scholarly journals Present dynamics and future prognosis of a slowly surging glacier

2011 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 299-313 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. E. Flowers ◽  
N. Roux ◽  
S. Pimentel ◽  
C. G. Schoof
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Force Balance ◽  
Surface Velocity ◽  
Internal Dynamic ◽  
Ice Dynamics ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Ice Surface ◽  
Glacier Ice ◽  
Glacier Flow ◽  
Negative Balance

Abstract. Glacier surges are a well-known example of an internal dynamic oscillation whose occurrence is not a direct response to the external climate forcing, but whose character (i.e. period, amplitude, mechanism) may depend on the glacier's environmental or climate setting. We examine the dynamics of a small (∼5 km2) valley glacier in Yukon, Canada, where two previous surges have been photographically documented and an unusually slow surge is currently underway. To characterize the dynamics of the present surge, and to speculate on the future of this glacier, we employ a higher-order flowband model of ice dynamics with a regularized Coulomb-friction sliding law in both diagnostic and prognostic simulations. Diagnostic (force balance) calculations capture the measured ice-surface velocity profile only when non-zero basal water pressures are prescribed over the central region of the glacier, coincident with where evidence of the surge has been identified. This leads to sliding accounting for 50–100% of the total surface motion in this region. Prognostic simulations, where the glacier geometry evolves in response to a prescribed surface mass balance, reveal a significant role played by a bedrock ridge beneath the current equilibrium line of the glacier. Ice thickening occurs above the ridge in our simulations, until the net mass balance reaches sufficiently negative values. We suggest that the bedrock ridge may contribute to the propensity for surges in this glacier by promoting the development of the reservoir area during quiescence, and may permit surges to occur under more negative balance conditions than would otherwise be possible. Collectively, these results corroborate our interpretation of the current glacier flow regime as indicative of a slow surge that has been ongoing for some time, and support a relationship between surge incidence or character and the net mass balance. Our results also highlight the importance of glacier bed topography in controlling ice dynamics, as observed in many other glacier systems.

scholarly journals Present dynamics and future prognosis of a slowly surging glacier

2010 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 1839-1876
Author(s):  
G. E. Flowers ◽  
N. Roux ◽  
S. Pimentel
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Surface Profile ◽  
Yukon Territory ◽  
Force Balance ◽  
Surface Velocity ◽  
Internal Dynamic ◽  
Ice Dynamics ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Ice Surface ◽  
Glacier Flow

Abstract. Glacier surges are a well-known example of an internal dynamic oscillation whose occurrence is not a direct response to the external climate forcing, but whose character (e.g. period, mechanism) may depend on the glacier's environmental or climate setting. We examine the dynamics of a small (~5 km2) valley glacier in the Yukon Territory of Canada, where two previous surges have been photographically documented and an unusually slow surge is currently underway. To characterize the dynamics of the present surge, and to speculate on the future of this glacier, we employ a higher-order flowband model of ice dynamics with a Coulomb-friction sliding law in both diagnostic and prognostic simulations. Diagnostic (force balance) calculations capture the measured ice-surface velocity profile only when high basal water pressures (55–90% of flotation) are prescribed over the central region of the glacier, consistent with where evidence of the surge has been identified. This leads to sliding accounting for 50–100% of the total surface motion. Prognostic simulations, where the glacier geometry evolves in response to a prescribed surface mass balance, reveal a significant role played by a large bedrock bump beneath the current equilibrium line of the glacier. This bump provides resistance to ice flow sufficient to cause the formation of a bulge in the ice-surface profile. We suggest that the bedrock bump contributes to the propensity for surges in this glacier, such that conditions suppressing ice-bulge formation over the bump may also inhibit surges. In our calculations such a situation arises for sufficiently negative values of mass balance. Collectively, these results corroborate our interpretation of the current glacier flow regime as indicative of a "slow surge", and confirm a relationship between surge incidence or character and the net mass balance. Our results also highlight the importance of glacier bed topography in controlling ice dynamics, as observed in many other glacier systems.

scholarly journals Ice flow modelling to constrain the surface mass balance and ice discharge of San Rafael Glacier, Northern Patagonia Icefield

2018 ◽  
Vol 64 (246) ◽  
pp. 568-582 ◽  
Author(s):  
GABRIELA COLLAO-BARRIOS ◽  
FABIEN GILLET-CHAULET ◽  
VINCENT FAVIER ◽  
GINO CASASSA ◽  
ETIENNE BERTHIER ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Flow Model ◽  
Surface Velocity ◽  
Shear Stresses ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Ice Dynamics ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Northern Patagonia ◽  
San Rafael

