structural risk
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2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohamed Atia ◽  
Ahmed Abdelkhalek ◽  
Anjan Sarkar ◽  
Matt Keys ◽  
Mahesh Patel ◽  
...  

Abstract Managing a large fleet of offshore structures is a dynamic process that aims at minimising risks to personnel, environment, and businesses, as well as minimising the associated Operations Expenditure. Through the collaborative efforts of ADNOC Offshore and Kent, formerly Atkins Oil & Gas, (Atkins, 2020), revised structural evaluation and integrity approaches have yielded significant cost savings. The considerable savings were associated with the elimination of the requirement for installing many new offshore structures and through reducing the subsea inspection associated efforts. The approach for evaluating the offshore assets’ structural performance was developed based on adopting target probability of failure figures subject to each asset's consequence of failure. Accordingly, structural reliability analyses were conducted specific to each structure, where the analysis considered structure specific environmental hazard curves and failure surfaces. Through mapping the evaluated structural probability of failure and ADNOC's corporate risk matrix's HSE Likelihood, each structure was precisely placed on the risk matrix. Furthermore, the inspection intervals and Topsides, Splash Zone, Subsea Levels I, II and III were mapped to each risk evaluation on the risk matrix. The optimisation approach of adopting a structure specific reliability analysis and mapping with ADNOC's corporate risk matrix yielded considerable cost benefits while providing a more accurate representation of each asset's risk. As a result of the implementation of the developed process, approximately 41% of the assets got lower risk evaluation compared to the legacy approach and presented extra structural capacities that can be utilised for future expansions and eliminating the requirement for installation of new assets. As the process expanded to include asset inspections, the subsea inspection requirements reduced by approximately 43% reflecting a considerable decrease in operating costs. A major contribution of the risk improvement is attributed to the consideration of the storm prevailing approach directions, the joint probability of wave and current magnitudes and directions, as well as the relative alignment of each structure. The developed approaches provide a framework that allows continuous update of the risk assessment and enables executives and management to make risk-based-decision supported by a consistent measure of structural risk. This has been translated into the generation of the Structural Passports (Summary reports) clearly demonstrating the assets current risk and recommendations for mitigation measures, if deemed required.


Some Bi-modal or multimodal recognition systems do not contain rich information needed for identification because information supplied to the biometric classifier are consolidated oncethe conclusions of the matching algorithm have been acquired. Feature based Fusion algorithm has the distinction of having richer information due to the integration of the extracted information before the application of the classifiers. Support Vector Machine over time has shown its unbeatable classification of the biometrics characteristics over other supervised learning classifiers due to its ability to minimize the structural risk simultaneously with bound on the margin complexity and by being solved using a quadratic optimization problem. Neural Network in contrast is a non-parametric estimator which is robust to errors in the training data used for classification and regression. Therefore in this research, algorithms for feature extraction of iris and face for recognition is designed; a recognition system using SVM and Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) is also designed based on the extracted features and the designed model is implemented using MATLAB


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emma M. Sterrett-Hong ◽  
Joseph DeBow ◽  
Erica Caton ◽  
Matthew Harris ◽  
Russell Brewer ◽  
...  

Young Black and Latino sexual minority men (YBLSM) exhibit disproportionately high rates of negative sexual health outcomes, including HIV and other sexually transmitted infections, compared to other groups, partly due to relatively higher rates of exposure to a host of socio-structural risk factors (e.g., unstable housing and under-employment). However, an under-studied interpersonal resource exists for many YBLSM, non-parental adults (NPAs, i.e., adults who act as role models and provide social support), who may be able to influence contextual (e.g., unemployment) and individual (e.g., reduced health expectations) factors underlying sexual health disparities.Aims: This study sought to examine the role of NPAs in factors that affect sexual health behaviors and in supporting those health behaviors directly, among YBLSM living in a mid-sized city in the southern United States. A total of n=20 participants, n=10 YBLSM (ages 16 to 22), and n=10 NPAs (ages 26 to 52) were interviewed using semi-structured guides to examine NPA involvement in the lives of YBLSM from both sides of the relationship. The research team used a framework analysis approach to iteratively identify and define meaningful codes and sub-codes. Both YBLSM and NPAs described NPAs helping YBLSM through role modeling and social support in a variety of areas found to affect sexual health behaviors, such as housing instability and psychological distress, as well as in specific behaviors, such as condom use and HIV medication adherence. Given the multiple socio-structural obstacles facing YBLSM and their multifaceted relationships with NPAs, NPAs may be a promising resource to help address these impediments to health. Partnering more intentionally with NPAs is a potentially promising strategy to help reduce HIV-related disparities affecting YBLSM that is worthy of additional empirical attention.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Alsdurf ◽  
B. Empringham ◽  
C. Miller ◽  
A. Zwerling

