scholarly journals Characteristics of quasi-biennial oscillation over Kenya and their predictability potential for the seasonal rainfall

MAUSAM ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 45 (1) ◽  
pp. 57-62
Author(s):  
L.J . OGALLO ◽  
R. E. OKOOLA ◽  
D. N. WANJOHI
Keyword(s):  
Seasonal Rainfall ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Easterly Wind ◽  
S Period ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

investigated using monthly zo.ta l wind com ponents from Nairob i (Kenya ) within the period1966-1987. RelatiHn.;;hips between the stra tospher ic eas terl y and westerly wino phases and t he seasona l ra infallanomalics were also iO\t,"..')t igatN.Res ults Irom spec tra l a nalysis indicated tho d ominance (If a 28 mon th s' period in the IllOal w ind comnoncn.The \'Crtical ra te of propagar ioa of both westerly and easterly wind phases was about - · 1.2 kmmonth.Results from statist ical analysis indicated signitica nr (at 5 '~~ level) association between rainfall anomalyclass (above normal. normal. a mi below normal) and east erly and westerl y wind phas...es.

scholarly journals The Quasi-biennial Oscillation and annual variations in tropical ozone from SHADOZ and HALOE

2008 ◽  
Vol 8 (14) ◽  
pp. 3929-3936 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. C. Witte ◽  
M. R. Schoeberl ◽  
A. R. Douglass ◽  
A. M. Thompson
Keyword(s):  
Theoretical Calculations ◽  
Vertical Resolution ◽  
Mixing Ratio ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Easterly Wind ◽  
Annual Cycles ◽  
Annual Variations ◽  
Long Time ◽  
Wind Shears ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

Abstract. We examine the tropical ozone mixing ratio perturbation fields generated from a monthly ozone climatology using 1998 to 2006 ozonesonde data from the Southern Hemisphere Additional Ozonesondes (SHADOZ) network and the 13-year satellite record from 1993 to 2005 obtained from the Halogen Occultation Experiment (HALOE). The long time series and high vertical resolution of the ozone and temperature profiles from the SHADOZ sondes coupled with good tropical coverage north and south of the equator gives a detailed picture of the ozone structure in the lowermost stratosphere down through the tropopause where the picture obtained from HALOE measurements is blurred by coarse vertical resolution. Ozone perturbations respond to annual variations in the Brewer-Dobson Circulation (BDC) in the region just above the cold-point tropopause to around 20 km. Annual cycles in ozone and temperature are well correlated. Above 20 km, ozone and temperature perturbations are dominated by the Quasi-biennial Oscillation (QBO). Both satellite and sonde records show good agreement between positive and negative ozone mixing ratio anomalies and alternating QBO westerly and easterly wind shears from the Singapore rawinsondes with a mean periodicity of 26 months for SHADOZ and 25 months for HALOE. There is a temporal offset of one to three months with the QBO wind shear ahead of the ozone anomaly field. The meridional length scales for the annual cycle and the QBO, obtained using the temperature anomalies and wind shears in the thermal wind equation, compare well with theoretical calculations.

scholarly journals Does the coupling of the semiannual oscillation with the quasi-biennial oscillation provide predictability of Antarctic sudden stratospheric warmings?

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (17) ◽  
pp. 12835-12853
Author(s):  
Viktoria J. Nordström ◽  
Annika Seppälä
Keyword(s):  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Early Winter ◽  
Flux Divergence ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Easterly Wind ◽  
Wave Forcing ◽  
A Minor ◽  
Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Semiannual Oscillation

Abstract. During September 2019 a minor sudden stratospheric warming took place over the Southern Hemisphere (SH), bringing disruption to the usually stable winter vortex. The mesospheric winds reversed and temperatures in the stratosphere rose by over 50 K. Whilst sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) in the SH are rare, with the only major SSW having occurred in 2002, the Northern Hemisphere experiences about six per decade. Amplification of atmospheric waves during winter is thought to be one of the possible triggers for SSWs, although other mechanisms are also possible. Our understanding, however, remains incomplete, especially with regards to SSW occurrence in the SH. Here, we investigate the effect of two equatorial atmospheric modes, the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) at 10 hPa and the semiannual oscillation (SAO) at 1 hPa during the SH winters of 2019 and 2002. Using MERRA-2 reanalysis data we find that the easterly wind patterns resembling the two modes merge at low latitudes in the early winter, forming a zero-wind line that stretches from the lower stratosphere into the mesosphere. This influences the meridional wave guide, resulting in easterly momentum being deposited in the polar atmosphere throughout the polar winter, decelerating the westerly winds in the equatorward side of the polar vortex. As the winter progresses, the momentum deposition and wind anomalies descend further down into the stratosphere. We find similar behaviour in other years with early onset SH vortex weakening events. The magnitude of the SAO and the timing of the upper stratospheric (10 hPa) easterly QBO signal was found to be unique in these years when compared to the years with a similar QBO phase. We were able to identify the SSW and weak vortex years from the early winter location of the zero-wind line at 1 hPa together with Eliassen–Palm flux divergence in the upper stratosphere at 40–50∘ S. We propose that this early winter behaviour resulting in deceleration of the polar winds may precondition the southern atmosphere for a later enhanced wave forcing from the troposphere, resulting in an SSW or vortex weakening event. Thus, the early winter equatorial upper stratosphere–mesosphere, together with the polar upper atmosphere, may provide early clues to an imminent SH SSW.

Quasi-Biennial Oscillation above 10 MB

1991 ◽  
Vol 18 (7) ◽  
pp. 1205-1208 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mark P. Baldwin ◽  
Timothy J. Dunkerton
Keyword(s):  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

scholarly journals Global drivers effect in multi-annual variability of runoff

2014 ◽  
Vol 62 (3) ◽  
pp. 169-176 ◽  
Author(s):  
Miriam Fendeková ◽  
Pavla Pekárová ◽  
Marián Fendek ◽  
Ján Pekár ◽  
Peter Škoda
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic Oscillation ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Coherence Function ◽  
Climatic Conditions ◽  
Base Flow ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
The North Atlantic Oscillation ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

Abstract Changes in runoff parameters are very important for Slovakia, where stream-flow discharges, being supplied by precipitation and groundwater runoff, are preferentially influenced by climatic conditions. Therefore, teleconnections between runoff parameters, climate parameters and global atmospheric drivers such as North Atlantic Oscillation, Southern Pacific Oscillation, Quasi-biennial oscillation and solar activity were studied in the Nitra River Basin, Slovakia. Research was mostly based on records of 80 years (1931-2010) for discharges and baseflow, and 34 years for groundwater heads. Methods of autocorrelation, spectral analysis, cross-correlation and coherence function were used. Results of auto- correllograms for discharges, groundwater heads and base flow values showed a very distinct 11-year and 21-year periodicity. Spectrogram analysis documented the 11-year, 7.8-year, 3.6-year and 2.4-year periods in the discharge, precipitation and air temperature time series. The same cycles except of 11-years were also identified in the long-term series of the North Atlantic Oscillation and Southern Pacific Oscillation indices. The cycle from approximately 2.3 to 2.4-years is most likely connected with Quasi-biennial oscillation. The close negative correlation between the North Atlantic Oscillation winter index and the hydrological surface and groundwater parameters can be used for their prediction within the same year and also for one year in advance.

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