scholarly journals US vs. Euro Area

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (199) ◽  
Author(s):  
Eugenio Cerutti ◽  
Carolina Osorio Buitron
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Bank Lending ◽  
Real Sector ◽  
Cross Border ◽  
The Us ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Us Monetary Policy

This paper analyzes the drivers of cross-border bank lending to 49 Emerging Markets (EMs) during the period 1990Q1-2014Q4, by assessing the impact of monetary, financial and real sector shocks in both the US and the euro area. The literature has traditionally highlighted the influence of US monetary policy on driving cross-border bank flows, and more recently the importance of both US and Euro Area (EA) financial/banking sectors’ related variables. Our contribution is the simultaneous analysis of the role of these US and EA drivers, as well as their interactions with real sector shocks. We corroborate the negative impact of US monetary policy tightening on cross-border lending to EMs, but we find that EA monetary policy seems to have an impact mostly on Emerging Europe, reflecting the fact that cross-border lending to most other EM regions is dollar denominated. We also find that real sector shocks in both the US and EA trigger an increase in cross-border lending, but less in EA when modeling the financial sector. Finally, for financial sector shocks, such as those associated with a decrease in bank leverage, our results indicate a broad-based overall contraction of cross-border lending if the shock originates in the US, and heterogenous effects across borrowing regions if the shock originates in the EA.

Monetary Policy Spillovers and Currency Networks in Cross-Border Bank Lending: Lessons from the 2013 Fed Taper Tantrum*

2018 ◽  
Vol 23 (5) ◽  
pp. 993-1029 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefan Avdjiev ◽  
Előd Takáts
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Bank Lending ◽  
International Banking ◽  
Global Level ◽  
Cross Border ◽  
The Us ◽  
International Monetary Policy ◽  
Us Dollar ◽  
Monetary Policy Spillovers

Abstract We show that currency networks in cross-border bank lending have a significant impact on the size, distribution, and direction of international monetary policy spillovers. Utilizing a novel dataset, we map the major currency networks in international banking and show that the US dollar dominates at the global level. Next, we provide evidence that during the 2013 Fed taper tantrum, the degree of exposure to US dollar lending had a significant impact on cross-border bank lending growth. Most notably, it had a strong negative impact on cross-border flows to emerging markets.

Reducing the Risks of the Financial Sector to Ensure Sustainable Growth of the Russian Еconomy

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 86-92
Author(s):  
T. I. Minina ◽  
V. V. Skalkin
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Sustainable Growth ◽  
Necessary Condition ◽  
Real Sector ◽  
Financial Instruments ◽  
The Real ◽  
The Impact

Russia’s entry into the top five economies of the world depends, among other things, on the development of the financial sector, being a necessary condition for the economic growth of a developed macroeconomic and macro-financial system. The financial sector represents a system of relationships for the effective collection and distribution of economic resources, their deployment according to public demand, reducing the risk of overproduction and overheating of the economy.Therefore, the subject of the research is the financial sector of the Russian economy.The purpose of the research was to formulate an approach to alleviating the risks of increasing financial costs in the real sector of the economy by reducing the impact of endogenous risks expressed as financial asset “bubbles” using the experience of developed countries in the monetary policy.The paper analyzes a macroeconomic model applied to the financial sector. It is established that the economic growth is determined by the growth and, more important, the qualitative development of the financial sector, which leads to two phenomena: overproduction in the real sector and an increase in asset prices in the financial sector, with a debt load in both the real and financial sectors. This results in decreasing the interest rate of the mega-regulator to near-zero values. In this case, since the mechanisms of the conventional monetary policy do not work, the unconventional monetary policy is used when the mega-regulator buys out derivative financial instruments from systemically important institutions. As a conclusion, given deflationally low rates, it is proposed that the megaregulator should issue its own derivative financial instruments and place them in the financial market.

scholarly journals External effects of US monetary policy

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 82-99
Author(s):  
M. Yu. GOLOVNIN
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Emerging Markets ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Capital Flows ◽  
Treasury Bills ◽  
The Us ◽  
National Economies ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Us Monetary Policy

