detectable bias
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2020 ◽  
pp. 105566562096652
Author(s):  
Gary B. Skolnick ◽  
Jenny L. Yu ◽  
Kamlesh B. Patel ◽  
Lisa R. David ◽  
Daniel E. Couture ◽  
...  

Introduction: This study compares anthropometric outcomes of 2 sagittal synostosis repair techniques: spring-assisted surgery and endoscope-assisted craniectomy with molding helmet therapy. Methods: Patients undergoing spring-assisted surgery (n = 27) or endoscope-assisted craniectomy with helmet therapy (n = 40) at separate institutions were retrospectively reviewed. Pre- and 1-year postoperative computed tomography (CT) or laser scans were analyzed for traditional cranial index (CI), adjusted cranial index (aCI), and cranial vault volume (CVV). Nine patient-matched scans were analyzed for measurement consistency. Results: The spring-assisted group was older at both time points ( P < .050) and spring-assisted group CVV was larger preoperatively and postoperatively ( P < .01). However, the change in CVV did not differ between the groups ( P = .210). There was no difference in preoperative CI (helmet vs spring: 70.1 vs 71.2, P = .368) between the groups. Postoperatively, helmet group CI (77.0 vs 74.3, P = .008) was greater. The helmet group also demonstrated a greater increase in CI (6.9 vs 3.1, P < .001). The proportion of patients achieving CI of 75 or greater was not significantly different between the groups (helmet vs spring: CI, 65% vs 52%, P = .370). There was no detectable bias in CI between matched CT and laser scans. Differences were identified between scan types in aCI and CVV measurements; subsequent analyses used corrected CVV and aCI measures for laser scan measures. Conclusions: Both techniques had equivalent proportions of patients achieving normal CI, comparable effects on cranial volume, and similar operative characteristics. The study suggests that there may be greater improvement in CI in the helmet group. However, further research should be performed.


Author(s):  
Vinicius Francisco Rofatto ◽  
Marcelo Tomio Matsuoka ◽  
Ivandro Klein ◽  
Mauricio Roberto Veronez ◽  
Luiz Gonzaga Da Silveira, Jr.

In this paper we evaluate the effects of hard and soft constraints on the Iterative Data Snooping (IDS), an iterative outlier elimination procedure. Here, the measurements of a levelling geodetic network were classified according to the local redundancy and maximum absolute correlation between the outlier test statistics, referred to as clusters. We highlight that the larger the relaxation of the constraints, the higher the sensitivity indicators MDB (Minimal Detectable Bias) and MIB (Minimal Identifiable Bias) for both the clustering of measurements and the clustering of constraints. There are circumstances that increase the family-wise error rate (FWE) of the test statistics, increase the performance of the IDS. Under a scenario of soft constraints, one should set out at least three soft constraints in order to identify an outlier in the constraints. In general, hard constraints should be used in the stage of pre-processing data for the purpose of identifying and removing possible outlying measurements. In that process, one should opt to set out the redundant hard constraints. After identifying and removing possible outliers, the soft constraints should be employed to propagate their uncertainties to the model parameters during the process of least-squares estimation.


2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 13-28 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andreas Ettlinger ◽  
Hans Neuner

AbstractIn this contribution, the minimum detectable bias (MDB) as well as the statistical tests to identify disturbed observations are introduced for the Gauss-Helmert model. Especially, if the observations are uncorrelated, these quantities will have the same structure as in the Gauss-Markov model, where the redundancy numbers play a key role. All the derivations are based on one-dimensional and additive observation errors respectively offsets which are modeled as additional parameters to be estimated. The formulas to compute these additional parameters with the corresponding variances are also derived in this contribution. The numerical examples of plane fitting and yaw computation show, that the MDB is also in the GHM an appropriate measure to analyze the ability of an implemented least-squares algorithm to detect if outliers are present. Two sources negatively influencing detectability are identified: columns close to the zero vector in the observation matrix B and sub-optimal configuration in the design matrix A. Even if these issues can be excluded, it can be difficult to identify the correct observation as being erroneous. Therefore, the correlation coefficients between two test values are derived and analyzed. Together with the MDB these correlation coefficients are an useful tool to assess the inner reliability – and therefore the detection and identification of outliers – in the Gauss-Helmert model.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 687 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcelo Tomio Matsuoka ◽  
Vinicius Francisco Rofatto ◽  
Ivandro Klein ◽  
Maurício Roberto Veronez ◽  
Luiz Gonzaga da Silveira ◽  
...  

A set of stable and identifiable points—known as control points—are interconnected by direction, distance or height differences measurements form a geodetic network. Geodetic networks are used in various branches of modern science, such as monitoring the man-made structures, analysing the crustal deformation of the Earth, establishing and maintaining a geospatial reference frame, mapping, civil engineering projects and others. One of the most crucial components for ensuring the network quality is Geodetic Network Design. The design of a geodetic network depends on its purpose. In this paper, an automatic procedure for selection of control points is proposed. The goal is to find the optimum control points location so that the maximum influence of an anomaly measurement (outlier) on the coordinates of the network is minimum. Here, the concept of Minimal Detectable Bias defines the size of the outlier and its propagation on the network coordinates is used to describe the external reliability. The proposed procedure was applied to design a levelling network. Two scenarios were investigated: design of a network with one control point (minimally constrained levelling network) and another with two control points (over-constrained levelling network). The centre of the network was the optimum position to set the control point. Results for that network reveal that the centre of the network was the optimum position to set the control point for the minimal constraint case, whereas the over-constraint case were those with less line connections. We highlight that the procedure is a generally applicable method.


