scholarly journals VARIABILITY OF INDIAN SUMMER MONSOON : RELATIONSHIP WITH GLOBAL SST ANOMALIES

MAUSAM ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 45 (3) ◽  
pp. 205-212
Author(s):  
R. K. VERMA

(iloh,tlcurr("!,1111111 ll111p .o; uflhe SlIllll1lt" r mUn!\4 lOn prt>cipil:lliull anomalies a nti St"a SU l f.IC(" Tt"mpt"1 a1lln"' (SST) a nUllul!it'.'i are pTt'St'IlI("d . n lir1 ) -)l' /u (1950..1479) rime St' 1; ("S uf 11l0n...nnn ind("x b co rn' l a h~d ....; Ih Iht"SST tillll' Sl'riCS al t"nch 1° ;<2° latitLIl1co! u nl:iluJt" box uf th t" \\(1(111 (>I,:eans usi ng COADS (Comprehensive O..:eanAllno...pl1("fl." Dala S('1)dn ta ttl "3riOUS timc IJgs o f lUonth s (i.t' .. l1luI11 h,'S of year s p recedi ng 'lI1.1 conc urrcnI lu Ihe1ll011Stllll1-)l'at) , Ctl lTclal ion..mups :'I ll' pn.-pUTl,.f 111111 Illaly"I'" 1(1 i.lclltify Il' IN."Oll lle ct it ln "-' Ilf llln ll....oon pTt'I,:ipil<ttiunwilh glubal S ~Ts.It is I'olin.! th ai tlll' lag,orrelatiuns .... ilh SST (Will 1:('01(31 and t'ilstt"m t'lluHt orial Padlic (Ninu-rl'l!inniliresuggl·..liw of IWlI I>p t' S o f inlt"raetjuns .....ith Ihe munsoun. The first on e, .... h il.:h sho ws pmili\'c <:orre lnlio n of summermonsoon pf('\.-ipililtion anoll1alit"s ",i lh Ihe ct"nlral and l":Jsl ..-mequaturial P<lciftc SST nnoUlal ies aboul a yea r be forelilt" 1l10 nsollfl. sUggl°.!>1Sthat lhe monsoon which follo ws abmlt a )'t'lir la ll'r ur tX'currence ofwaml t"pisode of EI..Nin~Suut hem Oscillatiun (ENSO) is generally ....-eltc It is also suggestetJ Ihal this inleract io n might be taki ng placelhruugh Ihe in llue nce or nOr1h em hemisp here int er tempera tures. Th e seco nd I)-PC of inleraclion of equ alorialPaci fic SST ....i lh mon soon is revealed through the strung n~al ive co rrela tio ns bqinning befo re lh e summer monsoon an d continuing ....; lh g~ a l er magnitud e an d o~ r ....i der extent. suuest ing th ai a .....arm SST anomaly j ust precedineanll concurrent to monsoon ~aso n weaken s th e monsson.AiNt"li intcf<n'lions bctween Ihe Indian Ocean and monsoon are also emph a si ~d in the anal ysis. Two key~ginns are ide nt ified. Th e cen tra l Indian Ocun south o f th e equalor shoW!strong positive corre la tions during (helalt' no n hl'm ",inler a nd spring. Th e other key Tq!'ion is in the north Ind ian Geran. Th e correlations are significanllynt'ga li\'e. Some teleconnections with th e Atlantic basin are also revealed which are ralhe rdifficuh to explain but ma yfind usefu l ap plications in monitoring and long-range forecas line of the monsoon.

2009 ◽  
Vol 22 (7) ◽  
pp. 1834-1849 ◽  
Author(s):  
Renguang Wu

Abstract The present study investigates processes for out-of-phase transitions from the Australian summer monsoon (ASM) to the Indian summer monsoon (ISM). Two types of out-of-phase ASM-to-ISM transitions have been identified, depending on the evolution of the Pacific El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events. The first type of transition is accompanied by a phase switch of ENSO in boreal spring to early summer. In the second type of transition, ENSO maintains its phase through boreal summer. The direct ENSO forcing plays a primary role for the first type of out-of-phase ASM-to-ISM transition, with complementary roles from the north Indian Ocean sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies that are partly induced by ENSO. The second type of out-of-phase ASM-to-ISM transition involves air–sea interaction processes in the tropical Indian Ocean that generate the north Indian Ocean SST anomalies and contribute to the monsoon transition. The initiation of tropical Indian Ocean air–sea interaction is closely related to ENSO in observations, but could also occur without ENSO according to a coupled general circulation model simulation. Results of numerical simulations substantiate the role of the Indian Ocean air–sea interaction in the out-of-phase ASM-to-ISM transition.


2007 ◽  
Vol 20 (10) ◽  
pp. 2147-2164 ◽  
Author(s):  
Renguang Wu ◽  
Ben P. Kirtman

Abstract The biennial variability is a large component of year-to-year variations in the Indian summer monsoon (ISM). Previous studies have shown that El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) plays an important role in the biennial variability of the ISM. The present study investigates the role of the Indian Ocean in the biennial transition of the ISM when the Pacific ENSO is absent. The influence of the Indian and Pacific Oceans on the biennial transition between the ISM and the Australian summer monsoon (ASM) is also examined. Controlled numerical experiments with a coupled general circulation model (CGCM) are used to address the above two issues. The CGCM captures the in-phase ISM to ASM transition (i.e., a wet ISM followed by a wet ASM or a dry ISM followed by a dry ASM) and the out-of-phase ASM to ISM transition (i.e., a wet ASM followed by a dry ISM or a dry ASM followed by a wet ISM). These transitions are more frequent than the out-of-phase ISM to ASM transition and the in-phase ASM to ISM transition in the coupled model, consistent with observations. The results of controlled coupled model experiments indicate that both the Indian and Pacific Ocean air–sea coupling are important for properly simulating the biennial transition between the ISM and ASM in the CGCM. The biennial transition of the ISM can occur through local air–sea interactions in the north Indian Ocean when the Pacific ENSO is suppressed. The local sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies induce the Indian monsoon transition through low-level moisture convergence. Surface evaporation anomalies, which are largely controlled by surface wind speed changes, play an important role for SST changes. Different from local air–sea interaction mechanisms proposed in previous studies, the atmospheric feedback is not strong enough to reverse the SST anomalies immediately at the end of the monsoon season. Instead, the reversal of the SST anomalies is accomplished in the spring of the following year, which in turn leads to the Indian monsoon transition.