ABSTRACTWe simulate the ice dynamics of the San Rafael Glacier (SRG) in the Northern Patagonia Icefield (46.7°S, 73.5°W), using glacier geometry obtained by airborne gravity measurements. The full-Stokes ice flow model (Elmer/Ice) is initialized using an inverse method to infer the basal friction coefficient from a satellite-derived surface velocity mosaic. The high surface velocities (7.6 km a−1) near the glacier front are explained by low basal shear stresses (<25 kPa). The modelling results suggest that 98% of the surface velocities are due to basal sliding in the fast-flowing glacier tongue (>1 km a−1). We force the model using different surface mass-balance scenarios taken or adapted from previous studies and geodetic elevation changes between 2000 and 2012. Our results suggest that previous estimates of average surface mass balance over the entire glacier (Ḃ) were likely too high, mainly due to an overestimation in the accumulation area. We propose that most of SRG imbalance is due to the large ice discharge (−0.83 ± 0.08 Gt a−1) and a slightly positiveḂ(0.08 ± 0.06 Gt a−1). The committed mass-loss estimate over the next century is −0.34 ± 0.03 Gt a−1. This study demonstrates that surface mass-balance estimates and glacier wastage projections can be improved using a physically based ice flow model.

scholarly journals Volume and velocity changes at Mittivakkat Gletscher, southeast Greenland

2013 ◽  
Vol 59 (216) ◽  
pp. 660-670 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sebastian H. Mernild ◽  
Niels T. Knudsen ◽  
Matthew J. Hoffman ◽  
Jacob C. Yde ◽  
Edward Hanna ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Peak Velocity ◽  
Dynamic Effect ◽  
Snow Accumulation ◽  
Surface Velocity ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Ice Surface ◽  
Winter Snow ◽  
Summer Warming ◽  
Velocity Changes

AbstractWe document changes for Mittivakkat Gletscher, the peripheral glacier in Greenland with the longest field-based observed mass-balance and surface velocity time series. Between 1986 and 2011, this glacier changed by −15% in mean ice thickness and −30% in volume. We attribute these changes to summer warming and lower winter snow accumulation. Vertical strain compensated for ∼60% of the elevation change due to surface mass balance (SMB) in the lower part, and ∼25% in the upper part. The annual mean ice surface velocity changed by −30%, which can be fully explained by the dynamic effect of ice thinning, within uncertainty. Mittivakkat Gletscher summer surface velocities were on average 50–60% above winter background values, and up to 160% higher during peak velocity events. Peak velocity events were accompanied by uplift of a few centimeters.

scholarly journals Thinning and slowdown of Greenland's Mittivakkat Gletscher

2012 ◽  
Vol 6 (5) ◽  
pp. 4387-4415
Author(s):  
S. H. Mernild ◽  
N. T. Knudsen ◽  
M. J. Hoffman ◽  
J. C. Yde ◽  
W. H. Lipscomb ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Peak Velocity ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Dynamic Effect ◽  
Surface Velocity ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Elevation Change ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Ice Surface ◽  
Summer Warming

Abstract. Here, we document changes for the Mittivakkat Gletscher, the glacier in Greenland (disconnected to the Greenland Ice Sheet, GrIS) having the longest observed mass balance and surface velocity time series (since 1995). Between 1986 and 2011, this glacier decreased by 15% in mean ice thickness and 30% in volume. We attribute these changes to summer warming and less winter snowfall. The vertical strain was able to compensate about 60% of the elevation change due to surface mass balance (SMB) in the lower part, and about 25% in the upper part. The annual mean ice surface velocity decreased by 30%, likely as a dynamic effect of ice thinning. Mittivakkat Gletscher summer surface velocities were on average 50–60% above winter background values, and up to 160% higher during peak velocity events.

scholarly journals Surface Mass-Balance Gradients From Elevation and Ice Flux Data in the Columbia Basin, Canada

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ben M. Pelto ◽  
Brian Menounos
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Large Mass ◽  
Surface Elevation ◽  
Surface Velocity ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Ice Dynamics ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Ice Velocity

