scholarly journals Analyzing the Linkage between Agricultural Exports and Agriculture’s Share of Gross Domestic Products in South Africa

2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 142
Author(s):  
Mushoni B. Bulagi ◽  
Jan J. Hlongwane ◽  
Abenet Belete
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
South Africa ◽  
Agricultural Economic ◽  
Capital Investment ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Growth Equation ◽  
Positive Coefficient ◽  
Agricultural Exports

The paper analyses the link between avocado, apple, mango and orange exports and agriculture’s share of Gross Domestic Product in South Africa. The study used secondary time series data that covered a sample size of 20 years (1994 - 2014) of avocado, apple, mango and orange exports in South Africa. Two Stages Least Square models were used for data analysis.  Empirical results for agricultural exports equation revealed that agricultural economic growth in South Africa was significant with a positive coefficient. Also a negative relationship between the Net Factor Income (NFI) and the agricultural exports in South Africa was noticed. Real Capital Investments had a significant positive coefficient.  Consequently, results from agricultural economic growth equation revealed that agricultural exports were significant with a positive correlation. A relationship between NFI and agricultural GDP was also witnessed. Like other variables, Real Capital Investment was significant but negatively correlated.

scholarly journals The Contribution of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) To Domestic Employment Levels in South Africa: A Vector Autoregressive Approach

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1(J)) ◽  
pp. 110-121
Author(s):  
Bongumusa Prince Makhoba, ◽  
Irrshad Kaseeram
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
South Africa ◽  
Least Squares ◽  
South African ◽  
Empirical Analysis ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Series Data ◽  
The South ◽  
Vector Autoregressive

Several empirical works have yielded mixed and controversial results with regard to the effects of FDI on employment and economic growth. The primary focus of this study is to investigate the contribution of FDI to domestic employment levels in the context of the South African economy. The analyses of the study were carried out using the annual time series data from 1980 to 2015. The macroeconomic variables employed in the empirical investigation include employment, FDI, GDP, inflation, trade openness and unit labour costs. The study used secondary data from the South African Reserve Bank and Statistics South Africa database. The study estimated a Vector Autoregressive/ Vector Error Correction Mechanism (VAR/VECM) approach to conduct empirical analysis. However, the study also employed single equation estimation techniques, including the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS), Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS) and Canonical Cointegrating Regression (CCR) models as supporting tools to verify the VAR/VECM results. This study provides strong evidence of a significant negative relationship between FDI and employment levels in the South African economy. Empirical analysis of the study suggests that the effect of economic growth on employment is highly positive and significant in South Africa’s economy. The study recommends that policymakers ought to invest more in productive sectors that aim to promote economic growth and development to boost employment opportunities in South Africa.

scholarly journals ANALISIS DETERMINASI PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI PROVINSI JAMBI

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Ali Fahmi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Capital Investment ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Investment Capital

This research aims to analyze the effect of government spending, investment of foreign capital investment, capital investment In Land and labor against growth of Jambi province during the 2004-2015. This research using Time Series data with regression analysis "Ordinary Least Square (OLS) wear EViews 8.  The findings from this research indicate that Labor become the most variable gives a positive impact against the next economic growth, government spending and investment, while investing PMDN PMA gives negative impact on The Economic Growth Of The Province Of Jambi. PMA investment posit no impact and no signikan against economic growth this is not prevalent, but it is possible the investment PMA in Jambi province is relatively small and still no impact in the absorption of the local Workforce. Menyikapai is an effort to boost the Economic growth of the Province of Jambi then needed a special business development policies should be directed at the activities that are labor-intensive to absorb labor as much as possible. Keywords: economic growth, government spending, PMA, the PMDN, and labor.

scholarly journals AGRICULTURE EXPORT STIMULANT TO THE ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OF PAK

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 572-580
Author(s):  
Shaikh Muhammad Saleem ◽  
Muhammad Asif Shamim ◽  
Sayma Zia ◽  
Syed Waqar-ul-Hassan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Cumulative Sum ◽  
Agricultural Export ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Agricultural Exports ◽  
Long Run

Purpose: The study examines how agricultural exports boost the economic growth of Pakistan in the long run and suggest policy implications during 1995-2018 using time series data. Methodology: Principal Component Analysis is used to construct an agricultural export index consisting of rice, raw cotton, fruits, and vegetables as variables. This quantitative study checked the structural stability of the model with cumulative-sum & cumulative-sum of the square. Rolling window analysis highlights the long-run yearly effect of the coefficient of the model. The result of variance decomposition method proof bidirectional causality where robust result proof using Fully modified ordinary least square and Dynamic ordinary least square techniques. Unit root at first difference proof stationery whereas cointegration has a long-run relationship between agricultural export and economic growth. Main Finding: The statistical estimation proofs the positive long-run association of agricultural exports with economic growth. Results explored a 26 percent increase in the economy of Pakistan by exporting agricultural goods. Application of this Study: This study helps to develop the economies if they face problems of low agricultural productivity. The agricultural export is sensitive to domestic indicators, and domestic policy can promote agricultural export, and create new potential markets. The originality of the Study: The study is suggested the agriculture techniques and their performance in developing economies.

