Reducing the Risks of the Financial Sector to Ensure Sustainable Growth of the Russian Еconomy

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 86-92
Author(s):  
T. I. Minina ◽  
V. V. Skalkin

Russia’s entry into the top five economies of the world depends, among other things, on the development of the financial sector, being a necessary condition for the economic growth of a developed macroeconomic and macro-financial system. The financial sector represents a system of relationships for the effective collection and distribution of economic resources, their deployment according to public demand, reducing the risk of overproduction and overheating of the economy.Therefore, the subject of the research is the financial sector of the Russian economy.The purpose of the research was to formulate an approach to alleviating the risks of increasing financial costs in the real sector of the economy by reducing the impact of endogenous risks expressed as financial asset “bubbles” using the experience of developed countries in the monetary policy.The paper analyzes a macroeconomic model applied to the financial sector. It is established that the economic growth is determined by the growth and, more important, the qualitative development of the financial sector, which leads to two phenomena: overproduction in the real sector and an increase in asset prices in the financial sector, with a debt load in both the real and financial sectors. This results in decreasing the interest rate of the mega-regulator to near-zero values. In this case, since the mechanisms of the conventional monetary policy do not work, the unconventional monetary policy is used when the mega-regulator buys out derivative financial instruments from systemically important institutions. As a conclusion, given deflationally low rates, it is proposed that the megaregulator should issue its own derivative financial instruments and place them in the financial market.

VUZF Review ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 160-170
Author(s):  
Małgorzata Hala

The aim of the article is to present the role of the financial system in economic growth and development. The first part presents the traditional understanding of the relationship between the economic system and economic growth. The second part presents the experience of financial crises and their impact on the conversation on the mutual relations between the financial sector and the real sector. The third part shows the role of the state in the financial system. The article describes the arrangement of interrelated financial institutions, financial markets and elements of the financial system infrastructure.  It shows what part of the economic system the financial system is, and whether it enables the provision of services allowing the circulation of purchasing power throughout the economy. The article presents the important role of the financial system, the role related to the transfer of capital from entities with savings to entities that need capital for investments. It shows the financial system as a set of logically related organizational forms, legal acts, financial institutions and other elements enabling entities to establish financial relations in the real sector and the financial sector, and this system forms the basis of activity for entities using money, enabling the conclusion of various economic transactions, in which money performs various functions. The article also presents the concept of a financial crisis as a situation in which there are rapid changes in the financial market, usually associated with insufficient liquidity or insolvency of banks or financial institutions, and as a result, a decrease in production or its deepening. The article also includes issues related to the impact of public authorities (state and local authorities) on the financial system in the economy.


2021 ◽  
Vol 92 ◽  
pp. 07050
Author(s):  
Petra Popek Biskupec ◽  
Suzana Herman

Research background: Although macroprudential instruments increase financial stability, it is necessary to test how they affect the overall economic recovery after a global financial crisis. In the post-crisis period, the real sector needed a strong injection of capital in order to be able to start recovery and to encourage economic growth. At the same time, most of the countries introduced strict regulatory measures that strengthen bank capital and the liquidity base. From the standpoint of the financial sector stability, these measures contributed to the overall financial stability, but at the same time, these measures hold up the bank credit activity. Purpose of the article: This paper analyses the impact of macroprudential instruments on the bank credit activity toward the non-financial sector. The analysis is made by using the Granger Causality Test and the ARLDS Bounds Test. Methods: The research was conducted for the period of 2000 – 2019, based on the data of the Croatian National Bank and the Croatian Bureau of Statistics using logarithmic quarterly data. The analysis is made by using the Granger Causality Test and the ARLDS Bounds Test. Findings & Value added: The results confirm the thesis that additional macroprudential measures decrease the bank credit activity toward the real sector, which slows down the real sector recovery and extends the downturn in the business cycle. On the other hand, the macroprudential measures increase the financial stability of the whole economy, which is positive for future investments and recovery of the real sector.


2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (199) ◽  
Author(s):  
Eugenio Cerutti ◽  
Carolina Osorio Buitron

This paper analyzes the drivers of cross-border bank lending to 49 Emerging Markets (EMs) during the period 1990Q1-2014Q4, by assessing the impact of monetary, financial and real sector shocks in both the US and the euro area. The literature has traditionally highlighted the influence of US monetary policy on driving cross-border bank flows, and more recently the importance of both US and Euro Area (EA) financial/banking sectors’ related variables. Our contribution is the simultaneous analysis of the role of these US and EA drivers, as well as their interactions with real sector shocks. We corroborate the negative impact of US monetary policy tightening on cross-border lending to EMs, but we find that EA monetary policy seems to have an impact mostly on Emerging Europe, reflecting the fact that cross-border lending to most other EM regions is dollar denominated. We also find that real sector shocks in both the US and EA trigger an increase in cross-border lending, but less in EA when modeling the financial sector. Finally, for financial sector shocks, such as those associated with a decrease in bank leverage, our results indicate a broad-based overall contraction of cross-border lending if the shock originates in the US, and heterogenous effects across borrowing regions if the shock originates in the EA.