The mass-balance—elevation relation for a given glacier is required for many numerical models of ice flow. Direct measurements of this relation using remotely-sensed methods are complicated by ice dynamics, so observations are currently limited to glaciers where surface mass-balance measurements are routinely made. We test the viability of using the continuity equation to estimate annual surface mass balance between flux-gates in the absence of in situ measurements, on five glaciers in the Columbia Mountains of British Columbia, Canada. Repeat airborne laser scanning surveys of glacier surface elevation, ice penetrating radar surveys and publicly available maps of ice thickness are used to estimate changes in surface elevation and ice flux. We evaluate this approach by comparing modeled to observed mass balance. Modeled mass-balance gradients well-approximate those obtained from direct measurement of surface mass balance, with a mean difference of +6.6 ± 4%. Regressing modeled mass balance, equilibrium line altitudes are on average 15 m higher than satellite-observations of the transient snow line. Estimates of mass balance over flux bins compare less favorably than the gradients. Average mean error (+0.03 ± 0.07 m w.e.) between observed and modeled mass balance over flux bins is relatively small, yet mean absolute error (0.55 ± 0.18 m w.e.) and average modeled mass-balance uncertainty (0.57 m w.e.) are large. Mass conservation, assessed with glaciological data, is respected (when estimates are within 1σ uncertainties) for 84% of flux bins representing 86% of total glacier area. Uncertainty on ice velocity, especially for areas where surface velocity is low (&lt;10 m a−1) contributes the greatest error in estimating ice flux. We find that using modeled ice thicknesses yields comparable modeled mass-balance gradients relative to using observations of ice thickness, but we caution against over-interpreting individual flux-bin mass balances due to large mass-balance residuals. Given the performance of modeled ice thickness and the increasing availability of ice velocity and surface topography data, we suggest that similar efforts to produce mass-balance gradients using modern high-resolution datasets are feasible on larger scales.

scholarly journals Dynamics of the Scharffenbergbotnen blue-ice area, Dronning Maud Land, Antarctica

2004 ◽  
Vol 39 ◽  
pp. 417-422 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna Sinisalo ◽  
Aslak Grinsted ◽  
John Moore
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Geometrical Model ◽  
Surface Velocity ◽  
Geometrical Analysis ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Ice Surface ◽  
Dronning Maud Land ◽  
Dip Angle ◽  
Ground Penetrating

AbstractGround-penetrating radar (GPR) surveys in Scharffenbergbotnen valley, Dronning Maud Land, Antarctica, complement earlier, relatively sparse data on the ice-flow dynamics and mass-balance distribution of the area. The negative net surface mass balance in the valley appears to be balanced by the inflow. The flow regime in Scharffenbergbotnen defines four separate mass-balance areas, and about 60 times more ice enters the valley from the northwestern entrance than via the narrow western gate. We formalize and compare three methods of determining both the surface age gradient of the blue ice and the dip angles of isochrones in the firn/blue-ice transition zone: observed and dated radar internal reflections, a geometrical model of isochrones, and output from a flowline model. The geometrical analysis provides generally applicable relationships between ice surface velocity and surface age gradient or isochrone dip angle.

scholarly journals Surface elevation changes during 2007–13 on Bowdoin and Tugto Glaciers, northwestern Greenland

2016 ◽  
Vol 62 (236) ◽  
pp. 1083-1092 ◽  
Author(s):  
SHUN TSUTAKI ◽  
SHIN SUGIYAMA ◽  
DAIKI SAKAKIBARA ◽  
TAKANOBU SAWAGAKI
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Satellite Observations ◽  
Surface Elevation ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Elevation Change ◽  
Predominant Role ◽  
Ice Dynamics ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Elevation Changes ◽  
Negative Surface

ABSTRACTTo quantify recent thinning of marine-terminating outlet glaciers in northwestern Greenland, we carried out field and satellite observations near the terminus of Bowdoin Glacier. These data were used to compute the change in surface elevation from 2007 to 2013 and this rate of thinning was then compared with that of the adjacent land-terminating Tugto Glacier. Comparing DEMs of 2007 and 2010 shows that Bowdoin Glacier is thinning more rapidly (4.1 ± 0.3 m a−1) than Tugto Glacier (2.8 ± 0.3 m a−1). The observed negative surface mass-balance accounts for <40% of the elevation change of Bowdoin Glacier, meaning that the thinning of Bowdoin Glacier cannot be attributable to surface melting alone. The ice speed of Bowdoin Glacier increases down-glacier, reaching 457 m a−1 near the calving front. This flow regime causes longitudinal stretching and vertical compression at a rate of −0.04 a−1. It is likely that this dynamically-controlled thinning has been enhanced by the acceleration of the glacier since 2000. Our measurements indicate that ice dynamics indeed play a predominant role in the rapid thinning of Bowdoin Glacier.