Terms of trade and economic growth in developing country

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-19
Author(s):  
Syed Tehseen Jawaid ◽  
Abdul Waheed ◽  
Aamir Hussain Siddiqui
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Terms Of Trade ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Cointegration Test ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Significant Positive Effect ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Positive Effect

Purpose The purpose of this study is to investigate the first time ever the effects of overall terms of trade, bilateral terms of trade and main commodity groups’ terms of trade on economic growth. Design/methodology/approach Augmented Dickey Duller and Philips Perron unit root tests and Johensan cointegration test have been applied by using annual time series data from 1974 to 2017. Dynamic ordinary least square and fully modified ordinary least square have also been used to perform sensitivity analysis. Findings The cointegration test confirm the positive long-run relationship between overall terms of trade (ToT) and economic growth. Country-wise results show that ToT with Australia, Bangladesh, Canada, Hong Kong, Japan, Kuwait, Malaysia, Singapore, Sri Lanka, UK and the USA have significant positive effect on economic growth. Conversely, ToT with China and UAE has significant negative effect on economic growth. In contrast, ToT with India, Norway, Saudi Arabia and Switzerland has insignificant effect on the economic growth of Pakistan. Product-wise results indicate that the product group namely, Chemical, Crude Material inedible except fuels, Manufactured and Minerals fuels and Lubricant found to be a significant positive effect on economic growth. However, Beverages and Tobacco, and Machinery and Transport product groups found to be significant negative impact on economic, while Food and Live animals found to be insignificant. Practical implications In general, it is suggested that the beneficial terms of trade are favorable for economic growth. The study suggested export promotion policy for which relationship between ToT and economic growth found positive and import substitution policy is suggested the products found a negative relationship between the said variables. Originality/value This paper is a pioneer attempt to investigate the effect of overall ToT, bilateral terms of trade and the main commodity group’s ToT on economic growth in Pakistan.

scholarly journals Foreign direct investment risk implication on employment in an emerging economy

2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (4-1) ◽  
pp. 148-152
Author(s):  
Collins C Ngwakwe
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Host Country ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Unexpected Result

This paper analysed the employment risk-effect of foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow in South Africa for the periods 1991 to 2014. The paper is an attempt to contribute to the growing debate on the role of FDI in economic development, but specifically on employment. The paper applied a quantitative method and used time series data from the World Bank development indicators. The ordinary least square (OLS) regression statistics was used to analyse the relationship between FDI and employment in South Africa for 1991 – 2014. Consistent with some previous research findings, results showed that during the period of study, FDI showed a negative relationship with employment – a growth in FDI had a negative effect on local employment by 1.29 percent. The paper thus highlights that if FDI does not received proper strategy, the host country may run the risk of not benefitting economically from FDI. This unexpected result can be attributed to some causes, which include inter alia reduction in domestic productivity because of FDI, the nature of FDI and the host country regulation of FDI. The paper suggests further research on the role of FDI on domestic productivity in South Africa

scholarly journals Analysis of the Effect of Domestic Investment, Exports and Labor in the Agricultural Sector on the Economic Growth in South Sumatra Province

2021 ◽  
pp. 122-129
Author(s):  
Nijanur Lallubada ◽  
◽  
Bernadette Robiani ◽  
Suhel Suhel ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Agricultural Sector ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Commodity Prices ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Influence Coefficient ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Agricultural Exports

This study aims to analyze how the influence of the Domestic Investment variable in the agricultural sector, the number of workers in the agricultural sector and agricultural sector exports on economic growth in South Sumatra Province. The data used are time series data for the period 2002 to 2019. The quantitative analysis technique is in the form of multiple linear regression analysis with Ordinary Least Square (OLS) estimation. The results showed that the variable that had a significant influence was the growth of agricultural exports with a coefficient of 0.012815, which means that a 1 percent increase in agricultural exports resulted in an increase in the economic growth of South Sumatra Province by 0.0128 percent. The growth variable in the number of workers in the agricultural sector also has a significant effect with a prob value of 0.054 and an influence coefficient of 0.034019 where an increase of 1 percent in the number of workers in the agricultural sector increases economic growth by 0.0340 percent. The domestic investment variable in the agricultural sector has no significant effect on economic growth in South Sumatra. The agricultural sector continues to play a role in economic growth because it absorbs a large workforce and its contribution to Gross Regional Domestic Product is still significant. The conclusion of this study shows the reality that the agricultural sector still contributes to the economy of South Sumatra in the absorption of labor and the role of primary exports. Domestic investment in the agricultural sector has a relatively insignificant effect on economic growth, mainly due to fluctuating agricultural commodity prices which affect the expected profit levels and expectations of future economic conditions.

scholarly journals Non-bank financial institutions and economic growth: Evidence from Africa’s three largest economies

