Data-Driven Recommendations for Establishing Threshold Values for the NIS Trend Indicator in the Mediterranean Sea

In the present work, we analysed time series data on the introduction of new non-indigenous species (NIS) in the Mediterranean between 1970 and 2017, aiming to arrive at recommendations concerning the reference period and provisional threshold values for the NIS trend indicator. We employed regression analysis and breakpoint structural analysis. Our results confirm earlier findings that the reference conditions differ for the four Mediterranean subregions, and support a shortening of the reporting cycle from six to three years, with a two-year time lag for the ensuing assessment. Excluding Lessepsian fishes and parasites, the reference period, defined as the most recent time segment with stable mean new NIS values, was estimated as 1997–2017 for the eastern Mediterranean, 2012–2017 for the central Mediterranean, 2000–2017 for the Adriatic and 1970–2017 for the western Mediterranean. These findings are interpreted primarily on the basis of a basin scale temperature regime shift in the late 1990s, shifts in driving forces such as shellfish culture, and as a result of intensified research efforts and citizen scientist initiatives targeting NIS in the last decade. The threshold values, i.e., the three-year average new NIS values during the reference period, are indicative and will ultimately depend on the choice of species and pathways to be used in the calculations. This is discussed through the prism of target setting in alignment with specific management objectives.

Diagnostic value of 18F-FDG PET-CT in detecting malignant peripheral nerve sheath tumors among adult and pediatric neurofibromatosis type 1 patients

Purpose Detecting malignant peripheral nerve sheath tumors (MPNSTs) remains difficult. 18F-FDG PET-CT has been shown helpful, but ideal threshold values of semi-quantitative markers remain unclear, partially because of variation among scanners. Using EU-certified scanners diagnostic accuracy of ideal and commonly used 18F-FDG PET-CT thresholds were investigated and differences between adult and pediatric lesions were evaluated. Methods A retrospective cohort study was performed including patients from two hospitals with a clinical or radiological suspicion of MPNST between 2013 and 2019. Several markers were studied for ideal threshold values and differences among adults and children. A diagnostic algorithm was subsequently developed. Results Sixty patients were included (10 MPNSTs). Ideal threshold values were 5.8 for SUVmax (sensitivity 0.70, specificity 0.92), 5.0 for SUVpeak (sensitivity 0.70, specificity 0.97), 1.7 for TLmax (sensitivity 0.90, specificity 0.86), and 2.3 for TLmean (sensitivity 0.90, specificity 0.79). The standard TLmean threshold value of 2.0 yielded a sensitivity of 0.90 and specificity of 0.74, while the standard SUVmax threshold value of 3.5 yielded a sensitivity of 0.80 and specificity of 0.63. SUVmax and adjusted SUV for lean body mass (SUL) were lower in children, but tumor-to-liver ratios were similar in adult and pediatric lesions. Using TLmean > 2.0 or TLmean < 2.0 and SUVmax > 3.5, a sensitivity and specificity of 1.00 and 0.63 can be achieved. Conclusion 18F-FDG PET-CT offers adequate accuracy to detect MPNSTs. SUV values in pediatric MPNSTs may be lower, but tumor-to-liver ratios are not. By combining TLmean and SUVmax values, a 100% sensitivity can be achieved with acceptable specificity.

Analytic sensitivity of the Abbott BinaxNOW lateral flow immunochromatographic assay for the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant

The emergence of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant has motivated a re-evaluation of the test characteristics for lateral flow immunochromatographic assays (LFIAs), commonly referred to as rapid antigen tests. To address this need, we evaluated the analytic sensitivity of one of the most widely used LFIAs in the US market, the Abbott BinaxNOW COVID-19 Ag At-Home Card using 32 samples of Omicron and 30 samples of the Delta variant. Samples were chosen to intentionally over-represent the range of viral loads where differences are most likely to appear. We found no changes in the analytic sensitivity of the BinaxNOW assay by variant even after controlling for variation in cycle threshold values in the two populations. Similar to prior studies, the sensitivity of the assay is highly dependent on the amount of virus present in the sample. While the analytic sensitivity of the BinaxNOW LFIA remains intact versus the Omicron variant, its clinical sensitivity is influenced by the interaction between viral replication, the dynamics of tissue tropism and the timing of sampling. Further research is necessary to optimally adapt current testing strategies to robustly detect early infection by the Omicron variant to prevent transmission.

