A CT-Based Radiomic Signature Can Be Prognostic for 10-Months Overall Survival in Metastatic Tumors Treated with Nivolumab: An Exploratory Study

Baseline clinical prognostic factors for recurrent and/or metastatic (RM) head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) treated with immunotherapy are lacking. CT-based radiomics may provide additional prognostic information. A total of 85 patients with RM-HNSCC were enrolled for this study. For each tumor, radiomic features were extracted from the segmentation of the largest tumor mass. A pipeline including different feature selection steps was used to train a radiomic signature prognostic for 10-month overall survival (OS). Features were selected based on their stability to geometrical transformation of the segmentation (intraclass correlation coefficient, ICC > 0.75) and their predictive power (area under the curve, AUC > 0.7). The predictive model was developed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) in combination with the support vector machine. The model was developed based on the first 68 enrolled patients and tested on the last 17 patients. Classification performance of the radiomic risk was evaluated accuracy and the AUC. The same metrics were computed for some baseline predictors used in clinical practice (volume of largest lesion, total tumor volume, number of tumor lesions, number of affected organs, performance status). The AUC in the test set was 0.67, while accuracy was 0.82. The performance of the radiomic score was higher than the one obtainable with the clinical variables (largest lesion volume: accuracy 0.59, AUC = 0.55; number of tumoral lesions: accuracy 0.71, AUC 0.36; number of affected organs: accuracy 0.47; AUC 0.42; total tumor volume: accuracy 0.59, AUC 0.53; performance status: accuracy 0.41, AUC = 0.47). Radiomics may provide additional baseline prognostic value compared to the variables used in clinical practice.

Role of 3D quantitative tumor analysis for predicting overall survival after conventional chemoembolization of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma

This study was designed to assess 3D vs. 1D and 2D quantitative tumor analysis for prediction of overall survival (OS) in patients with Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) who underwent conventional transarterial chemoembolization (cTACE). 73 ICC patients who underwent cTACE were included in this retrospective analysis between Oct 2001 and Feb 2015. The overall and enhancing tumor diameters and the maximum cross-sectional and enhancing tumor areas were measured on baseline images. 3D quantitative tumor analysis was used to assess total tumor volume (TTV), enhancing tumor volume (ETV), and enhancing tumor burden (ETB) (ratio between ETV and liver volume). Patients were divided into low (LTB) and high tumor burden (HTB) groups. There was a significant separation between survival curves of the LTB and HTB groups using enhancing tumor diameter (p = 0.003), enhancing tumor area (p = 0.03), TTV (p = 0.03), and ETV (p = 0.01). Multivariate analysis showed a hazard ratio of 0.46 (95%CI: 0.27–0.78, p = 0.004) for enhancing tumor diameter, 0.56 (95% CI 0.33–0.96, p = 0.04) for enhancing tumor area, 0.58 (95%CI: 0.34–0.98, p = 0.04) for TTV, and 0.52 (95%CI: 0.30–0.91, p = 0.02) for ETV. TTV and ETV, as well as the largest enhancing tumor diameter and maximum enhancing tumor area, reliably predict the OS of patients with ICC after cTACE and could identify ICC patients who are most likely to benefit from cTACE.

Early dynamics of circulating tumor DNA predict chemotherapy responses for patients with esophageal cancer

PurposeWe investigated whether early circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) changes, measured using digital PCR (dPCR), can predict later chemotherapy responses in esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC).DesignWe compared the dynamics of ctDNA and tumor volumes during chemotherapy in 42 ESCC. The accuracy of predictions of later chemotherapy responses were evaluated by the ratio of the variant allele frequency (VAF) of ctDNA (post-/pre-ctDNA) and the total tumor volume (post-/pre-volume) before and after an initial chemotherapy cycle using a receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis. Total positive and negative objective responses (ORs) were defined as either >50% or ≤50% reductions, respectively, in the total tumor volume at the end of first-line chemotherapy.ResultsMutation screening of 43 tumors from 42 patients revealed 96 mutations. The pretreatment dPCR-ctDNA data were informative in 38 patients, using 70 selected mutations (1–3 per patient). The areas under the curve (AUCs) for the post-/pre-volume and post-/pre-ctDNA levels used in predicting the total OR were 0.85 and 0.88, respectively. The optimal cutoff value of post-/pre-ctDNA was 0.13. In 90% (18/20) of patients with a post-/pre-volume ≥50%, the total OR could be predicted by the post-/pre-ctDNA with high accuracy; the AUC by post-/pre-ctDNA was higher than that by post-/pre-volume (0.85 vs 0.76, respectively). Patients with low post-/pre-ctDNA (n = 18) had a significantly better overall survival rate than those with high post-/pre-ctDNA (n = 20; P = 0.03).ConclusionsEarly ctDNA changes after an initial cycle of chemotherapy predict later responses to treatment with high accuracy in ESCC patients.

