Reliability Analysis of Dynamic Fault Tree Based on Binary Decision Diagrams for Explosive Vehicle

Dynamic fault tree is often used to analyze system reliability. The Markov model is a commonly used method, which can accurately reflect the relationship between the state transition process and the dynamic logic gate transfer in the dynamic fault tree. When the complexity or scale of system is increasing, the Markov model encountered a problem of state space explosion leading to increase troubles. To solve the above problems, a modular approach is needed. Based on the modular approach, a hybrid fault module was researched in this paper. Firstly, the stackable fault subtree containing complex static/dynamic logic gate is transformed into four common combinational logic gates through preprocessing of the dynamic gate in the module. Then, the complexity of the model was reduced by incorporating four common combinational logic gates and using the binary decision graph to solve variable ordering in the calculation of failure probability of static subtree. Moreover, the calculating process of complex mixed logic gate fault tree can be simplified. An example of the ammonium nitrate/fuel explosive production system for BCZH-15 explosive vehicle was used to verify the feasibility of the presented method.

Dynamic fault tree analysis of auxiliary feedwater system in a pressurized water reactor

The safe and secure designs of any nuclear power plant together with its cost-effective operation without accidents are leading the future of nuclear energy. As a result, the Reliability, Availability, Maintainability, and Safety analysis of NPP systems is the main concern for the nuclear industry. But the ability to assure that the safety-related system, structure, and components could meet the safety functions in different events to prevent the reactor core damage requires new reliability analysis methods and techniques. The Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) is one of the most widely used logic and probabilistic techniques in system reliability assessment nowadays. The Dynamic fault tree technique extends the conventional static fault tree (SFT) by considering the time requirements to model and evaluate the nuclear power plant safety systems. Thus this paper focuses on developing a new Dynamic Fault Tree for the Auxiliary Feed-water System (AFWS) in a pressurized water reactor. The proposed dynamic model achieves a more realistic and accurate representation of the AFWS safety analysis by illustrating the complex failure mechanisms including interrelated dependencies and Common Cause Failure (CCF). A Simulation tool is used to simulate the proposed dynamic fault tree model of the AFWS for the quantitative analysis. The more realistic results are useful to establish reliability cantered maintenance program in which the maintenance requirements are determined based on the achievement of system reliability goals in the most cost-effective manner.

Optimal fault diagnosis strategy for complex systems considering common cause failure under epistemic uncertainty

Purpose This paper aims to deal with the problems such as epistemic uncertainty, common cause failure (CCF) and dynamic fault behaviours that arise in complex systems and develop an effective fault diagnosis method to rapidly locate the fault when these systems fail. Design/methodology/approach First, a dynamic fault tree model is established to capture the dynamic failure behaviours and linguistic term sets are used to obtain the failure rate of components in complex systems to deal with the epistemic uncertainty. Second, a β factor model is used to construct a dynamic evidence network model to handle CCF and some parameters obtained by reliability analysis are used to build the fault diagnosis decision table. Finally, an improved Vlsekriterijumska Optimizacija I Kompromisno Resenje algorithm is developed to obtain the optimal diagnosis sequence, which can locate the fault quickly, reduce the maintenance cost and improve the diagnosis efficiency. Findings In this paper, a new optimal fault diagnosis strategy of complex systems considering CCF under epistemic uncertainty is presented based on reliability analysis. Dynamic evidence network is easy to carry out the quantitative analysis of dynamic fault tree. The proposed diagnosis algorithm can determine the optimal fault diagnosis sequence of complex systems and prove that CCF should not be ignored in fault diagnosis. Originality/value The proposed method combines the reliability theory with multiple attribute decision-making methods to improve the diagnosis efficiency.

Reliability analysis on the train control system in the CTCS-3 operating mode

Purpose This paper aims to study the reliability of the high-speed train operation control system in the Chinese Train Control System Level 3 (CTCS-3) operating mode. Design/methodology/approach Dynamic fault tree and Bayesian network method are adopted to analyze the reliability and weakness of the CTCS-3 system. Findings First, a physical architecture and data flow diagram of the CTCS-3 system are established according to the typical structure and functions of the CTCS-3 system. Second, the dynamic fault tree of the CTCS-3 system is constructed. Considering the prior probability of the bottom event and the existence of dynamic redundancy, the dynamic fault tree is transformed into a Bayesian net. The reliability of the CTCS-3 system is carried out based on the prior probability and the weakness that affects the reliability of the system based on the posterior probability is also analyzed by the Bayesian network. Finally, it is disclosed that the impact of the on-board subsystem on the reliability of the CTCS-3 system is generally greater than that of the ground subsystem. The two weakest modules in the onboard subsystem are the driver-machine interface (DMI) and balise transmission module (BTM) and the weakest one in the ground subsystem is Balise. The analysis results are generally consistent with the malfunctions in the field operation of China’s high-speed railway. Originality/value (1) By reasoning, the reliability of the train operation control system in the CTCS-3 operating mode meets the standard requirements. (2) Through backward reasoning, it is found that the failure of the onboard subsystem leads to a greater probability of failure of the train control system. (3) The DMI, BTM and automatic train protection computer unit modules are weak components in the onboard subsystem. Vital digit input&output, train interface unit and train security gateway are rarely involved in previous research, the result in this paper shows that these three modules are also weak components in the subsystem, which requires attention.