Abstract. This paper presents an assessment of the fragility of a reinforced concrete
(RC) element subjected to avalanche loads, and more generally to dynamic
pressure fields applied orthogonally to a wall, within a reliability
framework. In order to obtain accurate numerical results with supportable
computation times, a light and efficient Single-Degree-of-Freedom (SDOF)
model describing the mechanical response of the RC element is proposed. The
model represents its dynamic mechanical response up to failure. Material
non-linearity is taken into account by a moment–curvature approach, which
describes the overall bending response. The SDOF model is validated under
quasi-static and dynamic loading conditions by comparing its results
to alternative approaches based on finite element analysis and the yield line
theory. Following this, the deterministic SDOF model is embedded within a reliability
framework to evaluate the failure probability as a function of the maximal
avalanche pressure reached during the loading. Several reliability methods
are implemented and compared, suggesting that non-parametric methods provide
significant results at a moderate level of computational burden. The
sensitivity to material properties, such as tensile and compressive
strengths, steel reinforcement ratio, and wall geometry is investigated. The
effect of the avalanche loading rate is also underlined and discussed.
Finally, the obtained fragility curves are compared with respect to the few
proposals available in the snow avalanche engineering field. This approach is
systematic and will prove useful in refining formal and practical risk
assessments. It could be applied to other similar natural hazards, which
induce dynamic pressure fields onto the element at risk (e.g., mudflows,
floods) and where potential inertial effects are expected and for which
fragility curves are also lacking.