scholarly journals PREDICTION OF PASSENGER FLOW ON THE HIGHWAY BASED ON THE LEAST SQUARE SUPPOERT VECTOR MACHINE / MAŽIAUSIŲ KVADRATŲ ATRAMINIŲ VEKTORIŲ METODO TAIKYMAS KELEIVIŲ SRAUTUI GREITKELYJE PROGNOZUOTI / ПРИМЕНЕНИЕ МЕТОДА ОПОРНЫХ ВЕКТОРОВ С КВАДРАТИЧНОЙ ФУНКЦИЕЙ ПОТЕРЬ ДЛЯ ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЯ ПАССАЖИРСКИХ ПОТОКОВ НА АВТОМАГИСТРАЛЯХ

Transport ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 197-203 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanrong Hu ◽  
Chong Wu ◽  
Hongjiu Liu

A support vector machine is a machine learning method based on the statistical learning theory and structural risk minimization. The support vector machine is a much better method than ever, because it may solve some actual problems in small samples, high dimension, nonlinear and local minima etc. The article utilizes the theory and method of support vector machine (SVM) regression and establishes the regressive model based on the least square support vector machine (LS-SVM). Through predicting passenger flow on Hangzhou highway in 2000–2008, the paper shows that the regressive model of LS-SVM has much higher accuracy and reliability of prediction, and therefore may effectively predict passenger flow on the highway. Santrauka Atraminių vektorių metodas (Support Vector Machine – SVM) yra skaičiuojamasis metodas, paremtas statistikos teorija, struktūriniu požiūriu mažinant riziką. SVM metodas, palyginti su kitais metodais, yra patikimesnis metodas, nes juo remiantis galima išspręsti realias problemas, esant įvairioms sąlygoms. Tyrimams naudojama SVM metodo regresijos teorija ir sukuriamas regresinis modelis, kuris grindžiamas mažiausių kvadratų atraminių vektorių metodu (Least Squares Support Vector Machine – LS-SVM). Straipsnio autoriai prognozuoja keleivių srautą Hangdžou (Kinija) greitkelyje 2000–2008 m. Gauti rezultatai rodo, kad regresinis LS-SVM modelis yra labai tikslus ir patikimas, todėl gali būti efektyviai taikomas keleivių srautams prognozuoti greitkeliuose. Резюме Метод опорных векторов (Support Vector Machine – SVM) – это набор аналогичных алгоритмов вида «обучение с учителем», использующихся для задач классификации и регрессионного анализа. Метод SVM принадлежит к семейству линейных классификаторов. Основная идея метода SVM заключается в переводе исходных векторов в пространство более высокой размерности и поиске разделяющей гиперплоскости с максимальным зазором в этом пространстве. Алгоритм работает в предположении, что чем больше разница или расстояние между параллельными гиперплоскостями, тем меньше будет средняя ошибка классификатора. В сравнении с другими методами метод SVM более надежен и позволяет решать проблемы с различными условиями. Для исследования был использован метод SVM и регрессионный анализ, затем создана регрессионная модель, основанная на методе опорных векторов с квадратичной функцией потерь (Least Squares Support Vector Machine – LS-SVM). Авторы прогнозировали пассажирский поток на автомагистрали Ханчжоу (Китай) в 2000–2008 гг. Полученные результаты показывают, что регрессионная модель LS-SVM является надежной и может быть применена для прогнозирования пассажирских потоков на других магистралях.

2011 ◽  
Vol 217-218 ◽  
pp. 1829-1832
Author(s):  
Lei Zhou ◽  
He Jun Jiao

The financial pre-warning is an important resource for establish financial policy. Aimed at the character of the power industry, the least squares support vector machine prediction model is given based on the principle of the statistical learning theory and structural risk minimization. The result is given that the forecasting model is effective and offers a new method to forecast the financial risk.


2011 ◽  
Vol 130-134 ◽  
pp. 2047-2050 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hong Chun Qu ◽  
Xie Bin Ding

SVM(Support Vector Machine) is a new artificial intelligence methodolgy, basing on structural risk mininization principle, which has better generalization than the traditional machine learning and SVM shows powerfulability in learning with limited samples. To solve the problem of lack of engine fault samples, FLS-SVM theory, an improved SVM, which is a method is applied. 10 common engine faults are trained and recognized in the paper.The simulated datas are generated from PW4000-94 engine influence coefficient matrix at cruise, and the results show that the diagnostic accuracy of FLS-SVM is better than LS-SVM.


