Infectious diseases of the liver. Falk symposium 54. Edited by L. Bianchi, W. Gerok, K.P. Maier and F. Deinhardt, 386 pp. Dordrecht, The Netherlands: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1989. $99.50

AbstractVaccination programmes are considered a main contributor to the decline of infectious diseases over the 20th century. In recent years, the national vaccination coverage in the Netherlands has been declining, highlighting the need for continuous monitoring and evaluation of vaccination programmes. Our aim was to quantify the impact of long-standing vaccination programmes on notified cases in the Netherlands. We collected and digitised previously unavailable monthly case notifications of diphtheria, poliomyelitis, mumps and rubella in the Netherlands over the period 1919–2015. Poisson regression models accounting for seasonality, multi-year cycles, secular trends and auto-correlation were fit to pre-vaccination periods. Cases averted were calculated as the difference between observed and expected cases based on model projections. In the first 13 years of mass vaccinations, case notifications declined rapidly with 82.4% (95% credible interval (CI): 74.9–87.6) of notified cases of diphtheria averted, 92.9% (95% CI 85.0–97.2) cases of poliomyelitis, and 79.1% (95% CI 67.1–87.4) cases of mumps. Vaccination of 11-year-old girls against rubella averted 49.9% (95% CI 9.3–73.5) of cases, while universal vaccination averted 68.1% (95% CI 19.4–87.3) of cases. These findings show that vaccination programmes have contributed substantially to the reduction of infectious diseases in the Netherlands.

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A non-parametric method for determining epidemiological reproduction numbers

Journal of Mathematical Biology ◽

10.1007/s00285-021-01590-6 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 82 (5) ◽

Author(s):

Frank P. Pijpers

Keyword(s):

Public Health ◽

Transfer Function ◽

The Netherlands ◽

Infectious Diseases ◽

Inverse Method ◽

Reproduction Number ◽

Parametric Method ◽

Reproduction Numbers ◽

Non Parametric

AbstractIn the spreading of infectious diseases, an important number to determine is how many other people will be infected on average by anyone who has become infected themselves. This is known as the reproduction number. This paper describes a non-parametric inverse method for extracting the full transfer function of infection, of which the reproduction number is the integral. The method is demonstrated by applying it to the timeline of hospitalisation admissions for covid-19 in the Netherlands up to May 20 2020, which is publicly available from the site of the Dutch National Institute of Public Health and the Environment (rivm.nl).

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Predictability of the Realised Volatility of International Stock Markets Amid Uncertainty Related to Infectious Diseases

Journal of Risk and Financial Management ◽

10.3390/jrfm15010018 ◽

2022 ◽

Vol 15 (1) ◽

pp. 18

Author(s):

Sisa Shiba ◽

Juncal Cunado ◽

Rangan Gupta

Keyword(s):

The Netherlands ◽

Infectious Diseases ◽

Financial Markets ◽

Stock Markets ◽

Recursive Estimation ◽

International Stock Markets ◽

Long Run ◽

Out Of Sample ◽

Portfolio Managers ◽

Realised Volatility

In the context of the great turmoil in the financial markets caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, the predictability of daily infectious diseases-related uncertainty (EMVID) for international stock markets volatilities is examined using heterogeneous autoregressive realised variance (HAR-RV) models. A recursive estimation approach in the short-, medium- and long-run out-of-sample predictability is considered and the main findings show that the EMVID index plays a significant role in forecasting the volatility of international stock markets. Furthermore, the results suggest that the most vulnerable stock markets to EMVID are those in Singapore, Portugal and The Netherlands. The implications of these results for investors and portfolio managers amid high levels of uncertainty resulting from infectious diseases are discussed.

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The Netherlands' Infectious Diseases Surveillance Information System (ISIS)

Infectious Disease Surveillance ◽

10.1002/9780470692097.ch22 ◽

2008 ◽

pp. 294-303

Author(s):

Arnold Bosman ◽

Hans Van Vliet

Keyword(s):

Information System ◽

The Netherlands ◽

Infectious Diseases

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Report on the 7th annual meeting of the European society for pediatric infectious diseases (ESPID) 23–25 April 1989, Lemmer, The Netherlands

Infection ◽

10.1007/bf01639534 ◽

1989 ◽

Vol 17 (4) ◽

pp. 253-254

Keyword(s):

The Netherlands ◽

Infectious Diseases ◽

Annual Meeting ◽

European Society

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MenACWY vaccination decisions in the Netherlands: the role of risk perceptions

European Journal of Public Health ◽

10.1093/eurpub/ckz186.518 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 29 (Supplement_4) ◽

Author(s):

M de Vries ◽

L Claassen ◽

M te Wierik ◽

F Coban ◽

D Timmermans ◽

...

Keyword(s):

The Netherlands ◽

Infectious Diseases ◽

Meningococcal Disease ◽

Risk Perceptions ◽

Severe Disease ◽

Vaccination Campaign ◽

Birth Cohorts ◽

Meningococcal Infections ◽

Number Of Children ◽

Knowledge And Beliefs

Abstract Background The Netherlands experiences an unprecedented increase in meningococcal W infections. A national catch-up menACWY vaccination campaign started in October 2018, covering birth cohorts 2001-2005. To understand menACWY vaccination decisions, our study reports on perceptions of risks and their influence on menACWY vaccination intentions during an ongoing outbreak of meningococcal infections. Methods Online surveys were administered in September 2018 among adolescents (AD) targeted for menACWY vaccination (N = 3036) and parents (PA) of these adolescents (N = 3002). Following a mental models approach, survey items addressed knowledge and beliefs of meningococcal disease, the menACWY vaccination and vaccinations in general, and menACWY vaccination intention. Random Forest Analyses were conducted to identify those knowledge and beliefs that strongest predict vaccination intention. Results The response was 52.8% (N = 1603) in AD and 57.1% (N = 1784) in PA. 71% Of AD and 83% of PA indicated a positive vaccination intention. Most respondents perceived meningococcal disease as a severe disease with possible deathly consequences and were aware of transmission routes. Some misbeliefs of vaccines were rather strongly represented, with respectively 35% of AD and 45% of PA thinking that each year a number of children dies due to vaccination side effects. Preliminary results indicate that perceptions of vaccines in general, especially concerning the need for and the effectiveness, were the strongest predictors of vaccination intention in both AD and PA. Conclusions Adolescents and their parents seemed well informed about meningococcal disease, but less about vaccinations. The belief that vaccines are needed and effective in preventing infectious diseases seems to be of more importance in vaccination decisions than other beliefs of disease and vaccination. Future communications need to address the identified misbeliefs and emphasize the need for and effectiveness of vaccines. Key messages MenACWY vaccination intentions are more dependent on beliefs about vaccines in general than on beliefs about meningococcal disease and the menACWY vaccination. The belief that vaccines are needed and effective in preventing infectious diseases is of major importance in menACWY vaccination decisions.

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