scholarly journals sensitivity of middle atmospheric ozone to solar proton events: comparison between climate model and satellites

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kenneth Nilsen ◽  
Antti Kero ◽  
Pekka Verronen ◽  
Monika Szelag ◽  
Niilo Kalakoski ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Satellite Data ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Solar Proton ◽  
Proton Flux ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Atmospheric Ozone ◽  
Ion Chemistry ◽  
Solar Proton Events ◽  
Good Agreement

<p>Energetic particle precipitation (EPP) impact on the middle atmospheric ozone chemistry plays potentially an important role in the connection between space weather and Earth's climate system. A variant of the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (WACCM-D) implements a detailed set of ionospheric D-region chemistry instead of a simple parameterization used in the earlier WACCM versions, allowing to capture the impact of EPP in more detail, thus improving the model for long-term climate studies. Here, we verify experimentally the ion chemistry of the WACCM-D by analysing the middle atmospheric ozone response to the EPP forcing during well-known solar proton events<span> </span>(SPEs). We use a multi-satellite approach to derive the middle atmospheric sensitivity for the SPE forcing as a statistical relation between the solar proton flux and the consequent ozone change. An identical sensitivity analysis is carried out for the WACCM-D model results, enabling one-to-one comparison with the results derived from the satellite observations. Our results show a good agreement in the sensitivity between satellites and the WACCM-D for nighttime conditions. For daytime conditions, we find a good agreement for the satellite data sets that include the largest SPEs (max proton flux >10^<span>4 </span> pfu). However, for those satellite data-sets with only minor and moderate SPEs, WACCM-D tends to underestimate the sensitivity in daytime conditions. In summary, the comparisons WACCM-D ion chemistry, combined with the transportation, demonstrates a realistic representation of the SPE sensitivity of ozone, and thus provides a conservative platform for long-term EPP impact studies.</p>

scholarly journals Statistical response of middle atmosphere composition to solar proton events in WACCM-D simulations: importance of lower ionospheric chemistry

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Niilo Kalakoski ◽  
Pekka T. Verronen ◽  
Annika Seppälä ◽  
Monika E. Szeląg ◽  
Antti Kero ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Model ◽  
Middle Atmosphere ◽  
Lower Ionosphere ◽  
Solar Proton ◽  
Atmospheric Effects ◽  
Ion Chemistry ◽  
Global Models ◽  
Superposed Epoch Analysis ◽  
D Region ◽  
Solar Proton Events

Abstract. Atmospheric effects of solar proton events (SPE) have been studied for decades, because their drastic impact can be used to test our understanding of upper stratospheric and mesospheric chemistry in the polar cap regions. For example, SPEs cause production of odd hydrogen and odd nitrogen, which leads to depletion of ozone in catalytic reactions, such that the effects are easily observed from satellites during the largest events. Until recently, the complexity of the ion chemistry in the lower ionosphere (i.e. in the D region) has restricted global models to simplified parameterizations of chemical impacts induced by energetic particle precipitation (EPP). Because of this restriction, global models have been unable to correctly reproduce some important effects, such as the increase of mesospheric HNO3 or the changes in chlorine species. Here we use simulations from the WACCM-D model, a variant of the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model, to study the statistical response of the atmosphere to the 66 largest SPEs that occurred in years 1989–2012. Our model includes a set of D-region ion chemistry, designed for a detailed representation of the atmospheric effects of SPEs and EPP in general. We use superposed epoch analysis to study changes in O3, HOx (OH + HO2), Clx (Cl + ClO), HNO3, NOx (NO + NO2) and H2O. Compared to the standard WACCM which uses an ion chemistry parameterization, WACCM-D produces a larger response in O3 and NOx, weaker response in HOx and introduces changes in HNO3 and Clx. These differences between WACCM and WACCM-D highlight the importance of including ion chemistry reactions in models used to study EPP.

scholarly journals Statistical response of middle atmosphere composition to solar proton events in WACCM-D simulations: the importance of lower ionospheric chemistry

