El Niño/Southern Oscillation-driven rainfall pulse amplifies predation by owls on seabirds via apparent competition with mice

Most approaches for assessing species vulnerability to climate change have focused on direct impacts via abiotic changes rather than indirect impacts mediated by changes in species interactions. Changes in rainfall regimes may influence species interactions from the bottom-up by increasing primary productivity in arid environments, but subsequently lead to less predictable top-down effects. Our study demonstrates how the effects of an EL Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-driven rainfall pulse ricochets along a chain of interactions between marine and terrestrial food webs, leading to enhanced predation of a vulnerable marine predator on its island breeding grounds. On Santa Barbara Island, barn owls ( Tyto alba ) are the main predator of a nocturnal seabird, the Scripps's murrelet ( Synthliboramphus scrippsi ), as well as an endemic deer mouse. We followed the links between rainfall, normalized difference vegetation index and subsequent peaks in mouse and owl abundance. After the mouse population declined steeply, there was approximately 15-fold increase in the number of murrelets killed by owls. We also simulated these dynamics with a mathematical model and demonstrate that bottom-up resource pulses can lead to subsequent declines in alternative prey. Our study highlights the need for understanding how species interactions will change with shifting rainfall patterns through the effects of ENSO under global change.

Rainfall pulse primarily drives litterfall respiration and its contribution to soil respiration in a young exotic pine plantation in subtropical China

Although litterfall respiration (RL) is a key process of soil carbon dynamics in forests, factors that drive RL and its contribution to soil respiration (RS) have not been sufficiently studied. Using a litter removal method, we researched RL and the ratio of RL:RS in a 20-year-old exotic slash pine ( Pinus elliottii Englem.) plantation in subtropical China. Soil temperature explained 67%, 78%, and 25% of variation in RS, mineral soil respiration (RS-L), and RL, respectively, but had little impact on RL:RS. To study influences besides temperature, measured RS and RS-L were normalized using the Arrhenius equation. Even though this subtropical plantation was characterized by a humid climate with abundant precipitation, a rainfall pulse induced increase in soil moisture primarily drove RL and its contribution to RS but depressed RS-L. The response of RL to rainfall and soil moisture was significantly more sensitive than that of RS-L. Furthermore, the effects of rainfall and soil moisture on RS, RL, and RL:RS were higher during the dry season (July–December) than during the wet season (January–June). In the context of climate change, RL and its contribution to RS are expected to decrease because of the predicted decrease in rainfall amount and frequency in subtropical regions.