scholarly journals REAL INTEREST RATE, INFLATION, EXCHANGE RATE, COMPETITIVENESS AND FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN KENYA

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-18
Author(s):  
Ndanu Musyoka ◽  
Dr. Kennedy N. Ocharo
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Significant Influence ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Real Interest Rate ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Real Interest Rates

Purpose: The purpose of this study was to establish the effect of real interest rates, exchange rate, inflation and competitiveness on FDI in Kenya.  Methodology: The study used annual time series data for the period 1970-2016. The sources of data included World Bank Indicators and Kenya National Bureau of Statistics annual reports. Data was collected for the variables real interest rates, exchange rates, inflation rate, competitiveness/ease of doing business and FDI. The data for all the variables was in percentage. The study employed ordinary least square regression technique to determine the effect of real interest rate, exchange rate, inflation and competitiveness on FDI in Kenya. Results: From the findings, the study concluded that real interest rates and exchange rates have negative and significant influence on FDI inflows into Kenya. Further, the study concluded that competitiveness has a positive and significant influence on foreign direct investment inflows into Kenya. However, inflation was found to have insignificant influence on FDI.Unique Contribution to Policy: There is need for favourable interest rates, desirable exchange rates and liberalization of the economy by undertaking comprehensive programmes to trade reforms, designed to open the economy and increase its competiveness. The Kenyan government should also encourage freedom of capital transactions with foreigners and competition in domestic market.

scholarly journals ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI “CAPITAL FLIGHT” DI INDONESIA (Period Kuartal I 1990 s.d. Kuartal IV 2000)

2004 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 12-31
Author(s):  
Navik Istikomah
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Stability Condition ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Political Stability ◽  
Capital Flight ◽  
Series Data

The purpose of this research is to identify the problems of the effect of economic variables, that is,  changes of exchange rates Rp/US$, external debt, economic growth, inflation, differences of interest rate of Indonesian- America, Foreign Direct Investment, political stability condition, on capital flight in Indonesia, for period 1st quarter, 1990 – 4th quarter, 2000. The determinants of capital flight in Indonesia use cointegration equation model of Likelihood Johansen’s. The estimation completed by time series data validity, that is, unit-roots-test and co-integration-test.The result of research indicate that independent variable on model, that is, changes of exchange rates Rp/US$, external debt, economic growth, inflation, differences of interest rate of Indonesian-America, Foreign Direct Investment, and political stability condition, on the long run could explain changes of capital flight about 58,85 percent and altogether significant (computed-F = 7,1520 > value-F = 3,192). Partially, knowed that all variable on model, exceptly inflation and differences of interest rate of Indonesia-America, to have significant influence on capital flight in Indonesia. All variable sufficient stationery-condition at first different and the model could cointegrated at first different.Keywords: Capital Flight and determinant factors, and Cointegration of Johansen’s Likelihood

scholarly journals ANALISIS PENGARUH VARIABEL MAKRO EKONOMI TERHADAP INVESTASI ASING LANGSUNG (STUDY KASUS CHINA-INDONESIA).

2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 103
Author(s):  
Ririn Martini Rezki ◽  
Yeniwati Yeniwati ◽  
Mike Triani
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Term

This research to analyze the influence of macro economic variables impact on Chinese Foreign Direct Investment in Indonesia. The influence of China’s economic growth, Indonesia’s economic growth, interest rates, inflation and exchange rates against Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) China in Indonesia in the long term and short term. Type of this research is descriptive research, the secondary data use form time series data, from 2001Q1 – 2016Q4, taken  from agencies and related institution, the analysis using the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) and Error Correction Model (ECM) to see the influence in a long term and impact in the short term. This research show that Indonesia’s economic growth of China’s economic growth and inflation is have a significant effect in the long term Chinas’s FDI in Indonesia. Variable economic growth of Indonesia’s, interest rates, inflation, exchange rate in the short term influence China’s Foreign Direct Investment in Indonesia. How ever in the long term interest rates and exchange rate do not influence significantly, to China’s FDI in Indonesia.

scholarly journals Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in Indonesia

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 499-510
Author(s):  
Cynthia Sari Dewi ◽  
Farend Olivia Hutomo
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Labor Cost ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Market Size

