Stock Price Trend Prediction and Recommendation using Cognitive Process
The paper emphasizes on stock price trend prediction based on the online textual news. Cognitive process uses existing knowledge and generates new knowledge. Contextual features (CF) from news sites are extracted & recommendations based on the interpretations are generated. A Naïve bays classification algorithm is used to classify the news sentiments. A News Sentiment Index (NSI) is calculated and effect of the news on particular stock is calculated to predict the trend. Along with news sentiment index, technical quality of the same stock is calculated by various statistical technical indicators which are called as Stock Technical Index (STI). The weighted index of NSI and STI is used to predict the trend of stock price. In the previous recommendation systems, the context of the recommendation is not considered. However, it is shown in this research that if the authors consider the news context while recommendation, the performance of the recommendation system will drastically improve. The results are compared with traditional systems and it shows significant improvement.