The influence of economic policy uncertainty on PIIGS tourism: Evidence from three-dimensional wavelet analyses

Author(s):  
Yu-Yu Wu

This paper aims to examine the relationship between Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) and tourism activities in Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain (PIIGS) using wavelet transform context structures. The results indicate that the relationships among the variables evolve through time and frequencies. From the time-domain view, we show strong evidence of the relationships between these variables. From the frequency-domain view, we uncover significant wavelet coherences and strong lead-lag interrelationships changes over time, displaying low to high frequency cycles over the whole sample period.

2020 ◽  
pp. 004728752092124
Author(s):  
Tsung-Pao Wu ◽  
Hung-Che Wu

The purpose of this study is to examine the relationship between global economic policy uncertainty (GEPU) and tourism activities in the Fragile Five (F5) countries, namely, Brazil, India, Indonesia, South Africa, and Turkey. By using wavelet transform context structures and the annual data during the period of 1997–2016. The finding shows that the relationship is generally positive but changes over time, displaying low- to high-frequency cycles. Moreover, the timing and frequency change when GEPU co-moves with tourism. It can be recommended that the government maintain the national security and peace protocols.


2020 ◽  
Vol 65 (4) ◽  
pp. 485-496
Author(s):  
Imtiaz Arif ◽  
Amna Sohail Rawat ◽  
Muhammad Shahbaz

This paper estimates the relationship between US economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk in the BRIC economies.1 Due to the assumption of a non-linear and asymmetric relation between US economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk of BRIC countries, a nonparametric estimation technique, Quantile on Quantile approach has been used for empirical analysis. The empirical results revealed that the relationship between the US economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk of BRIC economies is heterogeneous in nature. We noted that economic policy uncertainty in the US is negatively related to geopolitical risk in Chinese and Russian economies. However, for Indian and Brazilian economies US economic policy uncertainty is positively related to geopolitical risk. The outcomes of the study will be helpful for the investors and financial market players for taking investment decisions. It will also benefit the legislators and policymakers in making policies that could make their respective economies insulated from foreign policy risks.


Kybernetes ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuzhen Zhu ◽  
Xiaofei Wu ◽  
Zhen He ◽  
Yining He

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to construct a frequency-domain framework to study the asymmetric spillover effects of international economic policy uncertainty on China’s stock market industry indexes. Design/methodology/approach This paper follows the time domain spillover model, asymmetric spillover model and frequency domain spillover model, which not only studies the degree of spillover in time domain but also studies the persistence of spillover effect in frequency domain. Findings It is found that China’s economic policy uncertainty plays a dominant role in the spillover effect on the stock market, while the global and US economic policy uncertainty is relatively weak. By decomposing realized volatility into quantified asymmetric risks of “good” volatility and “bad” volatility, it is concluded that economic policy uncertainty has a greater impact on stock downside risk than upside risk. For different time periods, the sensitivity of long-term and short-term spillover economic policy impact is different. Among them, asymmetric high-frequency spillover in the stock market is more easily observed, which provides certain reference significance for the stability of the financial market. Originality/value The originality aims at extending the traditional research paradigm of “time domain” to the research perspective of “frequency domain.” This study uses the more advanced models to analyze various factors from the static and dynamic levels, with a view to obtain reliable and robust research conclusions.


2021 ◽  
pp. 2150002
Author(s):  
MATTHEW CLANCE ◽  
GIRAY GOZGOR ◽  
RANGAN GUPTA ◽  
CHI KEUNG MARCO LAU

This paper investigates the relationship between economic policy uncertainty and corporate tax rates in a panel dataset of 126 countries throughout 2003–2018. We use the so-called “World Uncertainty Index” to measure the level of economic policy uncertainty. We utilize various estimation techniques and find a one-way causality from economic policy uncertainty to corporate tax rates. Specifically, a rise in economic policy uncertainty leads to higher corporate tax rates. We also discuss potential implications.


2021 ◽  
Vol 72 ◽  
pp. 102078
Author(s):  
Hongwei Zhang ◽  
Riza Demirer ◽  
Jianbai Huang ◽  
Wanjun Huang ◽  
Muhammad Tahir Suleman

Author(s):  
Hai-Jie Wang ◽  
Yong Geng ◽  
Xi-Qiang Xia ◽  
Quan-Jing Wang

With growing economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and the importance of protecting the natural environment worldwide, the relationship between EPU and carbon emissions should be investigated further. However, conclusions in the existing literature on the relationship between EPU and carbon emission are inconclusive. This paper aims to examine the influence of EPU on carbon emissions according to the Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence and Technology (STIRPAT) model. To investigate such essential issues, we conduct GMM estimations by utilizing cross-country data covering 137 countries during the period 1970–2018, obtained from World Bank and OECD statistics. Our empirical estimations support that EPU would bring about more carbon emissions, while we conduct empirical analysis by changing the system of measurement, employing alternative estimation and constructing new samples. Our study provides substantial policy implications for government participation in international treaties on environmental protection to mitigate environmental degradation.


2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Peterson Kitakogelu Ozili

Purpose This paper aims to discuss financial reporting under economic policy uncertainty. Design/methodology/approach The paper uses discourse analysis to examine financial reporting under economic policy uncertainty. Findings The paper identifies the link between economic policy uncertainty and financial reporting, in terms of earnings management and fair value accounting. It argues that high economic policy uncertainty will transmit fewer new information to firms which can motivate managers to influence accounting numbers in the direction of the desired financial reporting outcome. Originality/value The relationship between economic policy uncertainty and financial reporting has not been studied. This paper is one of the first papers to relate economic policy uncertainty to financial reporting behavior.


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