The role of land cover, land use, and atmospheric transport for the mismatch of flowering and atmospheric pollen seasonality

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Annette Menzel ◽  
Ye Yuan
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Atmospheric Transport ◽  
Species Traits ◽  
Spatial And Temporal Patterns ◽  
Climate Change Effects ◽  
Pollen Transport ◽  
Cutting Regimes

<p>Aeroallergens contribute a major climate change impact on human health since warming favours the production and advances the release of plant pollen. This goes in line with a widely observed advance of flowering in response to increasing temperatures. However, documented plant phenological changes vary with species traits, seasons, and sites. Nevertheless, the start and end of flowering dates are known to build a solid baseline for assessing the spatial and temporal patterns in pollen calendars. A closer look at the match/mismatch of flowering and start of pollen season dates reveals considerable differences which may be also indirectly linked to climate change. In this talk, we will present three perspectives related to (1) grassland land use, cutting regimes and agri-environment measures (AEM), (2) post-season pollen transport of an alpine <em>Alnus </em>species, as well as (3) a first climatology of pre-season long-range pollen transport to Bavaria. These selected examples underline the prominent role of land use/land cover (LULC) and pollen transport besides direct temperature mediated climate change effects on flowering for regional pollen calendars.</p>

scholarly journals The role of land use and land cover change in climate change vulnerability assessments of biodiversity: a systematic review

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria J. Santos ◽  
Adam B. Smith ◽  
Stefan C. Dekker ◽  
Maarten B. Eppinga ◽  
Pedro J. Leitão ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Population Viability ◽  
Interactive Effects ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Climate Change Vulnerability ◽  
Management Intervention ◽  
Vulnerability Assessments

Abstract Context For many organisms, responses to climate change (CC) will be affected by land-use and land-cover changes (LULCC). However, the extent to which LULCC is concurrently considered in climate change vulnerability assessments (CCVAs) is unclear. Objectives We identify trends in inclusion of LULCC and CC in vulnerability assessments of species and the direction and magnitude of their combined effect on biodiversity. Further, we examine the effect size of LULCC and CC in driving changes in “currencies” of response to CC, such as distribution, abundance and survival. Methods We conducted a systematic literature review of articles published in the last 30 years that focused on CCVA and accounted for impacts of both CC and LULCC. Results Across 116 studies, 34% assumed CC and LULCC would act additively, while 66% allowed for interactive effects. The majority of CCVAs reported similar effect sizes for CC and LULCC, although they affected different CCVA currencies. Only 14% of the studies showed larger effects of CC than of LULCC. Another 14% showed larger effects of LULCC than CC, specifically for dispersal, population viability, and reproduction, which tend to be strongly affected by fragmentation and disturbance. Although most studies found that LULCC and CC had negative effects on species currencies, in some cases effects were neutral or even positive. Conclusions CCVAs that incorporate LULCC provided a better account of drivers of vulnerability, and highlight aspects of drivers that are generally more amenable to on-the-ground management intervention than CCVAs that focus on CC alone.

scholarly journals Impact of Climate and Land Use/Land Cover Change on the Water Resources of a Tropical Inland Valley Catchment in Uganda, East Africa

Climate ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (7) ◽  
pp. 83
Author(s):  
Geofrey Gabiri ◽  
Bernd Diekkrüger ◽  
Kristian Näschen ◽  
Constanze Leemhuis ◽  
Roderick van der Linden ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Water Resources ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Rainy Season ◽  
Hydrological Processes ◽  
Land Use Land Cover ◽  
Lulc Change ◽  
Inland Valley ◽  
Headwater Catchment

