scholarly journals Financial Integration in ASEAN-5

2016 ◽  
Vol 62 (1) ◽  
pp. 44
Author(s):  
Laura Grace Gabriella ◽  
Revathy Suryanarayana ◽  
Vania Esady
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Integration ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Recovery Period ◽  
South East Asia ◽  
Volatility Spillover ◽  
Volatility Spillovers ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Over Time

The financial integration in South East Asia has varied over time. This paper focuses on three periods: before, during, and after the global financial crisis in 2008. This paper finds that ASEAN-5 countries have indeed taken a step towards financial integration. While we do not observe any (cointegrating) long-run relationships between the ASEAN-5 countries, we find that there has been a significant increase in the volatility spillovers between them. This is particularly true in the recovery period following the global financial crisis.  AbstrakIntegrasi keuangan di Asia Tenggara telah mengalami perubahan dari waktu ke waktu. Penelitian ini berfokus pada tiga periode waktu, yaitu pada sebelum, saat, dan setelah Krisis Keuangan Global tahun 2008. Hasil penelitian ini menemukan bahwa negara ASEAN-5 memiliki kecenderungan kearah integrasi keuangan. Walaupun kami belum melihat adanya hubungan jangka panjang dari kelima negara tersebut, namun kami menemukan adanya peningkatan signifikan dari volatility spillover diantara mereka. Hal ini khususnya benar terjadi sepanjang periode pemulihan dari Krisis Keuangan Global.Kata kunci: Integrasi Keuangan; Krisis Keuangan Global; ASEAN; GARCHJEL classifications: F21; F33

scholarly journals Investigating Spillover Effects between Foreign Exchange Rate Volatility and Commodity Price Volatility in Uganda

Economies ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 1 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lorna Katusiime
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Spillover Effects ◽  
Commodity Price ◽  
Volatility Spillover ◽  
Conditional Correlation ◽  
Volatility Spillovers ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

This study investigates the impact of commodity price volatility spillovers on financial sector stability. Specifically, the study investigates the spillover effects between oil and food price volatility and the volatility of a key macroeconomic indicator of importance to financial stability: the nominal Uganda shilling per United States dollar (UGX/USD) exchange rate. Volatility spillover is examined using the Generalized Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) approach and Multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (MGARCH) techniques, namely the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC), constant conditional correlation (CCC), and varying conditional correlation (VCC) models. Overall, the results of both the GVAR and MGARCH techniques indicate low levels of volatility spillover and market interconnectedness except during crisis periods, at which point cross-market volatility spillovers and market interconnectedness sharply and markedly increased. Specifically, the results of the MGARCH analysis show that the DCC model produces the best results. The obtained results point to an amplification of dynamic conditional correlations during and after the global financial crisis (GFC), suggesting an increase in volatility spillovers and interdependence between these markets following the global financial crisis. This is also confirmed by the results of the total spillover index based on the GVAR analysis, which shows low but time-varying volatility spillover that intensified during periods of high uncertainty and market crises, particularly during the global financial crisis and sovereign debt crisis periods.

scholarly journals Linkages between gold and emerging Asian stock markets: New evidence from the Chinese stock market crash

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Imran Yousaf ◽  
Shoaib Ali
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Chinese Stock Market ◽  
Stock Market Crash ◽  
Volatility Spillovers ◽  
Hedge Ratios ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
New Evidence

This study examines the return and volatility transmission between gold and nine emerging Asian Stock Markets during the global financial crisis and the Chinese stock market crash. We use the VAR-AGARCH model to estimate return and volatility spillovers over the period from January 2000 through June 30, 2018. The results reveal the substantial return and volatility spillovers between the gold and emerging Asian stock markets during the global financial crisis and the Chinese stock market crash. However, these return and volatility transmissions vary across the pairs of stock markets and the financial crises. Besides, we analyze the optimal portfolios and hedge ratios between gold and emerging Asian stock markets during all sample periods. Our findings have important implications for effective hedging and diversification strategies, asset pricing and risk management.

ASYMMETRIC IMPACT OF EXCHANGE RATE CHANGES ON THE TRADE BALANCE: DOES GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS MATTER?

