scholarly journals Risk and prognostic nomograms for hepatocellular carcinoma with newly-diagnosed pulmonary metastasis using SEER data

PeerJ ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
pp. e7496 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guanzhi Ye ◽  
Lin Wang ◽  
Zhengyang Hu ◽  
Jiaqi Liang ◽  
Yunyi Bian ◽  
...  

Purpose This research aimed to identify risk factors of pulmonary metastasis (PM) from hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and prognostic factors of patients with PM from HCC at initial diagnosis. Methods Patients diagnosed with HCC between 2010 and 2015 were reviewed retrospectively in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Patients with PM from HCC at initial diagnosis were identified from the entire cohort. Predictors for PM from HCC were identified by multivariate logistic regression analysis. Independent prognostic factors for patients with PM were determined by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis. Nomograms were also constructed for quantifying risk of metastasis and overall survival estimation visually. Results Our research included 30,641 patients diagnosed with HCC, of whom 1,732 cases were with PM from HCC at initial diagnosis. The risk factors causing PM from HCC were age (P = 0.001), race (P < 0.001), primary tumor size (P < 0.001), T stage (P < 0.001), N stage (P < 0.001), alpha-fetoprotein (P < 0.001), bone metastasis (P < 0.001), brain metastasis (P < 0.001), and intrahepatic metastasis (P < 0.001). The significantly prognostic factors for overall survival were age (P = 0.014), T stage (P = 0.009), surgical approach (P < 0.001), and chemotherapy (P < 0.001). Harrell’s C-index statistics of two nomograms were 0.768 and 0.687 respectively, indicating satisfactory predictive power. Conclusions This research provided evaluation of risk factors and prognosis for patients with PM from HCC. Two nomograms we developed can be convenient individualized tools to facilitate clinical decision-making.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chao Zhang ◽  
Haixiao Wu ◽  
Guijun Xu ◽  
Wenjuan Ma ◽  
Lisha Qi ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Osteosarcoma is the most common primary malignant bone tumor. The current study was conducted to describe the general condition of patients with primary osteosarcoma in a single cancer center in Tianjin, China and to investigate the associated factors in osteosarcoma patients with lung metastasis. Methods: From February 2009 to October 2020, patients from Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital, China were retrospectively analyzed. The Kaplan–Meier method was used to evaluate the overall survival of osteosarcoma patients. Prognostic factors of patients with osteosarcoma were identified by the Cox proportional hazard regression analysis. Risk factor of lung metastasis in osteosarcoma were investigated by the logistic regression model. Results: A total of 203 patients were involved and 150 patients were successfully followed up for survival status. The 5-year survival rate of osteo-sarcoma patients was 70.0%. Surgery, bone and lung metastasis were the significant prognostic factors in multivariable Cox regression analysis. Twenty-one (10.3%) patients showed lung metastasis at the diagnosis of osteosarcoma and 67 (33%) lung metastases during the later course. T3 stage (OR=11.415, 95%CI 1.362-95.677, P=0.025) and synchronous bone metastasis (OR=6.437, 95%CI 1.69-24.51, P=0.006) were risk factors of synchronous lung metastasis occurrence. Good necrosis (≥90%, OR=0.097, 95%CI 0.028-0.332, P=0.000) and elevated Ki-67 (≥50%, OR=4.529, 95%CI 1.241-16.524, P=0.022) were proved to be significantly associated with metachronous lung metastasis occurrence. Conclusion: The overall survival, prognostic factors and risk factors for lung metastasis in this single center provided insight about osteosarcoma management.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pei-Min Hsieh ◽  
Hung-Yu Lin ◽  
Chao-Ming Hung ◽  
Gin-Ho Lo ◽  
I-Cheng Lu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: The benefits of surgical resection (SR) for various Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stages of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remain unclear. We investigated the risk factors of overall survival (OS) and survival benefits of SR over nonsurgical treatments in patients with HCC of various BCLC stages.Methods: Overall, 2316 HCC patients were included, and their clinicopathological data and OS were recorded. OS was analyzed by the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression analysis. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was performed.Results: In total, 66 (2.8%), 865 (37.4%), 575 (24.8%) and 870 (35.0%) patients had BCLC stage 0, A, B, and C disease, respectively. Furthermore, 1302 (56.2%) of all patients, and 37 (56.9%), 472 (54.6%), 313 (54.4%) and 480 (59.3%) of patients with BCLC stage 0, A, B, and C disease, respectively, died. The median follow-up duration time was 20 (range 0-96) months for the total cohort and was subdivided into 52 (8-96), 32 (1-96), 19 (0-84), and 12 (0-79) months for BCLC stages 0, A, B, and C cohorts, respectively. The risk factors for OS were 1) SR and cirrhosis; 2) SR, cirrhosis, and Child-Pugh (C-P) class; 3) SR, hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection, and C-P class; and 4) SR, HBV infection, and C-P class for the BCLC stage 0, A, B, and C cohorts, respectively. Compared to non-SR treatment, SR resulted in significantly higher survival rates in all cohorts. The 5-year OS rates for SR vs non-SR were 44.0% vs 28.7%, 72.2% vs 42.6%, 42.6% vs 36.2, 44.6% vs 23.5%, and 41.4% vs 15.3% (all p-values<0.05) in the total and BCLC stage 0, A, B, and C cohorts, respectively. After PSM, SR resulted in significantly higher survival rates compared to non-SR treatment in various BCLC stages.Conclusion: SR conferred significant survival benefits to patients with HCC of various BCLC stages and should be considered a recommended treatment for select HCC patients, especially patients with BCLC stage B and C disease.