The objective of this research is to investigate the influence of macroeconomic factors such as market size, labor cost, interest rate, exchange rate, trade openness, and inflation to the foreign direct investment in Indonesia. This research uses a quantitative approach with time series data, quarterly from 2006 to 2019. The data is processed using SPSS Statistics 23 software, specifically linear regression analysis method and passed the classical assumption test. Results show that there is a partially significant relationship between market size, labor cost, interest rate, exchange rate, and trade openness to the foreign direct investment, meanwhile inflation does not significantly affect the foreign direct investment. These findings hopefully can help the government to make wiser policies to increase the foreign direct investment.

scholarly journals The Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility, Reserve Volatility and Real Interest Rates on Trade: Applications on Transition Economies

2013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cevat Gerni ◽  
Selahattin Sarı ◽  
Dilek Özdemir ◽  
Ömer Selçuk Emsen
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Foreign Trade ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Transition Economies ◽  
Trade Balance ◽  
Real Interest Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Real Interest Rates ◽  
The Real

On the basis of volatility or sharp fluctuations in macroeconomic variables, especially in the 1970s, it can be said to play a role in deepening the financial capital deepening. Deepening on volatility forms the basis of not only domestic and but also international economic deviations. With the collapse of the Eastern Bloc, a lot of countries have attempted to liberalize. This situation has caused volatility on mainly rate of exchange then many macroeconomics variables. In this aspect, the multi-relationship between volatility in foreign trade balance and the real interest rate, exchange rate and reserves’ volatility are investigated empirically with the appropriate set of data on 11 transition economies for the period 1996-2011. In this study, the effects of the volatility of foreign trade (netxvol) on the exchange rate volatility (kurvol), reserve volatility (rezvol), and real interest rates subjected with using panel data analysis. Moreover to regression analysis, centred on Granger Causality Test the volatility of the foreign trade balance, import and export volatility, exchange rate volatility, volatility of reserves and try to determine the causal relationship between the real interest rate. The findings have light on that the volatility of trade balance was mostly affected to the volatility of the reserve. It may well be said that the volatility of the interest rate and the exchange rate at the independence of the trade predispose to speculative movements.

scholarly journals ANALISIS KAUSALITAS OUTPUT, KURS, SUKU BUNGA DAN INFLASI DENGAN INVESTASI ASING DI INDONESIA

2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 143
Author(s):  
Maltio Maltio ◽  
Melti Roza Adry ◽  
Yeniwati Yeniwati
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Foreign Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Relationship

This study investigates the relationship among output, exchange rate, interest rate (BI rate) and inflation with foreign investment (FDI), in Indonesia. The relationship among that variables is very important, because Indonesia getting start to optimize the growth economic arising out of crisis.This study used a VAR model to see causality output, exchange rate, interest rate (BI rate) and inflation with foreign investment (FDI). The data used is the time series data from 2003: 1-2014: 3 collected through documentation of relevant government agencies. In more detail, the technique used is the Vector Autoregression (VAR) to analyze the causal relationship.The results obtained indicate that foreign direct investment (FDI) has a causal relationship with the output. But there was no causal relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) with the exchange rate, interest rate (BI rate) and inflation only unidirectional relationship in which foreign investment (FDI) effect on the exchange rate and foreign investment affect the BI rate.Keyword : foreign investment, exchange rates, interest rate ad inflation

scholarly journals GONCANGAN FAKTOR INTERNAL DAN EKSTERNAL TERHADAP INVESTASI ASING LANGSUNG DI INDONESIA

2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 149
Author(s):  
Yuliarti Yuliarti ◽  
Hasdi Aimon ◽  
Melti Roza Adry
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
External Factors ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Economic Openness

