scholarly journals The sensitivity of the large-scale atmosphere circulation to changes in surface temperature gradients in the Northern Hemisphere

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sonja Molnos ◽  
Stefan Petri ◽  
Jascha Lehmann ◽  
Erik Peukert ◽  
Dim Coumou
Keyword(s):  
Temperature Gradient ◽  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Planetary Waves ◽  
Hadley Cell ◽  
Temperature Fields ◽  
Storm Tracks ◽  
Meridional Temperature Gradient ◽  
Jet Streams

Abstract. Climate and weather conditions in the mid-latitudes are strongly driven by the large-scale atmosphere circulation. Observational data indicates that important components of the large-scale circulation have changed in recent decades including the strength of the Hadley cell, jet streams, storm tracks and planetary waves. Associated impacts cover a broad range, including changes in the frequency and nature of weather extremes and shifts of fertile habitats with implications for biodiversity and agriculture. Dynamical theories have been proposed that link the shift of the poleward edge of the Northern Hadley cell to changes in the meridional temperature gradient. Moreover, model simulations have been carried out to analyse the cause of observed and projected changes in the large-scale atmosphere circulation. However, the question of the underlying drivers and particularly the possible role of global warming is still debated. Here, we use a statistical-dynamical atmosphere model (SDAM) to analyse the sensitivity of the Northern Hemisphere Hadley cell, storm tracks, jet streams and planetary waves to changes in temperature fields by systematically altering the zonal and meridional temperature gradient as well as the global mean surface temperature.

scholarly journals Exploring the sensitivity of Northern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation to different surface temperature forcing using a statistical–dynamical atmospheric model

2019 ◽  
Vol 26 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sonja Totz ◽  
Stefan Petri ◽  
Jascha Lehmann ◽  
Erik Peukert ◽  
Dim Coumou
Keyword(s):  
Temperature Gradient ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Planetary Waves ◽  
Hadley Cell ◽  
Storm Tracks ◽  
Meridional Temperature Gradient ◽  
Jet Streams ◽  
Global Mean Temperature ◽  
Mean Temperature ◽  
Global Mean

Abstract. Climate and weather conditions in the mid-latitudes are strongly driven by the large-scale atmosphere circulation. Observational data indicate that important components of the large-scale circulation have changed in recent decades, including the strength and the width of the Hadley cell, jets, storm tracks and planetary waves. Here, we use a new statistical–dynamical atmosphere model (SDAM) to test the individual sensitivities of the large-scale atmospheric circulation to changes in the zonal temperature gradient, meridional temperature gradient and global-mean temperature. We analyze the Northern Hemisphere Hadley circulation, jet streams, storm tracks and planetary waves by systematically altering the zonal temperature asymmetry, the meridional temperature gradient and the global-mean temperature. Our results show that the strength of the Hadley cell, storm tracks and jet streams depend, in terms of relative changes, almost linearly on both the global-mean temperature and the meridional temperature gradient, whereas the zonal temperature asymmetry has little or no influence. The magnitude of planetary waves is affected by all three temperature components, as expected from theoretical dynamical considerations. The width of the Hadley cell behaves nonlinearly with respect to all three temperature components in the SDAM. Moreover, some of these observed large-scale atmospheric changes are expected from dynamical equations and are therefore an important part of model validation.

scholarly journals Exploring the sensitivity of the large-scale atmosphere circulation to changes in surface temperature gradients using a Statistical-Dynamical Atmosphere Model

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sonja Totz ◽  
Stefan Petri ◽  
Jascha Lehmann ◽  
Erik Peukert ◽  
Dim Coumou
Keyword(s):  
Temperature Gradient ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Planetary Waves ◽  
Temperature Gradients ◽  
Hadley Cell ◽  
Storm Tracks ◽  
Meridional Temperature Gradient ◽  
Global Mean Temperature ◽  
Temperature Asymmetry ◽  
Global Mean

