bayes estimate
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2018 ◽  
Vol 41 (2) ◽  
pp. 251-267 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abbas Pak ◽  
Arjun Kumar Gupta ◽  
Nayereh Bagheri Khoolenjani

In this paper  we study the reliability of a multicomponent stress-strength model assuming that the components follow power Lindley model.  The maximum likelihood estimate of the reliability parameter and its asymptotic confidence interval are obtained. Applying the parametric Bootstrap technique, interval estimation of the reliability is presented.  Also, the Bayes estimate and highest posterior density credible interval of the reliability parameter are derived using suitable priors on the parameters. Because there is no closed form for the Bayes estimate, we use the Markov Chain Monte Carlo method to obtain approximate Bayes  estimate of the reliability. To evaluate the performances of different procedures,  simulation studies are conducted and an example of real data sets is provided.


2015 ◽  
Vol 44 (4) ◽  
pp. 3-15 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sanku Dey ◽  
Tanujit Dey ◽  
Sudhansu S. Maiti

This paper derives Bayes shrinkage estimator of Rayleigh parameter and its associated risk based on conjugate prior under the assumption of general entropy loss function for progressive type-II censored data. Risk function of maximum likelihood estimate, Bayes estimate and Bayes shrinkage estimate have also been derived and compared. A procedure has been suggested to include a guess value in case of the Bayes shrinkage estimation. Risk function of empirical Bayes estimate and empirical Bayes shrinkage estimate have also been derived and compared. In conclusion, an illustrative example is presented to assess how the Rayleigh distribution fits a real data set.


2015 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 40-50
Author(s):  
S.K. Tomer ◽  
Jitendra Kumar

Competing risk modeling is very useful for the assessment of component characteristics in reliability studies. In this paper, we consider the competing risk modeling of progressively censored data when units under lifetest are series system of two components. Assuming the lifetime distributions of components to be exponentially distributed, we obtain Bayes estimate of parameters and components relative risks under asymmetric loss functions. Bayesian computation is done using Lindley’s approximation. A simulation study is presented for numerical illustrations.Journal of Institute of Science and Technology, 2015, 20(1): 40-50


2015 ◽  
Vol 38 (2) ◽  
pp. 467-484 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fatih Kizilaslan ◽  
Mustafa Nadar

<p>In this study, we consider a multicomponent system which has k independent and identical strength components X1,...,Xk and each component is exposed to a common random stress Y when the underlying distributions are Weibull. The system is regarded as operating only if at least s out of k (1 ≤ s ≤ k) strength variables exceeds the random stress. We estimate the reliability of the system by using frequentist and Bayesian approaches. The Bayes estimate of the reliability has been developed by using Lindley's approximation and the Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods due to the lack of explicit forms. The asymptotic confidence interval and the highest probability density credible interval are constructed for the reliability. The comparison of the reliability estimators is made in terms of the estimated risks by the Monte Carlo simulations.</p>


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Dengfu Zhao ◽  
Zheng Zhao ◽  
Qihong Duan ◽  
Gongnan Xie

This paper presents a method for assessing the instant failure rate of a power transformer under different working conditions. The method can be applied to a dataset of a power transformer under periodic inspections and maintenance. We use a Poisson-fault model to describe failures of a power transformer. When investigating a Bayes estimate of the instant failure rate under the model, we find that complexities of a classical method and a Monte Carlo simulation are unacceptable. Through establishing a new filtered estimate of Poisson process observations, we propose a quick algorithm of the Bayes estimate of the instant failure rate. The proposed algorithm is tested by simulation datasets of a power transformer. For these datasets, the proposed estimators of parameters of the model have better performance than other estimators. The simulation results reveal the suggested algorithms are quickest among three candidates.


2012 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 97 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dongwoo Kang ◽  
Kyun-Seop Bae ◽  
Brett E. Houk ◽  
Radojka M. Savic ◽  
Mats O. Karlsson

2011 ◽  
Vol 403-408 ◽  
pp. 5273-5277
Author(s):  
Hai Ying Lan

The Empirical Bayes estimate of the parameter of Burr-type X distribution is contained .The estimate is obtained under squared error loss and Varian’s linear-exponential (LINEX) loss functions, and is compared with corresponding maximum likelihood and Bayes estimates. Finally, a Monte Carlo numerical example is given to illustrate our results.


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