scholarly journals Impacts of sudden stratospheric warming on general circulation of the thermosphere

2015 ◽  
Vol 120 (12) ◽  
pp. 10,897-10,912 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yasunobu Miyoshi ◽  
Hitoshi Fujiwara ◽  
Hidekatsu Jin ◽  
Hiroyuki Shinagawa
2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (6) ◽  
pp. 2399-2415 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wanying Kang ◽  
Eli Tziperman

Sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) events influence the Arctic Oscillation and midlatitude extreme weather. Previous work showed the Arctic stratosphere to be influenced by the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) and that the SSW frequency increases with an increase of the MJO amplitude, expected in a warmer climate. It is shown here that the zonal asymmetry in both the background state and forcing plays a dominant role, leading to either enhancement or suppression of SSW events by MJO-like forcing. When applying a circumglobal MJO-like forcing in a dry dynamic core model, the MJO-forced waves can change the general circulation in three ways that affect the total vertical Eliassen–Palm flux in the Arctic stratosphere. First, weakening the zonal asymmetry of the tropospheric midlatitude jet, and therefore preventing the MJO-forced waves from propagating past the jet. Second, weakening the jet amplitude, reducing the waves generated in the midlatitudes, especially stationary waves, and therefore the upward-propagating planetary waves. Third, reducing the Arctic lower-stratospheric refractory index, which prevents waves from upward propagation. These effects stabilize the Arctic vortex and lower the SSW frequency. The longitudinal range to which the MJO-like forcing is limited plays an important role as well, and the strongest SSW frequency increase is seen when the MJO is located where it is observed in current climate. The SSW suppression effects are active when the MJO-like forcing is placed at different longitudinal locations. This study suggests that future trends in both the MJO amplitude and its longitudinal extent are important for predicting the Arctic stratosphere response.


2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (8) ◽  
pp. 4885-4896 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sheng-Yang Gu ◽  
Han-Li Liu ◽  
Xiankang Dou ◽  
Tao Li

Abstract. The influence of the sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) on a quasi-2-day wave (QTDW) with westward zonal wave number 3 (W3) is investigated using the Thermosphere–Ionosphere–Mesosphere Electrodynamics General Circulation Model (TIME-GCM). The summer easterly jet below 90 km is strengthened during an SSW, which results in a larger refractive index and thus more favorable conditions for the propagation of W3. In the winter hemisphere, the Eliassen–Palm (EP) flux diagnostics indicate that the strong instabilities at middle and high latitudes in the mesopause region are important for the amplification of W3, which is weakened during SSW periods due to the deceleration or even reversal of the winter westerly winds. Nonlinear interactions between the W3 and the wave number 1 stationary planetary wave produce QTDW with westward zonal wave number 2 (W2). The meridional wind perturbations of the W2 peak in the equatorial region, while the zonal wind and temperature components maximize at middle latitudes. The EP flux diagnostics indicate that the W2 is capable of propagating upward in both winter and summer hemispheres, whereas the propagation of W3 is mostly confined to the summer hemisphere. This characteristic is likely due to the fact that the phase speed of W2 is larger, and therefore its waveguide has a broader latitudinal extension. The larger phase speed also makes W2 less vulnerable to dissipation and critical layer filtering by the background wind when propagating upward.


2016 ◽  
Vol 73 (5) ◽  
pp. 1871-1887 ◽  
Author(s):  
Krzysztof Wargan ◽  
Lawrence Coy