Predicting Overall Survival After Conventional Chemoembolization of Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma: The Role of 3D Quantitative Tumor Analysis

This study was designed to assess 3D vs. 1D and 2D quantitative tumor analysis for prediction of overall survival (OS) in patients with ICC who underwent conventional transarterial chemoembolization (cTACE). 73 ICC patients who underwent cTACE were included in this retrospective analysis between Oct 2001 and Feb 2015. The overall and enhancing tumor diameters as well as the maximum cross-sectional and enhancing tumor areas were measured on baseline images. 3D quantitative tumor analysis was used to assess total tumor volume (TTV), enhancing tumor volume (ETV), and enhancing tumor burden (ETB) (ratio between ETV and liver volume). Patients were divided into low (LTB) and high tumor burden (HTB) groups. There was a significant separation between survival curves of the LTB and HTB groups using enhancing tumor diameter (p=0.003), enhancing tumor area (p=0.03), TTV (p=0.03), and ETV (p=0.01). Multivariate analysis showed a hazard ratio of 0.46 (95% CI 0.27–0.78, p=0.004) for enhancing tumor diameter, 0.56 (95% CI 0.33–0.96, p=0.04) for enhancing tumor area, 0.58 (95% CI 0.34–0.98, p=0.04) for TTV, and 0.52 (95% CI 0.30–0.91, p=0.02) for ETV. TTV and ETV as well as largest enhancing tumor diameter and maximum enhancing tumor area reliably predict the OS of patients with ICC after cTACE and could identify ICC patients who are most likely to benefit from cTACE.

Feasibility and possible value of quantitative semi-automated diffusion weighted imaging volumetry of neuroblastic tumors

Background To assess the feasibility and possible value of semi-automated diffusion weighted imaging (DWI) volumetry of whole neuroblastic tumors with apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) map evaluation after neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Methods Pediatric patients who underwent surgical resection of neuroblastic tumors at our institution from 2013 to 2019 and who received a preoperative MRI scan with DWI after chemotherapy were included. Tumor volume was assessed with a semi-automated approach in DWI using a dedicated software prototype. Quantitative ADC values were calculated automatically of the total tumor volume after manual exclusion of necrosis. Manual segmentation in T1 weighted and T2 weighted sequences was used as reference standard for tumor volume comparison. The Student’s t test was used for parametric data while the Wilcoxon rank sum test and the Kruskal-Wallis test were applied for non-parametric data. Results Twenty seven patients with 28 lesions (neuroblastoma (NB): n = 19, ganglioneuroblastoma (GNB): n = 7, ganglioneuroma (GN): n = 2) could be evaluated. Mean patient age was 4.5 ± 3.2 years. Median volume of standard volumetry (T1w or T2w) was 50.2 ml (interquartile range (IQR): 91.9 ml) vs. 45.1 ml (IQR: 98.4 ml) of DWI (p = 0.145). Mean ADC values (× 10− 6 mm2/s) of the total tumor volume (without necrosis) were 1187 ± 301 in NB vs. 1552 ± 114 in GNB/GN (p = 0.037). The 5th percentile of ADC values of NB (614 ± 275) and GNB/GN (1053 ± 362) provided the most significant difference (p = 0.007) with an area under the curve of 0.848 (p < 0.001). Conclusions Quantitative semi-automated DWI volumetry is feasible in neuroblastic tumors with integrated analysis of tissue characteristics by providing automatically calculated ADC values of the whole tumor as well as an ADC heatmap. The 5th percentile of the ADC values of the whole tumor volume proved to be the most significant parameter for differentiation of the histopathological subtypes in our patient cohort and further investigation seems to be worthwhile.