Abstract Background Systematic screening for active tuberculosis (TB) is a strategy which requires the health system to seek out individuals, rather than waiting for individuals to self-present with symptoms (i.e., passive case finding). Our review aimed to summarize the current economic evidence and understand the costs and cost-effectiveness of systematic screening approaches among high-risk groups and settings. Methods We conducted a systematic review on economic evaluations of screening for TB disease targeting persons with clinical and/or structural risk factors, such as persons living with HIV (PLHIV) or persons experiencing homelessness. We searched three databases for studies published between January 1, 2010 and February 1, 2020. Studies were included if they reported cost and a key outcome measure. Owing to considerable heterogeneity in settings and type of screening strategy, we synthesized data descriptively. Results A total of 27 articles were included in our review; 19/27 (70%) took place in high TB burden countries. Seventeen studies took place among persons with clinical risk factors, including 14 among PLHIV, while 13 studies were among persons with structural risk factors. Nine studies reported incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) ranging from US$51 to $1980 per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted. Screening was most cost-effective among PLHIV. Among persons with clinical and structural risk factors there was limited evidence, but screening was generally not shown to be cost-effective. Conclusions Studies showed that screening is most likely to be cost-effective in a high TB prevalence population. Our review highlights that to reach the “missing millions” TB programmes should focus on simple, cheaper initial screening tools (i.e., symptom screen and CXR) followed by molecular diagnostic tools (i.e., Xpert®) among the highest risk groups in the local setting (i.e., PLHIV, urban slums). Programmatic costs greatly impact cost-effectiveness thus future research should provide both fixed and variable costs of screening interventions to improve comparability.


2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 133
Author(s):  
Jane Ferguson ◽  
Sanyukta Mathur ◽  
Alice Armstrong

The sexual and reproductive health (SRH) needs of adolescent girls and young women (AGYW) aged 10–24 years remain a cause for concern in the countries of East and Southern Africa (ESA). High rates of adolescent pregnancy and HIV prevalence prevail, and prevention programmes are challenged to identify those at greatest risk. This review aimed to identify tools being used in ESA countries that support the recording of factors that make AGYW vulnerable to SRH risks and document their use. A mixed-methods approach was used to find available English language tools that had been designed to assess the vulnerability of AGYW SRH risks including literature reviews and key informant interviews with thirty-five stakeholders. Twenty-two tools were identified, and experiences of their use obtained through the interviews. All but one tool focused on HIV prevention, and most aimed at establishing eligibility for programmes, though not aligned with programme type. Analyses of the content of seventeen tools showed information collection related to behavioral, biological, and structural risk factors of HIV and other aspects of AGYWs’ lives. There was considerable diversity in the ways in which these questions were framed. Aspects of the processes involved in undertaking the risk and vulnerability assessments are presented.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (8) ◽  
Author(s):  
Roman Abebe Mesalie ◽  
Dagnachew Aklog ◽  
Mekash Shiferaw Kifelew

AbstractIn this paper, the issue of failure assessment in the drinking water distribution system was presented. This specific study was conducted on the water distribution system on the campus of Bahir Dar Institute of Technology. The current problem in Bahir Dar institute of technology is that the water infrastructure is aging and has not been spending adequate to repair, replace, or rehabilitate drinking water distribution systems. This develops higher stresses on the water distribution network causing pipes to crack, or rupture permanently while in service. Due to this problem, the whole water supply components in the distribution network led to increased water loss and quality reduction. The general objective of this study is to assess the risk of the water distribution system in the Bahir Dar Institute of technology water supply distribution system. In this study, a structural risk assessment was developed by using ARC GIS 10.5 and Water Cad V8i to get prioritize maps of the water distribution system and hydraulic analysis of the drinking water distribution system of the institute. In developing this assessment, the score was established based on the preset criteria to evaluate customer point risk and structural point risks such as water quality, water availability, pressure head adequacy, the flow rate of water, pipe, storage facility, and pump. Based on the result obtained from an equal weight approach, the score of the drinking water distribution system risk index is a medium level (2.56) with a low level of structural risk (2.5) and a medium level of consumer point risk (2.62). The results evaluated by the AHP method, structural risk has had the highest weight score (76%) which means it needs more priority than consumption point risk (24%), and the result of drinking water distribution system risk index laid at the medium level (2.7), it indicates the institution drinking water distribution system put at the satisfactory condition with the sum up the effect of medium structural risk index (2.65) and medium consumption point risk (2.82). Based on the findings and conclusions of the study, the components of the campus water supply distribution system, particularly parts of the pipe and the majority of the pump, should be replaced before they become obsolete, and suitable preventive measures should be taken.


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