scholarly journals Next‐generation serology: integrating cross‐sectional and capture–recapture approaches to infer disease dynamics

Ecology ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 101 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Amandine Gamble ◽  
Romain Garnier ◽  
Thierry Chambert ◽  
Olivier Gimenez ◽  
Thierry Boulinier
2020 ◽  
Vol 101 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Amandine Gamble ◽  
Romain Garnier ◽  
Thierry Chambert ◽  
Olivier Gimenez ◽  
Thierry Boulinier

2018 ◽  
Vol 25 (11) ◽  
pp. 1452-1461 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shanthi Viswanathan ◽  
Lee Mei Wah

Objectives: This study looked at observed crude prevalence/incidence of multiple sclerosis (MS) and neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (NMOSD) in Malaysia and identified any inter-ethnic differences for MS/NMOSD. Methods: This was a nationwide tertiary hospital–based retrospective cross-sectional study using the capture–recapture method. It looked at the estimated crude prevalence of confirmed MS and NMOSD and annual incidence on 29 December 2017. Recapture of data was done between February and March 2018 on 1 March 2018. Public and referring private institutions were accessed. Results: The survey identified 767 MS and 545 NMOSD subjects, with crude prevalence rates of 2.73 per 100,000 (95% confidence interval (CI): 2.53; 2.92 per 100,000 population) and 1.94 per 100,000 (95% CI: 1.77; 2.10 per 100,000 population) with observed crude annual incidence of 0.55 (95% CI: 0.43; 0.58) for MS and 0.39 per 100,000 (95% CI: 0.35; 0.47) for NMOSD. The MS:NMOSD ratios were 1.4:1.0. The capture–recapture method revealed 913 MS (95% CI: 910; 915.9) and 580 (95% CI: 578.8; 581.2) NMOSD with prevalence per 100,000 of 3.26 (95% CI: 3.05; 3.47) and 2.07 (95% CI: 1.90; 2.24), respectively. In the MS group, 59.4% were Malay, 16.6% Chinese, 20.5% Indian, and 3.5% were from indigenous groups. In the NMOSD group, 47.3% were Malay, 46.9% Chinese, 3.5% Indian, and 2.3% were from other indigenous groups. The ratio of NMOSD to MS among the Chinese was 2:1, but the ratio of MS to NMOSD among the Malays was 1.8:1, and that in Indians was 8.3:1. Conclusion: There is a modest increase in the prevalence of MS and NMOSD in Malaysia with inter-ethnic differences for MS/NMOSD.


2018 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Angelica D'Amore ◽  
Alessandra Tessa ◽  
Carlo Casali ◽  
Maria Teresa Dotti ◽  
Alessandro Filla ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Niloufar Taherpour ◽  
Yadollah Mehrabi ◽  
Arash Seifi ◽  
Babak Eshrati ◽  
Seyed Saeed Hashemi Nazari

Abstract Background Surgical Site Infections (SSIs) are among the leading causes of the postoperative complications. This study aimed at investigating the epidemiologic characteristics of orthopedic SSIs and estimating the under-reporting of registries using the capture-recapture method. Methods This study, which was a registry-based, cross-sectional one, was conducted in six educational hospitals in Tehran during a one-year period, from March, 2017 to March, 2018. The data were collected from two hospital registries (National Nosocomial Infection Surveillance System (NNIS) and health information management database (HIM)). First, all orthopedic SSIs registered in these sources were used to perform capture-recapture (N = 503). Second, 202 samples were randomly selected to assess patients` characteristics. Results Totally, 76.24% of SSIs were detected post-discharge. Staphylococcus.aureus (11.38%) was the most frequently detected bacterium in orthopedic SSIs. The median time between the detection of a SSI and the discharge was 17 days. The results of a study done on 503 SSIs showed that the coverage of NNIS and HIM was 59.95% and 65.17%, respectively. After capture-recapture estimation, it was found that about 221 of orthopedic SSIs were not detected by two sources among six hospitals and the real number of SSIs were estimated to be 623 ± 36.58 (95% CI, 552–695) and under-reporting percentage was 63.32%. Conclusions To recognize the trends of SSIs mortality and morbidity in national level, it is significant to have access to a registry with minimum underestimated data. Therefore, according to the weak coverage of NNIS and HIM among Iranian hospitals, a plan for promoting the national Infection prevention and control (IPC) programs and providing updated protocols is recommended.


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