2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (04) ◽  
pp. 1850015 ◽  
Author(s):  
BISHARAT HUSSAIN CHANG ◽  
SURESH KUMAR OAD RAJPUT ◽  
NIAZ HUSSAIN GHUMRO
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Trade Balance ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Sample Period ◽  
Asymmetric Effect ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Exchange Rate Changes ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

Recent studies have been mainly focusing on whether exchange rate changes have a symmetric or asymmetric effect on the trade balance. We revisit this question in the context of US and further extend previous studies by determining whether the relationship between these underlying variables change as a result of the global financial crisis. We use both linear autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) and non-linear ARDL models for the whole sample period as well as in the pre- and post-crisis periods. Findings suggest that exchange rate changes have an asymmetric effect on the trade balance; however, the asymmetric behavior of the underlying variables change as a result of the financial crisis. In the short run, exchange rate asymmetrically affects trade balance in the post-crisis period only. In the long run, there is an asymmetric effect for all sample periods, where only the devaluation of currency significantly affects the trade balance when the whole sample period is selected. On the other hand, in pre- and post-crisis periods, only appreciation of currency significantly affects the trade balance. This study indicates that determining the asymmetric relationship without considering the global financial crisis may lead to spurious results.

scholarly journals Comparing The South African Stock Markets Response To Two Periods Of Distinct Instability The 1997-98 East Asian And Russian Crisis And The Recent Global Financial Crisis

2014 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 427 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anmar Pretorius ◽  
Jesse De Beer
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
South African ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
East Asian ◽  
Volatility Spillover ◽  
The South ◽  
Share Prices ◽  
Export Destination ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

This paper compares the South African stock markets response to two periods of distinct instability, namely the East Asian and Russian crisis of 1997-98 and the global financial crisis of 2007-09. Considering share prices, the Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE) was more severely affected by the earlier crisis, when the domestic fundamentals were weaker. The low levels of foreign reserves were the main cause of concern. The paper further empirically investigates volatility spillover between the JSE and various developed and emerging stock markets during the two crisis periods, employing twelve separate bi-variate GARCH models. The main contributors to volatility spillover during the East Asian and Russian crisis were Mexico, Thailand, Brazil, and Germany predominantly emerging markets. During the second crisis period, Germany, US, Brazil, and UK played the dominant parts predominantly developed markets. The importance of Germany in both periods can be attributed to the countrys role as main export destination of South African goods in Europe.

scholarly journals Systemic Risk Contribution and Contagion of Industrial Sectors in China: From the Global Financial Crisis to the COVID-19 Pandemic

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-16
Author(s):  
Jianxu Liu ◽  
Yangnan Cheng ◽  
Yefan Zhou ◽  
Xiaoqing Li ◽  
Hongyu Kang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Systemic Risk ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Spillover Effect ◽  
Industrial Sectors ◽  
Risk Contribution ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Over Time

This paper investigates the risk contribution of 29 industrial sectors to the China stock market by using one-factor with Durante generator copulas (FDG) and component expected shortfall (CES) analyses. Risk contagion between the systemically most important sector and other sectors is examined using a copula-based ∆CoVaR approach. The data cover the 2008 global financial crisis and the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic. The empirical results show that the banking sector contributed most to systemic risk before and during the global financial crisis. Nonbank finance became equally important in 2020, and the COVID-19 pandemic promoted the position of the computer and pharmaceuticals sectors. The spillover effect diminishes over time, but there remains risk contagion between sectors. The risk spillover trend is consistent with that of systemic risk.

scholarly journals Pooled Mean Group Approach to Test the Determinants of Financial Integration: Evidence From OECD and G20 Countries

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 366
Author(s):  
Ahliman Abbasov
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Integration ◽  
Financial Liberalization ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Trade Integration ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

This study investigates the role of financial liberalization, trade integration, economic growth and global financial crisis on financial integration level of selected OECD and G20 countries during the period of 2000-2016. PMG technique has been implemented to estimate the ARDL model. Regression results suggest a statistically significant long run co-integration relationship between financial integration and independent variables. Analysis also concludes that there are both long run and short run positive impact of trade integration level on financial integration level. The study also concludes that the global financial crisis has had a negative influence on global financial integration both in the short run and long run. But according to the regression results the impact of financial liberalization on the actual financial integration level of the countries only appears in the long run. Results also indicate that positive impact of economic growth on financial globalization level appears only in the long run.

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