scholarly journals WORLD COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE MARKET UNDER COVID-19 PANDEMIC: INFLUENCES AND TRENDS

2021 ◽  
Vol 26 (1(86)) ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrei Zara
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Real Estate Market ◽  
Commercial Real Estate ◽  
Investment Fund ◽  
Real Estate Industry ◽  
Minimal Impact ◽  
The Impact

The article discusses the characteristic aspects of the trends in the impact of the COVID-19 coronavirus pneumonia pandemic, which has become a unique phenomenon of economic and social development in the global dimension, on the dynamics of the development of the commercial real estate industry in the Western and Ukrainian markets, the differences in the dynamics directions of the commercial real estate market individual segments the after the global financial crisis of 2008-2009, which forced the market to recover at a slow pace and with a simultaneous price and transaction fall, and the pandemic shock of 2020, followed by a general economic recession and an immediate reaction in the form of the prices short-term impact on the commercial real estate assets, but at the same time there was a minimal impact on transaction activity in terms of the market volume of transactions; compares geographically the pandemic impact on the development of the commercial real estate markets main segments, such as the office sector, the hotel sector, the industrial real estate sector, warehouses, data and server centers, through the analysis of real estate investment fund indices, taking into account the research of the survey of the National Association of Realtors USA, analytical and investment real estate agency Real Capital Analytics, reports of the analytical agency FTSE Russell, consulting and auditing companies PricewaterhouseCoopers and Deloitte, consulting and analytical companies in the field of commercial real estate Cushman & Wakefield and Colliers International; demonstrates the change key tendencies in supply and demand factors due to extraordinary steps in the form of a quarantine regime, which in turn stopped the production and sale of most goods/services, and social and corporate activity was transferred to a remote mode in order to keep the population in self-isolation; outlines possible prospects for the development of the commercial real estate industry as an example of one of the most vulnerable world economy sectors in the face of direct opposition to the deterioration of the epidemiological situation, further exit from quarantine and, as a result, the emergence of a corresponding new norm of interpersonal interaction in the B2B and B2C world economy sectors.

Research on the Impact of the Development of E-Commerce in China on the Supply and Demand for Commercial Real Estate on the Basis of Grey System Theory

2014 ◽  
Vol 631-632 ◽  
pp. 1167-1170
Author(s):  
Fan Dong ◽  
Meng Qi Wang
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Real Estate Market ◽  
Commercial Real Estate ◽  
Grey System Theory ◽  
Stable Operation ◽  
Grey System ◽  
The Real Estate ◽  
Balanced Development ◽  
The Impact

At present, most of the researches on impact of e-commerce in china on the supply and demand for commercial real estate are qualitative researches, thus this paper aims to verify the impact of the development of Chinese e-commerce on the supply and demand for commercial real estate through grey relational analysis. In addition, this paper conducted predictive analysis on the supply and demand for commercial real estate in the certain future period by the prediction model GM (1,1), to much more accurately understand the supply and demand for commercial real estate market, produce reasonable expectation about the future demand for commercial real estate market, ensure a balanced development in supply and demand for commercial real estate, as well as achieve healthy and stable operation of the real estate industry and the urban economy.

A post-global financial crisis (GFC) framework for strategic planning, assessment and management decision making for US sustainable commercial real estate

2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (6) ◽  
pp. 589-618 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pernille Hoy Christensen
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Real Estate ◽  
Performance Indicators ◽  
Institutional Investors ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Real Estate Market ◽  
Commercial Real Estate ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Sustainability Initiatives

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to understand both the facts and the values associated with the breadth of issues, and the principles related to sustainable real estate for institutional investors. Sustainable real estate is a growing sector within the commercial real estate industry, and yet, the decision-making practices of institutional investors related to sustainability are still not well understood. In an effort to fill that gap, this research investigates the post-global financial crisis (GFC) motivations driving the implementation of sustainability initiatives, the implementation strategies used, and the predominant eco-indicators and measures used by institutional investors. Design/methodology/approach This paper presents the results of a three-round modified Delphi study conducted in the USA in 2011-2012 investigating the nature of performance measurements and reporting requirements in sustainable commercial real estate and their impact on the real estate decision-making process used by institutional investors. Two rounds of in-depth interviews were conducted with 14 expert panelists. An e-questionnaire was used in the third round to verify qualitative findings. Findings The key industry drivers and performance indicators influencing institutional investor decision making were associated with risk management of assets and whether initiatives can improve competitive market advantage. Industry leaders advocate for simple key performance indicators, which is in contrast to the literature which argues for the need to adopt common criteria and metrics. Key barriers to the adoption of sustainability initiatives are discussed and a decision framework is presented. Practical implications This research aims to help industry partners understand the drivers motivating institutional investors to uptake sustainability initiatives with the aim of improving decision making, assessment, and management of sustainable commercial office buildings. Originality/value Building on the four generations of the sustainability framework presented by Simons et al. (2001), this research argues that the US real estate market has yet again adjusted its relationship with sustainability and revises their framework to include a new, post-GFC generation for decision making, assessment, and management of sustainable real estate.

