INTERNATIONAL MACROECONOMIC ACTIVITY AND ITS INTERACTION: EVIDENCE FROM US, JAPAN, GERMANY, CHINA, INDIA AND RUSSIA

Using the Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) spillover method, this study attempts to evaluate the strength and direction of cross-country interactions of macroeconomic activity across US, Japan, Germany, China, India and Russia. Apart from a base model, it frames two alternative models; one is based on principal component analysis (PCA) incorporating important macroeconomic variables from each country and another model is based on industrial production index; both evaluate the robustness of our empirical findings. It finds that 62% of variations in growth rates of all six countries are due to their mutual interdependence among them and it also reflects that the emerging economies like China and Russia take the lead in influencing foreign economic activities. It suggests that the concrete policy action is required to diversify the international market interdependency of a domestic economy as it may jeopardise the macroeconomic stability when uncertainty is generated in foreign economies. The empirical analysis is found to be robust.

MANAGEMENT OF THE STRATEGY OF BUSINESS OF THE ORGANIZATION ON THE BASIS OF MODEL OF LIFE CYCLE OF J. GARDNER

In the system of methods of management on the basis of technologies of organizational management methods on the basis of models of management of life cycle of the organization are considered. On the basis of model of life cycle of the organization of J. Gardner the problems and the prospects of management of the strategy of business of the organization in national economy caused by the current cyclic recession of macroeconomic activity, which minimum caused by change of the V technological way by the VI are considered.

Income inequality and macroeconomic activity: A study of the Peruvian case

The relationship between income inequality and macroeconomic activity has been extensively investigated for many countries, with mixed evidence over the years. In this context, the aim of the paper is to study this relationship for the Peruvian economy with emphasis on the variables statistical properties. To that end, unit root time series bootstrap simulations are applied, additionally, social and financial variables are used to explain changes in inequality. As a result, no evidence of this relationship is found when variables time series properties are taken into account so new empirical evidence on this issue is critical in light of rising income inequality worldwide and its pervasive effects on society.

Cross-Sectional PEG Ratios, Market Equity Premium, and Macroeconomic Activity

This article explores the information content of PEG ratios (price/earnings to growth ratios) for future aggregate returns and economic fundamentals. We first establish an analytic link between PEG ratios and time-varying expected returns of stocks. We then combine the link with empirical asset pricing models to extract market-wide information from cross-sectional PEG ratios. The resultant cross-section estimates of the risk premiums on stock betas serve as proxies for market-wide information. The proxies contain salient information about future market equity premiums and macroeconomic activity both in-sample and out-of-sample. Moreover, the proxies outperform aggregate PEG ratios and the cross-section beta-premium estimate based on conventional valuation ratios and retain incremental power in forecasting future market equity premiums. The results are robust to using various econometric methods for standard error adjustments.