The purpose of this research to analyze the long-term effects and short-term shocks of internal factors (inflation, economic growth, Indonesian interest rates) and external factors (economic openness, foreign interest rates, exchange rates) to foreign direct investment in Indonesia. The effects and impacts of these shocks will form the basis for decision-making and policy-setting in achieving optimal economic growth. This study uses the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) and Error Correction Model (ECM) method to see the long-term and short-term effects of internal and external factors on foreign direct investment in Indonesia. The data used time series data from fisrt quarterly in 2000 to fourth quarterly in 2016. In more detail, ECM used to analyze short-term shocks. The results show that in the short term the internal factor of inflation caused shocks to foreign direct investment and in the long run, the variable of inflation and economic growth have a significant effect on foreign direct investment. External factors such as: economic openness, foreign interest rate and exchange rate in the short run cause shocks to foreign direct investment, and in the long term the openness of economy and exchange rate have a significant influence.

scholarly journals Exchange Rate Volatility and Foreign Direct Investment

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 38
Author(s):  
Samuel Erasmus Alnaa ◽  
Ferdinand Ahiakpor
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
External Factors ◽  
Conditional Heteroskedasticity ◽  
Data Set

The paper seeks to determine the effect of exchange rate volatility on foreign direct investment in Ghana from 1986 to 2017. The study adopted the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity model to fit the data set from 1986-2017. The results indicate that, previous quarter information can influence current quarter volatility in Foreign Direct Investment. Real exchange rate, gross domestic product and treasure bill rate considered as external factors, are all found to be significant. This shows that, volatility from these factors can spillover to volatility in foreign direct investment.  To ensure stable inflow of foreign direct investment, we recommend that policies should gear towards stability in the forex market and interest rate among others.

scholarly journals Pengaruh Tingkat Suku Bunga, Inflasi Dan Nilai Kurs Terhadap Harga Saham Perusahaan Perhotelan Yang Terdaftar Di Bursa Efek Indonesia Per Triwulannya Periode 2016-2018

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 871-877
Author(s):  
Rahmat Dewa Bagas Nugraha ◽  
H.M Nursito
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Quantitative Study ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Ratio Analysis ◽  
The Interest Rate

This study aims to determine and analyze the factors that affect stock prices through appropriate ratio analysis. As for the ratio of interest rates, inflation and exchange rates. Researchers want to know and analyze the effect partially or simultaneously between interest rates, inflation, and exchange rates on stock prices. This research is a quantitative study using secondary data. The object of this research is hotel companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the period 2016-2018. The sample used in this study were 3 hotel with certain characteristics. The results of research simultaneously using the F test show that there is no influence between interest rates, inflation and exchange rates on stock prices because the calculated value is smaller than the table. Partially with the t test it can be concluded that there is no influence between interest rates on stock prices because the tcount value in the interest rate variable is smaller than the t table. Likewise, the t calculation of inflation and the exchange rate is smaller than the t table, so that there is no partial effect of the two variables on stock prices. Keywords: Stock Prices, Interest Rates, Inflation and Exchange Rates

scholarly journals POPULATION AGING AND THE REAL INTEREST RATE IN THE LAST AND NEXT 50 YEARS: A TALE TOLD BY AN OVERLAPPING GENERATIONS MODEL

2019 ◽  
Vol 24 (8) ◽  
pp. 2060-2103 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nao Sudo ◽  
Yasutaka Takizuka
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Real Interest Rate ◽  
Overlapping Generations ◽  
Population Aging ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Demographic Changes ◽  
Real Interest Rates ◽  
Overlapping Generations Model ◽  
The Real

Population aging, along with a secular decline in real interest rates, is an empirical regularity observed in developed countries over the last few decades. Under the premise that population aging will deepen in coming years, some studies predict that real interest rates will continue to be depressed further to a level below zero. In this paper, we address this issue and explore how changes in demographic structures have affected and will affect real interest rates, using an overlapping generations model calibrated to Japan’s economy. We find that the demographic changes over the last 50 years reduced the real interest rate. About 270 out of the 640 basis points decline in real interest rates during this period was due to declining labor inputs and higher saving, which themselves stemmed from the lower fertility rate and increased life expectancy. As for the next 50 years, we find that demographic changes alone will not substantially increase or decrease the real interest rate from the current level. These changes reflect the fact that the size of demographic changes in years ahead will be minimal, but that downward pressure arising from the past demographic changes will continue to bite. As Japan is not unique in terms of this broad picture of changes in demographic landscapes in the last and next 50 years, our results suggest that, sooner or later, a demography-induced decline in real interest rates may be contained in other developed countries as well.

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