Mathematical Model for Cyber Attack in Computer Network

Author(s):  
Yerra Shankar Rao ◽  
Aswin Kumar Rauta ◽  
Hemraj Saini ◽  
Tarini Charana Panda

This investigation focuses to develop an e-SEIRS (susceptible, exposed, infectious, recovered) epidemic computer network model to study the transmission of malicious code in a computer network and derive the approximate threshold condition (basic reproduction number) to examine the equilibrium and stability of the model. The authors have simulated the results for various parameters used in the model and Runge-Kutta Fehlberg fourth-fifth order method is employed to solve system of equations developed. They have studied the stability of crime level to equilibrium and found the critical value of threshold value determining whether or not the infectious free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable and endemic equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable. The simulation results using MATLAB agree with the real life situations.

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (05) ◽  
pp. 1850071 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhiting Xu ◽  
Youqing Xu

This paper is devoted to the study of the stability of a CD[Formula: see text] T cell viral infection model with diffusion. First, we discuss the well-posedness of the model and the existence of endemic equilibrium. Second, by analyzing the roots of the characteristic equation, we establish the local stability of the virus-free equilibrium. Furthermore, by constructing suitable Lyapunov functions, we show that the virus-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if the threshold value [Formula: see text]; the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text]. Finally, we give an application and numerical simulations to illustrate the main results.


2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 17-29 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yerra Shankar Rao ◽  
Prasant Kumar Nayak ◽  
Hemraj Saini ◽  
Tarini Charana Panda

This article describes a highly infected e-epidemic model in a computer network. This article establishes the Basic reproduction number R0, which explicitly brings out the stability conditions. Further, the article shows that if R0< 1 then the infected nodes ceases the spreading of malicious code in computer network as it dies down and consequently establishes the asymptotically stable, when R0> 1, the alternative aspect is that infected nodes stretch out into the network and becomes asymptotically unstable. The pivotal, impact of quarantine node on e-epidemic models has been verified along with its control strategy for a high infected computer network. In the MATLAB simulation, the quarantine class shows its explicit relationship with respect to high as well as low infected class, exposed class, and finally, with recovery class in order to yield increasing safety measures on transmission of malicious codes.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yakui Xue ◽  
Tiantian Li

We study a delayed SIR epidemic model and get the threshold value which determines the global dynamics and outcome of the disease. First of all, for anyτ, we show that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable; whenR0<1, the disease will die out. Directly afterwards, we prove that the endemic equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable for anyτ=0; whenR0>1, the disease will persist. However, for anyτ≠0, the existence conditions for Hopf bifurcations at the endemic equilibrium are obtained. Besides, we compare the delayed SIR epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate to the one with bilinear incidence rate. At last, numerical simulations are performed to illustrate and verify the conclusions.


2015 ◽  
Vol 08 (03) ◽  
pp. 1550030 ◽  
Author(s):  
Swarnali Sharma ◽  
G. P. Samanta

In this paper, we have developed a compartment of epidemic model with vaccination. We have divided the total population into five classes, namely susceptible, exposed, infective, infective in treatment and recovered class. We have discussed about basic properties of the system and found the basic reproduction number (R0) of the system. The stability analysis of the model shows that the system is locally as well as globally asymptotically stable at disease-free equilibrium E0when R0< 1. When R0> 1 endemic equilibrium E1exists and the system becomes locally asymptotically stable at E1under some conditions. We have also discussed the epidemic model with two controls, vaccination control and treatment control. An objective functional is considered which is based on a combination of minimizing the number of exposed and infective individuals and the cost of the vaccines and drugs dose. Then an optimal control pair is obtained which minimizes the objective functional. Our numerical findings are illustrated through computer simulations using MATLAB. Epidemiological implications of our analytical findings are addressed critically.


