scholarly journals Response of the mesopause airglow to solar activity inferred from measurements at Zvenigorod, Russia

2008 ◽  
Vol 26 (5) ◽  
pp. 1049-1056 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Pertsev ◽  
V. Perminov

Abstract. Ground-based spectrographical observations of infrared emissions of the mesopause region have been made at Zvenigorod Observatory (56 N, 37 E), located near Moscow, Russia, for 670 nights of 2000–2006. The characteristics of the hydroxyl and molecular oxygen (865 nm) airglow, heights of which correspond to 87 and 94 km, are analyzed for finding their response to solar activity. The measured data exhibit a response to the F10.7 solar radio flux change, which is 30%–40%/100 sfu in intensities of the emissions and about 4.5 K/100 sfu in hydroxyl temperature. Seasonal variations of the airglow response to solar activity are observed. In winter it is more significant than in summer. Mechanisms that may provide an explanation of the solar influence on intensities of the emissions and temperature are considered. Radiative processes not involving atmospheric dynamics appear insufficient to explain the observed effect.

Author(s):  
A.V. Volkov ◽  
◽  
A.A. Khadartsev ◽  

The paper considers the results of the analysis and prediction of the dynamics of so-lar activity from the series of the solar radio flux density at a frequency of 2.8 GHz and the relative Wolf numbers, proposed by the leading analytical groups, as well as by the authors of this publication. The typological characteristics of the upcoming situations of socio-economic development of Russia are indicated.


2015 ◽  
Vol 58 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Blas F. de Haro Barbas ◽  
Ana G. Elias

<p>The effect of including solar cycle 19 (1954-1964) in ionospheric trend estimation is assessed using experimental foF2 values. The dominant influence on the F2 layer is solar EUV radiation. In fact, around 90% of inter-annual variance of ionospheric parameters, such as foF2, is explained by solar EUV proxies such as the sunspot number, Rz, and solar radio flux at 10.7 cm, F10.7. This makes necessary to filter out solar activity effects prior to long term trends estimation, which is reduced at most to the remaining 10% variance. In general solar activity is filtered assessing the residuals of a linear regression between foF2 and Rz, or between foF2 and F10.7. Solar cycle 19 is a strong cycle during which Rz and F10.7 exceeded the values beyond which the ionosphere does not respond linearly to a further increase in EUV radiation. This effect, called saturation, implies a break down of the linearity between foF2 and EUV, and results in persistent negative residuals during this period. Since solar cycle 19 is at the beginning of the time series, trends result to be positive, or less negative, than trends without considering this period. In this case the filtering process is generating a “spurious” trend in the filtered data series which may lead to erroneous conclusions. hmF2 that do not present a saturation effect is also analyzed.</p><div> </div>


1995 ◽  
Vol 13 (8) ◽  
pp. 879-885 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Mohanakumar

Abstract. Studies on the influence of solar activity in 11-year cycle on middle atmospheric thermodynamic parameters, such as temperature, pressure and density, and zonal and meridional wind components over three meteorological rocket launching stations, located in the tropics (Thumba), mid-latitude (Volgograd) and high-latitude (Heiss Island) regions of the northern hemisphere have been carried out. The temperature in all the three regions showed a negative response in the stratosphere and positive association in the mesosphere with the changes in solar activity. The temperature decreases by 2–3% from its mean value in the stratosphere and increases by 4–6% in the mesosphere for an increase in 100 units of solar radio flux. Atmospheric pressure is found to be more sensitive to solar changes. An average solar maximum condition enhances the pressure in the stratosphere by 5% and in the upper mesosphere by 16–18% compared to the respective mean values. Density also showed strong association with the changes in solar activity. Increase in the solar radio flux tends to strengthen winter westerlies in the upper stratosphere over the mid-latitude and summer easterlies in the middle stratosphere over tropics. Larger variability in the zonal wind is noted near stratopause height. Results obtained from the study indicate that there is an external force exerted on the Earth's atmosphere during the period of high solar activity. These results can be incorporated for further studies on the dynamics of the middle atmosphere in association with the changes in solar activity.


2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (3) ◽  
pp. 375-380
Author(s):  
Ekaterina Vorobeva

Abstract. A correlation between solar activity and normalized occurrence rate of sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) has been found. As a proxy for solar activity, the 10.7 cm solar radio flux has been used. In order to find the correlation, we derived a normalized occurrence rate of major sudden stratospheric warmings (MSSWs) based on both the ERA-40/ERA-Interim dataset and NCEP data. Based on this distribution, we calculated the correlation coefficient, which amounts to 0.63, with a significance of 90.68 %, for ERA-40/ERA-Interim, and 0.55 for the NCEP–NCAR-I reanalysis, with a significance of 83.80 %. Additionally, we calculate correlation coefficients for Lyman-alpha flux and sunspot numbers with the analogous method for the same period.


