scholarly journals Analysis of variability in divergence and turn-over induced by three idealized convective systems with a 3D cloud resolving model

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edward Groot ◽  
Holger Tost
Keyword(s):  
Convective System ◽  
Energy Redistribution ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Cloud Microphysical Processes ◽  
Cloud Resolving Model ◽  
Divergence Field ◽  
Convective Momentum Transport ◽  
Microphysical Processes ◽  
Static Energy ◽  
Turn Over

Abstract. The sensitivity of upper tropospheric and lower stratospheric convective outflows and related divergence fields is analysed using an ensemble of cloud resolving model (CM1) simulations in LES-mode including various physically manipulated simulations for three different convective systems initialized with an idealized trigger. The main goal of this study is to assess to what extend the divergence field depends on cloud microphysical processes, the mode of convection and on the processes of convective momentum transport and moist static energy redistribution. We find that latent heat release (representing the microphysical uncertainty) plays an essential role by explaining much of magnitude of the divergence field that will be formed. Convective organisation explains another important fraction of the variability in the divergence field that is formed by a convective system and behaves non-linearly, likely partly via condensation and subsequent (re-)evaporation/sublimation. The detrainment of stratospheric air also shows large sensitivity among the experiments.

scholarly journals The Sensitivity of Momentum Transport and Severe Surface Winds to Environmental Moisture in Idealized Simulations of a Mesoscale Convective System

2011 ◽  
Vol 139 (5) ◽  
pp. 1352-1369 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kelly M. Mahoney ◽  
Gary M. Lackmann
Keyword(s):  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Grid Cell ◽  
Mesoscale Convective System ◽  
Momentum Transport ◽  
Convective System ◽  
Surface Winds ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Stratiform Region ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
Convective Momentum Transport

Analysis of a pair of three-dimensional simulations of mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) reveals a significant sensitivity of convective momentum transport (CMT), MCS motion, and the generation of severe surface winds to ambient moisture. The Weather Research and Forecasting model is used to simulate an idealized MCS, which is compared with an MCS in a drier midlevel environment. The MCS in the drier environment is smaller, moves slightly faster, and exhibits increased descent and more strongly focused areas of enhanced CMT near the surface in the trailing stratiform region relative to that in the control simulation. A marked increase in the occurrence of severe surface winds is observed between the dry midlevel simulation and the control. It is shown that the enhanced downward motion associated with decreased midlevel relative humidity affects CMT fields and contributes to an increase in the number of grid-cell occurrences of severe surface winds. The role of a descending rear-inflow jet in producing strong surface winds at locations trailing the gust front is also analyzed, and is found to be associated with low-level CMT maxima, particularly in the drier midlevel simulation.

scholarly journals Analysis of Cloud-Resolving Model Simulations for Scale Dependence of Convective Momentum Transport

2018 ◽  
Vol 75 (7) ◽  
pp. 2445-2472 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yi-Chin Liu ◽  
Jiwen Fan ◽  
Kuan-Man Xu ◽  
Guang J. Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Momentum Transport ◽  
Scale Dependency ◽  
Grid Spacing ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Mass Fluxes ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
Cloud Resolving Model ◽  
Convective Momentum Transport ◽  
Nonlinear Shear ◽  
Large Grid

Abstract We use 3D cloud-resolving model (CRM) simulations of two mesoscale convective systems at midlatitudes and a simple statistical ensemble method to diagnose the scale dependency of convective momentum transport (CMT) and CMT-related properties and evaluate a parameterization scheme for the convection-induced pressure gradient (CIPG) developed by Gregory et al. Gregory et al. relate CIPG to a constant coefficient multiplied by mass flux and vertical mean wind shear. CRM results show that mass fluxes and CMT exhibit strong scale dependency in temporal evolution and vertical structure. The upgradient–downgradient CMT characteristics for updrafts are generally similar between small and large grid spacings, which is consistent with previous understanding, but they can be different for downdrafts across wide-ranging grid spacings. For the small to medium grid spacings (4–64 km), Gregory et al. reproduce some aspects of CIPG scale dependency except for underestimating the variations of CIPG as grid spacing decreases. However, for large grid spacings (128–512 km), Gregory et al. might even less adequately parameterize CIPG because it omits the contribution from either the nonlinear-shear or the buoyancy forcings. Further diagnosis of CRM results suggests that inclusion of nonlinear-shear forcing in Gregory et al. is needed for the large grid spacings. For the small to median grid spacings, a modified Gregory et al. with the three-updraft approach help better capture the variations of CIPG as grid spacing decreases compared to the single updraft approach. Further, the optimal coefficients used in Gregory et al. seem insensitive to grid spacings, but they might be different for updrafts and downdrafts, for different MCS types, and for zonal and meridional components.