Author(s):  
Marcelo Tomio Matsuoka ◽  
Vinicius Francisco Rofatto ◽  
Ivandro Klein ◽  
Mauricio Roberto Veronez ◽  
Luiz Gonzaga Da Silveira ◽  
...  

Geodetic networks are essential for most geodetic, geodynamics and civil projects, such as monitoring the position and deformation of man-made structures, monitoring the crustal deformation of the Earth, establishing and maintaining a geospatial reference frame, mapping, civil engineering projects and so on. Before the installation of geodetic marks and gathering of survey data, geodetic networks need to be designed according to the pre-established quality criteria. In this study, we present a method for designing geodetic networks based on the concept of reliability. We highlight that the method discards the use of the observation vector of Gauss-Markov model. In fact, the only needs are the geometrical network configuration and the uncertainties of the observations. The aim of the proposed method is to find the optimum configuration of the geodetic control points so that the maximum influence of an outlier on the coordinates of the network is minimum. Here, the concept of Minimal Detectable Bias defines the size of the outlier and its propagation on the parameters is used to describe the external reliability. The proposed method is demonstrated by practical application of one simulated levelling network. We highlight that the method can be applied not only for geodetic network problems, but also in any branch of modern science.


2019 ◽  
Vol 49 (1) ◽  
pp. 30-43 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yasemin Copur-Gencturk ◽  
Joseph R. Cimpian ◽  
Sarah Theule Lubienski ◽  
Ian Thacker

Researchers have long endeavored to understand whether teachers’ evaluations of their students’ mathematical ability or performance are accurate or whether their evaluations reveal implicit biases. To disentangle these factors, in a randomized controlled study (N = 390), we examined teachers’ evaluations of 18 mathematical solutions to which gender- and race-specific names had been randomly assigned. Teachers displayed no detectable bias when assessing the correctness of students’ solutions; however, when assessing students’ mathematical ability, biases against Black, Hispanic, and female students were revealed, with biases largest against Black and Hispanic girls. Specifically, non-White teachers’ estimations of students’ mathematical ability favored White students (both boys and girls) over students of color, whereas (primarily female) White teachers’ estimations of students’ mathematical ability favored boys over girls. Results indicate that teachers are not free of bias, and that teachers from marginalized groups may be susceptible to bias that favors stereotype-advantaged groups.


Sensors ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (9) ◽  
pp. 2147 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chuang Zhang ◽  
Xiubin Zhao ◽  
Chunlei Pang ◽  
Liang Zhang ◽  
Bo Feng

For the integration of global navigation satellite system (GNSS) and inertial navigation system (INS), real-time and accurate fault detection is essential to enhance the reliability and precision of the system. Among the existing methods, the residual chi-square detection is still widely used due to its good real-time performance and sensibility of fault detection. However, further investigation on the performance of fault detection for different observational conditions and fault models is still required. In this paper, the principle of chi-square detection based on the predicted residual and least-squares residual is analyzed and the equivalence between them is deduced. Then, choosing the chi-square detection based on the predicted residual as the research object, the influence of satellite configuration and fault duration time on the performance of fault detection is analyzed in theory. The influence of satellite configuration is analyzed from the number and geometry of visible satellites. Several numerical simulations are conducted to verify the theoretical analysis. The results show that, for a single-epoch fault, the location of faulty measurement and the geometry have little effect on the performance of fault detection, while the number of visible satellites has greater influence on the fault detection performance than the geometry. For a continuous fault, the fault detection performance will decrease with the increase of fault duration time when the value of the fault is near the minimal detectable bias (MDB), and faults occurring on different satellite’s measurement will result in different detection results.


2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 2371-2385 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael I. Cotterell ◽  
Andrew J. Orr-Ewing ◽  
Kate Szpek ◽  
Jim M. Haywood ◽  
Justin M. Langridge

