Mixed Generation Sensitivity Analysis: An Optimal Scenario Study

2014 ◽  
Vol 22 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 51-74 ◽  
Author(s):  
Reginald Wilson
2018 ◽  
Vol 4 ◽  
pp. 13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicolas Thiollière ◽  
Jean-Baptiste Clavel ◽  
Fanny Courtin ◽  
Xavier Doligez ◽  
Marc Ernoult ◽  
...  

Fuel cycle simulators are used worldwide to provide scientific assessment to fuel cycle future strategies. Those tools help understanding the fuel cycle physics and determining the most impacting drivers at the cycle scale. A standard scenario calculation is usually based on a set of operational assumptions, such as reactor Burn-Up, deployment history, cooling time, etc. Scenario output is then the evolution of isotopes mass in the facilities that composes the nuclear fleet. The increase of computing capacities and the use of neutron data fast predictors provide new opportunities in nuclear scenario studies. Indeed, a very high number of calculations is possible, which allows testing a high number of operational assumptions combinations. The global sensitivity analysis (GSA) formalism is specifically well adapted for this kind of problem. In this new framework, a scenario study is based on the sampling of operational data, which become input variables. A first result of a scenario study is the highlight of relations between operational input data and outputs. Input variable subspace that satisfy optimization criteria on an output, such as plutonium incineration or stabilization, can also be determined. In this paper, a focus is made on the methodology based on GSA. This innovative methodology is presented and applied to a simple fleet simulation composed of a PWR-UOx fuel and a PWR-MOx fuel. Calculations are done with the fuel cycle simulator CLASS developed by the CNRS/IN2P3 in collaboration with IRSN. The design of experiment is built from five fuel cycle input sampled variables. Sensitivity indices have been calculated on plutonium and minor actinide (MA) production. It shows that the PWR-UOx Burn-Up and the fraction of PWR-MOx fuel are the most important input variables that explain the plutonium production. For the MA production, main drivers depend strongly on isotopes. Sensitivity analysis also reveals input variable subspace responsible of simulation crash, what led to an important improvement of the model algorithms. An equilibrium condition on the plutonium mass in the stockpile used for building MOx fuel has been applied. The solution is represented as a subspace in the PWR-UOx Burn-Up and PWR-MOx fraction input space. For instance, achieving a plutonium equilibrium in a stockpile fed by a PWR-UOx that operates at 40 GWd/t requires a PWR-MOx fraction between 9 and 14%. This study also provides data related to plutonium incineration induced by the utilization of the MOx.


2015 ◽  
Vol 46 (6) ◽  
pp. 352-360 ◽  
Author(s):  
Simon Schindler ◽  
Marc-André Reinhard

Abstract. Research on terror management theory has found evidence that people under mortality salience strive to live up to activated social norms and values. Recently, research has shown that mortality salience also increases adherence to the norm of reciprocity. Based on this, in the current paper we investigated the idea that mortality salience influences persuasion strategies that are based on the norm of reciprocity. We therefore assume that mortality salience should enhance compliance for a request when using the door-in-the-face technique – a persuasion strategy grounded in the norm of reciprocity. In a hypothetical scenario (Study 1), and in a field experiment (Study 2), applying the door-in-the-face technique enhanced compliance in the mortality salience condition compared to a control group.


2007 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kristin Byron ◽  
Suzanne J. Peterson
Keyword(s):  

Author(s):  
Empya Charlie ◽  
Siti Rusdiana ◽  
Rini Oktavia

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengoptimalkan penjadwalan karyawan di CV. Karya Indah Bordir dalam melakukan tugas-tugas tertentu menggunakan metode Hungaria, serta menganalisis sensitivitas solusi optimal jika ada pengurangan waktu karyawan untuk menyelesaikan tugas-tugas. Metode Hongaria diterapkan pada proses bordir yang melibatkan 11 karyawan dan 10 tugas. Hasil penjadwalan yang optimal meminimalkan waktu produksi bordir perusahaan. Hasil penjadwalan optimal yang ditemukan adalah: karyawan 1 mengerjakan tas Mambo, karyawan 2 mengerjakan tas Elli, karyawan 3 mengerjakan tas Lonjong, karyawan 4 mengerjakan tas Tampang bunga, karyawan 6 mengerjakan tas Ransel, karyawan 7 mengerjakan tas Tima, karyawan 8 mengerjakan tas Keong, karyawan 9 mengerjakan tas Alexa, karyawan 10 mengerjakan tas Luna, dan karyawan 11 mengerjakan tas Mikha, dengan total waktu kerja adalah 13,7 jam. Setelah metode Hongaria diterapkan, CV. Karya Indah Bordir mendapat peningkatan pendapatan sebanyak 9,09%. Analisis sensitivitas dilakukan dengan mengurangi waktu karyawan dalam menyulam tas. Hasil analisis sensitivitas adalah beberapa batasan untuk variabel basis dan non basis untuk mempertahankan solusi optimal.   This research has a purpose to optimize the scheduling of employees in CV. Karya Indah Bordir in doing certain tasks using Hungarian method, as well as analyzing the sensitivity of the optimal solution if there is a reduction on the employees time to finish the tasks. The Hungarian method was applied on the embroidery process involving 11 employees and 10 tasks. The optimal scheduling result minimize the time of the embroidery production of the company. The optimal scheduling result found is: employee 1 does the Mambo bag, employee 2 does the Elli bag, employee 3 does the Lonjong bag, employee 4 does the Tampang bunga bag, employee 6 does the Ransel, employee 7 does the Tima bag, employee 8 does the Keong bag, employee 9 does the Alexa bag, employees 10 does the Luna bag, and employee 11 does the Mikha bag, with the total work time is 13,7 hours. After the Hungarian method was applied, CV. Karya Indah Bordir got the increasing revenue as much as 9,09 %. The sensitivity analysis was conducted by reducing the time of the employees take in embroidery the bags. The results of the sensitivity analysis are some boundaries for basis and non basis variables to maintain the optimal solution. 


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