2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (23) ◽  
pp. 15033-15047 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christoph Kalicinsky ◽  
Peter Knieling ◽  
Ralf Koppmann ◽  
Dirk Offermann ◽  
Wolfgang Steinbrecht ◽  
...  

Abstract. We present the analysis of annual average OH* temperatures in the mesopause region derived from measurements of the Ground-based Infrared P-branch Spectrometer (GRIPS) at Wuppertal (51° N, 7° E) in the time interval 1988 to 2015. The new study uses a temperature time series which is 7 years longer than that used for the latest analysis regarding the long-term dynamics. This additional observation time leads to a change in characterisation of the observed long-term dynamics. We perform a multiple linear regression using the solar radio flux F10.7 cm (11-year cycle of solar activity) and time to describe the temperature evolution. The analysis leads to a linear trend of (−0.089 ± 0.055) K year−1 and a sensitivity to the solar activity of (4.2 ± 0.9) K (100 SFU)−1 (r2 of fit 0.6). However, one linear trend in combination with the 11-year solar cycle is not sufficient to explain all observed long-term dynamics. In fact, we find a clear trend break in the temperature time series in the middle of 2008. Before this break point there is an explicit negative linear trend of (−0.24 ± 0.07) K year−1, and after 2008 the linear trend turns positive with a value of (0.64 ± 0.33) K year−1. This apparent trend break can also be described using a long periodic oscillation. One possibility is to use the 22-year solar cycle that describes the reversal of the solar magnetic field (Hale cycle). A multiple linear regression using the solar radio flux and the solar polar magnetic field as parameters leads to the regression coefficients Csolar = (5.0 ± 0.7) K (100 SFU)−1 and Chale = (1.8 ±  0.5) K (100 µT)−1 (r2 = 0.71). The second way of describing the OH* temperature time series is to use the solar radio flux and an oscillation. A least-square fit leads to a sensitivity to the solar activity of (4.1 ± 0.8) K (100 SFU)−1, a period P  =  (24.8 ± 3.3) years, and an amplitude Csin  =  (1.95 ± 0.44) K of the oscillation (r2 = 0.78). The most important finding here is that using this description an additional linear trend is no longer needed. Moreover, with the knowledge of this 25-year oscillation the linear trends derived in this and in a former study of the Wuppertal data series can be reproduced by just fitting a line to the corresponding part (time interval) of the oscillation. This actually means that, depending on the analysed time interval, completely different linear trends with respect to magnitude and sign can be observed. This fact is of essential importance for any comparison between different observations and model simulations.


1967 ◽  
Vol 45 (7) ◽  
pp. 1105-1113 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bruce G. Cumming

There were pronounced fluctuations in the percentage germination of seeds of Chenopodium botrys that were kept stored in darkness under carefully controlled conditions of temperature, humidity, and barometric pressure. Germination tests were conducted over a period of more than 2 years in controlled environment cabinets at 30 °C with different photoperiods supplied by fluorescent light. The fluctuations in percentage germination showed no evident correlation with the following factors: relative humidity, barometric pressure, lunar cycle, magnetic intensity.There were highly significant correlations between the fluctuations in germination and solar radio flux (10.7 cm wavelength, indicative of sunspot activity). The best positive correlation between values for solar radio flux and percentage germination suggested that the effect of solar flux on germination (whether direct or indirect) was greatest during the week immediately preceding the wetting of seeds. Periodogram analyses of the periodicity of percentage germination and solar flux has provided two periodograms which have corresponding peaks, showing that the component periods for solar flux are practically the same as those for germination. It cannot yet be stated whether these correlations were indicative of a direct effect of solar radio flux on germination. The present evidence affirms the contention that largely unexamined exogenous factors may influence rhythmic biological processes.


2019 ◽  
Vol 124 (7) ◽  
pp. 6087-6096
Author(s):  
Shushi Liu ◽  
Gordon G. Shepherd ◽  
Yongsheng Chen ◽  
Marianna G. Shepherd ◽  
Sangay Bhutia

1992 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 112
Author(s):  
Zhou Shu-rong ◽  
Xu Fu-ying ◽  
Yu Xing-feng

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