Author(s):  
Hammam Tamimi ◽  
Dirk Söffker

This paper investigates modeling of flexible structures by means of the least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) algorithm. Modeling is the first step to obtain a suitable model-based controller for any given system. Accurate modeling of a flexible structure based on experimental data using LS-SVM algorithm requires less knowledge about the physical system. Least squares support vector machine algorithm can achieve global and unique solution when compared with other soft computing algorithms. Also, LS-SVM algorithm requires less training time. In this paper, the successful use of support vector machine algorithm to model the flexible cantilever is demonstrated. The acquired model is able to provide accurate prediction of the system output under different operating conditions. Experimental results demonstrate the efficiency and high precision of the proposed approach.


2013 ◽  
Vol 760-762 ◽  
pp. 1987-1991
Author(s):  
Yun Fa Li

To master the variation regularity of finance, obtain greater benefits in stock investment. study of the support vector machine and application in prediction of stock market. The simulated annealing algorithm to optimize the least squares support vector machine prediction model, and the least square support vector machine and simulated annealing algorithm is described, given the optimal prediction model. Through the research on the simulation of the Hang Seng Index, shows that this method is simple, fast convergence, the algorithm with high accuracy. Has the actual guiding sense for investors, the stock market of the financial firm to operate.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian Chai ◽  
Jiangze Du ◽  
Kin Keung Lai ◽  
Yan Pui Lee

This paper proposes an EMD-LSSVM (empirical mode decomposition least squares support vector machine) model to analyze the CSI 300 index. A WD-LSSVM (wavelet denoising least squares support machine) is also proposed as a benchmark to compare with the performance of EMD-LSSVM. Since parameters selection is vital to the performance of the model, different optimization methods are used, including simplex, GS (grid search), PSO (particle swarm optimization), and GA (genetic algorithm). Experimental results show that the EMD-LSSVM model with GS algorithm outperforms other methods in predicting stock market movement direction.


Transport ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 26 (1) ◽  
pp. 5-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qian Chen ◽  
Wenquan Li ◽  
Jinhuan Zhao

Transit flow is the basement of transit planning and scheduling. The paper presents a new transit flow prediction model based on Least Squares Support Vector Machine (LS-SVM). With reference to the theory of Support Vector Machine and Genetic Algorithm, a new short-term passenger flow prediction model is built employing LSSVM, and a new evaluation indicator is used for presenting training permanence. An improved genetic algorithm is designed by enhancing crossover and variation in the use of optimizing the penalty parameter γ and kernel parameter s in LS-SVM. By using this method, passenger flow in a certain bus route is predicted in Changchun. The obtained result shows that there is little difference between actual value and prediction, and the majority of the equal coefficients of a training set are larger than 0.90, which shows the validity of the approach. Santrauka Tranzito srautas yra tranzito planavimo ir eismo tvarkaraščių sudarymo pagrindas. Straipsnis pateikia naują tranzitinio srauto prognozavimo modelį, grindžiamą mažiausių kvadratų atraminių vektorių metodu (Least Squares Support Vector machine, LS-SVm). Remiantis atraminių vektorių metodu (Support Vector machine) ir genetiniu algoritmu (Genetic Algorithm), sudarytas naujas trumpalaikis keleivių srauto prognozavimo modelis, pasitelkiant LS-SVM ir pristatomas naujas vertinimo rodiklis. Taikant naują metodą prognozuojamas keleivių srautas konkrečiame autobuso maršrute Čangčuno mieste Kinijoje. Gautos prognozės rezultatai lyginami su faktiniais. Резюме Транзитный поток – основной фактор при планировании транзита и составлении расписаний движения. В статье представлена новая модель прогноз*а транзитного потока, основанная на методе опорных векторов с квадратичной функцией потерь (Least Squares Support Vector machine – LS-SVm). Представленный новый метод используется для прогноза потока пассажиров на конкретном автобусном маршруте города Чаньчуня (Китай). Результаты прогноза сравниваются с фактическими результатами.


2011 ◽  
Vol 50-51 ◽  
pp. 624-628
Author(s):  
Xin Ma

Dissolved gas analysis (DGA) is an important method to diagnose the fault of power t ransformer. Least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) has excellent learning, classification ability and generalization ability, which use structural risk minimization instead of traditional empirical risk minimization based on large sample. LS-SVM is widely used in pattern recognition and function fitting. Kernel parameter selection is very important and decides the precision of power transformer fault diagnosis. In order to enhance fault diagnosis precision, a new fault diagnosis method is proposed by combining particle swarm optimization (PSO) and LS-SVM algorithm. It is presented to choose σ parameter of kernel function on dynamic, which enhances precision rate of fault diagnosis and efficiency. The experiments show that the algorithm can efficiently find the suitable kernel parameters which result in good classification purpose.


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