2021 ◽  
Vol 20 ◽  
pp. 153303382110414
Author(s):  
Xiaoyong Li ◽  
Jiaqong Lin ◽  
Yuguo pan ◽  
Peng Cui ◽  
Jintang Xia

Background: Liver progenitor cells (LPCs) play significant roles in the development and progression of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, no studies on the value of LPC-related genes for evaluating HCC prognosis exist. We developed a gene signature of LPC-related genes for prognostication in HCC. Methods: To identify LPC-related genes, we analyzed mRNA expression arrays from a dataset (GSE57812 & GSE 37071) containing LPCs, mature hepatocytes, and embryonic stem cell samples. HCC RNA-Seq data from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) were used to explore the differentially expressed genes (DEGs) related to prognosis through DEG analysis and univariate Cox regression analysis. Lasso and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to construct the LPC-related gene prognostic model in the TCGA training dataset. This model was validated in the TCGA testing set and an external dataset (International Cancer Genome Consortium [ICGC] dataset). Finally, we investigated the relationship between this prognostic model with tumor-node-metastasis stage, tumor grade, and vascular invasion of HCC. Results: Overall, 1770 genes were identified as LPC-related genes, of which 92 genes were identified as DEGs in HCC tissues compared with normal tissues. Furthermore, we randomly assigned patients from the TCGA dataset to the training and testing cohorts. Twenty-six DEGs correlated with overall survival (OS) in the univariate Cox regression analysis. Lasso and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed in the TCGA training set, and a 3-gene signature was constructed to stratify patients into 2 risk groups: high-risk and low-risk. Patients in the high-risk group had significantly lower OS than those in the low-risk group. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis confirmed the signature's predictive capacity. Moreover, the risk score was confirmed to be an independent predictor for patients with HCC. Conclusion: We demonstrated that the LPC-related gene signature can be used for prognostication in HCC. Thus, targeting LPCs may serve as a therapeutic alternative for HCC.


2015 ◽  
Vol 72 (1) ◽  
pp. 26-32 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bosko Andjelic ◽  
Milena Todorovic-Balint ◽  
Darko Antic ◽  
Jelena Bila ◽  
Vladislava Djurasinovic ◽  
...  