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Niilo Kalakoski ◽  
Pekka T. Verronen ◽  
Annika Seppälä ◽  
Monika E. Szeląg ◽  
Antti Kero ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Model ◽  
Middle Atmosphere ◽  
Lower Ionosphere ◽  
Solar Proton ◽  
Atmospheric Effects ◽  
Ion Chemistry ◽  
Global Models ◽  
Superposed Epoch Analysis ◽  
D Region ◽  
Solar Proton Events

<p>Atmospheric effects of solar proton events (SPEs) have been studied for decades, because their drastic impact can be used to test our understanding of upper stratospheric and mesospheric chemistry in the polar cap regions. For example, odd hydrogen and odd nitrogen are produced during SPEs, which leads to depletion of ozone in catalytic reactions, such that the effects are easily observed from satellites during the strongest events. Until recently, the complexity of the ion chemistry in the lower ionosphere (i.e., in the D region) has restricted global models to simplified parameterizations of chemical impacts induced by energetic particle precipitation (EPP). Because of this restriction, global models have been unable to correctly reproduce some important effects, such as the increase in mesospheric HNO<sub>3</sub> or the changes in chlorine species. Here we use simulations from the WACCM-D model, a variant of the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model, to study the statistical response of the atmosphere to the 66 strongest SPEs which occurred in the years 1989–2012. Our model includes a set of D-region ion chemistry, designed for a detailed representation of the atmospheric effects of SPEs and EPP in general. We use superposed epoch analysis to study changes in O<sub>3</sub>, HO<sub>x</sub> (OH + HO<sub>2</sub>), Cl<sub>x</sub> (Cl + ClO), HNO<sub>3</sub>, NO<sub>x</sub> (NO + NO<sub>2</sub>) and H<sub>2</sub>O. Compared to the standard WACCM which uses an ion chemistry parameterization, WACCM-D produces a larger response in O<sub>3</sub> and NO<sub>x</sub> and a weaker response in HO<sub>x</sub> and introduces changes in HNO<sub>3</sub> and Cl<sub>x</sub>. These differences between WACCM and WACCM-D highlight the importance of including ion chemistry reactions in models used to study EPP. </p>

scholarly journals Statistical response of middle atmosphere composition to solar proton events in WACCM-D simulations: the importance of lower ionospheric chemistry

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (14) ◽  
pp. 8923-8938 ◽  
Author(s):  
Niilo Kalakoski ◽  
Pekka T. Verronen ◽  
Annika Seppälä ◽  
Monika E. Szeląg ◽  
Antti Kero ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Model ◽  
Middle Atmosphere ◽  
Lower Ionosphere ◽  
Solar Proton ◽  
Atmospheric Effects ◽  
Ion Chemistry ◽  
Global Models ◽  
Superposed Epoch Analysis ◽  
D Region ◽  
Solar Proton Events

Abstract. Atmospheric effects of solar proton events (SPEs) have been studied for decades, because their drastic impact can be used to test our understanding of upper stratospheric and mesospheric chemistry in the polar cap regions. For example, odd hydrogen and odd nitrogen are produced during SPEs, which leads to depletion of ozone in catalytic reactions, such that the effects are easily observed from satellites during the strongest events. Until recently, the complexity of the ion chemistry in the lower ionosphere (i.e., in the D region) has restricted global models to simplified parameterizations of chemical impacts induced by energetic particle precipitation (EPP). Because of this restriction, global models have been unable to correctly reproduce some important effects, such as the increase in mesospheric HNO3 or the changes in chlorine species. Here we use simulations from the WACCM-D model, a variant of the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model, to study the statistical response of the atmosphere to the 66 strongest SPEs which occurred in the years 1989–2012. Our model includes a set of D-region ion chemistry, designed for a detailed representation of the atmospheric effects of SPEs and EPP in general. We use superposed epoch analysis to study changes in O3, HOx (OH + HO2), Clx (Cl + ClO), HNO3, NOx (NO + NO2) and H2O. Compared to the standard WACCM which uses an ion chemistry parameterization, WACCM-D produces a larger response in O3 and NOx and a weaker response in HOx and introduces changes in HNO3 and Clx. These differences between WACCM and WACCM-D highlight the importance of including ion chemistry reactions in models used to study EPP.