Abstract. Climate and weather conditions in the mid-latitudes are strongly driven by the large-scale atmosphere circulation. Observational data indicates that important components of the large-scale circulation have changed in recent decades including the strength of the Hadley cell, jets, storm tracks and planetary waves. Here, we use a statistical-dynamical atmosphere model (SDAM) to analyse the sensitivity of the Northern Hemisphere dynamical components to changes in temperature fields by systematically altering the zonal temperature asymmetry and meridional temperature gradient as well as the global mean temperature. Our results show that the strength of the Hadley cell, storm tracks and jet streams depends almost linearly on both the global mean temperature and the meridional temperature gradient whereas the zonal temperature asymmetry has little or no influence. The magnitude of planetary waves is clearly affected by all three temperature components. The width of the Hadley cell behaves nonlinearly with respect to all three temperature components. Under global warming the temperature gradients are expected to change: Enhanced warming is expected in the Arctic, largely near the surface, and at the equator at high altitudes, altering the meridional temperature gradient. Further, land-ocean contrasts will change due to enhanced land warming. Also there is a pronounced seasonality to these warming patterns. Using SDAMs to disentangle and separately analyse the effect of individual temperature changes can help to understand observed and projected changes in large-scale atmosphere dynamics. Moreover, some of these observed large-scale atmospheric changes are expected from dynamical equations and therefore an important part of model validation.

scholarly journals Summer Westerly Jet in Northern Hemisphere during the Mid-Holocene: A Multi-Model Study

Atmosphere ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 1193
Author(s):  
Chuchu Xu ◽  
Mi Yan ◽  
Liang Ning ◽  
Jian Liu
Keyword(s):  
Temperature Gradient ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Hadley Cell ◽  
Dynamic Processes ◽  
Jet Stream ◽  
Meridional Temperature Gradient ◽  
The North ◽  
Westerly Jet ◽  
Poleward Shift ◽  
Thermodynamic Processes

The upper-level jet stream, a narrow band of maximum wind speed in the mid-latitude westerlies, exerts a considerable influence on the global climate by modulating the transport and distribution of momentum, heat and moisture. In this study by using four high-resolution models in the Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project phase 3, the changes of position and intensity of the northern hemisphere westerly jet at 200 hPa in summer during the mid-Holocene (MH), as well as the related mechanisms, are investigated. The four models show similar performance on the westerly jet. At the hemispheric scale, the simulated westerly jet has a poleward shift during the MH compared to the preindustrial period. The warming in arctic and cooling in the tropics during the MH are caused by the orbital changes of the earth and the precipitation changes, and it could lead to the weakened meridional temperature gradient and pressure gradient, which might account for the poleward shift of the westerly jet from the thermodynamic perspective. From the dynamic perspective, two maximum centers of eddy kinetic energy are simulated over the North Pacific and North Atlantic with the north deviation, which could cause the northward movement of the westerly jet. The weakening of the jet stream is associated with the change of the Hadley cell and the meridional temperature gradient. The largest weakening is over the Pacific Ocean where both the dynamic and the thermodynamic processes have weakening effects. The smallest weakening is over the Atlantic Ocean, and it is induced by the offset effects of dynamic processes and thermodynamic processes. The weakening over the Eurasia is mainly caused by the dynamic processes.

The Tropospheric Response to Tropical and Subtropical Zonally Asymmetric Torques: Analytical and Idealized Numerical Model Results

2012 ◽  
Vol 69 (1) ◽  
pp. 214-235 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tiffany A. Shaw ◽  
William R. Boos
Keyword(s):  
Temperature Gradient ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Critical Line ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
General Circulation Models ◽  
Kelvin Wave ◽  
Meridional Temperature Gradient ◽  
Poleward Shift

Abstract The tropospheric response to prescribed tropical and subtropical zonally asymmetric torques, which can be considered as idealizations of vertical momentum transfers by orographic gravity waves or convection, is investigated. The linear analytical Gill model response to westward upper-tropospheric torques is compared to the response to a midtropospheric heating, which is a familiar point of reference. The response to an equatorial torque projects onto a Kelvin wave response to the east that is of opposite sign to the response to the east of the heating at upper levels. In contrast, the torque and heating both produce Rossby gyres of the same sign to the west of the forcing and the zonal-mean streamfunction responses are identical. When the forcings are shifted into the Northern Hemisphere, the streamfunction responses have opposite signs: there is upwelling in the Southern (Northern) Hemisphere in response to the torque (heating). The nonlinear response to westward torques was explored in idealized general circulation model experiments. In the absence of a large-scale meridional temperature gradient, the response to an equatorial torque was confined to the tropics and was qualitatively similar to the linear solutions. When the torque was moved into the subtropics, the vorticity budget response was similar to a downward control–type balance in the zonal mean. In the presence of a meridional temperature gradient, the response to an equatorial torque involved a poleward shift of the midlatitude tropospheric jet and Ferrel cell. The response in midlatitudes was associated with a poleward shift of the regions of horizontal eddy momentum flux convergence, which coincided with a shift in the upper-tropospheric critical line for baroclinic waves. The shift in the critical line was caused (in part) by the zonal wind response to the prescribed torque, suggesting a possible cause of the response in midlatitudes. Overall, this hierarchy of analytical and numerical results highlights robust aspects of the response to tropical and subtropical zonally asymmetric torques and represents the first step toward understanding the response in fully comprehensive general circulation models.