Abstract The behavior of the tropopause inversion layer (TIL) during the 2009 sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) is analyzed using NASA’s Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2), and short-term simulations with the MERRA-2 general circulation model. Consistent with previous studies, it is found that static stability in a shallow layer above the polar tropopause sharply increases following the SSW, leading to a strengthening of the high-latitude TIL. Simultaneously, the height of the thermal tropopause decreases by around 1 km. Similar behavior is also detected during other major SSW events between the years 2004 and 2013. Using an ensemble of general circulation model forecasts initialized from MERRA-2, it is demonstrated that the primary cause of the strengthening of the TIL is an increased convergence of the vertical component of the stratospheric residual circulation in response to an SSW-induced acceleration of the mean downward motion between 75° and 90°N. In addition, ~6% of the strengthening in 2009 is attributed to an enhanced anticyclonic circulation at the tropopause. A preliminary analysis indicates that during other recent SSW events there was a significant increase in the convergence of the vertical residual wind velocity throughout the middle and lower stratosphere. The static stability increase simulated by the model during the 2009 SSW is 60%–80% of that seen in MERRA-2. The underestimate is traced back to a tendency for the forecasts to underestimate the resolved planetary wave forcing on the stratosphere compared to the reanalysis.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erik Anders Lindgren ◽  
Aditi Sheshadri

Abstract. The effects of eddy-eddy interactions on sudden stratospheric warming formation are investigated using an idealized atmospheric general circulation model, in which tropospheric heating perturbations of zonal wave numbers 1 and 2 are used to produce planetary scale wave activity. Eddy-eddy interactions are removed at different vertical extents of the atmosphere in order to examine the sensitivity of stratospheric circulation to local changes in eddy-eddy interactions. We show that the effects of eddy-eddy interactions on sudden warming formation, including sudden warming frequencies, are strongly dependent on the wave number of the tropospheric forcing and the vertical levels where eddy-eddy interactions are removed. Significant changes in sudden warming frequencies are evident when eddy-eddy interactions are removed even when the lower stratospheric wave forcing does not change, highlighting the fact that the upper stratosphere is not a passive recipient of wave forcing from below. We find that while eddy-eddy interactions are required in the troposphere and lower stratosphere to produce displacements when wave number 2 heating is used, both splits and displacements can be produced without eddy-eddy interactions in the troposphere and lower stratosphere when the model is forced by wave number 1 heating. We suggest that the relative strengths of wave numbers 1 and 2 vertical wave flux entering the stratosphere largely determine the split and displacement ratios when wave number 2 forcing is used, but not wave number 1.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oscar Dimdore-Miles ◽  
Lesley Gray ◽  
Scott Osprey

<p>Sudden Stratospheric Warming events (SSWs) are rapid disruptions of the Northern Hemisphere (NH) winter stratospheric polar vortex and represent the largest source of inter-annual variability in the NH winter stratosphere. They have been linked to winter surface climate anomalies such as cold snaps over North America and Eurasia. Representing these events accurately in large scale GCMs as well as developing a greater understanding of them is key to improving predictability of winter surface climate. A key component of a GCM is its representation of atmospheric chemistry. Chemical distributions are either prescribed or calculated interactively by coupling an atmospheric chemistry model to radiation and dynamical components, thus capturing any chemical dynamical feedback mechanisms but incurring significant running cost.</p><p>This work evaluates the impact of interactive chemistry when modelling SSW events and explores the feedback mechanisms between chemical distributions and stratospheric dynamical variability. Pre-industrial control runs from the MetOffice HadGEMGC3.1 model which prescribes chemical fields and UKESM1 which calculates trace gas concentration interactively are utilised. Over the whole season - The Earth System Model appears to suppress warmings while the model with prescribed physics overestimates their occurrence compared to reanalysis. The differing representation of the equatorial stratosphere appears to be partially responsible for this difference. Additionally we find that middle stratosphere equatorial ozone concentration in late NH summer is closely associated with SSW probability in the ensuing winter in UKESM1. Anomalously low ozone is generally associated with an elevated SSW rate. This implies a chemical-dynamical coupling between the equator and the vortex in this model which preliminary results suggest could be driven by chemical feedbacks influencing the state of the early winter Quasi Biennial Oscillation (QBO) and Semi-Annual Oscillation (SAO) in zonal winds which can alter the distribution of planetary wave propagation and breaking (the primary cause of SSWs). Further work will assess whether this phenomenon is observed in other GCMs and further explore the physical mechanisms responsible.</p>