Abstract. Photoacoustic spectroscopy is a sensitive in situ technique for measuring the absorption coefficient for gas and aerosol samples. Photoacoustic spectrometer (PAS) instruments require accurate calibration by comparing the measured photoacoustic response with a known level of absorption for a calibrant. Ozone is a common calibrant of PAS instruments, yet recent work by Bluvshtein et al. (2017) has cast uncertainty on the validity of ozone as a calibrant at a wavelength of 405 nm. Moreover, Fischer and Smith (2018) demonstrate that a low O2 mass fraction in the bath gas can bias the measured PAS calibration coefficient to lower values for wavelengths in the range 532–780 nm. In this contribution, we present PAS sensitivity measurements at wavelengths of 405, 514 and 658 nm using ozone-based calibrations with variation in the relative concentrations of O2 and N2 bath gases. We find excellent agreement with the results of Fischer and Smith at the 658 nm wavelength. However, the PAS sensitivity decreases significantly as the bath gas composition tends to pure oxygen for wavelengths of 405 and 514 nm, which cannot be rationalised using arguments presented in previous studies. To address this, we develop a model to describe the variation in PAS sensitivity with both wavelength and bath gas composition that considers Chappuis band photodynamics and recognises that the photoexcitation of O3 leads rapidly to the photodissociation products O(3P) and O2(X, v > 0). We show that the rates of two processes are required to model the PAS sensitivity correctly. The first process involves the formation of vibrationally excited O3(X̃) through the reaction of the nascent O(3P) with bath gas O2. The second process involves the quenching of vibrational energy from the nascent O2(X, v > 0) to translational modes of the bath gas. Both of these processes proceed at different rates in collisions with N2 or O2 bath gas species. Importantly, we show that the PAS sensitivity is optimised for our PAS instruments when the ozone-based calibration is performed in a bath gas with a similar composition to ambient air and conclude that our methods for measuring aerosol absorption using an ozone-calibrated PAS are accurate and without detectable bias. We emphasise that the dependence of PAS sensitivity on bath gas composition is wavelength-dependent, and we recommend strongly that researchers characterise the optimal bath gas composition for their particular instrument.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael I. Cotterell ◽  
Andrew J. Orr-Ewing ◽  
Kate Szpek ◽  
Jim M. Haywood ◽  
Justin M. Langridge

Abstract. Photoacoustic spectroscopy is a sensitive in situ technique for measuring the absorption coefficient for gas and aerosol samples. Photoacoustic spectrometers (PAS) require accurate calibration by comparing the measured photoacoustic response with a known level of absorption for a calibrant. Ozone is a common calibrant of PAS instruments, yet recent work by Bluvshtein et al. (2017) has cast uncertainty on the validity of ozone as a calibrant at a wavelength of 405 nm. Moreover, Fischer and Smith. (2018) demonstrate that a low O2 mass fraction in the bath gas can bias the measured PAS calibration coefficient to lower values for wavelengths in the range 532–780 nm. In this contribution, we present PAS sensitivity measurements at wavelengths of 405, 514 and 658 nm using ozone-based calibrations with variation in the relative concentrations of O2 and N2 bath gases. We find excellent agreement with the results of Fischer and Smith at the 658 nm wavelength. However, the PAS sensitivity decreases significantly as the bath gas composition tends to pure oxygen for wavelengths of 405 and 514 nm, which cannot be rationalised using arguments presented in previous studies. To address this, we develop a model to describe the variation in PAS sensitivity with both wavelength and bath gas composition that considers Chappuis band photodynamics and recognises that the photoexcitation of O3 leads rapidly to the photodissociation products O(3P) and O2(X, v > 0). We show that the rates of two processes are required to model correctly the PAS sensitivity. The first process involves the formation of vibrationally excited O3(X~ ) through the reaction of the nascent O(3P) with bath gas O2. The second process involves the quenching of vibrational energy from the nascent O2(X, v > 0) to translational modes of the bath gas. Both of these processes proceed at different rates in collisions with N2 or O2 bath gas species. Importantly, we show that the PAS sensitivity is optimised for our PAS instruments when the ozone-based calibration is performed in a bath gas with a similar composition to ambient air and conclude that our methods for measuring aerosol absorption using an ozone-calibrated PAS are accurate and without detectable bias. We emphasise that the dependence of PAS sensitivity on bath gas composition is wavelength dependent and we recommend strongly that researchers characterise the optimal bath gas composition for their particular instrument.


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 69-78
Author(s):  
Carey T. Knight ◽  
Richard T. Kraus ◽  
Demetra A. Panos ◽  
Ann Marie Gorman ◽  
Benjamin S. Leonhardt ◽  
...  

Abstract In physoclistous fishes, barotrauma caused by rapid decompression during capture may be an important source of fishing mortality that is unquantified for some fisheries. We developed a predictive logistic model for barotrauma incidence in Yellow Perch Perca flavescens and applied this model to Ohio's recreational and commercial fisheries in Lake Erie where fisheries managers implicitly consider discard mortality to be negligible in current stock assessment. As expected, capture depth explained most of the variation in incidence, with comparatively small effects of season, sex, and size categories. Measurements of whole body and gonad density provided limited explanation for the categorical effects. Both fisheries spanned a range of depths (7.6 to 16.8 m) that corresponded to a broad range of barotrauma incidence (13 to 74%). Using a recent example, we estimated that additional fishing mortality due to barotrauma in discards was approximately six-fold higher in the commercial than recreational fishery. Overall, this additional mortality was &lt;1% of lake-wide population size estimates. Thus, the assumption that all discarded Yellow Perch survive is unlikely to result in a detectable bias in population estimates. One caveat is that we still do not understand how strong year-classes might influence discard mortality via increased discard rate and barotrauma incidence for small fish.


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