scholarly journals Wind steadiness up to 35 km and its variability before the southwest monsoon onset and the withdrawal

MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 63 (2) ◽  
pp. 275-282
Author(s):  
K.V.S. NAMBOODIRI ◽  
P.K. DILEEP ◽  
KOSHY MAMMEN

This paper brings out mainly on the quantitative approach to delineate wind direction variability through Wind Steadiness Factor (WSF) - a single parameter which depends on height, wind speed and wind direction. This can be used as a prognostic parameter for the onset and withdrawal of south west monsoon (SW Monsoon) over Kerala. A brief sketch on wind climatology up to 35 km over TERLS (8° 32' N / 76° 52' E) is also discussed to have a background knowledge. From the derived WSF climatology, it is seen that the region between 12.5 km to 18 km is of highest WSF during the SW Monsoon due to the Tropical Easterly Jet (TEJ). Vertical variation of annual WSF has shown well demarcated four layered structure and the wind rose constructed for each layer provides the contribution of WSF attributed by the dominant direction for that particular layer. A WSF value was estimated for the region between 12.5 km to 18 km over Thiruvananthapuram for each available rawin profile [0530 and 1730 hrs (IST)] and inferred that an early incidence and maintenance of WSF well above 80% prior the SW Monsoon supports an early SW Monsoon onset and reverse for a late onset. A late/early WSF decrease from a value of 80% followed by systematic further decrease is associated with late/early withdrawal of the SW Monsoon.

MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 62 (2) ◽  
pp. 179-196
Author(s):  
D.S. PAI ◽  
O.P. SREEJITH ◽  
S.G. NARGUND ◽  
MADHURI MUSALE ◽  
AJIT TYAGI

At present, India Meteorological Department (IMD) issues various monthly and seasonal operational forecasts for the south-west monsoon season using models based on latest statistical techniques with useful skill. Operational models are reviewed regularly and improved through in house research activities. For the forecasting of the south-west monsoon season (June – September) rainfall over the country as a whole, a newly introduced statistical ensemble forecasting system is used. In addition, models have been developed for the forecast of the monsoon season rainfall over four geographical regions (NW India, NE India, Central India and South Peninsula) of the country and forecast for the rainfall over the second half of the monsoon season over the country as a whole. Models have also been developed for issuing operational forecast for the monthly rainfall for the months of July, August & September over the country as a whole. Operational forecasts issued by IMD for 2010 south-west monsoon rainfall have been discussed and verified. In addition, the experimental forecasts for the season rainfall over the country as a whole based on bothstatistical and dynamical models received from various climate research institutes within the country other than IMD arealso discussed. The operational monthly and seasonal long range forecasts issued for the 2010 southwest monsoon season for the country as a whole were accurate. However, forecasts for the season rainfall over the 4 geographical regions (Northwest India, Central India, Northeast India and south Peninsular India) were not accurate as the forecast for South Peninsular India overestimated the actual rainfall and that for northeast India underestimated the actual rainfall. The experimental forecasts for the season rainfall over the country as whole from various climate research institutes within the country showed large variance (91 % - 112% of LPA).


ENTOMON ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 46 (2) ◽  
pp. 149-166
Author(s):  
Lincy Abraham ◽  
S. Shanas

The foraging hive activity of stingless bee Tetragonula travancorica Shanas and Faseeh was studied from November 2018 to August 2019. The activity varied between the seasons, weather conditions and time hours of study. The outgoing and incoming pollen foragers exhibited two peaks in activity, from 0800-1200 h (first) and during 1500-1600 h (second). The activity of incoming non-pollen foragers displayed only one distinct peak between 1000-1200 h except during the southwest monsoon period. The greatest activity was recorded during the dry season (January-May), followed by the south-west monsoon (June-August) and north-east monsoon (November- December) seasons. Maximum overall activity was recorded during hotter months February, March and April while the lowest was observed in January and December. At any season or time, the number of incoming foragers without pollen was greater than pollen foragers.


