scholarly journals Experiences from site-specific landslide early warning systems

2013 ◽  
Vol 13 (10) ◽  
pp. 2659-2673 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Michoud ◽  
S. Bazin ◽  
L. H. Blikra ◽  
M.-H. Derron ◽  
M. Jaboyedoff

Abstract. Landslide early warning systems (EWSs) have to be implemented in areas with large risk for populations or infrastructures when classical structural remediation measures cannot be set up. This paper aims to gather experiences of existing landslide EWSs, with a special focus on practical requirements (e.g., alarm threshold values have to take into account the smallest detectable signal levels of deployed sensors before being established) and specific issues when dealing with system implementations. Within the framework of the SafeLand European project, a questionnaire was sent to about one-hundred institutions in charge of landslide management. Finally, we interpreted answers from experts belonging to 14 operational units related to 23 monitored landslides. Although no standard requirements exist for designing and operating EWSs, this review highlights some key elements, such as the importance of pre-investigation work, the redundancy and robustness of monitoring systems, the establishment of different scenarios adapted to gradual increasing of alert levels, and the necessity of confidence and trust between local populations and scientists. Moreover, it also confirms the need to improve our capabilities for failure forecasting, monitoring techniques and integration of water processes into landslide conceptual models.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Moritz Gamperl ◽  
John Singer ◽  
Kurosch Thuro

<p>Worldwide, cities in mountainous areas struggle with increasing landslide risk as consequence of global warming and population growth, especially in low-income informal settlements. For these situations, current monitoring systems are often too expensive and too difficult to maintain. Therefore, innovative monitoring systems are needed in order to facilitate low-cost landslide early warning systems (LEWS) which can be applied easily.</p><p>Based on technologies such as micro-electro-mechanical systems (MEMS) sensors and the LoRa (Long Range) communication standard, we are currently developing a cost-effective IoT (Internet of Things) geosensor network. It is specifically designed for local scale LEWS in informal settlements.</p><p>The system, which is open source and can be replicated without restrictions, consists of versatile LoRa sensor nodes which have a set of MEMS sensors (e.g. tilt sensor) on board and to which various additional sensors can be connected. The nodes are autonomous and can operate on standard batteries or solar panels. The sensor nodes can be installed on critical infrastructure such as house walls or foundations. Two of the possible additions are the Subsurface Sensor Node and the Low-Cost Inclinometer. Both are installed underground and offer tilt- and groundwater-measurements of the subsurface.</p><p>Complemented with further innovative measurement systems such as the Continuous Shear Monitor (CSM) and a flexible data management and analysis system, the newly developed monitoring system offers a great cost to benefit ratio and easy application for similar sites and LEWS, especially in urbanized areas in developing countries.</p><p>This work is being developed as part of the project Inform@Risk, where the monitoring system will be installed as part of an early warning system in Medellín, Colombia. It is funded by the German Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF).</p>


2013 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 85-90 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Intrieri ◽  
G. Gigli ◽  
N. Casagli ◽  
F. Nadim

Abstract. We define landslide Early Warning Systems and present practical guidelines to assist end-users with limited experience in the design of landslide Early Warning Systems (EWSs). In particular, two flow chart-based tools coming from the results of the SafeLand project (7th Framework Program) have been created to make them as simple and general as possible and in compliance with a variety of landslide types and settings at single slope scale. We point out that it is not possible to cover all the real landslide early warning situations that might occur, therefore it will be necessary for end-users to adapt the procedure to local peculiarities of the locations where the landslide EWS will be operated.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luca Piciullo ◽  
Michele Calvello