scholarly journals High resolution atmospheric reconstruction for Europe 1948–2012: coastDat2

2013 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 779-809 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Geyer
Keyword(s):  
Climate Model ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Horizontal Grid ◽  
Global Reanalysis ◽  
Marine Climate

Abstract. The coastDat data sets were produced to give a consistent and homogeneous database mainly for assessing weather statistics and long-term changes for Europe, especially in data sparse regions. A sequence of numerical models was employed to reconstruct all aspects of marine climate (such as storms, waves, surges etc.) over many decades. Here, we describe the atmospheric part of coastDat2 (Geyer and Rockel, 2013, doi:10.1594/WDCC/coastDat-2_COSMO-CLM). It consists of a regional climate reconstruction for entire Europe, including Baltic and North Sea and parts of the Atlantic. The simulation was done for 1948 to 2012 with a regional climate model and a horizontal grid size of 0.22° in rotated coordinates. Global reanalysis data were used as forcing and spectral nudging was applied. To meet the demands on the coastDat data set about 70 variables are stored hourly.

Towards a long term global snow climate data record from satellite data generated within the Snow Climate Change Initiative

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gabriele Schwaizer ◽  
Lars Keuris ◽  
Thomas Nagler ◽  
Chris Derksen ◽  
Kari Luojus ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Satellite Data ◽  
Snow Water Equivalent ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Process Models ◽  
Climate Data ◽  
Seasonal Snow ◽  
Snow Water

<p>Seasonal snow is an important component of the global climate system. It is highly variable in space and time and sensitive to short term synoptic scale processes and long term climate-induced changes of temperature and precipitation. Current snow products derived from various satellite data applying different algorithms show significant discrepancies in extent and snow mass, a potential source for biases in climate monitoring and modelling. The recently launched ESA CCI+ Programme addresses seasonal snow as one of 9 Essential Climate Variables to be derived from satellite data.</p><p>In the snow_cci project, scheduled for 2018 to 2021 in its first phase, reliable fully validated processing lines are developed and implemented. These tools are used to generate homogeneous multi-sensor time series for the main parameters of global snow cover focusing on snow extent and snow water equivalent. Using GCOS guidelines, the requirements for these parameters are assessed and consolidated using the outcome of workshops and questionnaires addressing users dealing with different climate applications. Snow extent product generation applies algorithms accounting for fractional snow extent and cloud screening in order to generate consistent daily products for snow on the surface (viewable snow) and snow on the surface corrected for forest masking (snow on ground) with global coverage. Input data are medium resolution optical satellite images (AVHRR-2/3, AATSR, MODIS, VIIRS, SLSTR/OLCI) from 1981 to present. An iterative development cycle is applied including homogenisation of the snow extent products from different sensors by minimizing the bias. Independent validation of the snow products is performed for different seasons and climate zones around the globe from 1985 onwards, using as reference high resolution snow maps from Landsat and Sentinel- 2as well as in-situ snow data following standardized validation protocols.</p><p>Global time series of daily snow water equivalent (SWE) products are generated from passive microwave data from SMMR, SSM/I, and AMSR from 1978 onwards, combined with in-situ snow depth measurements. Long-term stability and quality of the product is assessed using independent snow survey data and by intercomparison with the snow information from global land process models.</p><p>The usability of the snow_cci products is ensured through the Climate Research Group, which performs case studies related to long term trends of seasonal snow, performs evaluations of CMIP-6 and other snow-focused climate model experiments, and applies the data for simulation of Arctic hydrological regimes.</p><p>In this presentation, we summarize the requirements and product specifications for the snow extent and SWE products, with a focus on climate applications. We present an overview of the algorithms and systems for generation of the time series. The 40 years (from 1980 onwards) time series of daily fractional snow extent products from AVHRR with 5 km pixel spacing, and the 20-year time series from MODIS (1 km pixel spacing) as well as the coarse resolution (25 km pixel spacing) of daily SWE products from 1978 onwards will be presented along with first results of the multi-sensor consistency checks and validation activities.</p>

scholarly journals The SPARC Data Initiative: comparisons of CFC-11, CFC-12, HF and SF<sub>6</sub> climatologies from international satellite limb sounders