Impact of the choice of surface mass balance models and their calibration on large-scale glacier change projections

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lilian Schuster ◽  
David Rounce ◽  
Fabien Maussion
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Model Complexity ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Glacier Change ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Ice Dynamics ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Mass Balance Models ◽  
Intercomparison Study

&lt;p&gt;A recent large model intercomparison study (GlacierMIP) showed that differences between the glacier models is a dominant source of uncertainty for future glacier change projections, in particular in the first half of the century.&amp;#160; Each glacier model has their own unique set of process representations and climate forcing methodology, which makes it impossible to determine the model components that contribute most to the projection uncertainty. This study aims to improve our understanding of the sources of large scale glacier model uncertainty using the Open Global Glacier Model (OGGM), focussing on the surface mass balance (SMB) in a first step. We calibrate and run a set of interchangeable SMB model parameterizations (e.g. monthly vs. daily, constant vs. variable lapse rates, albedo, snowpack evolution and refreezing) under controlled boundary conditions. Based on ensemble approaches, we explore the influence of (i) the parameter calibration strategy and (ii) SMB model complexity on regional to global glacier change. These uncertainties are then put in relation to a qualitative selection of other model design choices, such as the forcing climate dataset and ice dynamics model parameters.&amp;#160;&lt;/p&gt;

scholarly journals COSIPY v1.2 – An open-source coupled snowpack and ice surface energy and mass balance model

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tobias Sauter ◽  
Anselm Arndt ◽  
Christoph Schneider
Keyword(s):  
Energy Balance ◽  
Surface Energy ◽  
Mass Balance ◽  
Surface Energy Balance ◽  
Balance Model ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Mass Balance Model ◽  
Physical Processes ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Ice Surface

Abstract. Glacial changes play a key role both from a socio-economical and political, and scientific point of view. The identification and the understanding of the nature of these changes still poses fundamental challenges for climate, glacier and water research. Many studies aim to identify the climatic drivers behind the observed glacial changes using distributed surface mass and energy balance models. Distributed surface mass balance models, which translate the meteorological conditions on glaciers into local melting rates, thus offer the possibility to attribute and detect glacier mass and volume responses to changes in the climatic forcings. A well calibrated model is a suitable test-bed for sensitivity, detection and attribution analyses for many scientific applications and often serves as a tool for quantifying the inherent uncertainties. Here we present the open-source coupled snowpack and ice surface energy and mass balance model in Python COSIPY, which provides a lean, flexible and user-friendly framework for modelling distributed snow and glacier mass changes. The model has a modular structure so that the exchange of routines or parameterizations of physical processes is possible with little effort for the user. The model has a modular structure so that the exchange of routines or parameterizations of physical processes is possible with little effort for the user. The framework consists of a computational kernel, which forms the runtime environment and takes care of the initialization, the input-output routines, the parallelization as well as the grid and data structures. This structure offers maximum flexibility without having to worry about the internal numerical flow. The adaptive sub-surface scheme allows an efficient and fast calculation of the otherwise computationally demanding fundamental equations. The surface energy-balance scheme uses established standard parameterizations for radiation as well as for the energy exchange between atmosphere and surface. The schemes are coupled by solving both surface energy balance and subsurface fluxes iteratively in such that consistent surface skin temperature is returned at the interface. COSIPY uses a one-dimensional approach limited to the vertical fluxes of energy and matter but neglects any lateral processes. Accordingly, the model can be easily set up in parallel computational environments for calculating both energy balance and climatic surface mass balance of glacier surfaces based on flexible horizontal grids and with varying temporal resolution. The model is made available on a freely accessible site and can be used for non-profit purposes. Scientists are encouraged to actively participate in the extension and improvement of the model code.

Supraglacial Streams and Rivers

2019 ◽  
Vol 47 (1) ◽  
pp. 421-452 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lincoln H Pitcher ◽  
Laurence C. Smith
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Transport Processes ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Sea Level Changes ◽  
Ice Dynamics ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Streams And Rivers ◽  
Ice Surface ◽  
Global Sea Level

Supraglacial meltwater channels that flow on the surfaces of glaciers, ice sheets, and ice shelves connect ice surface climatology with subglacial processes, ice dynamics, and eustatic sea level changes. Their important role in transferring water and heat across and into ice is currently absent from models of surface mass balance and runoff contributions to global sea level rise. Furthermore, relatively little is known about the genesis, evolution, hydrology, hydraulics, and morphology of supraglacial rivers, and a first synthesis and review of published research on these unusual features is lacking. To that end, we review their ( a) known geographical distribution; ( b) formation, morphology, and sediment transport processes; ( c) hydrology and hydraulics; and ( d) impact on ice sheet surface energy balance, heat exchange, basal conditions, and ice shelf stability. We conclude with a synthesis of key knowledge gaps and provide recommendations for future research. ▪ Supraglacial streams and rivers transfer water and heat on glaciers, connecting climate with subglacial hydrology, ice sliding, and global sea level. ▪ Ice surface melting may expand under a warming climate, darkening the ice surface and further increasing melt.

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