scholarly journals Multi-channel ConvNet Approach to Predict the Risk of in-Hospital Mortality for ICU Patients

Author(s):  
Fabien Viton ◽  
Mahmoud Elbattah ◽  
Jean-Luc Guérin ◽  
Gilles Dequen
1996 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 326-334 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marin H. Kollef ◽  
Paul R. Eisenberg

To determine the relation between the proposed ACCP/SCCM Consensus Conference classification of sepsis and hospital outcomes, we conducted a single-center, prospective observational study at Barnes Hospital, St. Louis, MO, an academic tertiary care hospital. A total of 324 consecutive patients admitted to the medical intensive care unit (ICU) were studied for prospective patient surveillance and data collection. The main outcome measures were the number of acquired organ system derangements and hospital mortality. Fifty-seven (17.6%) patients died during the study period. The proposed classifications of sepsis (e.g., systemic inflammatory response syndrome [SIRS], sepsis, severe sepsis, septic shock) correlated with hospital mortality ( r = 0.330; p < 0.001) and development of an Organ System Failure Index (OSFI) of 3 or greater ( r = 0.426; p < 0.001). Independent determinants of hospital mortality for this patient cohort ( p < 0.05) were development of an OSFI of 3 or greater (adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 13.9; 95% confidence interval [CI], 6.4–30.2; p < 0.001); presence of severe sepsis or septic shock (AOR, 2.6; 95% CI, 1.2–5.6; p = 0.002), and an APACHE II score ≥ of 18 or greater (AOR, 2.4; 95% CI, 1.0–5.8; p = 0.045). Intra-abdominal infection (AOR, 19.1; 95% CI, 1.6–230.1; p = 0.011), an APACHE II score ≥ of 18 or greater (AOR, 8.9; 95% CI, 4.2–18.6; p < 0.001), and presence of severe sepsis or septic shock (AOR, 2.9; 95% CI, 1.5–5.4; p = 0.001) were independently associated with development of an OSFI of 3 or greater. These data confirm that acquired multiorgan dysfunction is the most important predictor of mortality among medical ICU patients. In addition, they identify the proposed ACCP/SCCM Consensus Conference classification of sepsis as an additional independent determinant of both hospital mortality and multiorgan dysfunction.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xie Wu ◽  
Zhanhao Su ◽  
Qipeng Luo ◽  
Yinan Li ◽  
Hongbai Wang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Identifying high-risk patients in intensive care unit (ICU) is very important because of the high mortality rate. Existing scoring systems are numerous but lack effective inflammatory markers. Our objective was to identify and evaluate a low-cost, easily accessible and effective inflammatory marker that can predict mortality in ICU patients.Methods: We conducted a retrospective study using data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III database. We first divided the patients into the survival group and the death group based on in-hospital mortality. Receiver operating characteristic analyses were performed to find the best inflammatory marker (i.e. neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, NLR). We then re-divided the patients into three groups based on NLR levels. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were performed to evaluate the association between NLR and mortality. The area under the curve (AUC), Net Reclassification Improvement (NRI) and Integrated Discrimination Improvement (IDI) were used to assess whether the incorporate of NLR can improve the predictive power of existing predictive model. Results: A total of 21,822 patients were included in this study, with an in-hospital mortality rate of 14.43%. Among all inflammatory marker in routine blood test results, NLR had the best predictive ability, with a median (interquartile range) NLR of 5.40 (2.95, 10.46) in the survival group and 8.32 (4.25, 14.75) in the death group. We then re-divided the patients into low (≤1), medium (1-6) and high (≥6) groups based on NLR levels. Compared with the median NLR group, the in-hospital mortality rates were significantly higher in the low (odds ratio [OR] = 2.09; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.64 to 2.66) and high (OR=1.64; 95%CI, 1.50-1.80) NLR groups. The addition of NLR to Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (SAPS II) improved the AUC from 0.789 to 0.798 (P<0.001), with NRI of 16.64% (P<0.001) and IDI of 0.27% (P<0.001).Conclusion: NLR is a good predictor of mortality in ICU patients, both low and high levels of NLR are associated with elevated mortality rate. The inclusion of NLR might improve the predictive power of SAPS II.