2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 61-78 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Tegtmeier ◽  
M. I. Hegglin ◽  
J. Anderson ◽  
B. Funke ◽  
J. Gille ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Satellite Data ◽  
Lower Stratosphere ◽  
Atmospheric Transport ◽  
Temporal Structure ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Upper Troposphere ◽  
Mean Fields ◽  
Mean State

Abstract. A quality assessment of the CFC-11 (CCl3F), CFC-12 (CCl2F2), HF, and SF6 products from limb-viewing satellite instruments is provided by means of a detailed intercomparison. The climatologies in the form of monthly zonal mean time series are obtained from HALOE, MIPAS, ACE-FTS, and HIRDLS within the time period 1991–2010. The intercomparisons focus on the mean biases of the monthly and annual zonal mean fields and aim to identify their vertical, latitudinal and temporal structure. The CFC evaluations (based on MIPAS, ACE-FTS and HIRDLS) reveal that the uncertainty in our knowledge of the atmospheric CFC-11 and CFC-12 mean state, as given by satellite data sets, is smallest in the tropics and mid-latitudes at altitudes below 50 and 20 hPa, respectively, with a 1σ multi-instrument spread of up to ±5 %. For HF, the situation is reversed. The two available data sets (HALOE and ACE-FTS) agree well above 100 hPa, with a spread in this region of ±5 to ±10 %, while at altitudes below 100 hPa the HF annual mean state is less well known, with a spread ±30 % and larger. The atmospheric SF6 annual mean states derived from two satellite data sets (MIPAS and ACE-FTS) show only very small differences with a spread of less than ±5 % and often below ±2.5 %. While the overall agreement among the climatological data sets is very good for large parts of the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (CFCs, SF6) or middle stratosphere (HF), individual discrepancies have been identified. Pronounced deviations between the instrument climatologies exist for particular atmospheric regions which differ from gas to gas. Notable features are differently shaped isopleths in the subtropics, deviations in the vertical gradients in the lower stratosphere and in the meridional gradients in the upper troposphere, and inconsistencies in the seasonal cycle. Additionally, long-term drifts between the instruments have been identified for the CFC-11 and CFC-12 time series. The evaluations as a whole provide guidance on what data sets are the most reliable for applications such as studies of atmospheric transport and variability, model–measurement comparisons and detection of long-term trends. The data sets will be publicly available from the SPARC Data Centre and through PANGAEA (doi:10.1594/PANGAEA.849223).

scholarly journals Historical (1850–2000) gridded anthropogenic and biomass burning emissions of reactive gases and aerosols: methodology and application

2010 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 4963-5019 ◽  
Author(s):  
J.-F. Lamarque ◽  
T. C. Bond ◽  
V. Eyring ◽  
C. Granier ◽  
A. Heil ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Carbon Monoxide ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Historical Period ◽  
Term Trend ◽  
Model Simulations ◽  
Reactive Gases ◽  
Long Term Trend ◽  
Good Agreement