scholarly journals The Effect of Covid-19 on the Real Estate Industry in India

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 122-129
Author(s):  
Rashmi Jaymin Sanchaniya
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Detrimental Effect ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Real Estate Market ◽  
Fiscal Year ◽  
Real Estate Industry ◽  
The Real Estate ◽  
Significant Challenge ◽  
The International Monetary Fund

Abstract The world economy seems to be experiencing one of the most severe downturns in recent memory. The latest pandemic has had a detrimental effect on the economies of several nations, including India. The International Monetary Fund forecast India’s growth rate at 1.9 % for fiscal year 2021, down from 5.8 % previously. This poses a significant challenge to the Indian economy. The resumption of work was complicated by the workers’ surprising return to the employers from underground. Developers struggled to locate enough job-creating jobs due to the labour market severe constraints. The populace is burdened by the great pestilence that threatens the nation. Indian real estate, which was still emerging from the implications of demonetization (November 2016) and other changes, was jolted by this pandemic, with building development halted and real estate transactions paused. Indian real estate should plan itself for a post-COVID-19 environment and be prepared to take several new and technology-driven moves to get back on track. The secondary data research methodology is used in this paper and the aim of the research is to discuss the pre-pandemic real estate market and the effect of COVID-19 on the Indian real estate market. Additionally, it discusses the risks and prospects confronting various real estate industry participants.

scholarly journals Cap rates and risk: a spatial analysis of commercial real estate

2018 ◽  
Vol 35 (1) ◽  
pp. 25-43
Author(s):  
Florian Unbehaun ◽  
Franz Fuerst
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Risk Perceptions ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Risk Premia ◽  
Real Estate Market ◽  
Commercial Real Estate ◽  
Data Series ◽  
Large Set ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Impact

Purpose This study aims to assess the impact of location on capitalization rates and risk premia. Design/methodology/approach Using a transaction-based data series for the five largest office markets in Germany from 2005 to 2015, regression analysis is performed to account for a large set of asset-level drivers such as location, age and size and time-varying macro-level drivers. Findings Location is found to be a key determinant of cap rates and risk premia. CBD locations are found to attract lower cap rates and lower risk premia in three of the five largest markets in Germany. Interestingly, this effect is not found in the non-CBD locations of these markets, suggesting that the lower perceived risk associated with these large markets is restricted to a relatively small area within these markets that are reputed to be safe investments. Research limitations/implications The findings imply that investors view properties in peripheral urban locations as imperfect substitutes for CBD properties. Further analysis also shows that these risk premia are not uniformly applied across real estate asset types. The CBD risk effect is particularly pronounced for office and retail assets, apparently considered “prime” investments within the central locations. Originality/value This is one of the first empirical studies of the risk implications of peripheral commercial real estate locations. It is also one of the first large-scale cap rate analyses of the German commercial real estate market. The results demonstrate that risk perceptions of investors have a distinct spatial dimension.

Does the commercial real estate industry need “more pussy on the block?”

2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (5) ◽  
pp. 627-637 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dustin C. Read
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Gender Bias ◽  
Second Generation ◽  
Commercial Real Estate ◽  
Real Estate Industry ◽  
Structured Interviews ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Local Chapter ◽  
Professional Credibility ◽  
The Impact

Purpose In a controversial 2018 interview, commercial real estate mogul Sam Zell insinuated that companies should promote their employees based exclusively on merit and avoid purposefully taking steps to get “more pussy on the block” in the name of gender equality. The comment was criticized not only for its crassness, but also for its failure to recognize the challenges many women working in the commercial real estate industry face in their efforts to obtain the same opportunities, compensation and status as similarly-qualified men. In an effort to overcome these disparities, the purpose of this paper is to focus on the pervasiveness of second-generation gender bias and stereotyping in the field through a qualitative analysis. Design/methodology/approach Semi-structured interviews were conducted with 39 women serving as local chapter presidents of a prominent commercial real estate trade group to explore the impact of gender on their career advancement and their experiences with second-generation gender bias. Findings The findings suggest unintentional discrimination often influences women’s careers by drawing their communication skills, professional credibility and commitment to the organizations for whom they work into question. Originality/value The research contributes to the existing literature by offering additional evidence that unintentional discrimination is common in male-dominated industries, such as commercial real estate. It also provides clear examples of social cues women perceive to heighten tension along gender lines and impinge upon their ability to ascend to leadership positions.