scholarly journals Changing available energy for extratropical cyclones and associated convection in Northern Hemisphere summer

2019 ◽  
Vol 116 (10) ◽  
pp. 4105-4110 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles G. Gertler ◽  
Paul A. O’Gorman
Keyword(s):  
Temperature Gradient ◽  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Thermal Structure ◽  
Extratropical Cyclone ◽  
Extratropical Cyclones ◽  
Cyclone Activity ◽  
Available Energy ◽  
The Mean

The circulation of the Northern Hemisphere extratropical troposphere has changed over recent decades, with marked decreases in extratropical cyclone activity and eddy kinetic energy (EKE) in summer and increases in the fraction of precipitation that is convective in all seasons. Decreasing EKE in summer is partly explained by a weakening meridional temperature gradient, but changes in vertical temperature gradients and increasing moisture also affect the mean available potential energy (MAPE), which is the energetic reservoir from which extratropical cyclones draw. Furthermore, the relation of changes in mean thermal structure and moisture to changes in convection associated with extratropical cyclones is poorly understood. Here we calculate trends in MAPE for the Northern extratropics in summer over the years 1979–2017, and we decompose MAPE into both convective and nonconvective components. Nonconvective MAPE decreased over this period, consistent with decreases in EKE and extratropical cyclone activity, but convective MAPE increased, implying an increase in the energy available to convection. Calculations with idealized atmospheres indicate that nonconvective and convective MAPE both increase with increasing mean surface temperature and decrease with decreasing meridional surface temperature gradient, but convective MAPE is relatively more sensitive to the increase in mean surface temperature. These results connect changes in the atmospheric mean state with changes in both large-scale and convective circulations, and they suggest that extratropical cyclones can weaken even as their associated convection becomes more energetic.

scholarly journals The dynamical core of the Aeolus 1.0 statistical–dynamical atmosphere model: validation and parameter optimization

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 665-679 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sonja Totz ◽  
Alexey V. Eliseev ◽  
Stefan Petri ◽  
Michael Flechsig ◽  
Levke Caesar ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Simulated Annealing ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Hadley Circulation ◽  
Planetary Waves ◽  
Storm Tracks ◽  
High Dimensional ◽  
Dynamical Core ◽  
Atmosphere Model ◽  
Parameter Values

Abstract. We present and validate a set of equations for representing the atmosphere's large-scale general circulation in an Earth system model of intermediate complexity (EMIC). These dynamical equations have been implemented in Aeolus 1.0, which is a statistical–dynamical atmosphere model (SDAM) and includes radiative transfer and cloud modules (Coumou et al., 2011; Eliseev et al., 2013). The statistical dynamical approach is computationally efficient and thus enables us to perform climate simulations at multimillennia timescales, which is a prime aim of our model development. Further, this computational efficiency enables us to scan large and high-dimensional parameter space to tune the model parameters, e.g., for sensitivity studies. Here, we present novel equations for the large-scale zonal-mean wind as well as those for planetary waves. Together with synoptic parameterization (as presented by Coumou et al., 2011), these form the mathematical description of the dynamical core of Aeolus 1.0. We optimize the dynamical core parameter values by tuning all relevant dynamical fields to ERA-Interim reanalysis data (1983–2009) forcing the dynamical core with prescribed surface temperature, surface humidity and cumulus cloud fraction. We test the model's performance in reproducing the seasonal cycle and the influence of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). We use a simulated annealing optimization algorithm, which approximates the global minimum of a high-dimensional function. With non-tuned parameter values, the model performs reasonably in terms of its representation of zonal-mean circulation, planetary waves and storm tracks. The simulated annealing optimization improves in particular the model's representation of the Northern Hemisphere jet stream and storm tracks as well as the Hadley circulation. The regions of high azonal wind velocities (planetary waves) are accurately captured for all validation experiments. The zonal-mean zonal wind and the integrated lower troposphere mass flux show good results in particular in the Northern Hemisphere. In the Southern Hemisphere, the model tends to produce too-weak zonal-mean zonal winds and a too-narrow Hadley circulation. We discuss possible reasons for these model biases as well as planned future model improvements and applications.