2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (12) ◽  
pp. 318-321
Author(s):  
Chandra kanta Sharma

The monsoon in India is called the summer winds which are active in South Asia from June to September. These winds flow from the Indian Ocean, the Bay of Bengal and the Arabian Sea towards the Indian subcontinent. Their direction is towards the south-west and south-north, hence the monsoon winds are also known as the south-west monsoon winds. The southwest monsoon provides 70% of the total rainfall in the country. But this year, the country has received less than average rainfall, which was 5.2%. The northwest region of the country recorded the highest decrease of 10 percent. After good rainfall in June and July, the monsoon in the country remained weak during August and September.   भारत में मानसून उन ग्रीष्मकालीन हवाओं को कहते हैं जो दक्षिण एशिया में जून से सितंबर तक सक्रिय रहती हैं। ये हवाएं हिन्दमहासागर, बंगाल की खाड़ी और अरबसागर से भारतीय उपमहाद्वीप की ओर प्रवाहित होती है। इनकी दिशा दक्षिण-पश्चिम और दक्षिण-उत्तर की ओर होती है अतः मानसूनी हवाओं को दक्षिण-पश्चिम मानसूनी हवाओं के नाम से भी जाना जाता है। दक्षिण-पश्चिम मानसून देश में कुल वर्षा का 70% भाग प्रदान करता है। लेकिन इस वर्ष देश में औसत से कम वर्षा दर्ज की गई है संपूर्ण देश में 5.2% की कमी रही। देश के उत्तर – पश्चिम क्षेत्र में सबसे अधिक 10 फीसद की कमी दर्ज की गई। जून और जुलाई में अच्छे वर्षा के बाद अगस्त और सितंबर के दौरान देश में मानसून कमजोर रहा।


Author(s):  
Monjila Rizwan

South West Monsoon (SW Monsoon) and Tropical Cyclone (TC) are two important weather systems for Bangladesh. During SW Monsoon i.e. during rainy season Bangladesh gets 70% to 85% of her annual rainfall. TC accompanied with strong gale winds, tornadoes, torrential rains and storm surges is considered as a deadly natural disaster. TC’s are mostly formed during pre-monsoon and post-monsoon season, but not uncommon during SW monsoon. This study consults the best track data (cyclone e-atlas) of India Meteorological Department (IMD) containing tracks of cyclones and depression over North Indian Ocean (NIO) for the years 1891 to 2020 i.e. of 130 years. In these 130 years, among total 1219 storms, 608 had formed during SW monsoon. If only Cyclonic Storms (CS) and Severe Cyclonic Storms (SCS) are considered then, 150 storms formed during SW Monsoon. This paper studied two cyclogenesis factors; vertical wind shear and upper level anticyclone for eight cases of tropical storms formed during SW Monsoon. Besides cyclogenesis factors, influence of Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) is also studied. Threat analysis associated with tropical storms during SW Monsoon has been done which might help in planning of National Disaster Management Program. The Dhaka University Journal of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Vol. 10(1), 2021, P 57-65


2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 567-576 ◽  
Author(s):  
S Thangamani ◽  
A Raviraj

The present study attempted to find out the relation between rainfall variability, trend and distribution in Dindigul district of Amaravathi basin for groundwater management. A detailed analysis of monthly, seasonal and spatial variation of rainfall (1971-2014) for the study area had carried out. The normal annual rainfall of the district varies from 700 to 1600 mm. The north east monsoon contributed the maximum rainfall of 439mm (50%), followed by South-west monsoon which contributed 254 mm (29%), summer which contributed 147 mm (16.8%) and winter contributed the minimum rainfall of 26.8 mm (2.8%).A high value of CV had observed in all the stations, which indicate the greater rainfall variability, and more chances of occurrence of drought. Higher variability of coefficient of variation was observed in central part of the district.Theresult of MMK z-test at 1% level indicates that the majority of stations showed non-significant trend in annual, summer and monsoon season of rainfall. Out of the 13 stations studied in the district, annual rainfall of only one station (Kuthiraiyar) showed significant decreasing trend in annual rainfall (-3.05 mm/year) and five stations recorded the significant decreasing trend in rainy days during southwest monsoon. Chatrapatti and Natham stations recorded the significant increasing trend during north east monsoon and Virupatchi station recorded the decreasing trend.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 60-69 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pijush Basak

