scholarly journals Comparison of Artificial Intelligence Techniques for river flow forecasting

2008 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 123-139 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Firat

Abstract. The use of Artificial Intelligence methods is becoming increasingly common in the modeling and forecasting of hydrological and water resource processes. In this study, applicability of Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) methods, Generalized Regression Neural Networks (GRNN) and Feed Forward Neural Networks (FFNN), and Auto-Regressive (AR) models for forecasting of daily river flow is investigated and Seyhan River and Cine River was chosen as case study area. For the Seyhan River, the forecasting models are established using combinations of antecedent daily river flow records. On the other hand, for the Cine River, daily river flow and rainfall records are used in input layer. For both stations, the data sets are divided into three subsets, training, testing and verification data set. The river flow forecasting models having various input structures are trained and tested to investigate the applicability of ANFIS and ANN and AR methods. The results of all models for both training and testing are evaluated and the best fit input structures and methods for both stations are determined according to criteria of performance evaluation. Moreover the best fit forecasting models are also verified by verification set which was not used in training and testing processes and compared according to criteria. The results demonstrate that ANFIS model is superior to the GRNN and FFNN forecasting models, and ANFIS can be successfully applied and provide high accuracy and reliability for daily river flow forecasting.

2007 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 1369-1406 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Firat

Abstract. The use of Artificial Intelligence methods is becoming increasingly common in the modeling and forecasting of hydrological and water resource processes. In this study, applicability of Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) methods, Generalized Regression Neural Networks (GRNN) and Feed Forward Neural Networks (FFNN), for forecasting of daily river flow is investigated and the Seyhan catchment, located in the south of Turkey, is chosen as a case study. Totally, 5114 daily river flow data are obtained from river flow gauges station of Üçtepe (1818) on Seyhan River between the years 1986 and 2000. The data set are divided into three subgroups, training, testing and verification. The training and testing data set include totally 5114 daily river flow data and the number of verification data points is 731. The river flow forecasting models having various input structures are trained and tested to investigate the applicability of ANFIS and ANN methods. The results of ANFIS, GRNN and FFNN models for both training and testing are evaluated and the best fit forecasting model structure and method is determined according to criteria of performance evaluation. The best fit model is also trained and tested by traditional statistical methods and the performances of all models are compared in order to get more effective evaluation. Moreover ANFIS, GRNN and FFNN models are also verified by verification data set including 731 daily river flow data at the time period 1998–2000 and the results of models are compared. The results demonstrate that ANFIS model is superior to the GRNN and FFNN forecasting models, and ANFIS can be successfully applied and provide high accuracy and reliability for daily River flow forecasting.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mariam Shreif ◽  
Shams Kalam ◽  
Mohammad Rasheed Khan ◽  
Rizwan Ahmed Khan

Abstract During the past decades, several research studies have been made to unfold the immense and diversified benefits of the innovative applications of machine learning (ML) techniques in the petroleum industry. For instance, machine learning algorithms were applied to estimate the various physical properties of natural gas. Natural gas density is considered an indispensable metric that influences the determination of several variables necessary for analyzing natural gas systems. In this work, the Artificial neural network (ANN), a machine learning technique, was applied to estimate natural gas density incorporating the influencing factors. The ANN model was also compared with another ML technique, namely the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). A mathematical form has been also presented using ANN. A real data set was taken from the literature, comprised of about 4500 data points assimilating three influencing input variables, including pseudo-reduced pressure (PPr), pseudo-reduced temperature (TPr), and molecular weight (Mw). The PPr and TPr are obtained by calculating the averages of the sample gas critical pressures and critical temperatures. A complicated nonlinear relationship exists between the three influencing variables and the gas density. The data set was divided into a 70:30 ratio for training and testing the model, respectively. Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) were applied to train and test the model. Absolute average percentage error (AAPE), coefficient of determination (R2), and root mean squared error (RMSE) were considered in the error metrics to acquire the best possible model. Levenberg–Marquardt backpropagation algorithm was employed for ANN, while subtractive clustering was used for ANFIS. Results showed that natural gas density can be well correlated with numerous inputs using machine learning tools (ANN and ANFIS). The input parameters include Ppr, Tpr, and Mw, as mentioned above. ANN performed better than ANFIS. The network was adjusted against the training sub-set to set-up weights and biases covering each node. R2 for both testing and training data was more than 99%, while AAPE was around 4% for both cases. Moreover, a detailed mathematical scheme for the ANN model is also provided in this paper.