2007 ◽  
Vol 20 (13) ◽  
pp. 3083-3105 ◽  
Author(s):  
Annalisa Cherchi ◽  
Silvio Gualdi ◽  
Swadhin Behera ◽  
Jing Jia Luo ◽  
Sebastien Masson ◽  
...  

Abstract The Indian summer monsoon (ISM) is one of the main components of the Asian summer monsoon. It is well known that one of the starting mechanisms of a summer monsoon is the thermal contrast between land and ocean and that sea surface temperature (SST) and moisture are crucial factors for its evolution and intensity. The Indian Ocean, therefore, may play a very important role in the generation and evolution of the ISM itself. A coupled general circulation model, implemented with a high-resolution atmospheric component, appears to be able to simulate the Indian summer monsoon in a realistic way. In particular, the features of the simulated ISM variability are similar to the observations. In this study, the relationships between the ISM and tropical Indian Ocean (TIO) SST anomalies are investigated, as well as the ability of the coupled model to capture those connections. The recent discovery of the Indian Ocean dipole mode (IODM) may suggest new perspectives in the relationship between ISM and TIO SST. A new statistical technique, the coupled manifold, is used to investigate the TIO SST variability and its relation with the tropical Pacific Ocean (TPO). The analysis shows that the SST variability in the TIO contains a significant portion that is independent from the TPO variability. The same technique is used to estimate the amount of Indian rainfall variability that can be explained by the tropical Indian Ocean SST. Indian Ocean SST anomalies are separated in a part remotely forced from the tropical Pacific Ocean variability and a part independent from that. The relationships between the two SSTA components and the Indian monsoon variability are then investigated in detail.


2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (3) ◽  
pp. 903-920 ◽  
Author(s):  
Renguang Wu ◽  
Jilong Chen ◽  
Wen Chen

Abstract Observational analysis reveals three types of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) influences on the Indian summer monsoon (ISM): indirect influence of the preceding winter [December–February (DJF)] eastern equatorial Pacific (EEP) sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies (DJF-only cases), direct influence of the concurrent summer [June–September (JJAS)] EEP SST anomalies (JJAS-only cases), and coherent influence of both the preceding winter and concurrent summer EEP SST anomalies (DJF&JJAS cases). The present study distinguishes the three types of ENSO influences and investigates the processes connecting ENSO to the ISM separately. In the DJF-only cases, the preceding winter EEP SST anomalies induce north Indian Ocean (NIO) SST anomalies through air–sea interaction processes in the tropical Indian Ocean. The SST anomalies over the western Indian Ocean alter the surface air humidity there. Both processes favor an anomalous ISM. In the JJAS-only cases, an anomalous ISM is directly induced by ENSO through large-scale circulation changes. The meridional thermal contrast may also contribute to an anomalous ISM. In the DJF&JJAS cases, the preceding winter EEP SST anomalies induce NIO SST anomalies and change the surface air humidity over the western Indian Ocean. Concurrent summer EEP SST anomalies induce large-scale vertical motion anomalies over South Asia. Together, they lead to an anomalous ISM. The anomalous meridional thermal contrast may contribute to an anomalous ISM in late summer. Impacts of the preceding winter EEP SST anomalies in the DJF and JJAS cases may contribute to the contemporaneous correlation between ISM and EEP SST. There are more DJF&JJAS cases before than after the late 1970s. This provides an alternative interpretation for the observed weakening in the ISM–ENSO relationship around the late 1970s.


2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (19) ◽  
pp. 7885-7908 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lei Zhang ◽  
Weiqing Han ◽  
Yuanlong Li ◽  
Eric D. Maloney

Air–sea coupling processes over the north Indian Ocean associated with the Indian summer monsoon intraseasonal oscillation (MISO) are investigated. Observations show that MISO convection anomalies affect underlying sea surface temperature (SST) through changes in surface shortwave radiation and surface latent heat flux. In turn, SST anomalies may also affect the MISO precipitation tendency ( dP/ dt). In particular, warm (cold) SST anomalies can contribute to increasing (decreasing) precipitation rate through enhanced (suppressed) surface convergence associated with boundary layer pressure gradients. These air–sea interaction processes are manifest in a quadrature relation between MISO precipitation and SST anomalies. A local air–sea coupling model (LACM) is formulated based on these observed physical processes. The period of the LACM is proportional to the square root of seasonal mixed layer depth H, assuming other physical parameters remain unchanged. Hence, LACM predicts a relatively short (long) MISO period over the north Indian Ocean during the May–June monsoon developing (July–August monsoon mature) phase when H is shallow (deep). This result is consistent with observed MISO characteristics. A 30-day-period oscillating external forcing is also added to the LACM, representing intraseasonal oscillations propagating from the equatorial Indian Ocean to the north Indian Ocean. It is found that resonance will occur when H is close to 25 m, which significantly enhances the MISO amplitude. This process may contribute to the higher MISO amplitude during the monsoon developing phase compared to the mature phase, which is associated with the seasonal cycle of H.


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