2017 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ronald Rateiwa ◽  
Meshach J. Aziakpono
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
South Africa ◽  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Bank Lending ◽  
Series Data ◽  
The Sustainable Development ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Relationship

Background: In order for the post-2015 world development agenda – termed the sustainable development goals (SDGs) – to succeed, there is a pronounced need to ensure that available resources are used more effectively and additional financing is accessed from the private sector. Given that traditional bank lending has slowed down, the development of non-bank financing has become imperative. To this end, this article intends to empirically test the role of non-bank financial institutions (NBFIs) in stimulating economic growth.Aim: The aim of this article is to empirically test the existence of a long-run equilibrium relationship between economic growth and the development of NBFIs, and the causality thereof.Setting: The empirical assessment uses time-series data from Africa’s three largest economies, namely, Egypt, Nigeria and South Africa, over the period 1971–2013.Methods: This article uses the Johansen cointegration and vector error correction model within a country-specific setting.Results: The results showed that the long-run relationship between NBFI development and economic growth is relatively stronger in Egypt and South Africa, than in Nigeria. Evidence in respect of Nigeria shows that such a relationship is weak. The nature of the relationship between NBFI development and economic growth in Egypt is positive and significant, and predominantly bidirectional. This suggests that a virtuous relationship between NBFIs and economic growth exists in Egypt. In South Africa, the relationship is positive and significant and predominantly runs from NBFI development to economic growth, implying a supply-leading phenomenon. In Nigeria, the results are weak and mixed.Conclusion: The study concludes that in countries with more developed financial systems, the role of NBFIs and their importance to the economic growth process are more pronounced. Thus, there is need for developing policies targeted at developing the NBFI sector, given their potential to contribute to economic growth.

Relationship between Budget Deficit and Economic Growth: Evidence from Ethiopia

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 10-15
Author(s):  
Desalegn Emana
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Nominal Exchange Rate ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Long Run

This study examined the relationship between budget deficit and economic growth in Ethiopia using time series data for the period 1991 to 2019 by applying the ARDL bounds testing approach. The empirical results indicate that budget deficit and economic growth in Ethiopia have a negative relationship in the long run, and have a weak positive association in the short run. In line with this, in the long run, a one percent increase in the budget deficit causes a 1.43 percent decline in the economic growth of the country. This result is consistent with the neoclassical view which says budget deficits are bad for economic growth during stimulating periods. Moreover, in the long run, the variables trade openness and inflation have a positive impact on Ethiopian economic growth, and on the other hand, the economic growth of Ethiopia is negatively affected by the nominal exchange rate in the long run. Apart from this, in the long run, gross capital formation and lending interest rates have no significant impact on the economic growth of the country. Therefore, the study recommends the government should manage its expenditure and mobilize the resources to generate more revenue to address the negative impact of the budget deficit on economic growth.

scholarly journals How applicable is export-led growth and import-led growth hypotheses to South African economy?

2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 15-24
Author(s):  
Ntebogang Dinah Moroke ◽  
Molebogeng Manoto
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
South Africa ◽  
Adverse Effect ◽  
Time Series ◽  
South African ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Reserve Bank ◽  
Equilibrium Relationship

This paper investigated exports, imports and the economic growth nexus in the context of South Africa. The paper sets out to examine if long-run and causal relationships exist between these variables. Quarterly time series data ranging between 1998 and 2013 obtained from the South African Reserve Bank and Quantec databases was employed. Initial data analysis proved that the variables are integrated at their levels. The results further indicated that exports, imports and economic growth are co-integrated, confirming an existence of a long-run equilibrium relationship. Granger causal results were shown running from exports and imports to GDP and from imports to exports, validating export-led and import-led growth hypotheses in South Africa. A significant causality running from imports to exports, suggests that South Africa imported finished goods in excess. If this is not avoided, lots of problems could be caused. A suggestion was made to avoid such problematic issues as they may lead to replaced domestic output and displacement of employees. Another dreadful ramification may be an adverse effect on the economy which may further be experienced in the long-run.

scholarly journals Islamic Finance and Economic Growth Nexus: An Econometric Analysis

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 11-22
Author(s):  
Kashif Raza ◽  
Rashid Ahmad ◽  
Muhammad Abdul Rehman Shah ◽  
Muhammad Umar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Islamic Finance ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Economic Agents ◽  
Fixed Capital Formation

Researchers have written chain of research papers about the dynamics of financial development and economic growth. The financial capital plays a productive role when it delivers to economic agents who are facing shortage or excess of funds.  This study explores the linkages among Islamic financing and economic growth for Pakistan, by using annual time series data from 2005-2018. Islamic banks’ financing funds used as a proxy of Islamic financing, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF), labor force (LF),Broad money(M) and Trade openness (TO) to presents real sector of an economy. For the exploration, the unit root test, Ordinary least square technique and Granger causality test are applied. The results validate a substantial causal relationship of Islamic financing and GDP, which supports the Schumpeter’s supply-leading view. The results indicate that Islamic finance contributed towards economic growth.  

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