2011 ◽  
Vol 110-116 ◽  
pp. 2976-2982 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sina Eskandari ◽  
Behrooz Arezoo ◽  
Amir Abdullah

Thermal errors of CNC machines have significant effects on precision of a workpiece. One of the approaches to reduce these errors is modeling and on-line compensating them. In this study, thermal errors of an axis of the machine are modeled by means of artificial neural networks along with fuzzy logic. Models are created using experimental data. In neural networks modeling, MLP type which has 2 hidden layers is chosen and it is trained by backpropagation algorithm. Finally, the model is validated with the aid of calculating mean squared error and correlation coefficients between outputs of the model and a checking data set. On the other hand, an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system is utilized in fuzzy modeling which uses neural network to develop membership functions as fuzzifiers and defuzzifiers. This network is trained by hybrid algorithm. At the end, model validation is done by mean squared error like previous method. The results show that the errors of both modeling techniques are acceptable and models can predict thermal errors reliably.


2009 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 887-897
Author(s):  
Vishal Paika ◽  
Er. Pankaj Bhambri

The face is the feature which distinguishes a person. Facial appearance is vital for human recognition. It has certain features like forehead, skin, eyes, ears, nose, cheeks, mouth, lip, teeth etc which helps us, humans, to recognize a particular face from millions of faces even after a large span of time and despite large changes in their appearance due to ageing, expression, viewing conditions and distractions such as disfigurement of face, scars, beard or hair style. A face is not merely a set of facial features but is rather but is rather something meaningful in its form.In this paper, depending on the various facial features, a system is designed to recognize them. To reveal the outline of the face, eyes, ears, nose, teeth etc different edge detection techniques have been used. These features are extracted in the term of distance between important feature points. The feature set obtained is then normalized and are feed to artificial neural networks so as to train them for reorganization of facial images.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Meisam Babanezhad ◽  
Iman Behroyan ◽  
Ali Taghvaie Nakhjiri ◽  
Azam Marjani ◽  
Mashallah Rezakazemi ◽  
...  

AbstractHerein, a reactor of bubble column type with non-equilibrium thermal condition between air and water is mechanistically modeled and simulated by the CFD technique. Moreover, the combination of the adaptive network (AN) trainer with the fuzzy inference system (FIS) as the artificial intelligence method calling ANFIS has already shown potential in the optimization of CFD approach. Although the artificial intelligence method of particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm based fuzzy inference system (PSOFIS) has a good background for optimizing the other fields of research, there are not any investigations on the cooperation of this method with the CFD. The PSOFIS can reduce all the difficulties and simplify the investigation by elimination of the additional CFD simulations. In fact, after achieving the best intelligence, all the predictions can be done by the PSOFIS instead of the massive computational efforts needed for CFD modeling. The first aim of this study is to develop the PSOFIS for use in the CFD approach application. The second one is to make a comparison between the PSOFIS and ANFIS for the accurate prediction of the CFD results. In the present study, the CFD data are learned by the PSOFIS for prediction of the water velocity inside the bubble column. The values of input numbers, swarm sizes, and inertia weights are investigated for the best intelligence. Once the best intelligence is achieved, there is no need to mesh refinement in the CFD domain. The mesh density can be increased, and the newer predictions can be done in an easier way by the PSOFIS with much less computational efforts. For a strong verification, the results of the PSOFIS in the prediction of the liquid velocity are compared with those of the ANFIS. It was shown that for the same fuzzy set parameters, the PSOFIS predictions are closer to the CFD in comparison with the ANFIS. The regression number (R) of the PSOFIS (0.98) was a little more than that of the ANFIS (0.97). The PSOFIS showed a powerful potential in mesh density increment from 9477 to 774,468 and accurate predictions for the new nodes independent of the CFD modeling.


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