<p>Landslide early warning systems (LEWS) can be classified in either territorial or local systems (Piciullo et al., 2018). Systems addressing single landslides, at slope scale, can be named local LEWS (Lo-LEWS), systems operating over wide areas, at regional scale, can be referred to as territorial systems (Te-LEWS). Te-LEWS deal with the occurrence of several landslides within wide warning zones at municipal/regional/national scale. Nowadays, there are around 30 Te-LEWS operational worldwide (Piciullo et al., 2018; Guzzetti et al., 2020). The performance evaluation of such systems is often overlooked, and a standardized procedure is still missing. Often the performance evaluation is based on 2 by 2 contingency tables computed for the joint frequency distribution of landslides and alerts, both considered as dichotomous variables. This approach can lead to an imprecise assessment of the warning model, because it cannot differentiate among different levels of warning and the variable number of landslides that may occur in a time interval.</p><p>To overcome this issue Calvello and Piciullo (2016) proposed an original method for the performance analysis of a warning model, named EDuMaP, acronym of the method’s three main phases: Event analysis, Duration Matrix computation, Performance assessment. The method is centered around the computation of a n by m duration matrix that quantifies the time associated with the occurrence (and non-occurrence) of a given landslide event in relation to the different warning levels adopted by a Te-LEWS. Different performance criteria and indicators can be applied to evaluate the computed duration matrix.</p><p>Since 2016, the EDuMaP method has been applied to evaluate the performance of several Te-LEWS operational worldwide: Rio de Janeiro, Brazil (Calvello and Piciullo, 2016); Norway, Vestlandet (Piciullo et al., 2017a); Piemonte region, Italy (Piciullo et al., 2020), Amalfi coast, Italy (Piciullo et al., 2017b). These systems have different structures and warning models with either fixed or variable warning zones. In all cases, the EDuMaP method has proved to be flexible enough to successfully perform the evaluation of the warning models, highlighting critical and positive aspects of such systems, as well as proving that simpler evaluation methods do not allow a detailed assessment of the seriousness of the errors and of the correctness of the predictions of Te-LEWS (Piciullo et al., 2020).</p><p>Calvello M, Piciullo L (2016) Assessing the performance of regional landslide early warning models: the EDuMaP method. Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sc 16:103–122. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-103-2016</p><p>Guzzetti et al (2020) Geographical landslide early warning systems. Earth Sci Rev 200:102973. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earsc irev.2019.102973</p><p>Piciullo et al (2018) Territorial early warning systems for rainfall-induced landslides. Earth Sci Rev 179:228–247. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2018.02.013</p><p>Piciullo et al (2017a) Adaptation of the EDuMaP method for the performance evaluation of the alerts issued on variable warning zones. Nat Hazards Earth Sys Sc 17:817–831. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-817-2017</p><p>Piciullo et al (2017b) Definition and performance of a threshold-based regional early warning model for rainfall-induced landslides. Landslides 14:995–1008. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-016-0750-2</p><p>Piciullo et al (2020). Standards for the performance assessment of territorial landslide early warning systems. Landslides 17:2533–2546. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-020-01486-4</p>


Landslides ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (9) ◽  
pp. 2231-2246
Author(s):  
Hemalatha Thirugnanam ◽  
Maneesha Vinodini Ramesh ◽  
Venkat P. Rangan

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruihua Xiao

<p>For the recent years, highway safety control under extreme natural hazards in China has been facing critical challenges because of the latest extreme climates. Highway is a typical linear project, and neither the traditional single landslide monitoring and early warning model entirely dependent on displacement data, nor the regional meteorological early warning model entirely dependent on rainfall intensity and duration are suitable for it. In order to develop an efficient early warning system for highway safety, the authors have developed an early warning method based on both monitoring data obtained by GNSS and Crack meter, and meteorological data obtained by Radar. This early-warning system is not each of the local landslide early warning systems (Lo-LEWSs) or the territorial landslide early warning systems (Te-LEWSs), but a new system combining both of them. In this system, the minimum warning element is defined as the slope unit which can connect a single slope to the regional ones. By mapping the regional meteorological warning results to each of the slope units, and extending the warning results of the single landslides to the similar slope units, we can realize the organic combination of the two warning methods. It is hopeful to improve the hazard prevention and safety control for highway facilities during critical natural hazards with the progress of this study.</p>


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (9) ◽  
pp. 2753-2772
Author(s):  
Doris Hermle ◽  
Markus Keuschnig ◽  
Ingo Hartmeyer ◽  
Robert Delleske ◽  
Michael Krautblatter

Abstract. While optical remote sensing has demonstrated its capabilities for landslide detection and monitoring, spatial and temporal demands for landslide early warning systems (LEWSs) had not been met until recently. We introduce a novel conceptual approach to structure and quantitatively assess lead time for LEWSs. We analysed “time to warning” as a sequence: (i) time to collect, (ii) time to process and (iii) time to evaluate relevant optical data. The difference between the time to warning and “forecasting window” (i.e. time from hazard becoming predictable until event) is the lead time for reactive measures. We tested digital image correlation (DIC) of best-suited spatiotemporal techniques, i.e. 3 m resolution PlanetScope daily imagery and 0.16 m resolution unmanned aerial system (UAS)-derived orthophotos to reveal fast ground displacement and acceleration of a deep-seated, complex alpine mass movement leading to massive debris flow events. The time to warning for the UAS/PlanetScope totals 31/21 h and is comprised of time to (i) collect – 12/14 h, (ii) process – 17/5 h and (iii) evaluate – 2/2 h, which is well below the forecasting window for recent benchmarks and facilitates a lead time for reactive measures. We show optical remote sensing data can support LEWSs with a sufficiently fast processing time, demonstrating the feasibility of optical sensors for LEWSs.


2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 1511-1525 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Manconi ◽  
D. Giordan

Abstract. We investigate the use of landslide failure forecast models by exploiting near-real-time monitoring data. Starting from the inverse velocity theory, we analyze landslide surface displacements on different temporal windows, and apply straightforward statistical methods to obtain confidence intervals on the estimated time of failure. Here we describe the main concepts of our method, and show an example of application to a real emergency scenario, the La Saxe rockslide, Aosta Valley region, northern Italy. Based on the herein presented case study, we identify operational thresholds based on the reliability of the forecast models, in order to support the management of early warning systems in the most critical phases of the landslide emergency.


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