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 93-109 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erik A. Lindgren ◽  
Aditi Sheshadri

Abstract. The effects of wave–wave interactions on sudden stratospheric warming formation are investigated using an idealized atmospheric general circulation model, in which tropospheric heating perturbations of zonal wave numbers 1 and 2 are used to produce planetary-scale wave activity. Zonal wave–wave interactions are removed at different vertical extents of the atmosphere in order to examine the sensitivity of stratospheric circulation to local changes in wave–wave interactions. We show that the effects of wave–wave interactions on sudden warming formation, including sudden warming frequencies, are strongly dependent on the wave number of the tropospheric forcing and the vertical levels where wave–wave interactions are removed. Significant changes in sudden warming frequencies are evident when wave–wave interactions are removed even when the lower-stratospheric wave forcing does not change, highlighting the fact that the upper stratosphere is not a passive recipient of wave forcing from below. We find that while wave–wave interactions are required in the troposphere and lower stratosphere to produce displacements when wave number 2 heating is used, both splits and displacements can be produced without wave–wave interactions in the troposphere and lower stratosphere when the model is forced by wave number 1 heating. We suggest that the relative strengths of wave number 1 and 2 vertical wave flux entering the stratosphere largely determine the split and displacement ratios when wave number 2 forcing is used but not wave number 1.


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
pp. A39 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maxim V. Klimenko ◽  
Vladimir V. Klimenko ◽  
Fedor S. Bessarab ◽  
Timofei V. Sukhodolov ◽  
Pavel A. Vasilev ◽  
...  

We apply the Entire Atmosphere GLobal (EAGLE) model to investigate the upper atmosphere response to the January 2009 sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) event. The model successfully reproduces neutral temperature and total electron content (TEC) observations. Using both model and observational data, we identify a cooling in the tropical lower thermosphere caused by the SSW. This cooling affects the zonal electric field close to the equator, leading to an enhanced vertical plasma drift. We demonstrate that along with a SSW-related wind disturbance, which is the main source to form a dynamo electric field in the ionosphere, perturbations of the ionospheric conductivity also make a significant contribution to the formation of the electric field response to SSW. The post-sunset TEC enhancement and pre-sunrise electron content reduction are revealed as a response to the 2009 SSW. We show that at post-sunset hours the SSW affects low-latitude TEC via a disturbance of the meridional electric field. We also show that the phase change of the semidiurnal migrating solar tide (SW2) in the neutral wind caused by the 2009 SSW at the altitude of the dynamo electric field generation has a crucial importance for the SW2 phase change in the zonal electric field. Such changes lead to the appearance of anomalous diurnal variability of the equatorial electromagnetic plasma drift and subsequent low-latitudinal TEC disturbances in agreement with available observations. Plain Language Summary – Entire Atmosphere GLobal model (EAGLE) interactively calculates the troposphere, stratosphere, mesosphere, thermosphere, and plasmasphere–ionosphere system states and their response to various natural and anthropogenic forcing. In this paper, we study the upper atmosphere response to the major sudden stratospheric warming that occurred in January 2009. Our results agree well with the observed evolution of the neutral temperature in the upper atmosphere and with low-latitude ionospheric disturbances over America. For the first time, we identify an SSW-related cooling in the tropical lower thermosphere that, in turn, could provide additional information for understanding the mechanisms for the generation of electric field disturbances observed at low latitudes. We show that the SSW-related vertical electromagnetic drift due to electric field disturbances is a key mechanism for interpretation of an observed anomalous diurnal development of the equatorial ionization anomaly during the 2009 SSW event. We demonstrate that the link between thermospheric winds and the ionospheric dynamo electric field during the SSW is attained through the modulation of the semidiurnal migrating solar tide.


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