2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (12) ◽  
Author(s):  
Eny Lestari Widarni ◽  
Suryaning Bawono

The purpose of this study is to compare the impact of the direction of the relationship between education and health investment with economic growth in Indonesia, with the impact and direction of the relationship of foreign direct investment and portfolio investment with economic growth in Indonesia. This study uses a quantitative method using the Threshold Autoregressive model. This study uses secondary data from the world bank in the annual time period from 2000 to 2019. We found that Investment in education and health has an impact on increasing productivity which drives economic growth because labor productivity directly drives the real sector. However, FDI and FPI changed the financial position in terms of capital. Direct investment increases real capital which has an impact on the creation of new sources of economic production but has consequences in the form of income transfers abroad, resulting in cash outflows. The existence of these foreign transfers continuously when economic conditions are stable and the real sector grows and generates profits that can be greater than the cash inflows obtained when foreign direct investments are made.


2022 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sureyya Burcu Avci ◽  
Gözde Sungu-Esen

Purpose This paper aims to investigate the association between country-level sustainability scores and cross-border bank-to-non-bank flows within countries. Design/methodology/approach The authors analyze cross-border banking flows into the real sector firms of 26 developed countries from 2006 to 2017. The authors use a dynamic panel ordinary least square along with an instrumental variable and a generalized method of moments regressions to test the relationship between country-level sustainability scores and cross-border banking flows. Additionally, the authors apply Fama-MacBeth cross-sectional regression and non-parametric portfolio tests to obtain robust results. Findings The impact of country-level sustainability scores on cross-border banking flows is positive and significant. This finding is consistent with the signaling theory, which states that a country’s sustainability score is a signal to attract more international fund flows. Notably, the authors deduce that environmental sustainability is more important than the social and governance pillars. Practical implications The findings indicate that the real sector firms located in countries having higher sustainability scores can receive more international bank flows. Consequently, policymakers should focus more on country-level sustainability investments to improve the financing of resident firms. Social implications Policymakers should focus more on country-level sustainability investments to improve the financing of resident firms. Originality/value To the best of the authors’ knowledge, no existing study has investigated the signaling function of country-level sustainability scores in the cross-border banking flow conjecture. By investigating this relationship for real sector firms, this study portrays how the non-banking sector can benefit from such a policy that promotes sustainable practices at the country level.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 1713 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cristian Paun ◽  
Radu Musetescu ◽  
Vladimir Topan ◽  
Dan Danuletiu

The drivers of economic growth and development are among the most important issues explored by economic theory. Sustainability of economic development was previously linked by various economic schools of thought to natural resources (agriculture, land, minerals, metals etc.), labor force (including skills, productivity, and education), entrepreneurship or technology and innovation. Capital was later introduced by classical economic theory as the key element. Without significant capital accumulation, all other production factors remain idle. The value added of the production process is a result of the existence, the accessibility and the cost of capital. Therefore, the development and the sophistication of the financial sector has gradually become very important for any nation interested in sustainable growth. This paper investigates the impact of financial sector development, sophistication and performance on economic growth based on a panel regression methodology. We found statistically significant results that confirm the importance of this connection and that are very consistent with economic theory and previous relevant articles and studies.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdul Ghofar ◽  
Achmad Firdaus ◽  
Ronald Rulindo

This study aims to analyze the criteria for investing in Hajj funds and alternative investments that provide benefits to Muslims so that they have an impact on economic growth. By using the Analytic Network Process (ANP) approach, alternative investments offered are Infrastructure, Property, Financial Sector, and Real Sector. Data were collected using a questionnaire consisting of pairwise comparisons between groups and their assessment indicators. A total of 7 (seven) expert speakers (experts) who became respondents successfully collected and processed using the ANP method. The results showed that investment in infrastructure and the real sector provides benefits to Muslims economically, so as to improve the welfare of Muslims which in turn can encourage economic growth. 


2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Hafiansyah Mahadika ◽  
Wisnu Wibowo

This study aims to determine the influence of monetary policy on the unemployment rate in Indonesia. Unemployment is one of the fundamental problems in the economy. The unemployment problem can be overcome by monetary policy. This study used time series data with the period 1975-2016 using real money demand, economic growth, real interest rates, and real exchange rates as independent variables, and the unemployment rate as the dependent variable. The data used in this study is secondary data obtained from the World Bank. The method used is ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) which can change a static economic theory to be dynamic by taking into account the role of time explicitly. The results show that in the long run the probability value of the economic growth variable is below the 5% significance level which indicates that economic growth had a negative and significant effect on the unemployment rate. In the short run, the real interest rate, the real interest rate at lag 1, economic growth at lag 1 and lag 3, and the real exchange rate at lag 1 had a negative and significant effect on the unemployment rate. This indicates that the impact of monetary policy on the unemployment rate is temporary.Keywords: Unemployment Rate, Monetary Policy, ARDL.JEL : E24, E52, E61.


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