Advantages of calibrating a daily rainfall-runoff model to monthly streamflow data

Author(s):  
Julien Lerat ◽  
Mark Thyer ◽  
David McInerney ◽  
Dmitri Kavetski

<p>Development of robust approaches for calibrating daily rainfall-runoff models to monthly streamflow data enable modelling platforms that operate at daily time step to be applied in practical situations. Here precipitation is available at the daily scale, but observed streamflow is available only at the monthly scale (e.g. predicting inflows into large dams). This study compares the performance of the daily GR4J hydrological model when calibrated against (1) daily and (2) monthly streamflow data. The performance comparison relies on a wide range of metrics and is undertaken for 508 Australian catchments. Two evaluation periods (1975–1992 and 1992–2015) and four objective functions (including sum-of-squared-errors of Box-Cox transformed streamflow and the Kling-Gupta efficiency) were tested.</p><p>Monthly calibration performs similar to or better than daily calibration in most sites and both periods in terms of bias and fit of the flow duration curve. This result remains the same when the flow duration curve is computed at the daily time step, which constitutes a significant finding of this study.</p><p>However, the performance of monthly calibration is worse than daily calibration for daily pattern metrics such as Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency in most sites and both periods. Significant improvement can be achieved if the flow-timing parameter of GR4J is regionalised, effectively reducing the number of calibrated parameters. Similar results are obtained for other pattern metrics and all objective functions.</p><p>These findings suggest that monthly calibration of rainfall-runoff models using daily-rainfall and monthly-streamflow data is a viable alternative to daily calibration when no daily streamflow data are available.</p>

2020 ◽  
Vol 591 ◽  
pp. 125129 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julien Lerat ◽  
Mark Thyer ◽  
David McInerney ◽  
Dmitri Kavetski ◽  
Fitsum Woldemeskel ◽  
...  

2017 ◽  
Vol 20 (3) ◽  
pp. 645-667 ◽  
Author(s):  
Poornima Unnikrishnan ◽  
V. Jothiprakash

Abstract Accurate forecasting of rainfall, especially daily time-step rainfall, remains a challenging task for hydrologists' invariance with the existence of several deterministic, stochastic and data-driven models. Several researchers have fine-tuned the hydrological models by using pre-processed input data but improvement rate in prediction of daily time-step rainfall data is not up to the expected level. There are still chances to improve the accuracy of rainfall predictions with an efficient data pre-processing algorithm. Singular spectrum analysis (SSA) is one such technique found to be a very successful data pre-processing algorithm. In the past, the artificial neural network (ANN) model emerged as one of the most successful data-driven techniques in hydrology because of its ability to capture non-linearity and a wide variety of algorithms. This study aims at assessing the advantage of using SSA as a pre-processing algorithm in ANN models. It also compares the performance of a simple ANN model with SSA-ANN model in forecasting single time-step as well as multi-time-step (3-day and 7-day) ahead daily rainfall time series pertaining to Koyna watershed, India. The model performance measures show that data pre-processing using SSA has enhanced the performance of ANN models both in single as well as multi-time-step ahead daily rainfall prediction.


Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 338 ◽  
Author(s):  
Halil Ibrahim Burgan ◽  
Hafzullah Aksoy

Flow duration curve (FDC) is widely used in hydrology to assess streamflow in a river basin. In this study, a simple FDC model is developed for monthly streamflow data. The model consists of several steps including the nondimensionalization and then normalization in case the monthly streamflow data do not fit the normal probability distribution function. The normalized quantiles are calculated after which a back transformation is applied to the normalized quantiles to return back to the original dimensional streamflow data. In order to calculate annual streamflow of the river basin, an empirical regression equation is proposed using the drainage area and the annual total precipitation only as the input. As the final step of the model, dimensional quantiles of FDC are calculated. Ceyhan River basin in southern Turkey is chosen for the case study. Forty-two streamflow gauging stations are considered; two thirds of the gauging stations are used for the model calibration, and one third for validation. The modeled FDCs are compared to the observation and assessed with a number of performance metrics. They are found similar to the observed ones with a relatively good performance; they are good in the mid and high flow parts particularly while the low flow part of FDCs might require further detailed analysis.


Hydrology ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 58
Author(s):  
Ahmed Naseh Ahmed Hamdan ◽  
Suhad Almuktar ◽  
Miklas Scholz

It has become necessary to estimate the quantities of runoff by knowing the amount of rainfall to calculate the required quantities of water storage in reservoirs and to determine the likelihood of flooding. The present study deals with the development of a hydrological model named Hydrologic Engineering Center (HEC-HMS), which uses Digital Elevation Models (DEM). This hydrological model was used by means of the Geospatial Hydrologic Modeling Extension (HEC-GeoHMS) and Geographical Information Systems (GIS) to identify the discharge of the Al-Adhaim River catchment and embankment dam in Iraq by simulated rainfall-runoff processes. The meteorological models were developed within the HEC-HMS from the recorded daily rainfall data for the hydrological years 2015 to 2018. The control specifications were defined for the specified period and one day time step. The Soil Conservation Service-Curve number (SCS-CN), SCS Unit Hydrograph and Muskingum methods were used for loss, transformation and routing calculations, respectively. The model was simulated for two years for calibration and one year for verification of the daily rainfall values. The results showed that both observed and simulated hydrographs were highly correlated. The model’s performance was evaluated by using a coefficient of determination of 90% for calibration and verification. The dam’s discharge for the considered period was successfully simulated but slightly overestimated. The results indicated that the model is suitable for hydrological simulations in the Al-Adhaim river catchment.


2010 ◽  
Vol 25 (10) ◽  
pp. 1542-1557 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ashraf El-Sadek ◽  
Max Bleiweiss ◽  
Manoj Shukla ◽  
Steve Guldan ◽  
Alexander Fernald

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