scholarly journals AGRICULTURAL LAND CHANGE DETECTING AND FORECASTING USING COMBINATION OF FEEDFORWARD MULTILAYER NEURAL NETWORK, CELLULAR AUTOMATA AND MARKOV CHAIN MODELS

Author(s):  
A. Babaeian Diva ◽  
B. Bigdeli ◽  
P. Pahlavani

Abstract. This paper proposed a methodology for finding changes in agricultural land of Tehran during past years and simulating these changes for future years. The proposed method utilized the spatial GIS-based techniques and Landsat satellite imagery to predict agricultural land map for the future of Tehran. Therefore, a method for finding and predicting changes based on combining the feedforward multilayer perceptron neural network (MLP), cellular automata (CA), and Markov chain model were applied. In this regard, the Landsat images of 2002, 2008, and 2014 were classified by a binary support vector machine classifier into two classes of agricultural and non-agricultural. Then, the potential transition maps were generated by the neural network MLP and extensible areas were obtained by the Markov chain model. Finally, the results of these two steps were combined with the MOLA method and the 2020 and 2025 agricultural maps were predicted. The proposed method obtained the Kappa factor of 89.92% that indicates the high ability of the neural network and the CA–Markov for finding the changes and prediction in the city of Tehran.

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Yuan Zou ◽  
Daoli Yang ◽  
Yuchen Pan

Gross domestic product (GDP) is the most widely-used tool for measuring the overall situation of a country’s economic activity within a specified period of time. A more accurate forecasting of GDP based on standardized procedures with known samples available is conducive to guide decision making of government, enterprises and individuals. This study devotes to enhance the accuracy regarding GDP forecasting with given sample of historical data. To achieve this purpose, the study incorporates artificial neural network (ANN) into grey Markov chain model to modify the residual error, thus develops a novel hybrid model called grey Markov chain with ANN error correction (abbreviated as GMCM_ANN), which assembles the advantages of three components to fit nonlinear forecasting with limited sample sizes. The new model has been tested by adopting the historical data, which includes the original GDP data of the United States, Japan, China and India from 2000 to 2019, and also provides predications on four countries’ GDP up to 2022. Four models including autoregressive integrated moving average model, back-propagation neural network, the traditional GM(1,1) and grey Markov chain model are as benchmarks for comparison of the predicted accuracy and application scope. The obtained results are satisfactory and indicate superior forecasting performance of the proposed approach in terms of accuracy and universality.


2011 ◽  
Vol 128-129 ◽  
pp. 520-524
Author(s):  
Hui Min Zhao ◽  
Li Zhu

An image hided-data detection method is proposed combining 2-D Markov chain model and Support Vector Machines (SVM) by the paper, in which image pixels are predicted with their neighboring pixels, and the prediction-error image is generated by subtracting the prediction value from the pixel value. Support vector machines are utilized as classifier. As embedding data rate being 0.1 bpp, experimental investigation utilizing spread spectrum (SS) and a Quantization Index Modulation (QIM) method data hiding method respectively , correction detection rates are all above 90% . For optimum LSB method ,the method achieves a detection rate from 50% to 90% above with 0.01bpp-0.3bpp various embedding data rates.


Author(s):  
Pramit Ghosh ◽  
Anirban Mukhopadhyay ◽  
Abhra Chanda ◽  
Parimal Mondal ◽  
Anirban Akhand ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (24) ◽  
pp. 10452
Author(s):  
Auwalu Faisal Koko ◽  
Wu Yue ◽  
Ghali Abdullahi Abubakar ◽  
Roknisadeh Hamed ◽  
Akram Ahmed Noman Alabsi

Monitoring land use/land cover (LULC) change dynamics plays a crucial role in formulating strategies and policies for the effective planning and sustainable development of rapidly growing cities. Therefore, this study sought to integrate the cellular automata and Markov chain model using remotely sensed data and geographical information system (GIS) techniques to monitor, map, and detect the spatio-temporal LULC change in Zaria city, Nigeria. Multi-temporal satellite images of 1990, 2005, and 2020 were pre-processed, geo-referenced, and mapped using the supervised maximum likelihood classification to examine the city’s historical land cover (1990–2020). Subsequently, an integrated cellular automata (CA)–Markov model was utilized to model, validate, and simulate the future LULC scenario using the land change modeler (LCM) of IDRISI-TerrSet software. The change detection results revealed an expansion in built-up areas and vegetation of 65.88% and 28.95%, respectively, resulting in barren land losing 63.06% over the last three decades. The predicted LULC maps of 2035 and 2050 indicate that these patterns of barren land changing into built-up areas and vegetation will continue over the next 30 years due to urban growth, reforestation, and development of agricultural activities. These results establish past and future LULC trends and provide crucial data useful for planning and sustainable land use management.


Heliyon ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (9) ◽  
pp. e05092
Author(s):  
Anne Gharaibeh ◽  
Abdulrazzaq Shaamala ◽  
Rasha Obeidat ◽  
Salman Al-Kofahi

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document