Background/Aim. The widely accepted Follicular Lymphoma International Prognostic Index (FLIPI) divides patients into three risk groups based on the score of adverse prognostic factors. The estimated 5-year survival in patients with a high FLIPI score is around 50%. The aim of this study was to analyse the prognostic value of clinical and laboratory parameters that are not included in the FLIPI and the New Prognostic Index for Follicular Lymphoma developed by the International Follicular Lymphoma Prognostic Factor Project (FLIPI2) indices, in follicular lymphoma (FL) patients with a high FLIPI score and high tumor burden. Methods. The retrospective analysis included 57 newly diagnosed patients with FL, a high FLIPI score and a high tumor burden. All the patients were diagnosed and treated between April 2000 and June 2007 at the Clinic for Hematology, Clinical Center of Serbia, Belgrade. Results. The patients with a histological grade > 1, erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) ? 45 mm/h and hypoalbuminemia had a significantly worse overall survival (p = 0.015; p = 0.001; p = 0.008, respectively), while there was a tendency toward worse overall survival in the patients with an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) > 1 (p = 0.075). Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified a histological grade > 1, ESR ? 45 mm/h and hypoalbuminemia as independent risk factors for a poor outcome. Based on a cumulative score of unfavourable prognostic factors, patients who had 0 or 1 unfavourable factors had a significantly better 5-year overall survival compared to patients with 2 or 3 risk factors (75% vs 24.1%, p = 0.000). Conclusion. The obtained results suggest that from the examined prognostic parameters histological grade > 1, ESR ? 45 mm/h and hypoalbuminemia can contribute in defining patients who need more aggressive initial treatment approach, if two or three of these parameters are present on presentation.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
muyuan liu ◽  
Litian Tong ◽  
Manbin Xu ◽  
Xiang Xu ◽  
Bin Liang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Due to the low incidence of mucoepidermoid carcinoma, there lacks sufficient studies for determining optimal treatment and predicting prognosis. The purpose of this study was to develop prognostic nomograms, to predict overall survival and disease-specific survival (DSS) of oral and oropharyngeal mucoepidermoid carcinoma patients, using the National Cancer Institute’s Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Methods: Clinicopathological and follow-up data of patients diagnosed with oral and oropharyngeal mucoepidermoid carcinoma between 2004 and 2017 were collected from the SEER database. The Kaplan-Meier method with the log-rank test was employed to identify single prognostic factors. Multivariate Cox regression was utilized to identify independent prognostic factors. C-index, area under the ROC curve (AUC) and calibration curves were used to assess performance of the prognostic nomograms. Results: A total of 1230 patients with oral and oropharyngeal mucoepidermoid carcinoma were enrolled in the present study. After multivariate Cox regression analysis, age, sex, tumor subsite, T stage, N stage, M stage, grade and surgery were identified as independent prognostic factors for overall survival. T stage, N stage, M stage, grade and surgery were identified as independent prognostic factors for disease-specific survival. Nomograms were constructed to predict the overall survival and disease-specific survival based on the independent prognostic factors. The fitted nomograms possessed excellent prediction accuracy, with a C-index of 0.899 for OS prediction and 0.893 for DSS prediction. Internal validation by computing the bootstrap calibration plots, using the validation set, indicated excellent performance by the nomograms. Conclusion: The prognostic nomograms developed, based on individual clinicopathological characteristics, in the present study, accurately predicted the overall survival and disease-specific survival of patients with oral and oropharyngeal mucoepidermoid carcinoma.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiao-Yan Meng ◽  
Xiu-Ping Zhang ◽  
Hong-Qian Wang ◽  
Weifeng Yu