An Alternative Method for Adrenal Venous Sampling in Cases in Which Right Adrenal Vein Sampling is Difficult

PurposeCatheterization of the right adrenal vein (rt.AdV) to obtain blood samples can often be difficult. The aim of the present study was to investigate whether blood sampling from the inferior vena cava (IVC) at its juncture with the rt.AdV can be an alternative to sampling of blood directly from the rt.AdV.Materials and MethodsThis study included 44 patients diagnosed with primary aldosteronism (PA) in whom AVS with adrenocorticotropic hormone (ACTH) was performed, resulting in a diagnosis of idiopathic hyperaldosteronism (IHA) (n=24), and patients diagnosed with unilateral aldosterone-producing adenoma (APA) (n=20; rt.APA=8, lt.APA=12). In addition to regular blood sampling, blood was also sampled from the IVC, as the substitute rt.AdV [S-rt.AdV]. Diagnostic performance with the conventional lateralized index (LI) and the modified LI using the S-rt.AdV was compared to examine the utility of the modified LI.ResultsThe modified LI of the rt.APA (0.4±0.4) was significantly lower than those of the IHA (1.4±0.7) (p<0.001) and the lt.APA (3.5±2.0) (p<0.001). The modified LI of the lt.APA was significantly higher than those of the IHA (p<0.001) and rt.APA (p<0.001). Sensitivity and specificity to diagnose rt.APA and lt.APA using the modified LI with threshold values of 0.7 and 2.2, respectively, they were 87% and 75%, respectively, and 94% and 94%, respectively.ConclusionThe modified LI has the potential to be an alternative method for rt.AdV sampling in cases in which rt.AdV sampling is difficult. Obtaining the modified LI is extremely simple, which might complement conventional AVS.

Postoperative CRP Levels Can Rule out Anastomotic Leaks in Crohn’s Disease Patients

Background: In colorectal cancer, C-reactive protein (CRP) levels on postoperative days 3–4 have a strong negative predictive value for an anastomotic leak, with threshold values of ~15 on post-operative day (POD) 3 and ~13 on POD 4. In Crohn’s disease, CRP levels are perceived as unreliable in the postoperative period because of the underlying inflammatory process. The aim of this study was to determine whether postoperative CRP levels can be used to rule out anastomotic leaks in patients with Crohn’s disease and to set CRP threshold values for this population. Methods: This was a retrospective study of a population of Crohn’s disease patients who underwent surgery with bowel anastomoses at a single high-volume center between 1/2012 and 12/2017. The operations were performed by a single colorectal consultant who is an inflammatory bowel disease specialist. Results: Ninety-two operations were performed. A CRP level of 19.56 mg/dL on postoperative day 3 had an area under the curve of 0.865 (sensitivity 88%, specificity 73%) and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 98% for an anastomotic leak. Patients with an anastomotic leak showed a trend towards decreased postoperative albumin levels (p = 0.06). Conclusions: Mean CRP levels and CRP threshold values were indeed higher in the study population compared with those in colorectal cancer patients. Threshold values were set at 20.3 mg/dL on POD 3, 19.5 mg/dL on POD 4 and 16.7 mg/dL on POD 5. These values had high NPVs and can be used to rule out anastomotic leaks in patients with Crohn’s disease after surgery with bowel anastomosis.

The Values of Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index and Neutrophil–Lymphocyte Ratio in the Localized Prostate Cancer and Benign Prostate Hyperplasia: A Retrospective Clinical Study