Critical Care ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Philippe Montravers ◽  
Elie Kantor ◽  
Jean-Michel Constantin ◽  
Jean-Yves Lefrant ◽  
Thomas Lescot ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Recent international guidelines for acute pancreatitis (AP) recommend limiting anti-infective therapy (AIT) to cases of suspected necrotizing AP or nosocomial extrapancreatic infection. Limited data are available concerning empirical and documented AIT prescribing practices in patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) for the management of AP. Methods Using a multicentre, retrospective (2009–2014), observational database of ICU patients admitted for AP, our primary objective was to assess the incidence of AIT prescribing practices during the first 30 days following admission. Secondary objectives were to assess the independent impact of centre characteristics on the incidence of AIT and to identify factors associated with crude hospital mortality in a logistic regression model. Results In this cohort of 860 patients, 359 (42%) received AIT on admission. Before day 30, 340/359 (95%) AIT patients and 226/501 (45%) AIT-free patients on admission received additional AIT, mainly for intra-abdominal and lung infections. A large heterogeneity was observed between centres in terms of the incidence of infections, therapeutic management including AIT and prognosis. Administration of AIT on admission or until day 30 was not associated with an increased mortality rate. Patients receiving AIT on admission had increased rates of complications (septic shock, intra-abdominal and pulmonary infections), therapeutic (surgical, percutaneous, endoscopic) interventions and increased length of ICU stay compared to AIT-free patients. Patients receiving delayed AIT after admission and until day 30 had increased rates of complications (respiratory distress syndrome, intra-abdominal and pulmonary infections), therapeutic interventions and increased length of ICU stay compared to those receiving AIT on admission. Risk factors for hospital mortality assessed on admission were age (adjusted odds ratio [95% confidence interval] 1.03 [1.02–1.05]; p < 0.0001), Balthazar score E (2.26 [1.43–3.56]; p < 0.0001), oliguria/anuria (2.18 [1.82–4.33]; p < 0.0001), vasoactive support (2.83 [1.73–4.62]; p < 0.0001) and mechanical ventilation (1.90 [1.15–3.14]; p = 0.011), but not AIT (0.63 [0.40–1.01]; p = 0.057). Conclusions High proportions of ICU patients admitted for AP receive AIT, both on admission and during their ICU stay. A large heterogeneity was observed between centres in terms of incidence of infections, AIT prescribing practices, therapeutic management and outcome. AIT reflects the initial severity and complications of AP, but is not a risk factor for death.


2015 ◽  
Vol 66 (22) ◽  
pp. 2510-2518 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yew Y. Ding ◽  
Boris Kader ◽  
Cindy L. Christiansen ◽  
Dan R. Berlowitz

2012 ◽  
Vol 33 (6) ◽  
pp. 558-564 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vanessa Stevens ◽  
Thomas P. Lodise ◽  
Brian Tsuji ◽  
Meagan Stringham ◽  
Jill Butterfield ◽  
...  

Objective.Bloodstream infections due to methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) have been associated with significant risk of in-hospital mortality. The acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHE) II score was developed and validated for use among intensive care unit (ICU) patients, but its utility among non-ICU patients is unknown. The aim of this study was to determine the ability of APACHE II to predict death at multiple time points among ICU and non-ICU patients with MRSA bacteremia.Design.Retrospective cohort study.Participants.Secondary analysis of data from 200 patients with MRSA bacteremia at 2 hospitals.Methods.Logistic regression models were constructed to predict overall in-hospital mortality and mortality at 48 hours, 7 days, 14 days, and 30 days using APACHE II scores separately in ICU and non-ICU patients. The performance of APACHE II scores was compared with age adjustment alone among all patients. Discriminatory ability was assessed using the c-statistic and was compared at each time point using X2 tests. Model calibration was assessed using the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test.Results.APACHE II was a significant predictor of death at all time points in both ICU and non-ICU patients. Discrimination was high in all models, with c-statistics ranging from 0.72 to 0.84, and was similar between ICU and non-ICU patients at all time points. APACHE II scores significantly improved the prediction of overall and 48-hour mortality compared with age adjustment alone.Conclusions.The APACHE II score may be a valid tool to control for confounding or for the prediction of death among ICU and non-ICU patients with MRSA bacteremia.


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