Abstract Background Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT) have lower postoperative survival rate, and anesthesia type may have an effect on tumor recurrence and metastasis.Methods A retrospective study was conducted in Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Shanghai, China, from January 1, 2008 to December 24, 2012. A total of 1513 HCC patients with PVTT were delivered in the study period. Patients receiving the volatile inhalational anesthesia (INHA) and total IV (TIVA) anesthesia were screen out for comparison. The primary outcome was 5-year overall survival (OS), and secondary outcomes included recurrence-free survival (RFS), postoperative adverse events and liver function. Cox regression analysis was applied to balance confounding variables and estimate risk factors for mortality. Then subgroup analysis of anesthesia type on potential risk factors which were acquired in the final multivariable model were performed.Results After exclusions are applied, 263 patients remain in the INHA group and 208 in the TIVA group. Patients receiving INHA anesthesia have a lower 5-year survival rate than that of patients receiving TIVA anesthesia [12.6% (95% CI, 9.0 to 17.3) vs. 17.7% (95% CI, 11.3 to 20.8), P=0.024]. Results from multivariable regression analysis also identify that INHA anesthesia is significantly associated with the OS ang RFS compared with TIVA anesthesia, with HR (95%CI) of 1.303 (1.065, 1.595) and 1.265 (1.040, 1.539), respectively. Subgroup analysis suggested that in more severe cancer patients, the worse outcome related to INHA might be more significant.Conclusion This retrospective analysis identifies that patients receiving TIVA have better survival rate compare to receiving INHA in HCC patients with PVTT. Future prospective researches are urgent to verify this difference and figure out underlying causes of it.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qian Huang ◽  
Jie Liu ◽  
Huifang Cai ◽  
Qi Zhang ◽  
Lina Wang

Abstract Background Pulmonary large-cell neuroendocrine carcinoma (LCNEC) is a rare primary malignant tumor with a poor prognosis, and surgery is the main treatment. However, there are no effective predictive tools to assess the prognosis of postoperative patients. Our aim is to identify prognostic factors and construct nomogram to accurately assess prognosis. Methods Patients were identified in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Based on the results of Cox regression analysis, construct nomogram for predicting 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival. The predictive performance of nomogram was evaluated using the consistency index (C-index), the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC), and calibration plots. Results We finally screened 903 patients with pulmonary LCNEC who underwent surgery. The Cox regression analysis showed that age, SEER stage, T stage, N stage, M stage, tumor size, and chemotherapy were independent prognostic factors for overall survival (P<0.05). The C-index of the nomogram is 0.681 on the training cohort and 0.675 on the validation cohort. The AUC and calibration plots show that the nomogram has good performance. Conclusion We constructed and validated nomogram for predicting 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival of patients with pulmonary LCNEC after surgery. Our nomogram provides reference information for assessing the overall survival of these patients.


