Modelling the potential distribution of two tropical freshwater fish species under climate change scenarios

Author(s):  
Jonathan de Jesús Sauz‐Sánchez ◽  
Rocío Rodiles‐Hernández ◽  
Mercedes Andrade‐Velázquez ◽  
Manuel Mendoza‐Carranza
MethodsX ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 5 ◽  
pp. 299-303 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bettina Grieve ◽  
J. Baumgartner Lee ◽  
Wayne Robinson ◽  
Luiz G.M. Silva ◽  
Karl Pomorin ◽  
...  

2011 ◽  
Vol 62 (9) ◽  
pp. 1082 ◽  
Author(s):  
John R. Morrongiello ◽  
Stephen J. Beatty ◽  
James C. Bennett ◽  
David A. Crook ◽  
David N. E. N. Ikedife ◽  
...  

Freshwater environments and their fishes are particularly vulnerable to climate change because the persistence and quality of aquatic habitat depend heavily on climatic and hydrologic regimes. In Australia, projections indicate that the rate and magnitude of climate change will vary across the continent. We review the likely effects of these changes on Australian freshwater fishes across geographic regions encompassing a diversity of habitats and climatic variability. Commonalities in the predicted implications of climate change on fish included habitat loss and fragmentation, surpassing of physiological tolerances and spread of alien species. Existing anthropogenic stressors in more developed regions are likely to compound these impacts because of the already reduced resilience of fish assemblages. Many Australian freshwater fish species are adapted to variable or unpredictable flow conditions and, in some cases, this evolutionary history may confer resistance or resilience to the impacts of climate change. However, the rate and magnitude of projected change will outpace the adaptive capacities of many species. Climate change therefore seriously threatens the persistence of many of Australia’s freshwater fish species, especially of those with limited ranges or specific habitat requirements, or of those that are already occurring close to physiological tolerance limits. Human responses to climate change should be proactive and focus on maintaining population resilience through the protection of habitat, mitigation of current anthropogenic stressors, adequate planning and provisioning of environmental flows and the consideration of more interventionist options such as managed translocations.


Forests ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 119
Author(s):  
Antonio Fidel Santos-Hernández ◽  
Alejandro Ismael Monterroso-Rivas ◽  
Diódoro Granados-Sánchez ◽  
Antonio Villanueva-Morales ◽  
Malinali Santacruz-Carrillo

The tropical rainforest is one of the lushest and most important plant communities in Mexico’s tropical regions, yet its potential distribution has not been studied in current and future climate conditions. The aim of this paper was to propose priority areas for conservation based on ecological niche and species distribution modeling of 22 species with the greatest ecological importance at the climax stage. Geographic records were correlated with bioclimatic temperature and precipitation variables using Maxent and Kuenm software for each species. The best Maxent models were chosen based on statistical significance, complexity and predictive power, and current potential distributions were obtained from these models. Future potential distributions were projected with two climate change scenarios: HADGEM2_ES and GFDL_CM3 models and RCP 8.5 W/m2 by 2075–2099. All potential distributions for each scenario were then assembled for further analysis. We found that 14 tropical rainforest species have the potential for distribution in 97.4% of the landscape currently occupied by climax vegetation (0.6% of the country). Both climate change scenarios showed a 3.5% reduction in their potential distribution and possible displacement to higher elevation regions. Areas are proposed for tropical rainforest conservation where suitable bioclimatic conditions are expected to prevail.


Author(s):  
Sam Wenaas Perrin ◽  
Kim Magnus Bærum ◽  
Ingeborg Palm Helland ◽  
Anders Gravbrøt Finstad

Author(s):  
Maria João Costa ◽  
Gonçalo Duarte ◽  
Pedro Segurado ◽  
Paulo Branco

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