The article focuses on the changes in US monetary policy since the  beginning of the 21st century and reveals the impact of this policy  on the national economies of other countries, especially emerging markets. The US monetary policy influenced the emerging  markets both through the real and financial channels. Through the  latter, the main impact was on the Treasury bills rates and on the  exchange rates. At the same time, the influence on different  countries varied in different periods. For example, interest rates in  Thailand, Mexico and Pakistan before the global economic and  financial crisis in general followed the cycle of US monetary policy.  The “quantitative easing” policy, the statements and the follow-up  actions to abolish it, have influenced cross-border capital flows to  emerging markets. A number of countries, including Russia,  experienced the impact of US monetary policy through the dynamics  of oil prices. Emerging markets face restrictions on their monetary  policy from the US monetary policy, but in practice they seek to  circumvent them through exchange rate regulation, restrictions on  crossborder capital flows and the pursuit of an independent monetary policy, not following the  cycles of interest rate changes in the US.

Effectiveness and channels of macroprudential policies: lessons from the Euro area

2017 ◽  
Vol 25 (3) ◽  
pp. 271-306 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuanyan Zhang ◽  
Thierry Tressel
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Bank Lending ◽  
Panel Var ◽  
Bank Capital ◽  
Credit Growth ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Macroprudential Policies ◽  
The Impact

Purpose The design of a macro-prudential framework and its interaction with monetary policy has been at the forefront of the policy agenda since the global financial crisis. However, most advanced economies (AEs) have little experience using macroprudential policies. As a result, relatively little is known empirically about macroprudential instruments’ effectiveness in mitigating systemic risks in these countries, about their channels of transmission, and about how these instruments would interact with monetary policy. This paper aims to fill in the gap. Design/methodology/approach The authors develop a new approach using the euro area bank lending survey to assess the effectiveness of macro-prudential policies in containing credit growth and house price appreciation in mortgage markets. Estimation is performed under the panel regressions (OLS, GLS) and panel VAR setup. Endogeneity issues arising from measures of macro-prudential policies are addressed by introducing GMM estimation and various instruments. Findings The authors find instruments targeting the cost of bank capital most effective in slowing down mortgage credit growth, and that the impact is transmitted mainly through price margins, the same banking channel as monetary policy. Limits on loan-to-value ratios are also effective, especially when monetary policy is excessively loose. Originality/value With limited data on macroprudential policy measures in the AEs, this paper proposed a new methodology of using answers from bank lending survey as proxies to assess the effectiveness of specific macroprudential measures and their transmission channels.

Spillover effects of the US monetary policy on the Indian trilemma

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Harpreet Singh Grewal ◽  
Pushpa Trivedi
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Event Study ◽  
Spillover Effects ◽  
Subject Area ◽  
Open Market ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Study Approach ◽  
The Us ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Us Monetary Policy

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to investigate the impact of the US unconventional monetary policy surprises on the management of trilemma in India.Design/methodology/approachThis paper uses the event study approach along with OLS and MANOVA to examine the impact.FindingsThe results validate the existence of trilemma in India for the period from October 2008 to December 2017. The results also show that monetary policy independence still exists in India in the wake of greater spillover effects during the Federal Open Market Committee announcement days. The spillover effects on USD-INR exchange rates and capital flows are found to be statistically significant. The MANOVA results show that the trilemma in India is influenced by around 20% by the changes in the US monetary policy.Originality/valueThe above approach of event study combined with MANOVA in this subject area has not been used before to the best of the authors’ knowledge. Further, there are only a few studies that exist on the spillover effects of the US monetary policy actions on the management of trilemma in India.

scholarly journals Monetary policy and bank lending in euro area since the outset of the global financial crisis

2020 ◽  
pp. 10-10
Author(s):  
Agata Wierzbowska
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Bank Lending ◽  
Liquidity Provision ◽  
The Individual ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The Impact

In this article, we present the impact of the monetary policy stance of the European Central Bank(ECB)since 2007 on bank lending in the euro area and compare the effects of the main measures: interest rate changes, liquidity provision, and asset purchase programmes. We also analyse the channels through which monetary policy might influence the banking system and narrow our focus to the individual countries. The main results indicate stimulating impact of ECB?s policy stance on bank lending that extends its influence mainly through interest rate cuts further supported by the liquidity provision and asset purchase programmes. However, we also find considerable differences across the member states, of ten depending on the state of the banking system and loan demand in the member state. The results support the variety of monetary policy measures introduced by the ECB, as each played its own role in supporting the banking system and encouraging bank lending in the euro area.

scholarly journals Does monetary policy in advanced economies have differentiated effects on portfolio flows to emerging economies?