BMC Cancer ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xuelong Wang ◽  
Bin Zhou ◽  
Yuxin Xia ◽  
Jianxin Zuo ◽  
Yanchao Liu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background DNA methylation alteration is frequently observed in Lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) and may play important roles in carcinogenesis, diagnosis, and prognosis. Thus, this study aimed to construct a reliable methylation-based nomogram, guiding prognostic classification screening and personalized medicine for LUAD patients. Method The DNA methylation data, gene expression data and corresponding clinical information of lung adenocarcinoma samples were extracted from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. Differentially methylated sites (DMSs) and differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were obtained and then calculated correlation by pearson correlation coefficient. Functional enrichment analysis and Protein-protein interaction network were used to explore the biological roles of aberrant methylation genes. A prognostic risk score model was constructed using univariate Cox and LASSO analysis and was assessed in an independent cohort. A methylation-based nomogram that included the risk score and the clinical risk factors was developed, which was evaluated by concordance index and calibration curves. Result We identified a total of 1362 DMSs corresponding to 471 DEGs with significant negative correlation, including 752 hypermethylation sites and 610 hypomethylation sites. Univariate cox regression analysis showed that 59 DMSs were significantly associated with overall survival. Using LASSO method, we constructed a three-DMSs signature that was independent predictive of prognosis in the training cohort. Patients in high-risk group had a significant shorter overall survival than patients in low-risk group classified by three-DMSs signature (log-rank p = 1.9E-04). Multivariate cox regression analysis proved that the three-DMSs signature was an independent prognostic factor for LUAD in TCGA-LUAD cohort (HR = 2.29, 95%CI: 1.47–3.57, P = 2.36E-04) and GSE56044 cohort (HR = 2.16, 95%CI: 1.19–3.91, P = 0.011). Furthermore, a nomogram, combining the risk score with clinical risk factors, was developed with C-indexes of 0.71 and 0.70 in TCGA-LUAD and GSE56044 respectively. Conclusions The present study established a robust three-DMSs signature for the prediction of overall survival and further developed a nomogram that could be a clinically available guide for personalized treatment of LUAD patients.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhihao Wang ◽  
Kidane Siele Embaye ◽  
Qing Yang ◽  
Lingzhi Qin ◽  
Chao Zhang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Given that metabolic reprogramming has been recognized as an essential hallmark of cancer cells, this study sought to investigate the potential prognostic values of metabolism-related genes(MRGs) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) diagnosis and treatment. Methods: The metabolism-related genes sequencing data of HCC samples with clinical information were obtained from the International Cancer Genome Consortium(ICGC) and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). The differentially expressed MRGs were identified by Wilcoxon rank sum test. Then, univariate Cox regression analysis were performed to identify metabolism-related DEGs that related to overall survival(OS). A novel metabolism-related prognostic signature was developed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) and multivariate Cox regression analyses . Furthermore, the signature was validated in the TCGA dataset. Finally, cox regression analysis was applied to identify the prognostic value and clinical relationship of the signature in HCC. Results: A total of 178 differentially expressed MRGs were detected between the ICGA dataset and the TCGA dataset. We found that 17 MRGs were most significantly associated with OS by using the univariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis in HCC. Then, the Lasso and multivariate Cox regression analyses were applied to construct the novel metabolism-relevant prognostic signature, which consisted of six MRGs. The prognostic value of this prognostic model was further successfully validated in the TCGA dataset. Further analysis indicated that this signature could be an independent prognostic indicator after adjusting to other clinical factors. Six MRGs (FLVCR1, MOGAT2, SLC5A11, RRM2, COX7B2, and SCN4A) showed high prognostic performance in predicting HCC outcomes, and were further associated with tumor TNM stage, gender, age, and pathological stage. Finally, the signature was found to be associated with various clinicopathological features. Conclusions: In summary, our data provided evidence that the metabolism-based signature could serve as a reliable prognostic and predictive tool for overall survival in patients with HCC.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhigang Wang ◽  
Leyu Pan ◽  
Deliang Guo ◽  
Xiaofeng Luo ◽  
Jie Tang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common challenges for public health worldwide. Due to its complex molecular and great heterogeneity, the effectiveness of existing HCC risk prediction models is unsatisfactory. Hence, more accurate prognostic models are pressingly needed. Materials and methods: Differentially expressed mRNAs (DEMs) between HCC and normal tissues were identified after downloading GSE1450 from gene omnibus (GEO) database. We randomly divided all patients into training and testing sets. Univariate Cox regression, lasso Cox regression and multivariable Cox regression analysis were used to constructed the prognostic gene signature in training set. Our study utilized Kaplan-Meier plot, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC), multivariable Cox regression analysis with clinical information, nomogram and decision curve analysis (DCA) to evaluate the predictive ability for overall survival of the novel gene signature in training, testing and whole sets. We also validated the prognostic capacity of the five-gene signature in an external validation set. The information of mutation of each gene was explored on cBioPortal online website. We performed gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) to explore underlying mechanisms in the high and low risk group. Finally, quantitative real-time PCR was conducted to validate the expression tendency between 12 paired HCC and adjacent normal tissues. Results: Our study constructed a novel five-gene signature (CNIH4, SOX4, SPP1, SORBS2 and CCL19) for predicting overall survival of HCC. Time-dependent ROC curve indicated admirable ability in survival prediction in two datasets. Multivariable Cox regression analysis indicated that both this five-gene signature and TNM stage were two independent prognostic factors for overall survival of HCC patients. Combined with TNM stage clinical pathological parameters, the predictive capacity of nomogram had a decent improvement. The mutation of the five genes had no obvious variation. Plenty pathways were enriched by GSEA, including cell cycle and various metabolism. Furthermore, the mRNA levels of these five genes had significantly different expressions between HCC tissues and adjacent normal tissues by quantitative real-time PCR. Conclusions: A five-gene prognostic model and nomogram were constructed and validated for predicting prognostic of HCC patients. And the five-gene risk score with TNM stage models might help various HCC patients to customize individual therapies.


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