Changes of evapotranspiration and water yield in China's terrestrial ecosystems during the period from 2000 to 2010

Terrestrial carbon and water cycles are interactively linked at various spatial and temporal scales. Evapotranspiration (ET) plays a key role in the terrestrial water cycle and altering carbon sequestration of terrestrial ecosystems. The study of ET and its response to climate and vegetation changes is critical in China since water availability is a limiting factor for the functioning of terrestrial ecosystems in vast arid and semiarid regions. In this study, the process-based Boreal Ecosystem Productivity Simulator (BEPS) model was employed in conjunction with a newly developed leaf area index (LAI) dataset and other spatial data to simulate daily ET and water yield at a spatial resolution of 500 m over China for the period from 2000 to 2010. The spatial and temporal variations of ET and water yield and influences of temperature, precipitation, land cover types, and LAI on ET were analyzed. The validations with ET measured at 5 typical ChinaFLUX sites and inferred using statistical hydrological data in 10 basins showed that the BEPS model was able to simulate daily and annual ET well at site and basin scales. Simulated annual ET exhibited a distinguishable southeast to northwest decreasing gradient, corresponding to climate conditions and vegetation types. It increased with the increase of LAI in 74% of China's landmass and was positively correlated with temperature in most areas of southwest, south, east, and central China and with precipitation in the arid and semiarid areas of northwest and north China. In the Tibet Plateau and humid southeast China, the increase in precipitation might cause ET to decrease. The national mean annual ET varied from 345.5 mm yr−1 in 2001 to 387.8 mm yr−1 in 2005, with an average of 369.8 mm yr−1 during the study period. The overall increase rate of 1.7 mm yr−2 (r = 0.43 p = 0.19) was mainly driven by the increase of total ET in forests. During the period from 2006 to 2009, precipitation and LAI decreased widely and consequently caused a detectable decrease of national total ET. The temporal patterns of ET varied spatially during the 11 yr study period, increasing in 62.2% of China's landmass, especially in the cropland areas of southern Haihe river basin, most of the Huaihe river basin, and southeastern Yangtze river basin. Decreases of annual ET mainly occurred in parts of northeast, north, northwest, south China, especially in eastern Qinghai-Tibet plateau, the south part of Yunnan province, and Hainan province. Vast regions in China, especially the regions south of Yangtze river, experienced significant decreases in water yield caused by the reduction of precipitation and increase of ET while some areas sporadically distributed in northeast, east, northwest, central, and south China experienced increases in water yield. This study shows that recent climatic variability and human activity induced vegetations changes have intensified the terrestrial water cycles in China's terrestrial ecosystems, which is worthy of further thorough investigation.