areas, which in particular supports the investment decisions of developers operating in the analysed real estate market, and at the same time permits a diagnosis of social satisfaction. A derivative of the research is also the reconstruction of the effects of the functioning of large‑scale shopping malls in two Central‑Eastern European countries.


2018 ◽  
Vol 35 (1) ◽  
pp. 25-43
Author(s):  
Florian Unbehaun ◽  
Franz Fuerst

Purpose This study aims to assess the impact of location on capitalization rates and risk premia. Design/methodology/approach Using a transaction-based data series for the five largest office markets in Germany from 2005 to 2015, regression analysis is performed to account for a large set of asset-level drivers such as location, age and size and time-varying macro-level drivers. Findings Location is found to be a key determinant of cap rates and risk premia. CBD locations are found to attract lower cap rates and lower risk premia in three of the five largest markets in Germany. Interestingly, this effect is not found in the non-CBD locations of these markets, suggesting that the lower perceived risk associated with these large markets is restricted to a relatively small area within these markets that are reputed to be safe investments. Research limitations/implications The findings imply that investors view properties in peripheral urban locations as imperfect substitutes for CBD properties. Further analysis also shows that these risk premia are not uniformly applied across real estate asset types. The CBD risk effect is particularly pronounced for office and retail assets, apparently considered “prime” investments within the central locations. Originality/value This is one of the first empirical studies of the risk implications of peripheral commercial real estate locations. It is also one of the first large-scale cap rate analyses of the German commercial real estate market. The results demonstrate that risk perceptions of investors have a distinct spatial dimension.


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