Subsurface temperature maps in French sedimentary basins: new data compilation and interpolation

2010 ◽  
Vol 181 (4) ◽  
pp. 377-390 ◽  
Author(s):  
Damien Bonté ◽  
Laurent Guillou-Frottier ◽  
Cynthia Garibaldi ◽  
Bernard Bourgine ◽  
Simon Lopez ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Temperature Gradient ◽  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Cross Sections ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Thermal Structure ◽  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Sedimentary Basins ◽  
Local Character ◽  
Data Compilation ◽  
Temperature Maps

Abstract Assessment of the underground geothermal potential requires the knowledge of deep temperatures (1–5 km). Here, we present new temperature maps obtained from oil boreholes in the French sedimentary basins. Because of their origin, the data need to be corrected, and their local character necessitates spatial interpolation. Previous maps were obtained in the 1970s using empirical corrections and manual interpolation. In this study, we update the number of measurements by using values collected during the last thirty years, correct the temperatures for transient perturbations and carry out statistical analyses before modelling the 3D distribution of temperatures. This dataset provides 977 temperatures corrected for transient perturbations in 593 boreholes located in the French sedimentary basins. An average temperature gradient of 30.6°C/km is obtained for a representative surface temperature of 10°C. When surface temperature is not accounted for, deep measurements are best fitted with a temperature gradient of 25.7°C/km. We perform a geostatistical analysis on a residual temperature dataset (using a drift of 25.7°C/km) to constrain the 3D interpolation kriging procedure with horizontal and vertical models of variograms. The interpolated residual temperatures are added to the country-scale averaged drift in order to get a three dimensional thermal structure of the French sedimentary basins. The 3D thermal block enables us to extract isothermal surfaces and 2D sections (iso-depth maps and iso-longitude cross-sections). A number of anomalies with a limited depth and spatial extension have been identified, from shallow in the Rhine graben and Aquitanian basin, to deep in the Provence basin. Some of these anomalies (Paris basin, Alsace, south of the Provence basin) may be partly related to thick insulating sediments, while for some others (southwestern Aquitanian basin, part of the Provence basin) large-scale fluid circulation may explain superimposed cold and warm anomalies.

The Hydrometeorology of Niger River Basin

2013 ◽  
Vol 824 ◽  
pp. 613-629 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chucks Okoli
Keyword(s):  
Temperature Gradient ◽  
West Africa ◽  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
River Flow ◽  
Seasonal Evolution ◽  
Niger River ◽  
Surface Temperature Gradient

This paper examines the mean annual cycle of rainfall and general circulation features over the Niger River Basin consisting of mainly West Africa and Central Africa regions. Rainfall is examined using a 1400-station archive compiled by earlier workers. Other circulation features are examined using the NCEPNCAR reanalysis dataset. Important features of the reanalysis zonal wind field are shown to compare well with the seasonal evolution described by the radiosonde observations. In addition to the well-known African easterly jet (AEJ) of the Northern Hemisphere, the seasonal evolution of its Southern Hemisphere counterpart is also described. Thermal wind calculations show that although the southern jet is weaker, its existence is also due to a local reversal of the surface temperature gradient. In the upper troposphere, a strong semiannual cycle is shown in the 200-mb easterlies and a feature like the tropical easterly jet (TEJ) is evident south of the equator in January and February. The paper describes the movement of the rainbelt between central and West Africa. An asymmetry in the northward and southward migration of the rainbelt is evident. The paper discusses the influence that the jets may have on rainfall and possible feedback effects of rainfall on the jets. Evidence suggests that the midtropospheric jets influence the development of the rainy season, but also that the rainfall affects the surface temperature gradient and in turn the jets. In the Northern Hemisphere, east of 200E, the axis of the TEJ is located so that it may promote convection by increasing upper-level divergence. However, west of 100E and in the Southern Hemisphere, the location of the TEJ is consistent with the suggestion that it is the equatorward outflow of convection that produces the TEJ. The paper notes that rainfall and river flow is largely influenced by groundwater base flow, and a return to sustained river flow requires replenishment of the aquifers, which is possible only with cumulative raining years. The paper confirms that there is correlation between the decrease in rainfall and low river flows.

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