Sensitivity analysis of divergence and underlying processes around organised convection with a cloud resolving model

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edward Groot ◽  
Holger Tost
Keyword(s):  
Heat Release ◽  
Latent Heat ◽  
Convective Cloud ◽  
Momentum Transport ◽  
Latent Heat Release ◽  
Moist Static Energy ◽  
Cloud Resolving Model ◽  
Convective Momentum Transport ◽  
Static Energy ◽  
The Impact

<p>In this study we are trying to understand (limits of) predictability related to (organised) convection and its upscale error growth.</p><p>For that purpose we aim to analyse the impact of three convection driving and amplifying processes, namely latent heat release, redistribution of moist static energy and convective momentum transport on the development of the convective cells. Furthermore, we plan to investigate uncertainties in these processes on downward propagation of the flow and ensemble spread.</p><p>The first results to be presented regard an idealised and strongly organised case of splitting convective storms modeled at different resolutions and with some small adaptations in the model convective cloud resolving model CM1. Currently processed resolution experiments show that both the actual divergence field and the processes supected to underlie it exhibit some sensitivity to model resolution on the subkilometre scale (100-1000 m). We can also show that the upper tropospheric divergence can be directly related to the latent heat release, as it is located vertically above the major latent heat releases. Nevertheless, neither the vertical redistribution of moist static energy nor the convective momentum transport are negligible and all three impact the divergent outflow of the convective storm.</p>

scholarly journals Toward an Understanding of Tropical Cyclone Formation with a Nonhydrostatic, Mesoscale-Convection-Resolving Model§

2013 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 37-50
Author(s):  
Masanori Yamasaki
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
Numerical Experiments ◽  
Vertical Shear ◽  
Initial Time ◽  
Convective System ◽  
Vortex Center ◽  
Moist Convection ◽  
Mesoscale Convection ◽  
Tropical Cyclone Formation ◽  
Convective Systems

This paper describes results from numerical experiments which have been made toward a better understanding of tropical cyclone formation. This study uses a nonhydrostatic version of the author’s mesoscale-convection-resolving model that was developed in the 1980s to improve paramerization schemes of moist convection. In this study the horizontal grid size is taken to be 20 km in an area of 6,000 km x 3,000 km, and a non-uniform coarse grid is used in two areas to its north and south. Results from two numerical experiments are presented; one (case 1) without any environmental flow, and the other (case 2) with an easterly flow without low-level vertical shear. Three circular buoyancy perturbations are placed in the west-east direction at the initial time. Convection is initiated in the imposed latently unstable (positive CAPE) area. In both cases, a vortex with a pressure low is formed, and two band-shaped convective systems are formed to the north and the south of the vortex center. The vortex and two convective systems are oriented in the westsouthwest – eastnortheast direction, and their horizontal scales are nearly 2,000 km. In case 1, the band-shaped convective system on the southern side is stronger, and winds are stronger just to its south. In contrast, in case 2, the northern convective system is stronger, and winds are stronger just to its north. Therefore, the distributions of the equivalent potential temperature in the boundary layer and latent instability (positive buoyancy of the rising air) are also quite different between cases 1 and 2. The TC formation processes in these different cases are discussed, with an emphasis on the importance of examining the time change of latent instability field.

scholarly journals Ensemble cloud-resolving modelling of a historic back-building mesoscale convective system over Liguria: the San Fruttuoso case of 1915

2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 455-472 ◽  
Author(s):  
Antonio Parodi ◽  
Luca Ferraris ◽  
William Gallus ◽  
Maurizio Maugeri ◽  
Luca Molini ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Extreme Event ◽  
Flash Flood ◽  
Western Mediterranean ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Convective System ◽  
Water Vapour Content ◽  
Ligurian Sea ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Position Errors ◽  
Mesoscale Convective

Abstract. Highly localized and persistent back-building mesoscale convective systems represent one of the most dangerous flash-flood-producing storms in the north-western Mediterranean area. Substantial warming of the Mediterranean Sea in recent decades raises concerns over possible increases in frequency or intensity of these types of events as increased atmospheric temperatures generally support increases in water vapour content. However, analyses of the historical record do not provide a univocal answer, but these are likely affected by a lack of detailed observations for older events. In the present study, 20th Century Reanalysis Project initial and boundary condition data in ensemble mode are used to address the feasibility of performing cloud-resolving simulations with 1 km horizontal grid spacing of a historic extreme event that occurred over Liguria: the San Fruttuoso case of 1915. The proposed approach focuses on the ensemble Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model runs that show strong convergence over the Ligurian Sea (17 out of 56 members) as these runs are the ones most likely to best simulate the event. It is found that these WRF runs generally do show wind and precipitation fields that are consistent with the occurrence of highly localized and persistent back-building mesoscale convective systems, although precipitation peak amounts are underestimated. Systematic small north-westward position errors with regard to the heaviest rain and strongest convergence areas imply that the reanalysis members may not be adequately representing the amount of cool air over the Po Plain outflowing into the Ligurian Sea through the Apennines gap. Regarding the role of historical data sources, this study shows that in addition to reanalysis products, unconventional data, such as historical meteorological bulletins, newspapers, and even photographs, can be very valuable sources of knowledge in the reconstruction of past extreme events.

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