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 25-70
Author(s):  
Marco Hernandez
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
Emerging Economies ◽  
Foreign Portfolio Investment ◽  
Portfolio Flows ◽  
Advanced Economies ◽  
The Us ◽  
The Uk ◽  
Us Monetary Policy ◽  
Differentiated Effects

This work analyzes whether the monetary policy in advanced economies (the US, the euro area, and the UK) had differentiated effects on portfolio flows from these countries toward EMEs. The results show the following: First, US monetary policy had a bigger impact on bond and equity investment to EMEs than the euro area or UK monetary policy. Second, investors' response to US monetary policy was mostly homogeneous. Among EMEs regions, foreign portfolio investment to Emerging Europe and Latin America was more volatile that than to Emerging Asia, probably because other factors such as investors' preference (in the case of bond flows) or expectations of firms' profits (in the case of equity flows) could play an important role in investors' decisions. These results could be useful for policymakers from EMEs as a benchmark to anticipate differentiated effects in portfolio flows caused by advanced economies' monetary policy.

Monetary policy and redistribution: information from central bank balance sheets in the Euro area and the US

2013 ◽  
Vol 64 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Philippine Cour-Thimann
Keyword(s):  
New York ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Balance Sheets ◽  
The Us ◽  
Bank Balance Sheets ◽  
Redistributive Effects

AbstractThe exceptional measures by central banks during the financial crisis have led to renewed interest in the redistributive effects of monetary policy. This paper adopts the perspective of central bank balance sheets to assess such effects. It uses information from the euro area National Central Banks and the US Federal Reserve Banks to analyse the regional and sectoral effects of monetary policy. Central bank balance sheets capture sustained imbalances in payment flows across the euro area countries that peaked at 10% of GDP in the so-called Target balances, and across the US districts that reached 5% of GDP in the equivalent Interdistrict Settlement Accounts. These imbalances, combined with accommodative central bank liquidity, shifted risks from the private financial sector to the public sector and among taxpayers - yet, mechanisms are in place to mitigate such risks and the associated redistributive effects. The liquidity injection, while directly channelled at the stressed regions or sectors, has indirectly supported the financial sector at large. In different institutional contexts, the financial centres in Germany and in the New York district have been strengthened. They have been net recipients of payment inflows from the rest of the respective currency areas, equivalent in amounts to a third of the liquidity injection during the crisis.

scholarly journals Dynamic Impact of Unconventional Monetary Policy on International REITs

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (9) ◽  
pp. 429
Author(s):  
Hardik A. Marfatia ◽  
Rangan Gupta ◽  
Keagile Lesame
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Time Varying ◽  
Unconventional Monetary Policy ◽  
Dynamic Impact ◽  
Federal Funds Rate ◽  
Study Approach ◽  
The Us ◽  
The Impact

In this paper, we estimate the dynamic impact of unconventional monetary policy in the US on international REITs. Unlike existing studies which are limited to conventional policy tools and undertake a static approach, we use an event study approach and estimate a time-varying parameter model to investigate the dynamic impact of forward guidance (FG) and large-scale asset purchases (LSAP) shocks on the international REIT returns. We also compare the effects of these unconventional tools with the effects of conventional federal funds rate (FFR) shocks. The results show that the response of international REITs to unconventional policy shocks depends on the time under consideration. FG shocks have greater time-variation in the impact on REIT returns compared to LSAP shocks, particularly with Australia, Belgium, and the US REIT markets. Furthermore, FG shocks broadly have a negative impact on REITs while the results for LSAP effects are mixed. We also find that in most countries, REITs time-varying response of FG shocks is related to changes in gold prices and financial conditions.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document