scholarly journals Using Simulation Systems for Decision Support

Author(s):  
Andreas Tolk

This chapter describes the use of simulation systems for decision support in support of real operations, which is the most challenging application domain in the discipline of modeling and simulation. To this end, the systems must be integrated as services into the operational infrastructure. To support discovery, selection, and composition of services, they need to be annotated regarding technical, syntactic, semantic, pragmatic, dynamic, and conceptual categories. The systems themselves must be complete and validated. The data must be obtainable, preferably via common protocols shared with the operational infrastructure. Agents and automated forces must produce situation adequate behavior. If these requirements for simulation systems and their annotations are fulfilled, decision support simulation can contribute significantly to the situational awareness up to cognitive levels of the decision maker.

2010 ◽  
pp. 2163-2182 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andreas Tolk

This chapter describes the use of simulation systems for decision support in support of real operations, which is the most challenging application domain in the discipline of modeling and simulation. To this end, the systems must be integrated as services into the operational infrastructure. To support discovery, selection, and composition of services, they need to be annotated regarding technical, syntactic, semantic, pragmatic, dynamic, and conceptual categories. The systems themselves must be complete and validated. The data must be obtainable, preferably via common protocols shared with the operational infrastructure. Agents and automated forces must produce situation adequate behavior. If these requirements for simulation systems and their annotations are fulfilled, decision support simulation can contribute significantly to the situational awareness up to cognitive levels of the decision maker.


Author(s):  
Andreas Tolk

This chapter describes the use of simulation systems for decision support in support of real operations, which is the most challenging application domain in the discipline of modeling and simulation. To this end, the systems must be integrated as services into the operational infrastructure. To support discovery, selection, and composition of services, they need to be annotated regarding technical, syntactic, semantic, pragmatic, dynamic, and conceptual categories. The systems themselves must be complete and validated. The data must be obtainable, preferably via common protocols shared with the operational infrastructure. Agents and automated forces must produce situation adequate behavior. If these requirements for simulation systems and their annotations are fulfilled, decision support simulation can contribute significantly to the situational awareness up to cognitive levels of the decision maker.


2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-33
Author(s):  
Andris D. Jaunzemis ◽  
Karen M. Feigh ◽  
Marcus J. Holzinger ◽  
Dev Minotra ◽  
Moses W. Chan

Existing approaches for sensor network tasking in space situational awareness (SSA) rely on techniques from the 1950s and limited application areas while also requiring significant human-in-the-loop involvement. Increasing numbers of space objects, sensors, and decision-making needs create a demand for improved methods of gathering and fusing disparate information to resolve hypotheses about the space object environment. This work focuses on the cognitive work in SSA sensor tasking approaches. The application of a cognitive work analysis for the SSA domain highlights capabilities and constraints inherent to the domain that can drive SSA operations toward decision-maker goals. A control task analysis is also conducted to derive requirements for cognitive work and information relationships that support the information fusion and sensor allocation tasks of SSA. A prototype decision-support system is developed using a subset of the derived requirements. This prototype is evaluated in a human-in-the-loop experiment using both a hypothesis-based and covariance-based scheduling approaches. Results from this preliminary evaluation show operator ability to address SSA decision-maker hypotheses using the prototype decision-support system (DSS) using both scheduling approaches.


AI Magazine ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (3) ◽  
pp. 41-57
Author(s):  
Manisha Mishra ◽  
Pujitha Mannaru ◽  
David Sidoti ◽  
Adam Bienkowski ◽  
Lingyi Zhang ◽  
...  

A synergy between AI and the Internet of Things (IoT) will significantly improve sense-making, situational awareness, proactivity, and collaboration. However, the key challenge is to identify the underlying context within which humans interact with smart machines. Knowledge of the context facilitates proactive allocation among members of a human–smart machine (agent) collective that balances auto­nomy with human interaction, without displacing humans from their supervisory role of ensuring that the system goals are achievable. In this article, we address four research questions as a means of advancing toward proactive autonomy: how to represent the interdependencies among the key elements of a hybrid team; how to rapidly identify and characterize critical contextual elements that require adaptation over time; how to allocate system tasks among machines and agents for superior performance; and how to enhance the performance of machine counterparts to provide intelligent and proactive courses of action while considering the cognitive states of human operators. The answers to these four questions help us to illustrate the integration of AI and IoT applied to the maritime domain, where we define context as an evolving multidimensional feature space for heterogeneous search, routing, and resource allocation in uncertain environments via proactive decision support systems.


Author(s):  
Jassim Happa ◽  
Ioannis Agrafiotis ◽  
Martin Helmhout ◽  
Thomas Bashford-Rogers ◽  
Michael Goldsmith ◽  
...  

In recent years, many tools have been developed to understand attacks that make use of visualization, but few examples aims to predict real-world consequences. We have developed a visualization tool that aims to improve decision support during attacks. Our tool visualizes propagation of risks from IDS and AV-alert data by relating sensor alerts to Business Process (BP) tasks and machine assets: an important capability gap present in many Security Operation Centres (SOCs) today. In this paper we present a user study in which we evaluate the tool's usability and ability to deliver situational awareness to the analyst. Ten analysts from seven SOCs performed carefully designed tasks related to understanding risks and prioritising recovery decisions. The study was conducted in laboratory conditions, with simulated attacks, and used a mixed-method approach to collect data from questionnaires, eyetracking and voice-recorded interviews. The findings suggest that providing analysts with situational awareness relating to business priorities can help them prioritise response strategies. Finally, we provide an in-depth discussion on the wider questions related to user studies in similar conditions as well as lessons learned from our user study and developing a visualization tool of this type.


Author(s):  
Scott Duncan ◽  
Michael Balchanos ◽  
Woongje Sung ◽  
Juhyun Kim ◽  
Yongchang Li ◽  
...  

Researchers at Georgia Tech (GT) have recently begun the GT Smart Energy Campus initiative, which combines campus energy metering data with physics-based modeling and simulation to create an integrated analysis environment for campus energy. The environment consists of a digital representation of campus, which supports situational awareness, as well as a virtual test bed for analyzing emerging energy technologies and future scenarios. The first year of the initiative has focused on evaluating campus energy metering data using visual analytics and statistical analysis techniques. Data analysis is presented as having value for two main uses: (1) as attention-directing information to help system operators diagnose anomalies and (2) as a precursor to modeling and simulation (M&S) in future phases of the Smart Energy Campus initiative. The environment is explained using the initial study scoping of the campus thermal energy generation and distribution systems. Furthermore, a modeling and simulation approach leveraging the Modelica M&S language is described, and preliminary results in using it to represent the campus chilled water system are presented.


Author(s):  
Andrzej Łodziński

The paper presents the decision support under risk by the risk averse decision maker. Decision making under risk occurs when the result of the decision is not unequivocal and depends on the state of the environment. The decision making process is modeled with the use of multi-criteria optimization. The decision is made by solving the problem with the control parameters that determine the decision maker's aspirations and the evaluation of the solutions received. The decision maker asks the parameter for which the solution is determined. Then, evaluate the solution received accepting or rejecting it. In the second case, the decision maker gives a new parameter value and the problem is solved again for the new parameter. The work includes an simple discrete problem of decision support under risk


2017 ◽  
Vol 32 (S1) ◽  
pp. S229
Author(s):  
Irene Christodoulou ◽  
George M. Milis ◽  
Panayiotis Kolios ◽  
Christos Panayiotou ◽  
Marios Polycarpou ◽  
...  

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