The South West Monsoon rainfall data of the meteorological subdivision number 6 of India enclosing Gangetic West Bengal is shown to be decomposable into eight empirical time series, namely Intrinsic Mode Functions. This leads one to identify the first empirical mode as a nonlinear part and the remaining modes as the linear part of the data. The nonlinear part is modeled with the technique Neural Network based Generalized Regression Neural Network model technique whereas the linear part is sensibly modeled through simple regression method. The different Intrinsic modes as verified are well connected with relevant atmospheric features, namely, El Nino, Quasi-biennial Oscillation, Sunspot cycle and others. It is observed that the proposed model explains around 75% of inter annual variability (IAV) of the rainfall series of Gangetic West Bengal. The model is efficient in statistical forecasting of South West Monsoon rainfall in the region as verified from independent part of the real data. The statistical forecasts of SWM rainfall for GWB for the years 2012 and 2013 are108.71 cm and 126.21 cm respectively, where as corresponding to the actual rainfall of 93.19 cm 115.20 cm respectively which are within one standard deviation of mean rainfall.


2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shaakir Shabir Dar ◽  
Prosenjit Ghosh

Abstract. The backward air mass trajectory analysis (HYSPLIT) during the summer monsoon suggests that the rain which precipitates at Kolkata is generated from a moisture parcel which originates from the Arabian Sea and moves inland over the dry Indian subcontinent or over the Bay of Bengal. We used monthly satellite and ground based measurements of the hydro-meteorological variables together with isotope data from Bangalore, Bay of Bengal and Kolkata and other locations to quantify the contribution of different moisture sources during the SW Monsoon. The vapor mass as it moves under the prevailing wind direction was subjected to isotopic modification due to addition of evaporated moisture from Bay of Bengal and rainout process. This was simulated using Craig and Gordon model and Rayleigh fractionation model respectively. The moisture generated during the process of evaporation from Bay of Bengal surface ocean gets advected towards the continent and precipitates as rainfall or snowfall over the Indo-Gangetic plain. We assumed based on our observation that the initial isotopic composition of vapor originating from the peninsular continental source is similar to our observation recorded at Bangalore station. It is found that the isotopic signature of Bangalore is completely lost albeit the significant contribution of the moisture from Bay of Bengal. To explain the isotopic composition of precipitation at Kolkata during the SW-Monsoon, it was necessary to invoke 75–80 % moisture contribution from the Bay of Bengal whereas the evaporated moisture parcel from the Peninsular India contribute 25 %–35 %.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Asokan Laila Achu ◽  
Girish Gopinath

<p>The Western Ghats (WG), an elevated passive continental margin along the southwestern coast of India, is the most widely populated biodiversity hot spot in the world. Monsoon climate is prevalent throughout the length of the Western Ghats. The WG region is prone to the occurrence of various hydro-climatic disasters such as extreme rainfall-driven floods and landslides. During the past 100 years, landslides and floods caused by extreme rainfall events in the WG have occurred in 1924 and 1979; but the most disastrous event, in terms of area of impact, loss of life and economic impact, occurred in August 2018. Generally, the south-west monsoon (Indian summer monsoon) occurs in the first week of June and extends up to September and the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) predicted above-normal rainfall of 13% during the month of August 2018. But the State received an excess of 96% during the period from 1st to 30th August 2018, and 33% during the entire monsoon period till the end of August. The unprecedented heavy rains, storms, floods and associated thousands of landslides have caused exorbitant losses including 400 life losses, over 2.20 lakh people were displaced, and 20000 homes and 80 dams were damaged or destructed. This study aimed to elucidate the reasons behind the thousands of landslides caused in WG using observed and field evidences. Changes in south-west monsoon pattern and rainfall intensity played a vital role in the occurrence of landslides in WG. Further, the extensive causalities are the result of anthropogenic disturbances including landscape alterations and improper landuse practices in the hilly tracks of WG. The major causative factors for series of landslides in various segments of WG is due to hindrance of lower order streams/springs, vertical cutting, intensive quarrying, unscientific rain pits & man-made structures together with erratic rainfall triggered major and minor landslides in various segments of WG. The present investigation concludes that a scientific landuse policy and geoscientific awareness is essential to mitigate the environment.</p>


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