Loss Aversion and Market Liquidity in the Real Estate Market

2014 ◽  
Vol 22 (2) ◽  
pp. 223-249
Author(s):  
Sun Young Park
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Loss Aversion ◽  
Real Estate Market ◽  
Commercial Real Estate ◽  
Market Liquidity ◽  
The Real Estate ◽  
The Real Estate Market ◽  
Expectation Hypothesis ◽  
Property Sales ◽  
The Impact

The most commonly observed risk averse behavior in the commercial real estate market is loss aversion on the part of investors; i.e., investors are more sensitive to prospective losses than to prospective gains. This observation leads to the natural question : Does the market rationally anticipate investors' loss aversion? If not, then does loss aversion become stronger in a relatively illiquid market? The answer to these questions provides strategically important implications to institutional investors. We propose to explore the impact of loss aversion on the commercial real estate market by testing two competing hypotheses : (1) the rational market expectation hypothesis and (2) the liquidity spiral hypothesis. The rational market expectation hypothesis holds that the market rationally anticipates investors' behavioral loss aversion. As a result, the interaction between lagged market liquidity and loss aversion does not have an impact on the probability of property sales. On the other hand, the liquidity spiral hypothesis holds that the interaction between market liquidity and loss aversion has an impact on the probability of property sales due to the self-fulfilling feedback effect between loss aversion and market liquidity. In the context of REITs' property transactions, we find partial evidence for the liquidity spiral hypothesis : private market liquidity and stock market liquidity each has an additional impact on the sale probability of property.

scholarly journals Commonalities in Private Commercial Real Estate Market Liquidity and Price Index Returns

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dorinth W. van Dijk ◽  
Marc K. Francke
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Capital Markets ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Real Estate Market ◽  
Commercial Real Estate ◽  
Market Liquidity ◽  
Theoretical Simulation ◽  
Operating Income ◽  
The Difference

AbstractWe examine co-movements in private commercial real estate index returns and market liquidity in the US (apartment, office, retail) and for eighteen global cities, using data from Real Capital Analytics over the period 2005–2018. Our measure of market liquidity is based on the difference between supply and demand price indexes. We document for all analyzed markets much stronger commonalities in changes in market liquidity compared to commonalities in real price index returns. We further provide empirical evidence that space markets are less integrated than capital markets by analyzing co-movements in net-operating-income and cap rate spreads (over similar maturity bond yields). In a theoretical simulation model, we show that the strong integration of capital markets compared to space markets, is in fact the reason why market liquidity co-moves so strongly compared to returns. Our results are of interest for large private real estate investors such as pension funds and other institutional investors who are interested in spreading risk. Our findings imply that fully diversified price return benefits may be difficult to obtain, because market liquidity may dry up in all markets simultaneously, which makes portfolio re-balancing more difficult and costly.

scholarly journals Analysis of Urban Residents' Sports Consumption Demand Based on Intercepted Regression Model

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Qing Liu
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Housing Prices ◽  
Real Estate Market ◽  
Survey Method ◽  
Real Estate Industry ◽  
The Real ◽  
The Real Estate ◽  
Real Estate Price ◽  
Real Estate Prices ◽  
The Impact

At this stage, broadening the consumer market, upgrading the consumption system and gradually establishing a consumption-led development concept are key factors in promoting high-quality economic development. At the same time, China's macro economy is also experiencing another test. The rapid development of China's real estate market in recent years has attracted a large number of investors, and real estate prices have produced irrational and substantial increases. Behind the boom of the real estate market is a social system crisis driven by profiteering and the growing seriousness of real estate financial bubble. So exploring the mechanism of the influence of real estate prices on the upgrading of residents' consumption is important for the current stage of China. Therefore, it is important to investigate the mechanism of real estate price impact on consumer upgrading for the coordinated development of real estate industry and national economy. In this paper, we analyze and examine the theory on the consumption improvement by the literature survey method. We also summarize the present research on the correlation and the influence mechanism of the real estate price and the consumption improvement and choose the index which reflects the present state of the real estate industry and the consumption of the inhabitant. Besides the input indicators that qualitatively manage the impact of housing prices on the improvement of residents' consumption, we first use the descriptive statistics method to understand the level of the Chinese real estate market and improve consumer spending. Based on this, the descriptive statistical method is applied to define the current state of China's real estate market and the level of improvement in consumption, and to define the standard for improving consumption in China. On the other hand, based on the spatial and spatial spillover points of view, we use spatial analysis framework combined with exploratory spatial data analysis and GIS to investigate spatial correlation between consumption structure and housing price, and accurately reflect the spatial clustering status of the index by drawing. Moran dispersion plot and Lisa cluster plot, then the spatial Darwinian model, are used to investigate the impact of real estate prices on the increase in occupant consumption from a macro perspective.

STRUCTURAL AND DYNAMIC CHANGES IN THE COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE MARKET UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF COVID-19

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (200) ◽  
pp. 54-60
Author(s):  
E.S. Smolina ◽  
◽  
A.Yu. Vlasov ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Dynamic Analysis ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Real Estate Market ◽  
Commercial Real Estate ◽  
Key Factors ◽  
Dynamic Changes ◽  
Coronavirus Infection ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
The Impact

The article examines the impact of the new coronavirus infection on the commercial real estate market. A structural and dynamic analysis of the main indicators of the development of this market in the Russian Federation was carried out, the key factors of its development and the impact of the pandemic of a new coronavirus infection on it were determined.

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