Abstract. We present and discuss a new dataset of gridded emissions covering the historical period (1850–2000) in decadal increments at a horizontal resolution of 0.5° in latitude and longitude. The primary purpose of this inventory is to provide consistent gridded emissions of reactive gases and aerosols for use in chemistry model simulations needed by climate models for the Climate Model Intercomparison Program #5 (CMIP5) in support of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5). Our best estimate for the year 2000 inventory represents a combination of existing regional and global inventories to capture the best information available at this point; 40 regions and 12 sectors are used to combine the various sources. The historical reconstruction of each emitted compound, for each region and sector, is then forced to agree with our 2000 estimate, ensuring continuity between past and 2000 emissions. Simulations from two chemistry-climate models is used to test the ability of the emission dataset described here to capture long-term changes in atmospheric ozone, carbon monoxide and aerosol distributions. The simulated long-term change in the Northern mid-latitudes surface and mid-troposphere ozone is not quite as rapid as observed. However, stations outside this latitude band show much better agreement in both present-day and long-term trend. The model simulations indicate that the concentration of carbon monoxide is underestimated at the Mace Head station; however, the long-term trend over the limited observational period seems to be reasonably well captured. The simulated sulfate and black carbon deposition over Greenland is in very good agreement with the ice-core observations spanning the simulation period. Finally, aerosol optical depth and additional aerosol diagnostics are shown to be in good agreement with previously published estimates and observations.

scholarly journals Temperature and tropopause characteristics from reanalyses data in the tropical tropopause layer

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 753-770 ◽  
Author(s):  
Susann Tegtmeier ◽  
James Anstey ◽  
Sean Davis ◽  
Rossana Dragani ◽  
Yayoi Harada ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Interannual Variability ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Radiosonde Data ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Tropical Tropopause Layer ◽  
Tropical Tropopause ◽  
Occultation Data ◽  
Cold Point ◽  
Good Agreement

Abstract. The tropical tropopause layer (TTL) is the transition region between the well-mixed convective troposphere and the radiatively controlled stratosphere with air masses showing chemical and dynamical properties of both regions. The representation of the TTL in meteorological reanalysis data sets is important for studying the complex interactions of circulation, convection, trace gases, clouds, and radiation. In this paper, we present the evaluation of climatological and long-term TTL temperature and tropopause characteristics in the reanalysis data sets ERA-Interim, ERA5, JRA-25, JRA-55, MERRA, MERRA-2, NCEP-NCAR (R1), and CFSR. The evaluation has been performed as part of the SPARC (Stratosphere–troposphere Processes and their Role in Climate) Reanalysis Intercomparison Project (S-RIP). The most recent atmospheric reanalysis data sets (ERA-Interim, ERA5, JRA-55, MERRA-2, and CFSR) all provide realistic representations of the major characteristics of the temperature structure within the TTL. There is good agreement between reanalysis estimates of tropical mean temperatures and radio occultation data, with relatively small cold biases for most data sets. Temperatures at the cold point and lapse rate tropopause levels, on the other hand, show warm biases in reanalyses when compared to observations. This tropopause-level warm bias is related to the vertical resolution of the reanalysis data, with the smallest bias found for data sets with the highest vertical resolution around the tropopause. Differences in the cold point temperature maximize over equatorial Africa, related to Kelvin wave activity and associated disturbances in TTL temperatures. Interannual variability in reanalysis temperatures is best constrained in the upper TTL, with larger differences at levels below the cold point. The reanalyses reproduce the temperature responses to major dynamical and radiative signals such as volcanic eruptions and the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO). Long-term reanalysis trends in temperature in the upper TTL show good agreement with trends derived from adjusted radiosonde data sets indicating significant stratospheric cooling of around −0.5 to −1 K per decade. At 100 hPa and the cold point, most of the reanalyses suggest small but significant cooling trends of −0.3 to −0.6 K per decade that are statistically consistent with trends based on the adjusted radiosonde data sets. Advances of the reanalysis and observational systems over the last decades have led to a clear improvement in the TTL reanalysis products over time. Biases of the temperature profiles and differences in interannual variability clearly decreased in 2006, when densely sampled radio occultation data started being assimilated by the reanalyses. While there is an overall good agreement, different reanalyses offer different advantages in the TTL such as realistic profile and cold point temperature, continuous time series, or a realistic representation of signals of interannual variability. Their use in model simulations and in comparisons with climate model output should be tailored to their specific strengths and weaknesses.

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