The impact of climate and land use/land cover (LULC) change continues to threaten water resources availability for the agriculturally used inland valley wetlands and their catchments in East Africa. This study assessed climate and LULC change impacts on the hydrological processes of a tropical headwater inland valley catchment in Uganda. The hydrological model Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was applied to analyze climate and LULC change impacts on the hydrological processes. An ensemble of six regional climate models (RCMs) from the Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment for two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, were used for climate change assessment for historical (1976–2005) and future climate (2021–2050). Four LULC scenarios defined as exploitation, total conservation, slope conservation, and protection of headwater catchment were considered. The results indicate an increase in precipitation by 7.4% and 21.8% of the annual averages in the future under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively. Future wet conditions are more pronounced in the short rainy season than in the long rainy season. Flooding intensity is likely to increase during the rainy season with low flows more pronounced in the dry season. Increases in future annual averages of water yield (29.0% and 42.7% under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively) and surface runoff (37.6% and 51.8% under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively) relative to the historical simulations are projected. LULC and climate change individually will cause changes in the inland valley hydrological processes, but more pronounced changes are expected if the drivers are combined, although LULC changes will have a dominant influence. Adoption of total conservation, slope conservation and protection of headwater catchment LULC scenarios will significantly reduce climate change impacts on water resources in the inland valley. Thus, if sustainable climate-smart management practices are adopted, the availability of water resources for human consumption and agricultural production will increase.

scholarly journals Analysing the safe and just operating space of agriculture in the world: past, present and future

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ajishnu Roy ◽  
Kousik Pramanick
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Ecological Footprint ◽  
Arable Land ◽  
Planetary Boundaries ◽  
Nitrogen Use ◽  
Freshwater Use ◽  
Safe Operating ◽  
Arable Land Use

AbstractAgriculture, along with industry and household sector are three major sectors of human consumption. Agriculture has proved to be a major contributor to exceeding planetary boundaries. Here, we have explored the impact of agriculture in the Earth system processes, through eight dimensions of planetary boundaries or safe operating spaces: climate change (10.73%), freshwater use (91.56%), arable land use (37.27%), nitrogen use (95.77%), phosphorus use (87.28%), ecological footprint (19.42%), atmospheric pollution (2.52% - 38.08%) and novel entities. In this work, we have also shown role of agriculture to the socio-economic development dimensions: gender equality, employment and economic growth. We have shown that the safe operating limits for agriculture are going to decline by almost 55% (climate change), 300% (freshwater use), 50-55% (arable land use), 180% (nitrogen use), 265% (phosphorus use) and 20% (ecological footprint) in 2050, if the most inefficient way of consumption is chosen and continued. To alleviate the role of agriculture in transgressing planetary boundaries, it is indispensable to comprehend how many roles of agriculture is playing and where which target should be set to framework the national agricultural policies in coherence with attaining sustainable development goals of UN by 2030.

scholarly journals Land Cover/ Land Use Change and Climate Change in Dhofar Governorate, Oman

2021 ◽  
pp. 41-47
Author(s):  
E. Ramadan ◽  
T. Al-Awadhi ◽  
Y. Charabi
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Land Cover Change ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Spatial Differentiation ◽  
Study Results ◽  
Vegetation Activity ◽  
The Status ◽  
Landsat Satellite

The study of land cover/land use dynamics under climate change conditions is of great significance for improving sustainable ecological management. Understanding the relationships between land cover and land use changes and climate change is thus very important. Understanding the interactive and cumulative effects of climate and land-use changes are a priority for urban planners and policy makers. The present investigation is based on Landsat satellite imagery to explore changes in vegetation spatial distribution between the years from 2000 to2018 The methodology is focused on vegetation indexes tracking and algebraic overlay calculation to analyzed vegetation and their spatial differentiation, land cover change pattern, and the relationships between vegetation dynamics and land cover change in Dhofar Governorate. The study results have revealed that the vegetation vigor is lower in all years compared to 2000. The scene of 2010 shows the minimum vegetation vigor, overall. Besides, the investigation shows a statistical relationship between rainfall and the status of the health of vegetation. Monsoon rainfall has an impact of the growth of vegetation. Between 2012 and 2013, the vegetation activity shows a decreasing trend. The analysis diagnoses an area affected by the worst degree of aridity situated in the southeastern of Dhofar Mountains. Climate change is the main driving factor resulted from both human activities and rainfall fluctuation.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document