2018 ◽  
Vol 28 (14) ◽  
pp. 1850173 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhichun Yang ◽  
Cheng Chen ◽  
Lanzhu Zhang ◽  
Tingwen Huang

An epidemic model for pest management with impulsive control over a patchy environment is proposed in this paper. We investigate the dynamical behaviors on extinction and permanence and obtain the threshold value [Formula: see text] of dynamics for the impulsive system by utilizing a small amplitude perturbation method, matrix spectral analysis and persistence theory. We prove that the periodic pest-eradication solution of the system is globally asymptotically stable if [Formula: see text], while the system is persistent if [Formula: see text]. Furthermore, by discussion on the two-patch case, we analyze the effects of the dispersal and impulsive control on dynamical behaviors of the system. Some numerical examples are given to illustrate the effectiveness of the obtained results and to demonstrate the complexity such as chaotic characteristic of the system.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianguo Ren ◽  
Yonghong Xu

A new computer virus propagation model with delay and incomplete antivirus ability is formulated and its global dynamics is analyzed. The existence and stability of the equilibria are investigated by resorting to the threshold valueR0. By analysis, it is found that the model may undergo a Hopf bifurcation induced by the delay. Correspondingly, the critical value of the Hopf bifurcation is obtained. Using Lyapunov functional approach, it is proved that, under suitable conditions, the unique virus-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable ifR0<1, whereas the virus equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable ifR0>1. Numerical examples are presented to illustrate possible behavioral scenarios of the mode.


Author(s):  
Bedreddine AINSEBA ◽  
Tarik Touaoula ◽  
Zakia Sari

In this paper, an age structured epidemic Susceptible-Infected-Quarantined-Recovered-Infected (SIQRI) model is proposed, where we will focus on the role of individuals that leave their class of quarantine before being completely recovered and thus will participate again to the transmission of the disease. We investigate the asymptotic behavior of solutions by studying the stability of both trivial and positive equilibria. In order to see the impact of the different model parameters like the relapse rate on the qualitative behavior of our system, we firstly, give the explicit expression of the epidemic reproduction number $R_{0}.$ This number is a combination of the classical epidemic reproduction number for the SIQR model and a new epidemic reproduction number corresponding to the individuals infected by a relapsed person from the R-class. It is shown that, if $R_{0}\leq 1$, the disease free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable and becomes unstable for $R_{0}>1$. Secondly, while $R_{0}>1$, a suitable Lyapunov functional is constructed to prove that the unique endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable on some subset $\Omega_{0}.$


Author(s):  
Bouchaib Khajji ◽  
Abderrahim Labzai ◽  
Omar Balatif ◽  
Mostafa Rachik

In this paper, we present a continuous mathematical model PMHTrTpQ of alcohol drinking with the influence of private and public addiction treatment centers. We study the dynamical behavior of this model and we discuss the basic properties of the system and determine its basic reproduction number R0. We also study the sensitivity analysis of model parameters to know the parameters that have a high impact on the reproduction number R0. The stability analysis of the model shows that the system is locally as well as globally asymptotically stable at drinking-free equilibrium E0 when R0≤1. When R0>1, drinking present equilibrium E∗ exists and the system is locally as well as globally asymptotically stable at alcohol present equilibrium E∗.


2017 ◽  
Vol 82 (5) ◽  
pp. 945-970 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinliang Wang ◽  
Min Guo ◽  
Shengqiang Liu

Abstract An SVIR epidemic model with continuous age structure in the susceptibility, vaccination effects and relapse is proposed. The asymptotic smoothness, existence of a global attractor, the stability of equilibria and persistence are addressed. It is shown that if the basic reproductive number $\Re_0&lt;1$, then the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. If $\Re_0&gt;1$, the disease is uniformly persistent, and a Lyapunov functional is used to show that the unique endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. Combined effects of susceptibility age, vaccination age and relapse age on the basic reproductive number are discussed.


2013 ◽  
Vol 791-793 ◽  
pp. 1322-1327
Author(s):  
Yan Yan Yang ◽  
Hui Wang ◽  
Zhi Xing Hu ◽  
Wan Biao Ma

In this paper, we have considered a viral infection model with delayed CTL response and cure rate. For this model, we have researched the stability of these three equilibriums depend on two threshold parameters and , that is, if , the infected-free equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable; if , the infected equilibrium without CTL response is globally asymptotically stable; and if , the infected equilibrium exists, at he same time, we have found that the time delay can lead to Hopf bifurcations and stable periodic solutions when the is unstable.


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