A Noncentral Lindley Construction Illustrated in an INAR(1) Environment

This paper proposes a previously unconsidered generalization of the Lindley distribution by allowing for a measure of noncentrality. Essential structural characteristics are investigated and derived in explicit and tractable forms, and the estimability of the model is illustrated via the fit of this developed model to real data. Subsequently, this model is used as a candidate for the parameter of a Poisson model, which allows for departure from the usual equidispersion restriction that the Poisson offers when modelling count data. This Poisson-noncentral Lindley is also systematically investigated and characteristics are derived. The value of this count model is illustrated and implemented as the count error distribution in an integer autoregressive environment, and juxtaposed against other popular models. The effect of the systematically-induced noncentrality parameter is illustrated and paves the way for future flexible modelling not only as a standalone contender in continuous Lindley-type scenarios but also in discrete and discrete time series scenarios when the often-encountered equidispersed assumption is not adhered to in practical data environments.

Poisson size-biased Lindley distribution and its applications

In this paper, a new model for count data is introduced by compounding the Poisson distribution with size-biased three-parameter Lindley distribution. Statistical properties, such as reliability, hazard rate, reverse hazard rate, Mills ratio, moments, shewness, kurtosis, moment genrating function, probability generating function and order statistics, have been discussed. Moreover, the collective risk model is discussed by considering the proposed distrubution as the primary distribution and the expoential and Erlang distributions as the secondary ones. Parameter estimation is done using maximum likelihood estimation (MLE). Finally a real dataset is discussed to demonstrate the suitability and applicability of the proposed distribution in modeling count dataset.

The Sine Modified Lindley Distribution

The paper contributes majorly in the development of a flexible trigonometric extension of the well-known modified Lindley distribution. More precisely, we use features from the sine generalized family of distributions to create an original one-parameter survival distribution, called the sine modified Lindley distribution. As the main motivational fact, it provides an attractive alternative to the Lindley and modified Lindley distributions; it may be better able to model lifetime phenomena presenting data of leptokurtic nature. In the first part of the paper, we introduce it conceptually and discuss its key characteristics, such as functional, reliability, and moment analysis. Then, an applied study is conducted. The usefulness, applicability, and agility of the sine modified Lindley distribution are illustrated through a detailed study using simulation. Two real data sets from the engineering and climate sectors are analyzed. As a result, the sine modified Lindley model is proven to have a superior match to important models, such as the Lindley, modified Lindley, sine exponential, and sine Lindley models, based on goodness-of-fit criteria of importance.

Modelling Neonatal Mortality Rate in Nigeria Using a Continuous Poisson-Lindley Distribution

Nigeria’s effort to reduce under-five mortality has been biased in favour of childhood mortality to the neglect of neonates and as such the literature is short of adequate information on the determinants of neonatal mortality, whereas studies have shown that about half of infant deaths occur in the neonatal period. Knowledge of the determinants of neonatal mortality is essential for the design of intervention programmes that will enhance neonatal survival. Therefore, this study was conducted to investigate the trends in neonatal mortality in Nigeria. It also proposed a Poisson based continuous probability distribution called Poisson-Lindley distribution to neonatal mortality rate in Nigeria. Some properties of the new model and other relevant measures were obtained. The unknown parameters of the model were also estimated using the method of maximum likelihood. The fitness of the proposed model to the neonatal mortality rate was considered using a dataset on neonatal mortality rate from 1967 to 2019.