PurposeTo evaluate the diagnostic values of systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in patients with localized prostate cancer (PCa).MethodsBetween January 2014 and December 2019, 117 patients with benign prostate hyperplasia (BPH) and 278 patients with localized PCa who underwent radical prostatectomy (RP) were included in this study. The inflammatory markers including SII, NLR, platelet–lymphocyte ratio (PLR), lymphocyte–monocyte ratio (LMR), lymphocyte ratio (LR), neutrophil ratio (NR), mean platelet volume (MPV), and red cell distribution (RDW) of these two groups were examined and analyzed. ROC curve analysis was performed to assess the discriminative ability of inflammatory markers and their combination with tPSA for PCa. The binary logistic regression model was used to evaluate the association between significant inflammatory markers and risk of PCa.ResultsThe pathological results from RP specimen comprised 72 (25.90%) patients with pT1, 168 (60.43%) patients with pT2, and 38 (13.67%) patients with pT3. According to Student’s t test, patients with PCa had higher NLR (p = 0.034), SII (p = 0.008), and NR (p = 0.004), and lower LR (p = 0.025), MPV (p = 0.003), and TPV (p = 0.022) compared with patients with BPH; the distribution of age, PLR, LMR, RDW, f/t PSA ratio, and BMI did not show any significant differences. The AUC for NLR, SII, NR, and tPSA was 0.697 (p = 0.015), 0.719 (p &lt; 0.001), 0.647 (p = 0.009), and 0.708 (p &lt; 0.001), with threshold values of 1.6, 471.86, 65.15%, and 12.89 ng/ml, respectively. Patients were divided into two groups according to the threshold values, respectively. By using the multivariable logistic regression models, NLR ≥ 1.6 (OR, 2.731; 95% CI, 0.937–7.961, p = 0.042), SII ≥ 471.86 (OR, 1.274; 95% CI 0.473–3.433; p = 0.033), and PSA ≥ 12.89 ng/ml (OR, 1.443; 95% CI, 0.628–3.944; p = 0.014) were independent risk factors associated with PCa. The AUC for combination of NLR, SII, and NR with tPSA was 0.705 (p &lt; 0.001), 0.725 (p &lt; 0.001), and 0.704 (p &lt; 0.001), respectively.ConclusionThis study demonstrated that SII, NLR, and NR were all independent risk factors of PCa. These factors alone could provide better screen methods for PCa before biopsy. In addition, SII is a more powerful tool among these three inflammatory markers associated with PCa. Besides, combination of SII and NLR with tPSA had not much advantage compared with themselves alone.

Thresholding Approach for Low-Rank Correlation Matrix based on MM algorithm

Background: Low-rank approximation is a very useful approach for interpreting the features of a correlation matrix; however, a low-rank approximation may result in estimation far from zero even if the corresponding original value was far from zero. In this case, the results lead to misinterpretation. Methods: To overcome these problems, we propose a new approach to estimate a sparse low-rank correlation matrix based on threshold values combined with cross-validation. In the proposed approach, the MM algorithm was used to estimate the sparse low-rank correlation matrix, and a grid search was performed to select the threshold values related to sparse estimation. Results: Through numerical simulation, we found that the FPR and average relative error of the proposed method were superior to those of the tandem approach. For the application of microarray gene expression, the FPRs of the proposed approach with d=2,3, and 5 were 0.128, 0.139, and 0.197, respectively, while FPR of the tandem approach was 0.285. Conclusions: We propose a novel approach to estimate sparse low-rank correlation matrix. The advantage of the proposed method is that it provides results that are easy to interpret and avoid misunderstandings. We demonstrated the superiority of the proposed method through both numerical simulations and real examples.

Economic security of municipality: evaluation and using results in territory administration

The level of economic security of an individual municipality determines the level of regional and national economic security. To be sufficient it should have an effective management system for the municipality as a whole and its economic security in particular. Assessment of the level of economic security and measures to improve it are appointed as mandatory elements, includes. The need to research the approaches to assessing the level of economic security of a municipality, approbation of individual methods on the example of specific municipalities and using the results obtained to develop solutions for the management of the corresponding territory have been stated. There have been analyzed the practical approaches to defining the essence of the economic security of a municipality and assessing its level. A grate disadvantage of Yu.V. Fartygina and A.V. Ivanov’s methods is their focus on the region’s economy. There was applied the methodology of Zh.A. Mingaleva, which revealed the greatest number of advantages: the availability of the information base, taking into account the peculiarities of the economy of the municipality, the use of differentiated threshold values that allow to draw the conclusions. There was evaluated the Spassky municipal district of Primorsky Kray. The assessment was carried out over the period of 2018-2020, which revealed a low level of economic security of the studied municipality and a negative trend of its change. In order to correlate the results of the assessment of the economic security of the Spassky municipal district with the level of Primorsky Kray, a corresponding comparison was made according to the data over 2020, which proved lagging from the regional average values. The threats to the economic security of the Spassky municipal district were formulated and a system of measures was proposed to increase the level of economic security. The studied system takes into account the factors of the competitiveness of the municipality and modern approaches to the management of the municipality in the Russian Federation.